Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment

We tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas et al., 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect the degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention during judgment leads to an increase in subadditivity, suggesting that the comparison process for probability judgments is capacity limited. Contrary to the predictions of HyGene, a third experiment revealed that divided attention during encoding leads to an increase in later probability judgment made under full attention. The effect of divided attention during encoding on judgment was completely mediated by the number of hypotheses participants generated, indicating that limitations in both encoding and recall can cascade into biases in judgments

Revealing the last 13,500 years of environmental history from the multiproxy record of a mountain lake (Lago Enol, northern Iberian Peninsula)

This is the author's accepted manuscript. The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10933-009-9387-7.We present the Holocene sequence from Lago Enol (43°16′N, 4°59′W, 1,070 m a.s.l.), Cantabrian Mountains, northern Spain. A multiproxy analysis provided comprehensive information about regional humidity and temperature changes. The analysis included sedimentological descriptions, physical properties, organic carbon and carbonate content, mineralogy and geochemical composition together with biological proxies including diatom and ostracod assemblages. A detailed pollen study enabled reconstruction of variations in vegetation cover, which were interpreted in the context of climate changes and human impact. Four distinct stages were recognized for the last 13,500 years: (1) a cold and dry episode that includes the Younger Dryas event (13,500–11,600 cal. year BP); (2) a humid and warmer period characterizing the onset of the Holocene (11,600–8,700 cal. year BP); (3) a tendency toward a drier climate during the middle Holocene (8,700–4,650 cal. year BP); and (4) a return to humid conditions following landscape modification by human activity (pastoral activities, deforestation) in the late Holocene (4,650–2,200 cal. year BP). Superimposed on relatively stable landscape conditions (e.g. maintenance of well established forests), the typical environmental variability of the southern European region is observed at this site.The Spanish Inter-Ministry Commission of Science and Technology (CICYT), the Spanish National Parks agency, the European Commission, the Spanish Ministry of Science, and the European Social Fund

Revealing the last 13,500 years of environmental history from the multiproxy record of a mountain lake (Lago Enol, northern Iberian Peninsula)

This is the author's accepted manuscript. The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10933-009-9387-7.We present the Holocene sequence from Lago Enol (43°16′N, 4°59′W, 1,070 m a.s.l.), Cantabrian Mountains, northern Spain. A multiproxy analysis provided comprehensive information about regional humidity and temperature changes. The analysis included sedimentological descriptions, physical properties, organic carbon and carbonate content, mineralogy and geochemical composition together with biological proxies including diatom and ostracod assemblages. A detailed pollen study enabled reconstruction of variations in vegetation cover, which were interpreted in the context of climate changes and human impact. Four distinct stages were recognized for the last 13,500 years: (1) a cold and dry episode that includes the Younger Dryas event (13,500–11,600 cal. year BP); (2) a humid and warmer period characterizing the onset of the Holocene (11,600–8,700 cal. year BP); (3) a tendency toward a drier climate during the middle Holocene (8,700–4,650 cal. year BP); and (4) a return to humid conditions following landscape modification by human activity (pastoral activities, deforestation) in the late Holocene (4,650–2,200 cal. year BP). Superimposed on relatively stable landscape conditions (e.g. maintenance of well established forests), the typical environmental variability of the southern European region is observed at this site.The Spanish Inter-Ministry Commission of Science and Technology (CICYT), the Spanish National Parks agency, the European Commission, the Spanish Ministry of Science, and the European Social Fund

Reciprocal relations between workplace bullying, anxiety and vigor: A two-wave longitudinal study

Background and Objectives: Workplace bullying has been classified as an extreme social stressor in work contexts and has been repeatedly linked to several negative consequences. However, little research has examined reversed or reciprocal relations of bullying and outcomes. Design: We conducted a two-wave longitudinal study with a time lag of six months. Methods: The study sample consisted of 348 employees of the Spanish workforce. The present study examined longitudinal relationships between workplace bullying, psychological health, and well-being. On the basis of conservation of resources theory, we hypothesized that we would find reciprocal relations among study variables over time. Results: Results of cross-lagged structural equation modeling analyses supported our hypotheses. Specifically, it was found that Time 1 (T1) workplace bullying was negatively related to Time 2 (T2) vigor and positively related to T2 anxiety. Additionally, T1 anxiety and vigor had an effect on T2 workplace bullying. Conclusions: Overall, these findings support the validity of the theoretical models postulating a reciprocal bullying–outcome relationship, rather than simple one-way causal pathways approaches

Long-term results after Boston brace treatment in late-onset juvenile and adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>It is recommended that research in patients with idiopathic scoliosis should focus on short- and long-term patient-centred outcome. The aim of the present study was to evaluate outcome in patients with late-onset juvenile or adolescent idiopathic scoliosis 16 years or more after Boston brace treatment.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>272 (78%) of 360 patients, 251 (92%) women, responded to follow-up examination at a mean of 24.7 (range 16 - 32) years after Boston brace treatment. Fifty-eight (21%) patients had late-onset juvenile and 214 had adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. All patients had clinical and radiological examination and answered a standardised questionnaire including work status, demographics, General Function Score (GFS) (100 - worst possible) and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) (100 - worst possible), EuroQol (EQ-5D) (1 - best possible), EQ-VAS (100 - best possible), and Scoliosis Research Society - 22 (SRS - 22) (5 - best possible).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The mean age at follow-up was 40.4 (31-48) years. The prebrace major curve was in average 33.2 (20 - 57)°. At weaning and at the last follow-up the corresponding values were 28.3 (1 - 58)° and 32.5 (7 - 80)°, respectively. Curve development was similar in patients with late-onset juvenile and adolescent start. The prebrace curve increased > 5° in 31% and decreased > 5° in 26%. Twenty-five patients had surgery. Those who did not attend follow-up (n = 88) had a lower mean curve at weaning: 25.4 (6-53)°. Work status was 76% full-time and 10% part-time. Eighty-seven percent had delivered a baby, 50% had pain in pregnancy. The mean (SD) GFS was 7.4 (10.8), ODI 9.3 (11.0), EQ-5D 0.82 (0.2), EQ-VAS 77.6 (17.8), SRS-22: pain 4.1 (0.8), mental health 4.1 (0.6), self-image 3.7 (0.7), function 4.0 (0.6), satisfaction with treatment 3.7 (1.0). Surgical patients had significantly reduced scores for SRS-physical function and self-image, and patients with curves ≥ 45° had reduced self-image.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Long-term results were satisfactory in most braced patients and similar in late-onset juvenile and idiopathic adolescent scoliosis.</p

Next Generation Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Power – Overview of the ANEMOS Project.

International audienceThe aim of the European Project ANEMOS is to develop accurate and robust models that substantially outperform current state-of-the-art methods, for onshore and offshore wind power forecasting. Advanced statistical, physical and combined modelling approaches were developed for this purpose. Priority was given to methods for on-line uncertainty and prediction risk assessment. An integrated software platform, 'ANEMOS', was developed to host the various models. This system is installed by several end-users for on-line operation and evaluation at a local, regional and national scale. Finally, the project demonstrates the value of wind forecasts for the power system management and market integration of wind power. Keywords: Wind power, short-term forecasting, numerical weather predictions, on-line software, tools for wind integration

Sobrevivencia de pacientes con Enfermedad Renal Crónica Tradicional y no Tradicional en clínicas de hemodiálisis del Instituto Guatemalteco de Seguridad Social de Escuintla, Suchitepéquez y Retalhuleu, Guatemala

A nivel mundial, la enfermedad renal crónica (ERC), representa un problema de salud ingente, con un incremento de 82.3 % de muertes en las últimas dos décadas, ya sea por la ERC secundaria a diabetes o hipertensión arterial entre otras, o la enfermedadrenal crónica de causa no tradicional (ERCnT), relacionada con las condiciones extremas de trabajo agrícola en Mesoamérica, la inadecuada rehidratación y al estrés por calor. Debido a la falta de datos sobre las características epidemiológicas de estasenfermedades, se realizó un estudio sobre la sobrevivencia de 55 pacientes con ERC y ERCnT, en tres departamentos de la costa sur de Guatemala, por medio de un estudio transversal retrospectivo en pacientes en estadio V con tratamiento de hemodiálisisen el Instituto Guatemalteco de Seguridad Social (IGSS). Se aplicó el análisis estadístico de Kaplan-Meier para calcular las tasas de sobrevivencia a 5 años. Se determinó que la ERCnT tiene una mayor sobrevivencia (69.6 %) con respecto a ERC (38.9 %) yuna mayor tasa de sobrevivencia en mujeres (58.8 %) que en hombres (47.4 %). Al comparar las vías de acceso vascular en la hemodiálisis, los pacientes con fístula tienen menor tasa de mortalidad (22.9) que los que utilizaban catéter (39.0). La tasa de incidencia de mortalidad general en pacientes con ERC y ERCnT durante el período de enero de 2013 a agosto 2019 fue de 29.1 por 100 años/personas. La mayor tasa de mortalidad en estos pacientes estuvo asociada a eventos cardiovasculares (36.4 %)

Sobrevivencia de pacientes con Enfermedad Renal Crónica Tradicional y no Tradicional en clínicas de hemodiálisis del Instituto Guatemalteco de Seguridad Social de Escuintla, Suchitepéquez y Retalhuleu, Guatemala

A nivel mundial, la enfermedad renal crónica (ERC), representa un problema de salud ingente, con un incremento de 82.3 % de muertes en las últimas dos décadas, ya sea por la ERC secundaria a diabetes o hipertensión arterial entre otras, o la enfermedadrenal crónica de causa no tradicional (ERCnT), relacionada con las condiciones extremas de trabajo agrícola en Mesoamérica, la inadecuada rehidratación y al estrés por calor. Debido a la falta de datos sobre las características epidemiológicas de estasenfermedades, se realizó un estudio sobre la sobrevivencia de 55 pacientes con ERC y ERCnT, en tres departamentos de la costa sur de Guatemala, por medio de un estudio transversal retrospectivo en pacientes en estadio V con tratamiento de hemodiálisisen el Instituto Guatemalteco de Seguridad Social (IGSS). Se aplicó el análisis estadístico de Kaplan-Meier para calcular las tasas de sobrevivencia a 5 años. Se determinó que la ERCnT tiene una mayor sobrevivencia (69.6 %) con respecto a ERC (38.9 %) yuna mayor tasa de sobrevivencia en mujeres (58.8 %) que en hombres (47.4 %). Al comparar las vías de acceso vascular en la hemodiálisis, los pacientes con fístula tienen menor tasa de mortalidad (22.9) que los que utilizaban catéter (39.0). La tasa de incidencia de mortalidad general en pacientes con ERC y ERCnT durante el período de enero de 2013 a agosto 2019 fue de 29.1 por 100 años/personas. La mayor tasa de mortalidad en estos pacientes estuvo asociada a eventos cardiovasculares (36.4 %)

Lifestyle Factors and Breast Cancer in Females with PTEN Hamartoma Tumor Syndrome (PHTS)

Females with PTEN Hamartoma Tumor Syndrome (PHTS) have breast cancer risks up to 76%. This study assessed associations between breast cancer and lifestyle in European female adult PHTS patients. Data were collected via patient questionnaires (July 2020–March 2023) and genetic diagnoses from medical files. Associations between lifestyle and breast cancer were calculated using logistic regression corrected for age. Index patients with breast cancer before PHTS diagnosis (breast cancer index) were excluded for ascertainment bias correction. In total, 125 patients were included who completed the questionnaire at a mean age of 44 years (SD = 13). This included 21 breast cancer indexes (17%) and 39 females who developed breast cancer at 43 years (SD = 9). Breast cancer patients performed about 1.1 times less often 0–1 times/week physical activity than ≥2 times (ORtotal-adj = 0.9 (95%CI 0.3–2.6); consumed daily about 1.2–1.8 times more often ≥1 than 0–1 glasses of alcohol (ORtotal-adj = 1.2 (95%CI 0.4–4.0); ORnon-breastcancer-index-adj = 1.8 (95%CI 0.4–6.9); were about 1.04–1.3 times more often smokers than non-smokers (ORtotal-adj = 1.04 (95%CI 0.4–2.8); ORnon-breastcancer-index-adj = 1.3 (95%CI 0.4–4.2)); and overweight or obesity (72%) was about 1.02–1.3 times less common (ORtotal-adj = 0.98 (95%CI 0.4–2.6); ORnon-breastcancer-index-adj = 0.8 (95%CI 0.3–2.7)). Similar associations between lifestyle and breast cancer are suggested for PHTS and the general population. Despite not being statistically significant, results are clinically relevant and suggest that awareness of the effects of lifestyle on patients’ breast cancer risk is important.</p