Endogenous Technological Change under Uncertainty

How does risk or uncertainty in the productivity of research affect the growth rate of the economy? To answer this question, a model of endogenous technological change is used where sustained growth stems from intentional investments in R&D from profit-maximizing firms. The uncertainty arises from the productivity of these investments in R&D. The main result of this analysis is that the relationship between long-run growth and uncertainty (on the productivity of knowledge creation) depends on two main factors - the returns to scale in knowledge creation (increasing or non-increasing) and the value of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (higher or lower than some critical value). Based on empirical studies on the returns to scale in knowledge creation (”non-increasing”) and the value of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (”higher than the critical value”), we expect a negative relationship between long-run growth and uncertainty regarding the productivity of knowledge creation.Long-run growth, Technological change, Uncertainty

On Growth and Fluctuations: The Option to Adobt New Technology

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On Taxation in a Two-Sector Endogenous Growth Model with Endogenous Labor Supply

This paper studies the effects of taxation on long-run growth in a two-sector endogenous growth model with (i) physical capital as an input in the education sector and (ii) leisure as an additional argument in the utility function. Due to the flexibility of labor supply, taxation of income may induce agents to spend more or less time on leisure activities. Income taxation - the same rate applies for capital and labor income - reduces the growth rate. The contribution of endogenous leisure in this case is confined to reducing or increasing the size of the effect on the growth rate. The same is true if only labor income is taxed. However, if only capital income is taxed, the sign of the effect may reverse. In that case, the positive effect of the increase in total non-leisure time dominates the direct negative effect, implying that capital taxation increases the long-run growth rate.

Are older workers overpaid? A literature review

It is widely believed that wage and productivity profiles of individual workers do not coincide at all ages. We give an overview of the theories which provide a rationale for this, and discuss the empirical literature. Human capital theories typically imply that wages rise with tenure, so that job reallocation at old age would imply a wage cut. Incentive theories typically imply that wages exceed productivity at the end of a worker's career. Bargaining power of unions may also lead to 'overpayment' of older workers. Some general conclusions regarding the wages of older workers are formulated on the basis of the authors' reading of the empirical literature.

Analyzing labour supply of elderly people: a life-cycle approach

In light of the ageing of the Dutch society, policy measures aim at increasing the participation rate of elderly workers, particularly in the age-group between 55 and 64. This paper develops a stylized numerical simulation model. This model describes consumption, savings and labour supply behaviour over the life cycle to analyze the labour-market implications of such proposals. For example, we simulate a shift in the (normal) retirement age from 65 to 67, the elimination of the Social Security premium exemption after age 65, and a premium on first-tier pension benefits if the commencement date of these benefits is postponed. Each of these reforms affect the economic outcomes via wealth effects, income effects and inter- and intratemporal substitution effects. The stylized model offers a profound theoretical underpinning which helps us to understand these policy effects over the entire life cycle of individuals. However, the numerical outcomes should be taken with some caution as the model ignores insights of behavioural economics (such as ‘framing effects’).

Anxiety Disorders and Depression in Older Adults

Anxiety disorders and depression are common and complex disorders. Despite decades of research, their etiology is largely unknown. Study of the occurrence and determinants, i.e. the epidemiology of anxiety disorders and depression, helps unravel their etiology. This thesis examines the epidemiology of anxiety disorders and depression in older adults. In particular, comorbidity, health care use, cortisol and atherosclerosis and genetic factors are studied in relation to anxiety and, or depression

Strolling through Mokum : the dynamics of place, sacredness and souls of Amsterdam

Masterthesis Praktische theologi