Motivated creativity and character

Matthew Kieran on true creativity, motivation, and character

Assessing price sustainability in the Irish housing market: a county-level analysis. ESRI Research Notes 2019/4/1

In the wake of a number of high profile property crashes, a question that has come to the fore recently is; are housing booms and busts clustered in specific areas within countries or do they tend to be more pan-regional? Within the United States for example, considerable variation in the boom-bust cycle has been experienced with the so-called ‘sand states’ (California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada) showing much greater fluctuations in prices than other regions following the financial crisis.2 In an Irish context, a significant issue of interest is the apparent divergence between the Dublin property market and other regional markets as well as the difference between urban and rural areas

Identity and Identification: Femininity on Hadrian's Wall

The archaeological record has failed to acknowledge the contribution of women in the male dominated spaces of Roman military sites. Recent studies have helped to uncover the most accurate socio-spatial account of the gendered nature of Roman forts in Britain. This thesis focuses on the presence of women in the region of Hadrian’s Wall, and in particular, at the forts of Housesteads and Vindolanda while they were occupied by the Roman military (c. AD 122/4-410 and c. AD 85-400 respectively). Textual, skeletal, and artefactual evidence from both sites provide the basis qualitative and quantitative analyses drawing upon a total of 789 artefacts (150 from Housesteads and 639 from Vindolanda) within the artefact catalogue. This evidence is used to idenitfy the socio-spatial distribution of women at both sites as well as what can be said about the lives of the women present there. By collating different strands of evidence and creating a more holistic approach to the analysis of the presence of women, this thesis supplements the existing archaeological discourse of Housesteads and Vindolanda as well as the wider subject area of gender in Roman military sites. The findings of this study include, first, the presence of women of different socio-economic status at these two sites within both the extramural settlements and the forts themselves. Second, through the 3rd into the 4th century AD there was an increase in the evidence associated with the presence of women within the forts of Housesteads and Vindolanda. Third, the possibility that the increase in evidence was not necessarily a result of an increase in the presence of women, but rather it reflects the lack of meticulous clear up immediately preceding abandonment of the sites. Fourth, this thesis has highlighted the need for further excavation at Housesteads

Quarterly Economic Commentary Winter 2019

No Abstract

Property prices and COVID-19 related administrative closures: What are the implications? ESRI Working Paper 661 May 2020.

In this paper we examine the implications for the Irish housing market of the economic slowdown due to the Covid-19 virus. While necessary from a public health perspective, the administrative closure implemented by the Irish authorities in March 2020 has had several significant repercussions for the domestic residential market. As hundreds of thousands of workers lose their jobs over a short period of time, income levels in general are set to fall across the economy, with knock-on implications for affordability and housing demand. Additionally, the nature of the administrative closedown will also impact the residential market through the collapse in housing related activity for the period in question. In this paper we augment an inverted demand function for housing to include a residential market activity variable and estimate the impact on house prices of the decline in economic activity due to the virus-related measures. We also examine the likely future path of house prices based on two different recovery scenarios with a series of house price forecasts to the end of 2021

Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2019.

Although the Irish economy continues to perform in a robust manner, a number of considerations arise given the present growth performance. Firstly, due to certain multinational related activities, a divergence is likely once again between headline and underlying output growth for the present year. While we are revising upwards our forecast of headline GDP to just less than 5 per cent for 2019, certain underlying data would suggest the growth outlook has moderated somewhat as we move through the present year. Secondly, a number of significant international related risks are on the horizon for the Irish economy. As with previous Commentaries, our forecasts, unless otherwise stated, are subject to the technical assumption that the United Kingdom remains part of the European Union

Temporary writers’ residence

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Sovereign debt after COVID-19: How the involvement of the ECB can impact the recovery path of a Member State. ESRI QEC Special Article December 2020.

The QEC Special Article Sovereign debt after COVID-19: How the involvement of the ECB can impact the recovery path of a member state explores how ECB purchases of Irish sovereign bonds can impact the recovery path of the Irish economy over the next 10 years. The model used examines how policy intervention can mitigate the negative effects of the pandemic

Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on the Irish property market: An overview of the issues. ESRI QEC Special Article September 2020.

In this paper we examine some of the potential channels through which COVID-19 is likely to impact the Irish housing market and discuss some policy areas which may need refocusing or re-evaluation. Building on existing work by ESRI researchers, we examine the implications under the headings of housing demand, housing supply, affordability of prices and the rental market. While there is likely to be a significant number of effects across a wide variety of headings, the most long-lasting impact of the crisis is the potential exacerbation of the imbalance between housing demand and supply which already exists in the market. The most efficient policy response in that context is for an increase in the State provision of social and affordable housing over the short to medium term