The development and validation of a scoring tool to predict the operative duration of elective laparoscopic cholecystectomy

Background: The ability to accurately predict operative duration has the potential to optimise theatre efficiency and utilisation, thus reducing costs and increasing staff and patient satisfaction. With laparoscopic cholecystectomy being one of the most commonly performed procedures worldwide, a tool to predict operative duration could be extremely beneficial to healthcare organisations. Methods: Data collected from the CholeS study on patients undergoing cholecystectomy in UK and Irish hospitals between 04/2014 and 05/2014 were used to study operative duration. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was produced in order to identify significant independent predictors of long (> 90 min) operations. The resulting model was converted to a risk score, which was subsequently validated on second cohort of patients using ROC curves. Results: After exclusions, data were available for 7227 patients in the derivation (CholeS) cohort. The median operative duration was 60 min (interquartile range 45–85), with 17.7% of operations lasting longer than 90 min. Ten factors were found to be significant independent predictors of operative durations > 90 min, including ASA, age, previous surgical admissions, BMI, gallbladder wall thickness and CBD diameter. A risk score was then produced from these factors, and applied to a cohort of 2405 patients from a tertiary centre for external validation. This returned an area under the ROC curve of 0.708 (SE = 0.013, p  90 min increasing more than eightfold from 5.1 to 41.8% in the extremes of the score. Conclusion: The scoring tool produced in this study was found to be significantly predictive of long operative durations on validation in an external cohort. As such, the tool may have the potential to enable organisations to better organise theatre lists and deliver greater efficiencies in care

Exploring geographic variation in acute appendectomy in Ireland: results from a national registry study

Objective: To explore geographic variations in Irish laparoscopic and open appendectomy procedures. Design: Analysis based on 2014-2017 administrative hospital data from public hospitals. Setting: Counties of Ireland. Participants: Irish residents with hospital admissions for an appendectomy as the principal procedure. Main outcome measures: Age and gender standardised laparoscopic and open appendectomy rates for 26 counties. Geographic variation measured with the extremal quotient (EQ), coefficient of variation (CV) and the systematic component of variation (SCV). Results: 23 684 appendectomies were included. 77.6% (n= 18,387) were performed laparoscopically. An EQ of 8.3 for laparoscopy and 10.0 for open appendectomy was determined. A high CV was demonstrated with a value of 36.7 and 80.8 for laparoscopic and open appendectomy, respectively. An SCV of 14.2 and 124.8 for laparoscopic and open appendectomy was observed. A wider variation was determined when children and adults were assessed separately. Conclusions: The geographic distribution in rates of appendectomy varies considerably across Irish counties. Our data suggest that a patient's likelihood of undergoing a laparoscopic or open appendectomy is associated with their county of residence.</p

Variation in hospital length of stay based on hospital volume: a retrospective cohort study of emergency abdominal surgery in Ireland

Objectives: Emergency abdominal surgery (EAS) refers to high risk intra-abdominal surgical procedures associated with increased mortality risk and long length of hospital stay. The variation between hospital volume and hospital length of stay (LOS) of patients undergoing EAS is poorly understood. Our objective was to explore this relationship across public hospitals in Ireland. Methods: Data for all adult episode discharges from public Irish hospitals in 2014-2017 were obtained from National Quality Assurance Improvement System (NQAIS) Clinical with EAS identified by primary procedure codes. Hospitals were categorised into low (n400) volume groups based on the number of EAS episodes during the study period. Negative binomial regression models were applied to standardise for patient case mix. Several adjusted LOS measures were compared across the three volume groups. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to test the robustness of our findings. Results: 8120 hospital episodes across 24 public hospitals providing EAS services were analysed. 7 were categorised as low, 9 as medium, and 8 as high-volume hospitals. High volume hospitals had a significantly longer adjusted LOS (24.7 days) relative to low and medium volume hospitals (18.2 and 18.6 days). Sensitivity analysis consisted of the exclusion of the following hospital episodes: in-hospital death, cancer diagnosis, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) >0, admission from other hospitals, and discharge to other hospitals. No single variable influenced the observed LOS variation, although when the more complex episodes were excluded, the post-operative LOS at low and medium volume hospitals was significantly shorter compared to high volume hospitals (by 1.1-6.1 days). Intensive care unit (ICU) LOS was similar in all three hospital volume groups although low volume hospitals appeared to have more ICU admissions and longer stay (by up to 1.6 days). Conclusions: Our findings indicate that patients treated at low volume hospitals have shorter LOS and may be discharged earlier than from high volume hospitals. This finding is surprising, suggesting that concentration of services to larger clinical departments may not necessarily reduce LOS and improve the efficiency of resource utilisation and service delivery. </p

A Socio-Technical Exploration for Reducing &amp; Mitigating the Risk of Retained Foreign Objects

A Retained Foreign Object (RFO) is a fairly infrequent but serious adverse event. An accurate rate of RFOs is difficult to establish due to underreporting but it has been estimated that incidences range between 1/1000 and 1/19,000 procedures. The cost of a RFO incident may be substantial and three-fold: (i) the cost to the patient of physical and/or psychological harm; (ii) the reputational cost to an institution and/or healthcare provider; and (iii) the financial cost to the taxpayer in the event of a legal claim. This Health Research Board-funded project aims to analyse and understand the problem of RFOs in surgical and maternity settings in Ireland and develop hospital-specific foreign object management processes and implementation roadmaps. This project will deploy an integrated evidence-based assessment methodology for social-technical modelling (Supply, Context, Organising, Process &amp; Effects/ SCOPE Analysis Cube) and bow tie methodologies that focuses on managing the risks in effectively implementing and sustaining change. It comprises a multi-phase research approach that involves active and ongoing collaboration with clinical and other healthcare staff through each phase of the research. The specific objective of this paper is to present the methodological approach and outline the potential to produce generalisable results which could be applied to other health-related issues

A Socio-Technical Exploration for Reducing & Mitigating the Risk of Retained Foreign Objects

A Retained Foreign Object (RFO) is a fairly infrequent but serious adverse event. An accurate rate of RFOs is difficult to establish due to underreporting but it has been estimated that incidences range between 1/1000 and 1/19,000 procedures. The cost of a RFO incident may be substantial and three-fold: (i) the cost to the patient of physical and/or psychological harm; (ii) the reputational cost to an institution and/or healthcare provider; and (iii) the financial cost to the taxpayer in the event of a legal claim. This Health Research Board-funded project aims to analyse and understand the problem of RFOs in surgical and maternity settings in Ireland and develop hospital-specific foreign object management processes and implementation roadmaps. This project will deploy an integrated evidence-based assessment methodology for social-technical modelling (Supply, Context, Organising, Process & Effects/ SCOPE Analysis Cube) and bow tie methodologies that focuses on managing the risks in effectively implementing and sustaining change. It comprises a multi-phase research approach that involves active and ongoing collaboration with clinical and other healthcare staff through each phase of the research. The specific objective of this paper is to present the methodological approach and outline the potential to produce generalisable results which could be applied to other health-related issues

Volume and in-hospital mortality after emergency abdominal surgery: a national population-based study

Objectives Emergency abdominal surgery (EAS) refers to high-risk intra-abdominal surgical procedures undertaken for acute gastrointestinal pathology. The relationship between hospital or surgeon volume and mortality of patients undergoing EAS is poorly understood. This study examined this relationship at the national level. Design This is a national population-based study using a full administrative inpatient dataset (National Quality Assurance Improvement System) from publicly funded hospitals in Ireland. Setting 24 public hospitals providing EAS services. Participants and Interventions Patients undergoing EAS as identified by primary procedure codes during the period 2014–2018. Main outcome measures The main outcome measure was adjusted in-hospital mortality following EAS in publicly funded Irish hospitals. Mortality rates were adjusted for sex, age, admission source, Charlson Comorbidity Index, procedure complexity, organ system and primary diagnosis. Differences in overall, 7-day and 30-day in-hospital mortality for hospitals with low ( Results The study included 10 344 EAS episodes. 798 in-hospital deaths occurred, giving an overall in-hospital mortality rate of 77 per 1000 episodes. There was no statistically significant difference in adjusted mortality rate between low and high volume hospitals. Low volume surgical teams had a higher adjusted mortality rate (85.4 deaths/1000 episodes) compared with high volume teams (54.7 deaths/1000 episodes), a difference that persisted among low volume surgeons practising in high volume hospitals. Conclusion Patients undergoing EAS managed by high volume surgeons have better survival outcomes. These findings contribute to the ongoing discussion regarding configuration of emergency surgery services and emphasise the need for effective clinical governance regarding observed variation in outcomes within and between institutions.</p

The impact of COVID-19 on surgical activity

Aim  This study aims to examine the impact of COVID-19 on surgical activity in a Model 3 Hospital.  Methods  A retrospective, observational study assessing data collected over a 3-month period (February to April) in 2019 and 2020.  Results  There was an overall reduction in surgical activity between 2019 and 2020. This impact was felt most acutely in the month of April where elective theatre and endoscopy procedures fell from 131 to 9 (93%) and 399 to 102 (74%) respectively. The number of emergency department admissions reduced from 534 to 408 (24%) and the number requiring surgical intervention fell from 166 to 122 (27%). Attendance at surgical outpatients fell from 1,211 to 677 (44%) between the 2019 and 2020. In April, attendance reduced from 456 to 52 (86%).  Discussion  This study has quantified the reduction in surgical department activity in our Model 3 Hospital. This reduction in scheduled and non-scheduled care could be extrapolated nationally to inform service planning, which will become increasingly challenged unless action to address the service deficit is taken soon.</p