Patient No-Show Prediction: A Systematic Literature Review

Nowadays, across the most important problems faced by health centers are those caused by the existence of patients who do not attend their appointments. Among others, these patients cause loss of revenue to the health centers and increase the patients’ waiting list. In order to tackle these problems, several scheduling systems have been developed. Many of them require predicting whether a patient will show up for an appointment. However, obtaining these estimates accurately is currently a challenging problem. In this work, a systematic review of the literature on predicting patient no-shows is conducted aiming at establishing the current state-of-the-art. Based on a systematic review following the PRISMA methodology, 50 articles were found and analyzed. Of these articles, 82% were published in the last 10 years and the most used technique was logistic regression. In addition, there is significant growth in the size of the databases used to build the classifiers. An important finding is that only two studies achieved an accuracy higher than the show rate. Moreover, a single study attained an area under the curve greater than the 0.9 value. These facts indicate the difficulty of this problem and the need for further research

Effects of intubation timing in patients with COVID-19 throughout the four waves of the pandemic: a matched analysis

Background: The primary aim of our study was to investigate the association between intubation timing and hospital mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19-associated respiratory failure. We also analysed both the impact of such timing throughout the first four pandemic waves and the influence of prior non-invasive respiratory support on outcomes. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of a multicentre, observational and prospective cohort study that included all consecutive patients undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation due to COVID-19 from across 58 Spanish intensive care units (ICU) participating in the CIBERESUCICOVID project. The study period was between 29 February 2020 and 31 August 2021. Early intubation was defined as that occurring within the first 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Propensity score (PS) matching was used to achieve balance across baseline variables between the early intubation cohort and those patients who were intubated after the first 24 h of ICU admission. Differences in outcomes between early and delayed intubation were also assessed. We performed sensitivity analyses to consider a different timepoint (48 h from ICU admission) for early and delayed intubation. Results: Of the 2725 patients who received invasive mechanical ventilation, a total of 614 matched patients were included in the analysis (307 for each group). In the unmatched population, there were no differences in mortality between the early and delayed groups. After PS matching, patients with delayed intubation presented higher hospital mortality (27.3% versus 37.1%, p =0.01), ICU mortality (25.7% versus 36.1%, p=0.007) and 90-day mortality (30.9% versus 40.2%, p=0.02) when compared to the early intubation group. Very similar findings were observed when we used a 48-hour timepoint for early or delayed intubation. The use of early intubation decreased after the first wave of the pandemic (72%, 49%, 46% and 45% in the first, second, third and fourth wave, respectively; first versus second, third and fourth waves p<0.001). In both the main and sensitivity analyses, hospital mortality was lower in patients receiving high-flow nasal cannula (n=294) who were intubated earlier. The subgroup of patients undergoing NIV (n=214) before intubation showed higher mortality when delayed intubation was set as that occurring after 48 h from ICU admission, but not when after 24 h. Conclusions: In patients with COVID-19 requiring invasive mechanical ventilation, delayed intubation was associated with a higher risk of hospital mortality. The use of early intubation significantly decreased throughout the course of the pandemic. Benefits of such an approach occurred more notably in patients who had received high-flow nasal cannula.Financial support was provided by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III de Madrid (COV20/00110, ISCIII), Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER), "Una manera de hacer Europa", and the Centro de Investigación Biomedica En Red – Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES). DdGC has received financial support from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Miguel Servet 2020: CP20/00041), co-funded by European Social Fund (ESF)/”Investing in your future”.Peer ReviewedArticle signat per 70 autors/es: Jordi Riera*1,2; Enric Barbeta*2,3,4; Adrián Tormos5; Ricard Mellado-Artigas2,3; Adrián Ceccato6; Anna Motos4; Laia Fernández-Barat4; Ricard Ferrer1; Darío García-Gasulla5; Oscar Peñuelas7; José Ángel Lorente7; Rosario Menéndez8; Oriol Roca1,2; Andrea Palomeque4,9; Carlos Ferrando2,3; Jordi SoléViolán10; Mariana Novo11; María Victoria Boado12; Luis Tamayo13; Ángel Estella14, Cristóbal Galban15; Josep Trenado16; Arturo Huerta17; Ana Loza18; Luciano Aguilera19; José Luís García Garmendia20; Carme Barberà21; Víctor Gumucio22; Lorenzo Socias23; Nieves Franco24; Luis Jorge Valdivia25; Pablo Vidal26; Víctor Sagredo27; Ángela Leonor Ruiz-García28; Ignacio Martínez Varela29; Juan López30; Juan Carlos Pozo31; Maite Nieto32; José M Gómez33; Aaron Blandino34; Manuel Valledor35; Elena Bustamante-Munguira36; Ángel Sánchez-Miralles37; Yhivian Peñasco38; José Barberán39; Alejandro Ubeda40; Rosario Amaya-Villar41; María Cruz Martín42; Ruth Jorge43; Jesús Caballero44; Judith Marin45; José Manuel Añón46; Fernando Suárez Sipmann47; Guillermo Muñiz2,48;Álvaro Castellanos-Ortega49; Berta Adell-Serrano50; Mercedes Catalán51; Amalia Martínez de la Gándara52; Pilar Ricart53; Cristina Carbajales54; Alejandro Rodríguez55; Emili Díaz6; Mari C de la Torre56; Elena Gallego57; Luisa Cantón-Bulnes58; Nieves Carbonell59, Jessica González60, David de Gonzalo-Calvo60, Ferran Barbé60 and Antoni Torres2,4,9 on behalf of the CiberesUCICOVID Consortium. // 1. Critical Care Department, Hospital Universitari Vall d’Hebron; SODIR, Vall d’Hebron Institut de Recerca, Barcelona, Spain. 2. CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. 3.Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Clínic de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. 4. Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), University of Barcelona (UB), Barcelona, Spain. 5. Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain. 6. Critical Care Center, Parc Taulí Hospital Universitari, Institut d'Investigació i Innovació Parc Taulí I3PT, Sabadell, Spain. Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB), Spain. 7. Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Universidad Europea, Madrid, Spain. 8. Pneumology Department, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe/Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria (IIS) La Fe, 46026 Valencia, Spain; Pneumology Department, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe, Avda, Fernando Abril Martorell 106, 46026 Valencia, Spain. 9.Respiratory Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Clínic de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. 10. Critical Care Department, Hospital Dr. Negrín Gran Canaria. Universidad Fernando Pessoa. Las Palmas, Gran Canaria, Spain. 11. Servei de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitari Son Espases, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears, Spain. 12. Hospital Universitario de Cruces, Barakaldo, Spain. 13. Critical Care Department, Hospital Universitario Río Hortega de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain. 14. Departamento Medicina Facultad Medicina Universidad de Cádiz. Hospital Universitario de Jerez, Jerez de la Frontera, Spain. 15. Department of Medicine, CHUS, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, Santiago de Compostela, Spain. 16. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Mútua de Terrassa, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain. 17. Pulmonary and Critical Care Division; Emergency Department, Clínica Sagrada Família, Barcelona, Spain. 18. Hospital Virgen de Valme, Sevilla, Spain. 19. Hospital de Basurto, Bilbao, Spain. 20. Intensive Care Unit, Hospital San Juan de Dios del Aljarafe, Bormujos, Sevilla, Spain. 21. Hospital Santa Maria; IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain. 22. Department of Intensive Care. Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain. Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain. 23. Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Son Llàtzer, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears, Spain. 24. Hospital Universitario de Móstoles, Madrid, Spain. 25. Hospital Universitario de León, León, Spain. 26. Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Ourense, Ourense, Spain. 27. Hospital Universitario de Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain. 28. Servicio de Microbiología Clínica, Hospital Universitario Príncipe de Asturias – Departamento de Biomedicina y Biotecnología, Universidad de Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain. 29. Critical Care Department, Hospital Universitario Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain. 30. Complejo Asistencial Universitario de Palencia, Palencia, Spain. 31. UGC-Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofia, Instituto Maimonides IMIBIC, Córdoba, Spain. 32. Hospital Universitario de Segovia, Segovia, Spain. 33. Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain. 34. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain. 35. Hospital Universitario "San Agustín", Avilés, Spain. 36. Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Hospital Clínico Universitario Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain. 37. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva. Hospital Universitario Sant Joan d´Alacant, Alicante, Spain. 38. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, Santander, Spain. 39. Hospital Universitario HM Montepríncipe, Universidad San Pablo-CEU, Madrid, Spain. 40. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Punta de Europa, Algeciras, Spain. 41. Intensive Care Clinical Unit, Hospital Universitario Virgen de Rocío, Sevilla, Spain. 42. Hospital Universitario Torrejón- Universidad Francisco de Vitoria, Madrid, Spain. 43. Intensive Care Department, Hospital Nuestra Señora de Gracia, Zaragoza, Spain. 44. Critical Care Department, Hospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova; IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain. 45. Critical Care Department, Hospital del Mar-IMIM, Barcelona, Spain. 46. Hospital Universitario la Paz, Madrid, Spain. 47. Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario La Princesa, Madrid, Spain. 48. Departamento de Biología Funcional. Instituto Universitario de Oncología del Principado de Asturias, Universidad de Oviedo; Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Principado de Asturias, Hospital Central de Asturias, Oviedo, Spain. 49. Hospital Universitario y Politécnico la Fe, Valencia, Spain. 50. Hospital de Tortosa Verge de la Cinta, Tortosa, Tarragona, Spain. 51. Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain. 52. Hospital Universitario Infanta Leonor, Madrid, Spain. 53. Servei de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitari Germans Trias, Badalona, Spain. 54. Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Álvaro Cunqueiro, Vigo, Spain. 55. Hospital Universitari Joan XXIII de Tarragona, Tarragona, Spain. 56. Hospital de Mataró de Barcelona, Spain. 57. Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos, Hospital Universitario San Pedro de Alcántara, Cáceres, Spain. 58. Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos, Hospital Virgen Macarena, Sevilla, Spain. 59. Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Clínico y Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain. 60. Translational Research in Respiratory Medicine, Respiratory Department, Hospital Universitari Aranu de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.Postprint (published version

New concepts and objectives for protein-amino acid nutrition in rabbits: a review

In the European context, the new legislation to avoid mineral contamination and the ban on antibiotics as growth promoters has led to the definition of new objectives in respect of nitrogen supply. The present study summarizes the state of nitrogen nutrition in rabbits and reviews the role of protein and amino acids in rabbit health and the new nitrogen value of protein sources based on true ileal digestibility (TID) for future recommendations. The main sources of nitrogen for microbial growth are ammonia, urea and protein (endogenous and dietary). The surplus of nitrogen flow to the caecum increases mortality rates during fattening by favouring the growth of potential pathogenic bacteria. Accordingly, feeding strategies to reduce ileal nitrogen flow have been reviewed. A large reduction of dietary protein level might have negative consequences on growth performances and mortality. In order to formulate balanced low protein diets, data on ileal and faecal amino acid digestibility of 14 raw materials is summarized. The use of this different unit for amino acid digestibility is also discussed

Manejo del neonato con coartación de aorta e hipoplasia de arco

ResumenIntroducciónLa coartación aórtica del neonato puede asociar en un porcentaje importante hipoplasia del arco aórtico, llegando en algunas series al 60%.Cuando existe hipoplasia del arco aórtico distal el tratamiento estándar consiste en la resección de la zona de coartación y anastomosis termino-terminal extendida.En casos de hipoplasia severa del arco aórtico distal y arco distal largo, podría no ser suficiente con la resección y anastomosis termino-terminal extendida, por lo que sería razonable realizar alguna técnica adicional para ampliar el arco aórtico distal, evitando así un abordaje anterior, el uso de parada circulatoria con o sin perfusión cerebral selectiva y el aumento de la morbimortalidad perioperatoria.MétodosPresentamos los resultados de 4 neonatos, a los que se les realizó una ampliación del arco aórtico distal, según técnica de Amato (anastomosis latero-lateral entre las arterias carótida y subclavia izquierdas), para posteriormente resecar la zona de coartación y anastomosar la aorta descendente al arco aórtico previamente ampliado.ResultadosEn todos los casos el ecocardiograma postoperatorio mostró arco reconstruido con flujo laminar. No se ha presentado ningún caso de recoartación durante un período de seguimiento medio de 12 meses.ConclusiónConsideramos que la técnica de elección en la coartación con hipoplasia de arco distal es la resección y anastomosis termino-terminal extendida.En casos seleccionados, con arco aórtico distal muy largo y severamente hipoplásico, la técnica de Amato es una alternativa atractiva, con el objeto de evitar un abordaje anterior y el uso de CEC. Además, puede realizarse en un primer tiempo, manteniendo perfusión sistémica ductus-dependiente.AbstractIntroductionNeonatal aortic coarctation can be combined with a significant percentage of aortic arch hypoplasia, reaching 60% in some series.When there is hypoplasia of the distal aortic arch, the standard treatment consists of resection of the coarctation zone and extended end-to-end anastomosis.In cases of severe distal aortic arch hypoplasia and a long distal arch, resection and extended end-to-end anastomosis would not be sufficient, making it reasonable to perform an additional technique to widen the distal aortic arch, thus avoiding an anterior approach and interrupting the blood circulation with or without selective cerebral infusion, with the resulting risk of an increase in perioperative morbidity and mortality.MethodsThe results are presented on 4 neonates on whom a widening of the distal aortic arch was performed using the Amato technique (side-to-side anastomosis between the left carotid and subclavian arteries), in order to subsequently resect the coarctation zone and perform an anastomosis of the descending aorta to the previously widened aortic arch.ResultsThe post-operative echocardiogram showed a reconstructed arch with laminar flow in all cases. There has been no recurrence of coarctation in any of the cases during a mean follow-up of 12 months.ConclusionWe believe that resection with extended end-to-end anastomosis is the technique of choice in coarctation with distal arch hypoplasia.The Amato technique is an attractive alternative in selected cases with a very long and severely hypoplastic distal arch, with the aim of avoiding an anterior approach and the use of extracorporeal circulation. This could also be performed initially, maintaining ductal-dependent systemic perfusion

Feasibility and outcomes after dose reduction of immunochemotherapy in young adults with Burkitt lymphoma and leukemia: results of the BURKIMAB14 trial

High dose -intensive or infusional intermediate -dose immunochemotherapy is highly effective treatment for Burkitt lymphoma irrespective of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. However, toxicities of these regimens are relevant, especially in older adults and elderly patients. The prospective multicenter BURKIMAB14 trial included four to six blocks of immunochemotherapy according to stage (localized: 1 and 2 non -bulky; advanced: 2 bulky, 3, 4) and age, with dose reduction in patients >55 years old. Dose -intensity of chemotherapy was reduced in patients 55 years old had a significantly higher treatment -related mortality despite dose reduction of chemotherapy. With a median follow-up of 3.61 years the 4 -year OS probability was 73% (range, 63-81%). Age (55 years) and stage (localized vs. advanced) had prognostic significance. No significant differences in OS were observed in HIV -positive versus HIV -negative patients. The results of BURKIMAB14 are similar to those of other dose -intensive immunochemotherapy trials. Age >55 years and advanced stage, but not HIV infection, were associated with poor survival. Dose reduction of chemotherapy in young adults in CMR is safe and does not impact outcomes (clinicaltrials gov. Identifier: NCT05049473)

The role of retinal fluid location in atrophy and fibrosis evolution of patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration long-term treated in real world

Purpose: To assess the effect of clinical factors on the development and progression of atrophy and fibrosis in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) receiving long-term treatment in the real world. Methods: An ambispective 36-month multicentre study, involving 359 nAMD patients from 17 Spanish hospitals treated according to the Spanish Vitreoretinal Society guidelines, was designed. The influence of demographic and clinical factors, including the presence and location of retinal fluid, on best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and progression to atrophy and/or fibrosis were analysed. Results: After 36 months of follow-up and an average of 13.8 anti-VEGF intravitreal injections, the average BCVA gain was +1.5 letters, and atrophy and/or fibrosis were present in 54.8% of nAMD patients (OR = 8.54, 95% CI = 5.85-12.47, compared to baseline). Atrophy was associated with basal intraretinal fluid (IRF) (OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.09-3.20), whereas basal subretinal fluid (SRF) was associated with a lower rate of atrophy (OR = 0.40, 95% CI = 0.23-0.71) and its progression (OR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.26-0.75), leading to a slow progression rate (OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.14-0.83). Fibrosis development and progression were related to IRF at any visit (p < 0.001). In contrast, 36-month SRF was related to a lower rate of fibrosis (OR = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.29-0.81) and its progression (OR = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.31-0.81). Conclusion: Atrophy and/or fibrosis were present in 1 of 2 nAMD patients treated for 3 years. Both, especially fibrosis, lead to vision loss. Subretinal fluid (SRF) was associated with good visual outcomes and lower rates of atrophy and fibrosis, whereas IRF yields worse visual results and a higher risk of atrophy and especially fibrosis in routine clinical practice

Lymphangioleiomyomatosis biomarkers linked to lung metastatic potential and cell stemness

Lymphangioleiomyomatosis (LAM) is a rare lung-metastasizing neoplasm caused by the proliferation of smooth muscle-like cells that commonly carry loss-of-function mutations in either the tuberous sclerosis complex 1 or 2 (TSC1 or TSC2) genes. While allosteric inhibition of the mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) has shown substantial clinical benefit, complementary therapies are required to improve response and/or to treat specific patients. However, there is a lack of LAM biomarkers that could potentially be used to monitor the disease and to develop other targeted therapies. We hypothesized that the mediators of cancer metastasis to lung, particularly in breast cancer, also play a relevant role in LAM. Analyses across independent breast cancer datasets revealed associations between low TSC1/2 expression, altered mTOR complex 1 (mTORC1) pathway signaling, and metastasis to lung. Subsequently, immunohistochemical analyses of 23 LAM lesions revealed positivity in all cases for the lung metastasis mediators fascin 1 (FSCN1) and inhibitor of DNA binding 1 (ID1). Moreover, assessment of breast cancer stem or luminal progenitor cell biomarkers showed positivity in most LAM tissue for the aldehyde dehydrogenase 1 (ALDH1), integrin-ß3 (ITGB3/CD61), and/or the sex-determining region Y-box 9 (SOX9) proteins. The immunohistochemical analyses also provided evidence of heterogeneity between and within LAM cases. The analysis of Tsc2-deficient cells revealed relative over-expression of FSCN1 and ID1; however, Tsc2-deficient cells did not show higher sensitivity to ID1-based cancer inhibitors. Collectively, the results of this study reveal novel LAM biomarkers linked to breast cancer metastasis to lung and to cell stemness, which in turn might guide the assessment of additional or complementary therapeutic opportunities for LAM

AVALIAÇÃO DO EQUILÍBRIO DE MULHERES COM CÂNCER DE MAMA

The objective of this study was to verify the balance of women with breast cancer. This cross-sectional study, tested balance of fifteen women, eight women with cancer and seven without cancer. The evaluation was performed through the Mini Balance Evaluation Systems (MiniBESTest), TUG with simple and dual- task. The mean of age was 59.2 ± 5 years for cancer group and 60.2 ± 5 years for the control group. Student's t-test for independent samples showed that there was no statistical difference (p&gt; 0.05) between the groups for: MiniBESTest score, TUG with simple and dual-task. Women with cancer did not present balance impairments compared to control group according to MiniBESTest, and TUG with simple and dual-task.O objetivo desse estudo foi verificar o equilíbrio de mulheres com câncer de mama. Este estudo transversal avaliou o equilíbrio de quinze mulheres, sendo oito mulheres com câncer e sete sem câncer. Avaliação foi realizada através do Mini Balance Evaluation Systems (MiniBESTest), TUG simples e dupla tarefa. A média de idade foi de 59,2 ± 5 anos para o grupo de mulheres com câncer e 60,2 ± 5 anos para o grupo controle. Teste t Student para amostras independentes mostrou que não houve diferença estatística (p&gt;0,05) entre os grupos para as variáveis: pontuação no MiniBESTest, tempo de realização do TUG simples e tempo de realização do TUG dupla tarefa. Mulheres com câncer não apresentaram alterações de equilíbrio comparadas ao grupo controle de acordo com o MiniBESTest, e TUG tarefa simples e dupla tarefa

Impact of the 2018 revised Pregnancy Prevention Programme by the European Medicines Agency on the use of oral retinoids in females of childbearing age in Denmark, Italy, Netherlands, and Spain: an interrupted time series analysis

Background: In March 2018, the European pregnancy prevention programme for oral retinoids was updated as part of risk minimisation measures (RMM), emphasising their contraindication in pregnant women. Objective: To measure the impact of the 2018 revision of the RMMs in Europe by assessing the utilisation patterns of isotretinoin, alitretinoin and acitretin, contraceptive measures, pregnancy testing, discontinuation, and pregnancy occurrence concomitantly with a retinoid prescription. Methods: An interrupted time series (ITS) analysis to compare level and trend changes after the risk minimisation measures implementation was conducted on a cohort of females of childbearing age (12-55 years of age) from January 2010 to December 2020, derived from six electronic health data sources in four countries: Denmark, Netherlands, Spain, and Italy. Monthly utilisation figures (incidence rates [IR], prevalence rates [PR] and proportions) of oral retinoids were calculated, as well as discontinuation rates, contraception coverage, pregnancy testing, and rates of exposed pregnancies to oral retinoids, before and after the 2018 RMMs. Results: From 10,714,182 females of child-bearing age, 88,992 used an oral retinoid at any point during the study period (mean age 18.9-22.2 years old). We found non-significant level and trend changes in incidence or prevalence of retinoid use in females of child-bearing age after the 2018 RMMs. The reason of discontinuation was unknown in >95% of cases. Contraception use showed a significant increase trend in Spain; for other databases this information was limited. Pregnancy testing was hardly recorded thus was not possible to model ITS analyses. After the 2018 RMM, rates of pregnancy occurrence during retinoid use, and start of a retinoid during a pregnancy varied from 0.0 to 0.4, and from 0.2 to 0.8, respectively. Conclusion: This study shows a limited impact of the 2018 RMMs on oral retinoids utilisation patterns among females of child-bearing age in four European countries. Pregnancies still occur during retinoid use, and oral retinoids are still prescribed to pregnant women. Contraception and pregnancy testing information was limited in most databases. Regulators, policymakers, prescribers, and researchers must rethink implementation strategies to avoid any pregnancy becoming temporarily related to retinoid use

Impact of the 2018 revised Pregnancy Prevention Programme by the European Medicines Agency on the use of oral retinoids in females of childbearing age in Denmark, Italy, Netherlands, and Spain: an interrupted time series analysis

Background: In March 2018, the European pregnancy prevention programme for oral retinoids was updated as part of risk minimisation measures (RMM), emphasising their contraindication in pregnant women.Objective: To measure the impact of the 2018 revision of the RMMs in Europe by assessing the utilisation patterns of isotretinoin, alitretinoin and acitretin, contraceptive measures, pregnancy testing, discontinuation, and pregnancy occurrence concomitantly with a retinoid prescription.Methods: An interrupted time series (ITS) analysis to compare level and trend changes after the risk minimisation measures implementation was conducted on a cohort of females of childbearing age (12–55 years of age) from January 2010 to December 2020, derived from six electronic health data sources in four countries: Denmark, Netherlands, Spain, and Italy. Monthly utilisation figures (incidence rates [IR], prevalence rates [PR] and proportions) of oral retinoids were calculated, as well as discontinuation rates, contraception coverage, pregnancy testing, and rates of exposed pregnancies to oral retinoids, before and after the 2018 RMMs.Results: From 10,714,182 females of child-bearing age, 88,992 used an oral retinoid at any point during the study period (mean age 18.9–22.2 years old). We found non-significant level and trend changes in incidence or prevalence of retinoid use in females of child-bearing age after the 2018 RMMs. The reason of discontinuation was unknown in &gt;95% of cases. Contraception use showed a significant increase trend in Spain; for other databases this information was limited. Pregnancy testing was hardly recorded thus was not possible to model ITS analyses. After the 2018 RMM, rates of pregnancy occurrence during retinoid use, and start of a retinoid during a pregnancy varied from 0.0 to 0.4, and from 0.2 to 0.8, respectively.Conclusion: This study shows a limited impact of the 2018 RMMs on oral retinoids utilisation patterns among females of child-bearing age in four European countries. Pregnancies still occur during retinoid use, and oral retinoids are still prescribed to pregnant women. Contraception and pregnancy testing information was limited in most databases. Regulators, policymakers, prescribers, and researchers must rethink implementation strategies to avoid any pregnancy becoming temporarily related to retinoid use