A MODIFIED PARTIAL ADJUSTMENT MODEL OF AGGREGATE U.S. AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY

Aggregate U.S. agricultural supply response is modeled through a modified partial adjustment model, where the effects of weather and other temporal stochastic effects are structured to be purely static, while the effects of price and technology, or trend, are dynamic. The model is applied to a time series of aggregate U.S. farm output, aggregate U.S. crop production, and aggregate U.S. livestock and livestock products production for several sample periods within the period 1911-1958. The three aggregate output indexes are tested for irreversibilities in supply response, and no evidence of a definitive irreversible supply function is found for any of the dynamic supply models. The use of a nonstochastic difference equation to model the aggregate farm output and crop production equations results in short-run elasticity estimates that are somewhat smaller than previous studied suggest while the long-run elasticities are somewhat larger.Demand and Price Analysis, Production Economics,

Fractionnement et caractérisation de la matière organique des lixiviats de décharges d'ordures ménagères

Les lixiviats de décharge constituent une source de nuisance qui vient s'ajouter aux nombreux problèmes de contamination du milieu environnant s'ils ne sont pas traités avant leur rejet. La matière organique, principale composante de ces effluents, doit retenir une grande attention dans la mesure où il est difficile d'éviter la propagation et la diffusion de cette pollution dans les sols et vers les nappes phréatiques. Cette étude vise à fractionner et à caractériser la matière organique présente dans des lixiviats de décharges d'ordures ménagères afin de prévoir et d'orienter le choix des traitements les plus adaptés compte tenu de leur biodégradabilité.La méthode de fractionnement utilisée comprend une adsorption spécifique sur résines macroporeuses Amberlite XAD (combinaison de XAD-7 et XAD-4) pour séparer les composés hydrophobes et hydrophiles qui sont ensuite extraits à la soude (composés acides) et au dichlorométhane (composés neutres). Le fractionnement de la matière organique par filtration sur résines XAD-7 et XAD-4, après une première étape de précipitation en milieu acide (pH=1), a permis de répartir l'ensemble des composés organiques du lixiviat dans six fractions de spécificités différentes fonction de la taille et/ou du caractère hydrophile ou hydrophobe des molécules. Les résultats montrent que ce protocole expérimental permet d'extraire au moins 98 % de la matière organique totale (pourcentage relatif aux teneurs de la demande chimique en oxygène ou DCO), dont la plus grande proportion est constituée des substances humiques (76 % à 90 % en DCO). Diverses méthodes analytiques ont été proposées en vue de caractériser les fractions isolées telles que l'analyse élémentaire, la spectrophotométrie infrarouge, la résonanoe magnétique nucléaire C13 (RMN Cl3) et la chromatographie CG/FID et CG/SM.Landfill leachates represent an obvious source of pollution for the environment and many studies have attempted to analyze organic pollutants found in leachates. A number of methods have been described in the literature for the isolation and concentration of dissolved organic matter from landfill leachate samples. Membrane ultrafiltration, gel permeation and high performance liquid chromatography are commonly used because these techniques can be easily adapted to separate soluble organic substances from large volumes of leachate. The objective of this study was to fractionate and characterize dissolved organic matter found in leachates collected from sanitary landfills.The discharges are defined with regard to the geological context from which they are situated and the nature of the waste. The discharges are classified in three categories, based upon the value of the permeability coefficient K, the substratum and its continuity.- class 1; impermeable site (K 10-[sup]6 ms-¹). The studied leachates come from landfill of class 2:- Crézin (Haute-Vienne) of compacted type: it was used for household rubbish and assimilated ordinary wastes. - Foussais-Payre (Vendée): leachate coming from the fermentation area of a composting plant and from the compost refuse. Fractionation of dissolved organic matter was applied on three leachates samples. The first sample was the raw leachate collected from the Crézin landfill and the two others came from Foussais-Payre (a raw sample and a sample treated in an aerated lagoon for 52 days). Because of the wide variety of organic compounds that can be found in such leachates, we classified and isolated the different groups of organic constituents using an XAD resin adsorption procedure. The experimental method consisted of acidifying samples to pH 1 to isolate the first fraction (fig. 1) and then treating the remaining supernatant with XAD-7 and XAD-4 resins. The adsorption on XAD resins allowed the isolation of the other organic fractions (figs. 2 to 6). Various analytical techniques were applied to characterize the isolated fractions such as elementary analysis infrared spectroscopy, ¹3C nuclear magnetic resonance (¹3C CP/MAS NMR), gas chromatography (GC/FID), and gas chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry (GC/MS). Results showed that more then 90% of the total organic carbon (TOC) in leachates can he recovered by the isolation procedure. Most of the isolated compounds corresponded to humic substances (76% to 90% of the chemical oxygen demand). Hydrophobic and hydrophilic neutral compounds were found only in small concentrations

Constraints on non-minimally coupled curved space electrodynamics from astrophysical observations

We study interactions of electro-magnetic fields with the curvature tensor of the form $\lambda R_{\mu \nu \alpha \beta}F^{\mu \nu}F^{\alpha \beta}$. Such coupling terms though are invariant under general coordinate transformation and CPT, however violate the Einstein equivalence principle. These couplings do not cause any energy dependent dispersion of photons but they exhibit birefringence. We put constraints on the coupling constant $\lambda$ using results from solar system radar ranging experiments and millisecond-pulsar observations. We find that the most stringent constraint comes from pulsar observations and is given by $\lambda < 10^{11} cm^2$ obtained from the timing of binary pulsar PSR B1534+12.Comment: 9 pages latex, accepted in CQ

Sexual Identity and the Marriage Premium

We use the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) to explore the effects of marriage and cohabitation on gay, lesbian, bisexual and heterosexual individuals' hours worked and full-time earnings. The CCHS is one of the largest national-level data sets containing both income and sexual orientation information (Carpenter, 2008). Partnered gay and bisexual men spend more hours in paid employment than their unattached counterparts. However, for those working more than 30 hours per week, the earnings advantage of partnered gay and bisexual men relative to the unattached is insignificant. The hours worked of partnered and unattached lesbians are indistinguishable, however partnered lesbians earn about ten percent more than the unattached. Bisexual men and women experience some of the worst labor market outcomes of any group. These findings suggest that caution should be employed when generalizing results based on studies of cohabiting gay and lesbian couples to the entire non-heterosexual population

Self-dual gravity and self-dual Yang-Mills in the context of Macdowell-Mansouri formalism

In this work we propose an action which unifies self-dual gravity and self-dual Yang-Mills in the context of the Macdowell-Mansouri formalism. We claim that such an action may be used to find the S-dual action for both self-dual gravity and self-dual Yang-Mills.Comment: 8 pages, Revtex, no figures, submitted to Phys. Rev.

The Generalized Second Law implies a Quantum Singularity Theorem

The generalized second law can be used to prove a singularity theorem, by generalizing the notion of a trapped surface to quantum situations. Like Penrose's original singularity theorem, it implies that spacetime is null geodesically incomplete inside black holes, and to the past of spatially infinite Friedmann--Robertson--Walker cosmologies. If space is finite instead, the generalized second law requires that there only be a finite amount of entropy producing processes in the past, unless there is a reversal of the arrow of time. In asymptotically flat spacetime, the generalized second law also rules out traversable wormholes, negative masses, and other forms of faster-than-light travel between asymptotic regions, as well as closed timelike curves. Furthermore it is impossible to form baby universes which eventually become independent of the mother universe, or to restart inflation. Since the semiclassical approximation is used only in regions with low curvature, it is argued that the results may hold in full quantum gravity. An introductory section describes the second law and its time-reverse, in ordinary and generalized thermodynamics, using either the fine-grained or the coarse-grained entropy. (The fine-grained version is used in all results except those relating to the arrow of time.) A proof of the coarse-grained ordinary second law is given.Comment: 46 pages, 8 figures. v2: discussion of global hyperbolicity revised (4.1, 5.2), more comments on AdS. v3: major revisions including change of title. v4: similar to published version, but with corrections to plan of paper (1) and definition of global hyperbolicity (3.2). v5: fixed proof of Thm. 1, changed wording of Thm. 3 & proof of Thm. 4, revised Sec. 5.2, new footnote

Do acute elevations of serum creatinine in primary care engender an increased mortality risk?

Background: The significant impact Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) has on patient morbidity and mortality emphasizes the need for early recognition and effective treatment. AKI presenting to or occurring during hospitalisation has been widely studied but little is known about the incidence and outcomes of patients experiencing acute elevations in serum creatinine in the primary care setting where people are not subsequently admitted to hospital. The aim of this study was to define this incidence and explore its impact on mortality. Methods: The study cohort was identified by using hospital data bases over a six month period. Inclusion criteria: People with a serum creatinine request during the study period, 18 or over and not on renal replacement therapy. The patients were stratified by a rise in serum creatinine corresponding to the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria for comparison purposes. Descriptive and survival data were then analysed. Ethical approval was granted from National Research Ethics Service (NRES) Committee South East Coast and from the National Information Governance Board. Results: The total study population was 61,432. 57,300 subjects with ‘no AKI’, mean age 64.The number (mean age) of acute serum creatinine rises overall were, ‘AKI 1’ 3,798 (72), ‘AKI 2’ 232 (73), and ‘AKI 3’ 102 (68) which equates to an overall incidence of 14,192 pmp/year (adult). Unadjusted 30 day survival was 99.9% in subjects with ‘no AKI’, compared to 98.6%, 90.1% and 82.3% in those with ‘AKI 1’, ‘AKI 2’ and ‘AKI 3’ respectively. After multivariable analysis adjusting for age, gender, baseline kidney function and co-morbidity the odds ratio of 30 day mortality was 5.3 (95% CI 3.6, 7.7), 36.8 (95% CI 21.6, 62.7) and 123 (95% CI 64.8, 235) respectively, compared to those without acute serum creatinine rises as defined. Conclusions: People who develop acute elevations of serum creatinine in primary care without being admitted to hospital have significantly worse outcomes than those with stable kidney function