An experimentally-validated numerical model of diffusion and speciation of water in rhyolitic silicate melt

The diffusion of water through silicate melts is a key process in volcanic systems. Diffusion controls the growth of the bubbles that drive volcanic eruptions and determines the evolution of the spatial distribution of dissolved water during and after magma mingling, crystal growth, fracturing and fragmentation, and welding of pyroclasts. Accurate models for water diffusion are therefore essential for forward modelling of eruptive behaviour, and for inverse modelling to reconstruct eruptive and post-eruptive history from the spatial distribution of water in eruptive products. Existing models do not include the kinetics of the homogeneous species reaction that interconverts molecular () and hydroxyl () water; reaction kinetics are important because final species distribution depends on cooling history. Here we develop a flexible 1D numerical model for diffusion and speciation of water in silicate melts. We validate the model against FTIR transects of the spatial distribution of molecular, hydroxyl, and total water across diffusion-couple experiments of haplogranite composition, run at 800–1200°C and 5 kbar. We adopt a stepwise approach to analysing and modelling the data. First, we use the analytical Sauer-Freise method to determine the effective diffusivity of total water as a function of dissolved water concentration and temperature for each experiment and find that the dependence of on is linear for wt.% and exponential for wt.%. Second, we develop a 1D numerical forward model, using the method of lines, to determine a piece-wise function for that is globally-minimized against the entire experimental dataset. Third, we extend this numerical model to account for speciation of water and determine globally-minimized functions for diffusivity of molecular water and the equilibrium constant for the speciation reaction. Our approach includes three key novelties: 1) functions for diffusivities of and , and the speciation reaction, are minimized simultaneously against a large experimental dataset, covering a wide range of water concentration ( wt.%) and temperature (), such that the resulting functions are both mutually-consistent and broadly applicable; 2) the minimization allows rigorous and robust analysis of uncertainties such that the accuracy of the functions is quantified; 3) the model can be straightforwardly used to determine functions for diffusivity and speciation for other melt compositions pending suitable diffusion-couple experiments. The modelling approach is suitable for both forward and inverse modelling of diffusion processes in silicate melts; the model is available as a Matlab script from the electronic supplementary material

Reconstruction of submarine eruption processes from FTIR volatile analysis of marine tephra: Example of Oomurodashi volcano, Japan

Tephra layers in marine sediments are widely used to correlate and date paleoclimate and paleoceanography records, and to determine spatiotemporal changes in magmatic evolution and eruption frequency. Dissolved matrix glass H2O contents of marine tephra could potentially inform understanding of eruption processes but are rarely used due to the issue of secondary hydration after deposition. Recent advancements in Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) volatile analysis have enabled reconstruction of original water contents of hydrated volcanic glasses. These new Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy analysis methods offer a new way to investigate tephra stored in marine sedimentary archives. We present a case study of the Od-1 tephra layer in marine sedimentary core C9010E, drilled ∼40 km south of the Boso peninsula in Japan. This tephra was erupted by the shallow silicic submarine Oomurodashi volcano in the northern Izu-Bonin arc at ∼13.5 ka. Our Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy volatile data show it has been affected by secondary hydration, with the extent of hydration controlled by grain size and porosity characteristics. Numerical modelling of low temperature hydration suggests Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy data offer an additional method for estimating eruption ages of marine tephra. OH contents, unaltered by low temperature secondary hydration, record low ambient eruptive pressures for all grain sizes and tephra types i.e., blocky and dense or pumiceous. Consideration of hydrostatic pressure gradients and past sea level at Oomurodashi shows that the majority of tephra volatile data cannot be explained by quench within a submarine eruption plume. Instead, OH contents record quench fragmentation within the shallow submarine edifice. Physical characteristics of the tephra are consistent with the formation of these tephra by explosive phreatomagmatic eruption processes. Together these OH data and tephra characteristics support the interpretation that the Od-1 tephra layer was formed by the same shallow phreatomagmatic eruption that formed the existing Oomuro Hole crater and that produced subaerial tephra deposits on nearby Izu-Oshima and Toshima islands. This study demonstrates the crucial contribution that imaging Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy analysis can make to the interpretation of degassing and eruption processes of volcanic glasses, particularly vesicular pyroclasts and/or glasses affected by secondary hydration, adding an important new dimension to marine tephra research

Genesis and interaction of magmas at Nishinoshima volcano in the Ogasawara arc, western Pacific: new insights from submarine deposits of the 2020 explosive eruptions

Sudden changes of eruption styles and magma compositions at arc volcanoes are enigmatic processes. Nishinoshima volcano, western Pacific, has had historical eruptions in 1973–1974 and from 2013 on and off to the present day. These eruptions were characterized by effusive Strombolian eruptions of andesite magmas until mid-June 2020, when they suddenly transitioned to violent explosive Strombolian eruptions that produced tephra fallout over a wide area. To understand this transition, we conducted marine surveys and sampling of the extensive submarine deposits of the tephra fallout. Our new data demonstrate that the full compositional range of the 2020 eruptions spans from basalt to dacite. We present evidence for magma mixing of newly injected basalt with andesite magmas. Nishinoshima consists of an andesitic main edifice surrounded by basaltic knolls: previous studies have shown that Nishinoshima andesite compositions can be generated by olivine fractionation of primary andesitic magmas that result from partial melting of hydrous mantle at relatively low pressures under the thin crust of the Ogasawara arc; knoll basalt compositions can be generated by partial melting of mantle at greater depths and were interpreted as older events of the volcano. We show that basalt magmas could have been generated throughout the entire history of Nishinoshima. In addition, we show that andesites from Nishinoshima and nearby Nishinoshima-Minami Knoll, which are only ∼8 km apart, have distinct subduction components. Together, these data improve our understanding of the diverse primary magmas responsible for the construction and continuing eruptive activity of an active island arc volcano

MQ Data Science Report to MRC on building a National Infrastructure for Mental Health Data Science in the UK

At the MQ meeting on 9th September 2019 (Edinburgh), we hosted a discussion session, where we asked participants how they would envision a National Infrastructure for Mental Health Data Science (referred to as “platform” below). Participants were advised that their collected input would be fed back to the MRC to serve as a starting point for their full consultation on this topic. Key findings ● Researchers are particularly interested in using such a platform themselves and recognise its utility to a large number of other organisations. ● The minimum useful requirement for such a platform is a searchable directory of available data with a note about access procedures. Whereas an ideal platform might contain the actual data. Our participants demonstrated a wide interest in the inclusion of different data types and research areas within such a platform. ● Participants were enthusiastic about the possibilities such a platform might enable, mentioning expansion of research topics and conducting more rigorous research. They felt the platform might enable this by maximizing data quality/usage and facilitating data access. ● Participants recognised the positive impact such a platform could have on people affected by mental illness. Patterns of responses arose around patient engagement, policy shaping, open science, and improved research quality. All these elements could help fight the stigma of mental illness in society. ● With regard to the MRC consultation, our participants recognised the need to consult with a range of organisations, including data donors, ethical boards, privacy panels and relevant charities - with an observed less enthusiastic support for political involvement (which may reflect current political circumstances). ● Our participants raised a number of concerns, which the MRC may wish to address during their consultation phase. These included long-term sustainability, governance, and ethical considerations. On a practical note, questions were raised around prioritization, practicalities on data management, platform operation and relevant training and capacity building. Lastly, the participants illustrated the need to raise public awareness of and involvement in this platform in order to ensure the successful implementation

Using a knowledge exchange event to assess study participants’ attitudes to research in a rapidly evolving research context

Grant information: DJP, IJD and AMM are supported by Wellcome Trust Grant 104036. IJD, DJP, JPB and AMM, IB, EJK and SFW are supported by MRC Mental Health Data Pathfinder Grant MC_PC_17209. AMM and SML are supported by MRC Grant MC_PC_MR/R01910X/1. AMM is supported by MRC Grant MR/S035818/1. Theirworld Edinburgh Birth Cohort is funded by the charity Theirworld (www.theirworld.org), and is undertaken in the MRC Centre for Reproductive Health, which is funded by MRC Centre Grant (G1002033). CB and DJP are supported by Health Data Research UK, an initiative funded by UK Research and Innovation, Department of Health and Social Care (England) and the devolved administrations, and leading medical research charities.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

A reappraisal of explosive–effusive silicic eruption dynamics: syn-eruptive assembly of lava from the products of cryptic fragmentation

Silicic volcanic eruptions range in style from gently effusive to highly explosive, and may switch style unpredictably during a single eruption. Direct observations of subaerial rhyolitic eruptions (Chaiten 2008, Cordón Caulle 2011–2012, Chile) challenged long-standing paradigms of explosive and effusive eruptive styles and led to the formulation of new models of hybrid activity. However, the processes that govern such hybrid explosive–effusive activity remain poorly understood. Here, we bring together observations of the well-studied 2011–2012 Cordón Caulle eruption with new textural and petrologic data on erupted products, and video and still imagery of the eruption. We infer that all of the activity – explosive, effusive, and hybrid – was fed by explosive fragmentation at depth, and that effusive behaviour arose from sticking and sintering, in the shallow vent region, of the clastic products of deeper, cryptic fragmentation. We use a scaling approach to determine that there is sufficient time available, during emplacement, for diffusive pyroclast degassing and sintering to produce a degassed plug that occludes the shallow conduit, feeding clastogenic, apparently effusive, lava-like deposits. Based on evidence from Cordón Caulle, and from other similar eruptions, we further argue that hybrid explosive–effusive activity is driven by episodic gas-fracking of the occluding lava plug, fed by the underlying pressurized ash- and pyroclast-laden region. The presence of a pressurized pocket of ash-laden gas within the conduit provides a mechanism for generation of harmonic tremor, and for syn-eruptive laccolith intrusion, both of which were features of the Cordón Caulle eruption. We conclude that the cryptic fragmentation models is more consistent with available evidence than the prevailing model for effusion of silicic lava that assume coherent non-fragmental rise of magma from depth to the surface without wholesale explosive fragmentation

Semi-groupe de Lie associé à un cône symétrique

Volcanic arcs are the surface expression of magmatic systems that result from the subduction of mostly oceanic lithosphere at convergent plate boundaries. Arcs with a submarine component include intraoceanic arcs and island arcs that span almost 22,000 km on Earth\u27s surface, the vast majority of which are located in the Pacific region. Hydrothermal systems hosted by submarine arc volcanoes commonly contain a large component of magmatic fluid. This magmatic-hydrothermal signature, coupled with the shallow water depths of arc volcanoes and their high volatile contents, strongly influences the chemistry of the fluids and resulting mineralization and likely has important consequences for the biota associated with these systems. The high metal contents and very acidic fluids in these hydrothermal systems are thought to be important analogs to numerous porphyry copper and epithermal gold deposits mined today on land

Effects of vaccination on onset and outcome of Dravet syndrome : a retrospective study

Background Pertussis vaccination has been alleged to cause an encephalopathy that involves seizures and subsequent intellectual disability. In a previous retrospective study, 11 of 14 patients with so-called vaccine encephalopathy had Dravet syndrome that was associated with de-novo mutations of the sodium channel gene SCN1A. In this study, we aimed to establish whether the apparent association of Dravet syndrome with vaccination was caused by recall bias and, if not, whether vaccination affected the onset or outcome of the disorder. Methods We retrospectively studied patients with Dravet syndrome who had mutations in SCN1A, whose first seizure was a convulsion, and for whom validated source data were available. We analysed medical and vaccination records to investigate whether there was an association between vaccination and onset of seizures in these patients. Patients were separated into two groups according to whether seizure onset occurred shortly after vaccination (vaccination-proximate group) or not (vaccination-distant group). We compared clinical features, intellectual outcome, and type of SCN1A mutation between the groups. Findings Dates of vaccination and seizure onset were available from source records for 40 patients. We identified a peak in the number of patients who had seizure onset within 2 days after vaccination. Thus, patients who had seizure onset on the day of or the day after vaccination (n=12) were included in the vaccination-proximate group and those who had seizure onset 2 days or more after vaccination (n=25) or before vaccination (n=3) were included in the vaccination-distant group. Mean age at seizure onset was 18·4 weeks (SD 5·9) in the vaccination-proximate group and 26·2 weeks (8·1) in the vaccination-distant group (difference 7·8 weeks, 95% CI 2·6–13·1; p=0·004). There were no differences in intellectual outcome, subsequent seizure type, or mutation type between the two groups (all p values >0·3). Furthermore, in a post-hoc analysis, intellectual outcome did not differ between patients who received vaccinations after seizure onset and those who did not. Interpretation Vaccination might trigger earlier onset of Dravet syndrome in children who, because of an SCN1A mutation, are destined to develop the disease. However, vaccination should not be withheld from children with SCN1A mutations because we found no evidence that vaccinations before or after disease onset affect outcome.