Simulation of atherosclerotic plaque growth using computational biomechanics and patient-specific data

Atherosclerosis is the one of the major causes of mortality worldwide, urging the need for prevention strategies. In this work, a novel computational model is developed, which is used for simulation of plaque growth to 94 realistic 3D reconstructed coronary arteries. This model considers several factors of the atherosclerotic process even mechanical factors such as the effect of endothelial shear stress, responsible for the initiation of atherosclerosis, and biological factors such as the accumulation of low and high density lipoproteins (LDL and HDL), monocytes, macrophages, cytokines, nitric oxide and formation of foams cells or proliferation of contractile and synthetic smooth muscle cells (SMCs). The model is validated using the serial imaging of CTCA comparing the simulated geometries with the real follow-up arteries. Additionally, we examine the predictive capability of the model to identify regions prone of disease progression. The results presented good correlation between the simulated lumen area (P<0.0001), plaque area (P<0.0001) and plaque burden (P<0.0001) with the realistic ones. Finally, disease progression is achieved with 80% accuracy with many of the computational results being independent predictors

Non-invasive prediction of site-specific coronary atherosclerotic plaque progression using lipidomics, blood flow, and LDL transport modeling

Background: coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is a first line non-invasive imaging modality for detection of coronary atherosclerosis. Computational modeling with lipidomics analysis can be used for prediction of coronary atherosclerotic plaque progression. Methods: 187 patients (480 vessels) with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing CCTA scan at baseline and after 6.2 +/- 1.4 years were selected from the SMARTool clinical study cohort (Clinicaltrial.gov Identifiers NCT04448691) according to a computed tomography (CT) scan image quality suitable for three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction of coronary arteries and the absence of implanted coronary stents. Clinical and biohumoral data were collected, and plasma lipidomics analysis was performed. Blood flow and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) transport were modeled using patient-specific data to estimate endothelial shear stress (ESS) and LDL accumulation based on a previously developed methodology. Additionally, non-invasive Fractional Flow Reserve (FFR) was calculated (SmartFFR). Plaque progression was defined as significant change of at least two of the morphological metrics: lumen area, plaque area, plaque burden. Results: a multi-parametric predictive model, including traditional risk factors, plasma lipids, 3D imaging parameters, and computational data demonstrated 88% accuracy to predict site-specific plaque progression, outperforming current computational models. Conclusions: Low ESS and LDL accumulation, estimated by computational modeling of CCTA imaging, can be used to predict site-specific progression of coronary atherosclerotic plaques.Cardiolog

Non-Invasive Prediction of Site-Specific Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaque Progression using Lipidomics, Blood Flow, and LDL Transport Modeling

Background: coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is a first line non-invasive imaging modality for detection of coronary atherosclerosis. Computational modeling with lipidomics analysis can be used for prediction of coronary atherosclerotic plaque progression. Methods: 187 patients (480 vessels) with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing CCTA scan at baseline and after 6.2 +/- 1.4 years were selected from the SMARTool clinical study cohort (Clinicaltrial.gov Identifiers NCT04448691) according to a computed tomography (CT) scan image quality suitable for three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction of coronary arteries and the absence of implanted coronary stents. Clinical and biohumoral data were collected, and plasma lipidomics analysis was performed. Blood flow and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) transport were modeled using patient-specific data to estimate endothelial shear stress (ESS) and LDL accumulation based on a previously developed methodology. Additionally, non-invasive Fractional Flow Reserve (FFR) was calculated (SmartFFR). Plaque progression was defined as significant change of at least two of the morphological metrics: lumen area, plaque area, plaque burden. Results: a multi-parametric predictive model, including traditional risk factors, plasma lipids, 3D imaging parameters, and computational data demonstrated 88% accuracy to predict site-specific plaque progression, outperforming current computational models. Conclusions: Low ESS and LDL accumulation, estimated by computational modeling of CCTA imaging, can be used to predict site-specific progression of coronary atherosclerotic plaques.</div

A deep learning oriented method for automated 3D reconstruction of carotid arterial trees from MR imaging

The scope of this paper is to present a new carotid vessel segmentation algorithm implementing the U-net based convolutional neural network architecture. With carotid atherosclerosis being the major cause of stroke in Europe, new methods that can provide more accurate image segmentation of the carotid arterial tree and plaque tissue can help improve early diagnosis, prevention and treatment of carotid disease. Herein, we present a novel methodology combining the U-net model and morphological active contours in an iterative framework that accurately segments the carotid lumen and outer wall. The method automatically produces a 3D meshed model of the carotid bifurcation and smaller branches, using multispectral MR image series obtained from two clinical centres of the TAXINOMISIS study. As indicated by a validation study, the algorithm succeeds high accuracy (99.1% for lumen area and 92.6% for the perimeter) for lumen segmentation. The proposed algorithm will be used in the TAXINOMISIS study to obtain more accurate 3D vessel models for improved computational fluid dynamics simulations and the development of models of atherosclerotic plaque progression

A Machine Learning Model for the Identification of High risk Carotid Atherosclerotic Plaques

Carotid artery disease is an inflammatory condition involving the deposition and accumulation of lipid species and leucocytes from blood into the arterial wall, which causes the narrowing of the carotid arteries on either side of the neck. Different imaging modalities can by implemented to determine the presence and the location of carotid artery stenosis, such as carotid ultrasound, computed tomography angiography (CTA), magnetic resonance angiography (MRA), or cerebral angiography. However, except of the presence and the degree of stenosis of the carotid arteries, the vulnerability of the carotid atherosclerotic plaques constitutes a significant factor for the progression of the disease and the presence of disease symptoms. In this study, our aim is to develop and present a machine learning model for the identification of high risk plaques using non imaging based features and non-invasive imaging based features. Firstly, we implemented statistical analysis to identify the most statistical significant features according to the defined output, and subsequently, we implemented different feature selection techniques and classification schemes for the development of our machine learning model. The overall methodology has been trained and tested using 208 cases of 107 cases of low risk plaques and 101 cases of high risk plaques. The highest accuracy of 0.76 was achieved using the relief feature selection technique and the support vector machine classification scheme. The innovative aspect of the proposed machine learning model is both the different categories of the utilized input features and the definition of the problem to be solved

Error Propagation in the Simulation of Atherosclerotic Plaque Growth and the Prediction of Atherosclerotic Disease Progression

Assessments of coronary artery disease can be achieved using non-invasive computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA). CTCA can be further used for the 3D reconstruction of the coronary arteries and the development of computational models. However, image acquisition and arterial reconstruction introduce an error which can be propagated, affecting the computational results and the accuracy of diagnostic and prognostic models. In this work, we investigate the effect of an imaging error, propagated to a diagnostic index calculated using computational modelling of blood flow and then to prognostic models based on plaque growth modelling or binary logistic predictive modelling. The analysis was performed utilizing data from 20 patients collected at two time points with interscan period of six years. The collected data includes clinical and risk factors, biological and biohumoral data, and CTCA imaging. The results demonstrated that the error propagated and may have significantly affected some of the final outcomes. The calculated propagated error seemed to be minor for shear stress, but was major for some variables of the plaque growth model. In parallel, in the current analysis SmartFFR was not considerably affected, with the limitation of only one case located into the gray zone

A three-dimensional quantification of calcified and non-calcified plaques in coronary arteries based on computed tomography coronary angiography images: Comparison with expert's annotations and virtual histology intravascular ultrasound

The detection, quantification and characterization of coronary atherosclerotic plaques has a major effect on the diagnosis and treatment of coronary artery disease (CAD). Different studies have reported and evaluated the noninvasive ability of Computed Tomography Coronary Angiography (CTCA) to identify coronary plaque features. The identification of calcified plaques (CP) and non-calcified plaques (NCP) using CTCA has been extensively studied in cardiovascular research. However, NCP detection remains a challenging problem in CTCA imaging, due to the similar intensity values of NCP compared to the perivascular tissue, which surrounds the vasculature. In this work, we present a novel methodology for the identification of the plaque burden of the coronary artery and the volumetric quantification of CP and NCP utilizing CTCA images and we compare the findings with virtual histology intravascular ultrasound (VH-IVUS) and manual expert's annotations. Bland-Altman analyses were employed to assess the agreement between the presented methodology and VH-IVUS. The assessment of the plaque volume, the lesion length and the plaque area in 18 coronary lesions indicated excellent correlation with VH-IVUS. More specifically, for the CP lesions the correlation of plaque volume, lesion length and plaque area was 0.93, 0.84 and 0.85, respectively, whereas the correlation of plaque volume, lesion length and plaque area for the NCP lesions was 0.92, 0.95 and 0.81, respectively. In addition to this, the segmentation of the lumen, CP and NCP in 1350 CTCA slices indicated that the mean value of DICE coefficient is 0.72, 0.7 and 0.62, whereas the mean HD value is 1.95, 1.74 and 1.95, for the lumen, CP and NCP, respectively

A Novel Approach to Generate a Virtual Population of Human Coronary Arteries for <italic>In Silico</italic> Clinical Trials of Stent Design

Goal: To develop a cardiovascular virtual population using statistical modeling and computational biomechanics. Methods: A clinical data augmentation algorithm is implemented to efficiently generate virtual clinical data using a real clinical dataset. An atherosclerotic plaque growth model is employed to 3D reconstructed coronary arterial segments to generate virtual coronary arterial geometries (geometrical data). Last, the combination of the virtual clinical and geometrical data is achieved using a methodology that allows for the generation of a realistic virtual population which can be used in in silico clinical trials. Results: The results show good agreement between real and virtual clinical data presenting a mean gof 0.1 &#x00B1; 0.08. 400 virtual coronary arteries were generated, while the final virtual population includes 10,000 patients. Conclusions: The virtual arterial geometries are efficiently matched to the generated clinical data, both increasing and complementing the variability of the virtual population