Atrial Fibrillation and the Prognostic Performance of Biomarkers in Heart Failure

BACKGROUND: Consideration of circulating biomarkers for risk stratification in heart failure (HF) is recommended, but the influence of atrial fibrillation (AF) on prognostic performance of many markers is unclear. We investigated the influence of AF on the prognostic performance of circulating biomarkers in HF. METHODS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), mid-regional-pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, C-type natriuretic peptide (CNP), NT-proCNP, high-sensitivity troponin-T, high-sensitivity troponin-I, mid-regional-propeptide adrenomedullin, co-peptin, growth differentiation factor-15, soluble Suppressor of Tumorigenicitiy (sST2), galectin-3, and procalcitonin plasma concentrations were measured in a prospective, multicenter study of adults with HF. AF was defined as a previous history of AF, and/or presence of AF/flutter on baseline 12-lead electrocardiogram. The primary outcome was the composite of HF-hospitalization or all-cause mortality at 2 years. RESULTS: Among 1099 patients (age 62 +/- 12years, 28% female), 261(24%) patients had AF. Above-median concentrations of all biomarkers were independently associated with increased risk of the primary outcome. Significant interactions with AF were detected for galectin-3 and sST2. In considering NT-proBNP for additive risk stratification, sST2 (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]1.85, 95%confidence interval [C.I.] 1.17-2.91) and galectin-3 (AHR1.85, 95%C.I. 1.09-2.45) were independently associated with increased primary outcome only in the presence of AF. The prognostic performance of sST2 was also stronger in AF for all-cause mortality (AF: AHR2.82, 95%C.I. 1.26-6.21; non-AF: AHR1.78, 95% C.I. 1.14-2.76 without AF), while galectin-3 predicted HF-hospitalization only in AF (AHR1.64, 95%C.I. 1.03-2.62). CONCLUSIONS: AF modified the prognostic utility of selected guideline-endorsed HF-biomarkers. Application of markers for prognostic purposes in HF requires consideration of the presence or absence of AF

Prognostic model to predict postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery based on a national prospective observational cohort study.

Background: Acute illness, existing co-morbidities and surgical stress response can all contribute to postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery. The aim of this study was prospectively to develop a pragmatic prognostic model to stratify patients according to risk of developing AKI after major gastrointestinal surgery. Methods: This prospective multicentre cohort study included consecutive adults undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal resection, liver resection or stoma reversal in 2-week blocks over a continuous 3-month period. The primary outcome was the rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery. Bootstrap stability was used to select clinically plausible risk factors into the model. Internal model validation was carried out by bootstrap validation. Results: A total of 4544 patients were included across 173 centres in the UK and Ireland. The overall rate of AKI was 14·2 per cent (646 of 4544) and the 30-day mortality rate was 1·8 per cent (84 of 4544). Stage 1 AKI was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (unadjusted odds ratio 7·61, 95 per cent c.i. 4·49 to 12·90; P < 0·001), with increasing odds of death with each AKI stage. Six variables were selected for inclusion in the prognostic model: age, sex, ASA grade, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate, planned open surgery and preoperative use of either an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or an angiotensin receptor blocker. Internal validation demonstrated good model discrimination (c-statistic 0·65). Discussion: Following major gastrointestinal surgery, AKI occurred in one in seven patients. This preoperative prognostic model identified patients at high risk of postoperative AKI. Validation in an independent data set is required to ensure generalizability

A global phylogeny of butterflies reveals their evolutionary history, ancestral hosts and biogeographic origins

Butterflies are a diverse and charismatic insect group that are thought to have evolved with plants and dispersed throughout the world in response to key geological events. However, these hypotheses have not been extensively tested because a comprehensive phylogenetic framework and datasets for butterfly larval hosts and global distributions are lacking. We sequenced 391 genes from nearly 2,300 butterfly species, sampled from 90 countries and 28 specimen collections, to reconstruct a new phylogenomic tree of butterflies representing 92% of all genera. Our phylogeny has strong support for nearly all nodes and demonstrates that at least 36 butterfly tribes require reclassification. Divergence time analyses imply an origin similar to 100 million years ago for butterflies and indicate that all but one family were present before the K/Pg extinction event. We aggregated larval host datasets and global distribution records and found that butterflies are likely to have first fed on Fabaceae and originated in what is now the Americas. Soon after the Cretaceous Thermal Maximum, butterflies crossed Beringia and diversified in the Palaeotropics. Our results also reveal that most butterfly species are specialists that feed on only one larval host plant family. However, generalist butterflies that consume two or more plant families usually feed on closely related plants

Ethnic differences in quality of life and its association with survival in patients with heart failure

Background Optimizing quality of life (QoL) is a key priority in the management of heart failure (HF). Hypothesis To investigate ethnic differences in QoL and its association with 1-year survival among patients with HF. Methods A prospective nationwide cohort (n = 1070, mean age: 62 years, 24.5% women) of Chinese (62.3%), Malay (26.7%) and Indian (10.9%) ethnicities from Singapore, QoL was assessed using the Minnesota Living with HF Questionnaire (MLHFQ) at baseline and 6 months. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality. Results At baseline, Chinese had a lower (better) mean MLHFQ total score (29.1 +/- 21.6) vs Malays (38.5 +/- 23.9) and Indians (41.7 +/- 24.5);P <.001. NYHA class was the strongest independent predictor of MLHFQ scores (12.7 increment for class III/IV vs I/II;P <.001). After multivariable adjustment (including NT-proBNP levels, medications), ethnicity remained an independent predictor of QoL (P <.001). Crude 1-year mortality in the overall cohort was 16.5%. A 10-point increase of the physical component (of MLHFQ) was associated with a hazard (HR 1.22, 95% 1.03-1.43) of 1-year mortality (P= .018) in the overall cohort. An interaction between MLHFQ and ethnicity was found (P= .019), where poor MLHFQ score (per 10-point increase) predicted higher adjusted mortality only in Chinese (total score: HR 1.18 [95% CI 1.07-1.30]; physical: HR 1.44 [95% CI 1.17-1.75]; emotional score: HR 1.45 [95% CI 1.05-2.00]). Conclusions Ethnicity is an independent determinant of QoL in HF. Despite better baseline QoL in Chinese, QoL was more strongly related to survival in Chinese vs Malays and Indians. These findings have implications for HF trials that use patient-reported outcomes as endpoints

Ethnic differences in quality of life and its association with survival in patients with heart failure

Background Optimizing quality of life (QoL) is a key priority in the management of heart failure (HF). Hypothesis To investigate ethnic differences in QoL and its association with 1-year survival among patients with HF. Methods A prospective nationwide cohort (n = 1070, mean age: 62 years, 24.5% women) of Chinese (62.3%), Malay (26.7%) and Indian (10.9%) ethnicities from Singapore, QoL was assessed using the Minnesota Living with HF Questionnaire (MLHFQ) at baseline and 6 months. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality. Results At baseline, Chinese had a lower (better) mean MLHFQ total score (29.1 +/- 21.6) vs Malays (38.5 +/- 23.9) and Indians (41.7 +/- 24.5);P <.001. NYHA class was the strongest independent predictor of MLHFQ scores (12.7 increment for class III/IV vs I/II;P <.001). After multivariable adjustment (including NT-proBNP levels, medications), ethnicity remained an independent predictor of QoL (P <.001). Crude 1-year mortality in the overall cohort was 16.5%. A 10-point increase of the physical component (of MLHFQ) was associated with a hazard (HR 1.22, 95% 1.03-1.43) of 1-year mortality (P= .018) in the overall cohort. An interaction between MLHFQ and ethnicity was found (P= .019), where poor MLHFQ score (per 10-point increase) predicted higher adjusted mortality only in Chinese (total score: HR 1.18 [95% CI 1.07-1.30]; physical: HR 1.44 [95% CI 1.17-1.75]; emotional score: HR 1.45 [95% CI 1.05-2.00]). Conclusions Ethnicity is an independent determinant of QoL in HF. Despite better baseline QoL in Chinese, QoL was more strongly related to survival in Chinese vs Malays and Indians. These findings have implications for HF trials that use patient-reported outcomes as endpoints

The prognostic value of highly sensitive cardiac troponin assays for adverse events in men and women with stable heart failure and a preserved vs. reduced ejection fraction

AIMS: Circulating biomarkers are important in the diagnosis, risk stratification and management of patients with heart failure (HF). Given the current lack of biomarkers in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), we aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of the newly developed high-sensitivity (hs) assays for cardiac troponin I (hsTnI) compared with troponin T (hsTnT) for adverse events in HFpEF vs. HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Findings in these two HF subgroups were also compared with those in the recently defined HF with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF) subgroup. METHODS AND RESULTS: Both hsTnI and hsTnT were measured in 1096 patients with HFrEF [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%; n = 853] or HFpEF (LVEF ≥50%; n = 243) enrolled in the Singapore Heart Failure Outcomes and Phenotypes (SHOP) study. Both troponin assays were more strongly associated with the composite endpoint (all-cause mortality or first rehospitalization for HF) in HFpEF than in HFrEF. The hsTnT assay provided the greatest additional prognostic value in HFpEF in comparison with hsTnI and NT-proBNP. TnI was more strongly associated with composite events in men with HFpEF [hazard ratio (HR) 3.33, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.82-6.09; P < 0.001 per standard deviation (SD) increase in log-transformed hsTnI] than in women with HFpEF (HR 1.35, 95% CI 0.94-1.93; P = 0.10 per SD increase in log-transformed hsTnI). CONCLUSIONS: There is a potential role for the prognostic use of high-sensitivity troponin assays, particularly hsTnT, in men and women with HFpEF. The predictive association of hsTnI with outcome appears strongest in men with HFpEF

Ethnic differences in the association of QRS duration with ejection fraction and outcome in heart failure

Background QRS duration (QRSd) criteria for device therapy in heart failure (HF) were derived from predominantly white populations and ethnic differences are poorly understood. Methods We compared the association of QRSd with ejection fraction (EF) and outcomes between 839 Singaporean Asian and 11221 Swedish white patients with HF having preserved EF (HFPEF)and HF having reduced EF (HFREF) were followed in prospective population-based HF studies. Results Compared with whites, Asian patients with HF were younger (62 vs 74years, pamp;lt;0.001), had smaller body size (height 163 vs 171cm, weight 70 vs 80kg, both pamp;lt;0.001) and had more severely impaired EF (EF was amp;lt;30% in 47% of Asians vs 28% of whites). Overall, unadjusted QRSd was shorter in Asians than whites (101 vs 104ms, pamp;lt;0.001). Lower EF was associated with longer QRSd (pamp;lt;0.001), with a steeper association among Asians than whites (p(interaction)amp;lt;0.001), independent of age, sex and clinical covariates (including body size). Excluding patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) and adjusting for clinical covariates, QRSd was similar in Asians and whites with HFPEF, but longer in Asians compared with whites with HFREF (p=0.001). Longer QRSd was associated with increased risk of HF hospitalisation or death (absolute 2-year event rate for 120ms was 40% and for amp;gt;120ms it was 52%; HR for 10ms increase of QRSd was 1.04 (1.03 to 1.06), pamp;lt;0.001), with no interaction by ethnicity. Conclusion We found ethnic differences in the association between EF and QRSd among patients with HF. QRS prolongation was similarly associated with increased risk, but the implications for ethnicity-specific QRSd cut-offs in clinical decision-making require further study

Percentage of foragers and nurses displaying either circadian, ultradian or infradian rhythms of caste-specific activities in the social context, under the three feeding regimes.

<p>Black: circadian rhythms (period lengths between 20 and 28h). Grey: ultradian rhythms (period lengths <20h). White: infradian rhythms (period lengths >28h) (A): foragers (n = 8) under <i>ad libitum</i> feeding; (B): foragers (n = 12) under daytime feeding; (C): foragers (n = 12) under nighttime feeding; (D): nurses (n = 13) under <i>ad libitum</i> feeding; (E): nurses (n = 12) under daytime feeding; (F): nurses (n = 12) under nighttime feeding.</p