Dynamic analysis of multivariate failure time data

We present an approach for analysing internal dependencies in counting processes. This covers the case with repeated events on each of a number of individuals, and, more generally, the situation where several processes are observed for each individual. We define dynamic covariates, i.e. covariates depending on the past of the processes. The statistical analysis is performed mainly by the nonparametric additive approach. This yields a method for analysing multivariate survival data, which is an alternative to the frailty approach. We present cumulative regression plots, statistical tests, residual plots and a hat matrix plot for studying outliers. A program in R and S-PLUS for analyzing survival data with the additive regression model is available on the web site http://www.med.uio.no/imb/english/research/groups/causal-inference-methods/software/ The program has been developed to fit the counting process framework

Influence of microbial species on small intestinal myoelectric activity and transit in germ-free rats

The effect of an intestinal microflora consisting of selected microbial species on myoelectric activity of small intestine was studied using germ-free rat models, with recording before and after specific intestinal colonization, in the unanesthetized state. Intestinal transit, neuropeptides in blood (RIA), and neuromessengers in the intestinal wall were determined. Clostridium tabificum vp 04 promoted regular spike burst activity, shown by a reduction of the migrating myoelectric complex (MMC) period from 30.5 +/- 3.9 min in the germ-free state to 21.2 +/- 0.14 min (P< 0.01). Lactobacillus acidophilus A10 and Bifidobacterium bifidum B11 reduced the MMC period from 27.9 +/- 4.5 to 21.5 +/- 2.1 min (P< 0.02) and accelerated small intestinal transit (P< 0.05). Micrococcus luteus showed an inhibitory effect, with an MMC period of 35.9 +/- 9.3 min compared with 27.7 +/- 6.3 min in germ-free rats (P< 0.01). Inhibition was indicated also for Escherichia coli X7 gnotobiotic rats. No consistent changes in slow wave frequency were observed. The concentration of neuropeptide Y in blood decreased after introduction of conventional intestinal microflora, suggesting reduced inhibitory control. Intestinal bacteria promote or suppress the initiation and aboral migration of the MMC depending on the species involved. Bacteria with primitive fermenting metabolism (anaerobes) emerge as important promoters of regular spike burst activity in small intestine

A Method for Direct Monitoring of Atorvastatin Adherence in Cardiovascular Disease Prevention: Quantification of the Total Exposure to Parent Drug and Major Metabolites Using 2-Channel Chromatography and Tandem Mass Spectrometry

Background: Low adherence to statin therapy remains a public health concern associated with poor prognosis in cardiovascular disease patients. A feasible method for statin adherence monitoring in clinical practice has yet to be developed. In this article, we describe a novel method designed for the direct monitoring of atorvastatin adherence based on the sum of parent drug and major metabolites in blood samples. Methods: Acid and lactone forms of atorvastatin, 2-OH-atorvastatin, and 4-OH-atorvastatin were assayed. Plasma proteins were precipitated with an acidified mixture of methanol, acetonitrile, and aqueous zinc sulfate, and the supernatant was analyzed with 2-channel reversed-phase chromatography coupled to tandem mass spectrometry. Assay validation was performed according to the guidelines provided by the European Medicines Agency and the US Food and Drug Administration. Results: The effective run time was 1 minute and 45 seconds per sample. Mean accuracy ranged from 92% to 110%, and coefficients of variation were ≤8.1% over the measurement ranges for individual compounds. The sum of acids and corresponding lactones was stable in clinical plasma samples kept at ambient temperature for up to 6 days after blood sampling (mean sum within 96.6%–101% of baseline). Conclusions: A fast and reliable assay for the quantification of atorvastatin and its 5 major metabolites in clinical blood samples is reported. Limitations of preanalytical stability were solved using the sum of the acid and lactone forms. The assay is feasible for implementation in clinical practice, and the sum of parent drug and metabolites may be used for direct monitoring of atorvastatin adherence

A novel direct method to determine adherence to atorvastatin therapy in patients with coronary heart disease

Aims Objective methods to monitor statin adherence are needed. We have established a liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry assay for quantification of atorvastatin and its metabolites in blood. This study aimed to develop an objective drug exposure variable with cut‐off values to discriminate among adherence, partial adherence and nonadherence to atorvastatin therapy in patients with coronary heart disease. Methods Twenty‐five patients treated with atorvastatin 10 mg (n = 5), 20 mg (n = 6), 40 mg (n = 7) and 80 mg (n = 7) participated in a directly observed atorvastatin therapy study to confirm baseline adherence. After the directly observed therapy, half of the patients (test group ) were instructed to stop taking atorvastatin and return for blood sample collection the subsequent 3 days. Levels of atorvastatin and metabolites were compared between the test group and the adherent control group. Results The sum of parent drug and all measured primary metabolites correlated well with the atorvastatin dose administered (Spearman's rho = 0.71, 95% CI 0.44–0.87). The dose‐normalized atorvastatin plus metabolites concentrations completely separated the partially adherent test group from the controls at 0.18 nM/mg after 3 days without atorvastatin. To reduce the risk of misinterpreting adherent patients as partially adherent, a corresponding cut‐off at 0.10 nM/mg is proposed. A metabolite level of 2‐OH atorvastatin acid <0.014 nmol/L provided the optimal cut‐off for nonadherence. Conclusion A direct method to discriminate among adherence, partial adherence and nonadherence to atorvastatin therapy in patients with coronary heart disease has been developed. This tool may be important for novel studies on adherence and potentially useful in clinical practice

Hepcidin and ferritin predict microbial etiology in community-acquired pneumonia

Background Iron is crucial for survival and growth of microbes. Consequently, limiting iron availability is a human antimicrobial defense mechanism. We explored iron and iron-related proteins as potential biomarkers in community-acquired pneumonia and hypothesized that infection-induced changes in these potential biomarkers differ between groups of pathogens and could predict microbial etiology. Methods Blood samples from a prospective cohort of 267 patients with community-acquired pneumonia were analyzed for hepcidin, ferritin, iron, transferrin, and soluble transferrin receptor at admission, clinical stabilization, and a 6-week follow-up. A total of 111 patients with an established microbiological diagnosis confined to 1 microbial group (atypical bacterial, typical bacterial, or viral) were included in predictive analyses. Results High admission levels of ferritin predicted atypical bacterial versus typical bacterial etiology (odds ratio [OR], 2.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18–4.32; P = .014). Furthermore, hepcidin and ferritin predicted atypical bacterial versus viral etiology (hepcidin: OR = 3.12, 95% CI = 1.34–7.28, P = .008; ferritin: OR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.28–4.45, P = .006). The findings were independent of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin. Conclusions Hepcidin and ferritin are potential biomarkers of microbial etiology in community-acquired pneumonia.publishedVersio

Etiology of community-acquired pneumonia and diagnostic yields of microbiological methods: a 3-year prospective study in Norway

Background Despite recent advances in microbiological techniques, the etiology of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is still not well described. We applied polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and conventional methods to describe etiology of CAP in hospitalized adults and evaluated their respective diagnostic yields. Methods 267 CAP patients were enrolled consecutively over our 3-year prospective study. Conventional methods (i.e., bacterial cultures, urinary antigen assays, serology) were combined with nasopharyngeal (NP) and oropharyngeal (OP) swab samples analyzed by real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR) for Streptococcus pneumoniae, and by real-time PCR for Mycoplasma pneumoniae, Chlamydophila pneumoniae, Bordetella pertussis and 12 types of respiratory viruses. Results Etiology was established in 167 (63%) patients with 69 (26%) patients having ≥1 copathogen. There were 75 (28%) pure bacterial and 41 (15%) pure viral infections, and 51 (19%) viral–bacterial coinfections, resulting in 126 (47%) patients with bacterial and 92 (34%) patients with viral etiology. S. pneumoniae (30%), influenza (15%) and rhinovirus (12%) were most commonly identified, typically with ≥1 copathogen. During winter and spring, viruses were detected more frequently (45%, P=.01) and usually in combination with bacteria (39%). PCR improved diagnostic yield by 8% in 64 cases with complete sampling (and by 15% in all patients); 5% for detection of bacteria; 19% for viruses (P=.04); and 16% for detection of ≥1 copathogen. Etiology was established in 79% of 43 antibiotic-naive patients with complete sampling. S. pneumoniae qPCR positive rate was significantly higher for OP swab compared to NP swab (P<.001). Positive rates for serology were significantly higher than for real-time PCR in detecting B. pertussis (P=.001) and influenza viruses (P<.001). Conclusions Etiology could be established in 4 out of 5 CAP patients with the aid of PCR, particularly in diagnosing viral infections. S. pneumoniae and viruses were most frequently identified, usually with copathogens. Viral–bacterial coinfections were more common than pure infections during winter and spring; a finding we consider important in the proper management of CAP. When swabbing for qPCR detection of S. pneumoniae in adult CAP, OP appeared superior to NP, but this finding needs further confirmation. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01563315