Dynamic Ly alpha jets

The solar chromosphere and transition region are highly structured and complex regimes. A recent breakthrough has been the identification of dynamic fibrils observed in H alpha as caused by field-aligned magnetoacoustic shocks. We seek to find whether such dynamic fibrils are also observed in Ly alpha. We used a brief sequence of four high-resolution Ly alpha images of the solar limb taken by the Very high Angular resolution ULtraviolet Telescope (VAULT), which displays many extending and retracting Ly alpha jets. We measured their top trajectories and fitted parabolas to the 30 best-defined ones. Most jet tops move supersonically. Half of them decelerate, sometimes superballistically, the others accelerate. This bifurcation may arise from incomplete sampling of recurrent jets. The similarities between dynamic Ly alpha jets and H alpha fibrils suggest that the magnetoacoustic shocks causing dynamic H alpha fibrils also affect dynamic Ly alpha jets.Comment: 5 pages, 7 figures; changed title and content; accepted in Astronomy and Astrophysics; eps figures in full resolution are available at http://www.astro.sk/~koza/publications/vault/figs

Measurements of plasma motions in dynamic fibrils

We present a 40 minute time series of filtergrams from the red and the blue wing of the \halpha line in an active region near the solar disk center. From these filtergrams we construct both Dopplergrams and summed ``line center'' images. Several dynamic fibrils (DFs) are identified in the summed images. The data is used to simultaneously measure the proper motion and the Doppler signals in DFs. For calibration of the Doppler signals we use spatially resolved spectrograms of a similar active region. Significant variations in the calibration constant for different solar features are observed, and only regions containing DFs have been used in order to reduce calibration errors. We find a coherent behavior of the Doppler velocity and the proper motion which clearly demonstrates that the evolution of DFs involve plasma motion. The Doppler velocities are found to be a factor 2--3 smaller than velocities derived form proper motions in the image plane. The difference can be explained by the radiative processes involved, the Doppler velocity is a result of the local atmospheric velocity weighted with the response function. As a result the Doppler velocity originates from a wide range in heights in the atmosphere. This is contrasted by the proper motion velocity which is measured from the sharply defined bright tops of the DFs and is therefore a very local velocity measure. The Doppler signal originates from well below the top of the DF. Finally we discuss how this difference together with the lacking spatial resolution of older observations have contributed to some of the confusion about the identity of DFs, spicules and mottles.Comment: 8 pages, 7 figures, Accepted in ApJ, see http://www.astro.uio.no/~oysteol for better quality figures and mpg movi

Do fishers follow fish displaced by climate warming?

Climate change is associated with altered oceanographic conditions that tend to shift the geographical distributions of fish. To assess the impact of climate change on fisheries, one must go beyond projections of catch potential and understand how fishers respond to moving target species. Many previous studies have explicitly or implicitly assumed that fishers follow fish that are displaced by climate warming. Here, we evaluate this assumption by analyzing a long-term, large-scale yet high-resolution dataset combined with a detailed oceanographic model. Our study case is the Atlantic cod (Gadhus morhua) fishery in Norway, one of the largest whitefish fisheries in the world, with little technological or judicial constraints on the potential spatial response of fishers. An oceanographic model is used to predict the areas that have been suitable for Atlantic cod spawning over the two last decades. We compare whether these areas overlap with actually observed fishing locations. While the areas that are suitable for spawning clearly predict how much fish are caught per trip, the suitability of an area does not predict how many vessels fish in a given area at a given point in time. In contrast, the number of vessels in the previous week and the previous year explain the current number of vessels in that area. Hence, future projections of climate change effects should account for the rich and nuanced behavioral responses of humans to project climate change effects on fisheries

Small-scale structure and dynamics of the lower solar atmosphere

The chromosphere of the quiet Sun is a highly intermittent and dynamic phenomenon. Three-dimensional radiation (magneto-)hydrodynamic simulations exhibit a mesh-like pattern of hot shock fronts and cool expanding post-shock regions in the sub-canopy part of the inter-network. This domain might be called "fluctosphere". The pattern is produced by propagating shock waves, which are excited at the top of the convection zone and in the photospheric overshoot layer. New high-resolution observations reveal a ubiquitous small-scale pattern of bright structures and dark regions in-between. Although it qualitatively resembles the picture seen in models, more observations - e.g. with the future ALMA - are needed for thorough comparisons with present and future models. Quantitative comparisons demand for synthetic intensity maps and spectra for the three-dimensional (magneto-)hydrodynamic simulations. The necessary radiative transfer calculations, which have to take into account deviations from local thermodynamic equilibrium, are computationally very involved so that no reliable results have been produced so far. Until this task becomes feasible, we have to rely on careful qualitative comparisons of simulations and observations. Here we discuss what effects have to be considered for such a comparison. Nevertheless we are now on the verge of assembling a comprehensive picture of the solar chromosphere in inter-network regions as dynamic interplay of shock waves and structuring and guiding magnetic fields.Comment: 8 pages, 2 figures, to appear in the proceedings of the IAU Symposium No. 247, Waves & Oscillations in the Solar Atmosphere: Heating and Magneto-Seismology (Venezuela 2007

Management strategies can buffer the effect of mass mortality in early life stages of fish

Mass mortality (MM) events affecting early life stages of fish can have strong and long-term consequences for population abundance and demography as well as the economic activity supported by exploited stocks. Adaptive fishery management may help mitigate economic impacts and ensure sustainable resource use following a MM event. Using a state-space life cycle model, we simulated ‘what-if’ scenarios of MM on Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) eggs and larvae. We compared the expected catches, total stock biomass (TSB), and interannual variability in catches over a period of 10 years after the simulated disturbance. We further evaluated a range of management mitigation strategies, namely reductions in fishing mortality of varying duration (1–10 years) and intensity (no fishing reduction to full ban). A large range of reductions in fishing led to an increase in expected catches over 10 years compared to no reductions, especially when applied immediately after the perturbation and when the cod population was characterized by a high mean age and high TSB. Severe fishing reductions can increase catches substantially but are associated with high interannual variability. Fishing reductions of moderate intensity applied between 1 and 4 years would allow to increase catches with only a slight increase in interannual variability. Our findings demonstrate the potential benefits of an adaptive approach to fisheries management and highlight that mitigation actions may ensure the sustainable exploitation of fish stocks in the wake of unexpected disturbances. Synthesis and application. Mass mortality events during early life stages of fish can potentially have substantial and long-term effects on the population. Mitigation is more efficient when the affected population has a diverse age structure and when the mitigation strategy is applied immediately after the perturbation. Severe reduction in fishing mortality is an efficient measure to increase the expected average catch but is associated with high interannual variability. Fishing reduction of moderate intensity applied during 1–4 years after the event also increases the expected average catch with only slightly higher interannual variability in catches.publishedVersio

Empirical evidence of non-linearity in bottom-up effect in a marine predator-prey system

Strength of species interaction may have profound effects on population dynamics. Empirical estimates of interaction strength is often based on the assumption that the interaction strengths are constant. Barents Sea cod and capelin are two fish populations for which such interaction has been acknowledged and used, under the assumption of constant interaction strength, when studying their population dynamics. However, species interaction can often be non-linear in marine ecosystems and might profoundly change our understanding of food chains. Analysing 37 years long survey time series in the Arcto-Boreal Barents Sea with a state-space modelling framework, we demonstrate that the effect of capelin on cod is not linear but shifts depending on capelin abundance: while capelin is beneficial for cod population at high abundance, below the threshold, it becomes less important for cod. Our analysis therefore shows the importance of investigating non-linearity in species interaction and may contribute to an improved understanding on species assemblages.Empirical evidence of non-linearity in bottom-up effect in a marine predator-prey systempublishedVersionPaid open acces

Empirical evidence of nonlinearity in bottom up effect in a marine predator-prey system

Strength of species interaction may have profound effects on population dynamics. Empirical estimates of interaction strength is often based on the assumption that the interaction strengths are constant. Barents Sea cod and capelin are two fish populations for which such interaction has been acknowledged and used, under the assumption of constant interaction strength, when studying their population dynamics. However, species interaction can often be non-linear in marine ecosystems and might profoundly change our understanding of food chains. Analysing 37 years long survey time series in the Arcto-Boreal Barents Sea with a state-space modelling framework, we demonstrate that the effect of capelin on cod is not linear but shifts depending on capelin abundance: while capelin is beneficial for cod population at high abundance, below the threshold, it becomes less important for cod. Our analysis therefore shows the importance of investigating non-linearity in species interaction and may contribute to an improved understanding on species assemblages.Empirical evidence of nonlinearity in bottom up effect in a marine predator-prey systemacceptedVersionpublishedVersio

Assessing the patchiness of early life stage of a fish stock (Gadus morhua) and its contribution to the stock recruitment

Patchiness, defined as spatial heterogeneity in distribution of organisms, is a common phenomenon in zooplankton including ichtyoplankton. In heterogeneous landscapes, depending on the scale of prey and predatory distributions, individuals in patches may experience distinct differences in the survival rate compared to individuals distributed more homogeneously outside patches. In this study, we focused on drifting eggs and larvae of Northeast Arctic (NEA) cod, one of the largest exploited fish stock in the world. The eggs and larvae are largely distributed along the north-western coast of Norway and northern Russia. We ask to what degree individuals are located in patches contribute to the species recruitment. For this purpose, we developed a patch recognition method to detect the existence of patches in particle tracking simulations using a connected-component labeling algorithm. We then assessed the contribution of individuals in detected patches to the total recruitment. Our results showed that depending on year, day of year, and resolution scale for detection of patches, recruits present in patches can vary between 0.6% and 38.7% with an average of 20.4% of total recruitment. The percentage decreased with increasing day of year in the drifting season but increased with decreasing patch resolution scale, down to the finest investigated scale of 8 km. On the basis of these results, we advise field recruitment studies of NEA cod to at least resolve an 8-km spatial scale to capture effects of spatial heterogeneity in the survival rate on the species recruitment.publishedVersio

Fitness consequences of early life conditions and maternal size effects in a freshwater top predator

1. Conditions experienced in early life stages can be an important determinant of individual life histories. In fish, environmental conditions are known to affect early survival and growth, but recent studies have also emphasized maternal effects mediated by size or age. However, the relative sensitivity of the mean fitness (population growth rate λ) to different early life impacts remain largely unexplored. 2. Using a female-based integral projection model (IPM) parameterised from unique long-term demographic data for pike (Esox lucius), we evaluated the relative fitness consequences of different early life impacts, including i) maternal effects of length on egg weight, potentially affecting offspring (first year) survival, and ii) effects of temperature on offspring growth and survival. Of the seven vital rates defining the model, offspring survival could not be directly estimated and four scenarios were defined for this rate. 3. Elasticity analyses of the IPM were performed to calculate i) the total contribution from different lengths to the elasticity of λ to the projection kernel, and ii) the elasticity of λ to underlying variables of female current length, female offspring length at age 1, and temperature. These elasticities were decomposed into contributions from different vital rates across length. 4. Egg weight increased with female length, as expected, but the effect leveled off for the largest females. However, λ was largely insensitive to this effect, even when egg weight was assumed to have a strong effect on offspring survival. In contrast, λ was sensitive to early temperature conditions through growth and survival. Among mature females, the total elasticity of λ to the projection kernel generally increased with length. The results were robust to a wide range of assumptions. 5. These results suggest that environmental conditions experienced in early life represent a more important driver of mean population growth and fitness of pike than maternal effects of size on offspring survival.We discuss two general mechanisms underlying the weak influence of this maternal effect, suggesting that these may be general for long-lived and highly fecund fishes. This model and results are relevant for management of long-lived top-predators, including many commercially important fish species