Change and Persistence, Proceedings of the International Conference, Tunis, 12-13 November 2013

This publication is based on the proceedings of an international conference entitled ‘Arab Revolutions and Beyond: Change and Persistence’, which was held in the framework of a multilateral project called ‘Challenges and Transformations in the Wake of the Arab Spring’ (2012-2014). The project is funded by the DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) and based upon the longstanding partnership between Cairo University in Egypt and Freie Universität Berlin in Germany, specifically between the EuroMed Study Program at the Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences (FEPS) and the Centre for Middle Eastern and North African Politics at Otto-Suhr-Institute, Department for Political and Social Sciences. Dieser Sammelband ist ein Ergebnis der internationalen Tunis-Konferenz "Arab Revolutions and Beyond: Change and Persistence", die im Rahmen des multinationalen DAAD-Projekts "Challenges and Transformations in the Wake of the Arab Spring" im November 2013 stattfand. Neben Kolleg_innen der Universität Kairo, mit der bereits eine langjährige Partnerschaft besteht, sind auch Nachwuchsforscher_innen aus Tunesien, Libyen, Jordanien und weiteren Arabischen Staaten beteiligt. Das Projekt stellt sich den Herausforderungen, welche sich durch die politischen und sozialen Umbrüche in der Region für die akademische Bildung, v.a. in den Sozialwissenschaften ergeben haben. Hieraus soll ein produktiver Dialog über theoretische, methodische und thematische Felder der Sozialwissenschaften eröffnet werden, um die Strukturen von Forschung und Lehre dauerhaft zu verbessern.This publication is based on the proceedings of an international conference entitled ‘Arab Revolutions and Beyond: Change and Persistence’, which was held in the framework of a multilateral project called ‘Challenges and Transformations in the Wake of the Arab Spring’ (2012-2014). The project is funded by the DAAD (German Academic Exchange Service) and based upon the longstanding partnership between Cairo University in Egypt and Freie Universität Berlin in Germany, specifically between the EuroMed Study Program at the Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences (FEPS) and the Centre for Middle Eastern and North African Politics at Otto-Suhr-Institute, Department for Political and Social Sciences. The project addresses the challenges of current political and social transformations and their ramifications for higher education and the social sciences in Egypt and the region. The overarching objective of the project is to enter a productive dialogue on theories, methodologies and topics in social science research among Arab and German researchers. At the same time, we aim to improve teaching and research structures in the social sciences in a sustainable and efficient way. This will build students’ and teachers’ capacities on both shores of the Mediterranean and at the same time strengthen institutional efforts to promote the role of social sciences in the current transformations

Qualitative traits of various Egyptian clover varieties under efficiency of bio-chemical phosphorus fertilization and lithovit regimes

Received: August 3rd, 2022 ; Accepted: October 19th, 2022 ; Published: November 1st, 2022 ; Correspondence: [email protected] investigation was performed at the Agriculture Research Station, Faculty of Agric. Zagazig Univ., Sharkia Governorate, Egypt, throughout the winter seasons of 2019/2020 and 2020/2021. The study aimed to evaluate the influence of ten bio-chemical fertilization and lithovit regimes on forage quality of 1st and 3rd cuts of various Egyptian clover varieties (Berseem, Trifolium alexandrinum L.) q.e. Helaly, Gemmeza 1, Sakha 4, Serw 1, Giza 6 and local variety. The ten fertilization regimes were F1, control; F2, chemical phosphorus 15.5 P2O5 kg fad-1 ; F3, bio-phosphorus fertilizer ‘phosphorein’; F4, 50% of F2 + phosphorein; F5, 25% of F2 + phosphorien; F6, F2 + lithovit; F7, F3 + lithovit; F8, F4 + lithovit; F9, F5 + lihtovit; F10, sole lithovit. Giza 6 Egyptian berseem variety ranked first in forage quality because of its high content of each CP (%), NFE (%), TDN (%), and DP (%) in the 3rd cut. The local berseem variety ranked the least over the six Egyptian clover varieties with the highest ash (%) in the 1st cut. Other varieties were in between. Allusion to the bio-chemical phosphorus fertilization and lithovit regimes, application of any phosphorus fertilization regimes surpassed the control treatment in most nutritive values. Application of F9 fertilization regime (25% chemical P + bio-fertilizer ‘phosphorien’ + nano-fertilizer ‘lithovit’) tended to produce high forage quality with high content of CP (%) in the 1st cut, TDN (%) in both 1st and 3rd cuts as well as DP (%) in the 1st cut

Comparative Responses of Three Pomegranates (Punica Granatum L.) Varieties to Salinity

During 2011 and 2012 seasons, three pomegranate cultivars Manfalouty, Wonderfull and Nab–Elgamal. were subjected to saline ground water at concentration (1.8 and 6.0 dSm-1). The trees about seven years old grown at 2.5 x 3.5 m apart in sandy clay loam soil under Sohag environmental conditions. Results revealed that irrigation with saline water (6dSm-1), increased salt accumulation in leaves. On the other hand, the higher significant reduction was observed in growth; flowering and yield with highly fruit cracking in relative to 1.8 dSm-1. Total Sugar and acidity percentages did not alter significantly with varying Saline irrigation. The studied varieties were affected differently by salt-stress, Manfalouty, Wonderfull, and Nab-Elgamal in descending order in response to salinity

Bayesian Convolution for Stochastic Epidemic Model

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is a tropical disease that always attacks densely populated urban communities. Some factors, such as environment, climate and mobility, have contributed to the spread of the disease. The Aedes aegypti mosquito is an agent of dengue virus in humans, and by inhibiting its life cycle it can reduce the spread of the dengue disease. Therefore, it is necessary to involve the dynamics of mosquito's life cycle in a model in order to obtain a reli- able risk map for intervention. The aim of this study is to develop a stochastic convolution susceptible, infective, recovered-susceptible, infective (SIR-SI) mod- el describing the dynamics of the relationship between humans and Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. This model involves temporal trend and uncertainty factors for both local and global heterogeneity. Bayesian approach was applied for the parameter estimation of the model. It has an intrinsic recurrent logic for Bayesian analysis by including prior distributions. We developed a numerical computation and carry out simulations in WinBUGS, an open-source software package to perform Mar- kov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for Bayesian models, for the complex systems of convolution SIR-SI model. We considered the monthly DHF data of the 2016–2018 periods from 10 districts in Kendari-Indonesia for the application as well as the validation of the developed model. The estimated parameters were updated through to Bayesian MCMC. The parameter estimation process reached convergence (or fulfilled the Markov chain properties) after 50000 burn-in and 10000 iterations. The deviance was obtained at 453.7, which is smaller compared to those in previous models. The districts of Wua-Wua and Kadia were consistent as high-risk areas of DHF. These two districts were considered to have a signifi- cant contribution to the fluctuation of DHF cases

Comunità cristiane nell’islam arabo. La sfida del futuro

Preesistenti all'islamizzazione del Medio Oriente, le comunità cristiane costituiscono tuttora un importante elemento di pluralismo, sebbene oggi a rischio di sopravvivenza, nelle società arabe a maggioranza musulmana. Il volume presenta il ruolo storico delle comunità cristiane orientali nelle rispettive società arabe, la loro funzione di intermediazione culturale tra Oriente e Occidente e la discriminazione giuridica e sociale subìta con l'avvento dell'islam.- Indice #4- Introduzione, Andrea Pacini #10- Gli arabi cristiani: dalla questione d’Oriente alla recente geopolitica delle minoranze, Joseph Maïla #38- I cristiani arabi dell’Oriente: una prospettiva demografica, Philippe Fargues #64- Le comunità cristiane, soggetti attivi della società araba nel corso della storia, Samir Khalil Samir #84- Le chiese del Medio Oriente: origini e identità, tra radicamento nel passato e apertura al presente, Jean Corbon #110- Il diritto dello stato/nazione e lo status dei non musulmani in Egitto e in Siria, Bernard Botiveau #130- L’emigrazione degli arabi cristiani: dimensioni e cause dell’esodo, Bernard Sabella #148- La produzione culturale dei cristiani arabi oggi: espressione di identità nella società a maggioranza musulmana, Camille Hechaïmé #178- Le dinamiche politiche dei copti: rendere la comunità un protagonista atti, Dina El Khawaga #196- La posizione e il ruolo attuale dei copti nell’economia egiziana: tradizioni e specializzazioni, Adel A. Beshai #216- Le dinamiche dei cristiani libanesi: tra il paradigma delle ‘āmmiyyāt e il paradigma Hwayyek, Elizabeth Picard #226- Le comunità cristiane e la situazione economica e sociale in Libano, Boutros Labaki #250- Dinamiche comunitarie e sociopolitiche dei cristiani arabi in Giordania, in Israele e nei territori palestinesi autonomi, Andrea Pacini #290- I cristiani di Siria, Habib Moussalli #320- I cristiani in Iraq, Yūsuf Habbi #330- Il contributo delle comunità arabo-cristiane al futuro delle società arabe del Medio Oriente: alcune prospettive, Maurice Borrmans #342- I riti delle chiese orientali #356- Glossario #376- Riferimenti bibliografici #40

SutteARIMA: A Novel Method for Forecasting the Infant Mortality Rate in Indonesia

This study focuses on the novel forecasting method (SutteARIMA) and its application in predicting Infant Mortality Rate data in Indonesia. It undertakes a comparison of the most popular and widely used four forecasting methods: ARIMA, Neural Networks Time Series (NNAR), Holt-Winters, and SutteARIMA. The data used were obtained from the website of the World Bank. The data consisted of the annual infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) from 1991 to 2019. To determine a suitable and best method for predicting Infant Mortality rate, the forecasting results of these four methods were compared based on the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean squared error (MSE). The results of the study showed that the accuracy level of SutteARIMA method (MAPE: 0.83% and MSE: 0.046) in predicting Infant Mortality rate in Indonesia was smaller than the other three forecasting methods, specifically the ARIMA (0.2.2) with a MAPE of 1.21% and a MSE of 0.146; the NNAR with a MAPE of 7.95% and a MSE of 3.90; and the Holt-Winters with a MAPE of 1.03% and a MSE: of 0.083

Promising photocatalytic and antimicrobial activity of novel capsaicin coated cobalt ferrite nanocatalyst

Abstract In this study, CoFe2O4 nanoparticles were prepared by the co-precipitation method then surface modified with Capsaicin (Capsicum annuum ssp.). The virgin CoFe2O4 NPs and Capsaicin-coated CoFe2O4 NPs (CPCF NPs) were characterized by XRD, FTIR, SEM, and TEM. The antimicrobial potential and photocatalytic degradation efficiencies of the prepared samples via Fuchsine basic (FB) were investigated. The results revealed that CoFe2O4 NPs have spherical shapes and their diameter varied from 18.0 to 30.0 nm with an average particle size of 25.0 nm. Antimicrobial activity was tested on Gram-positive (S. aureusATCC 52923) and Gram-negative (E. coli ATCC 52922) by disk diffusion and broth dilution methods to determine the zone of inhibition (ZOI) and minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC), respectively. UV-assisted photocatalytic degradation of FB was examined. Various parameters affecting the photocatalytic efficiency such as pH, initial concentration of FB, and dose of nanocatalyst were studied. The in-vitro ZOI and MIC results verified that CPCF NPs were more active upon Gram-Positive S. aureus ATCC 52923 (23.0 mm ZOI and 0.625 μg/ml MIC) than Gram-Negative E. coli ATCC 52922 (17.0 mm ZOI and 1.250 μg/ml MIC). Results obtained from the photocatalytic activity indicated that the maximum FB removal achieving 94.6% in equilibrium was observed using 20.0 mg of CPCF NPS at pH 9.0. The synthesized CPCF NPs were effective in the removal of FB and also as potent antimicrobial agent against both Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria with potential medical and environmental applications

Enhanced photocatalytic and antibacterial activities of novel Ag-HA bioceramic nanocatalyst for waste-water treatment

Abstract Hydroxyapatite (HA), the most common bioceramic material, offers attractive properties as a catalyst support. Highly crystalline mono-dispersed silver doped hydroxyapatite (Ag-HA) nanorods of 60 nm length was developed via hydrothermal processing. Silver dopant offered enhanced chemisorption for crystal violet (CV) contaminant. Silver was found to intensify negative charge on the catalyst surface; in this regard enhanced chemisorption of positively charged contaminants was accomplished. Silver dopant experienced decrease in the binding energy of valence electron for oxygen, calcium, and phosphorous using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy XPS/ESCA; this finding could promote electron–hole generation and light absorption. Removal efficiency of Ag-HA nanocomposite for CV reached 88% after the synergistic effect with 1.0 mM H2O2; silver dopant could initiate H2O2 cleavage and intensify the release of active ȮH radicals. Whereas HA suffers from lack of microbial resistance; Ag-HA nanocomposite demonstrated high activity against Gram-positive (S. aureus) bacteria with zone of inhibition (ZOI) mm value of 18.0 mm, and high biofilm inhibition of 91.1%. Ag-HA nanocompsite experienced distinctive characerisitcs for utilization as green bioceramic photocatalyst for wastewater treatment