Risk of sudden cardiac death associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals in the general population

BACKGROUND QRS duration and corrected QT (QTc) interval have been associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD), but no data are available on the significance of repolarization component (JTc interval) of the QTc interval as an independent risk marker in the general population. OBJECTIVE In this study, we sought to quantify the risk of SCD associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals. METHODS This study was conducted using data from 3 population cohorts from different eras, comprising a total of 20,058 individuals. The follow-up period was limited to 10 years and age at baseline to 30-61 years. QRS duration and QT interval (Bazett's) were measured from standard 12-lead electrocardiograms at baseline. JTc interval was defined as QTc interval - QRS duration. Cox proportional hazards models that controlled for confounding clinical factors identified at baseline were used to estimate the relative risk of SCD. RESULTS During a mean period of 9.7 years, 207 SCDs occurred (1.1 per 1000 person-years). QRS duration was associated with a significantly increased risk of SCD in each cohort (pooled hazard ratio [HR] 1.030 per 1-ms increase; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.017-1.043). The QTc interval had borderline to significant associations with SCD and varied among cohorts (pooled HR 1.007; 95% CI 1.001-1.012). JTc interval as a continuous variable was not associated with SCD (pooled HR 1.001; 95% CI 0.996-1.007). CONCLUSION Prolonged QRS durations and QTc intervals are associated with an increased risk of SCD. However, when the QTc interval is deconstructed into QRS and JTc intervals, the repolarization component (JTc) appears to have no independent prognostic value.Peer reviewe

Risk of sudden cardiac death associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals in the general population

BackgroundQRS duration and corrected QT (QTc) interval have been associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD), but no data are available on the significance of repolarization component (JTc interval) of the QTc interval as an independent risk marker in the general population.ObjectiveIn this study, we sought to quantify the risk of SCD associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals.MethodsThis study was conducted using data from 3 population cohorts from different eras, comprising a total of 20,058 individuals. The follow-up period was limited to 10 years and age at baseline to 30–61 years. QRS duration and QT interval (Bazett’s) were measured from standard 12-lead electrocardiograms at baseline. JTc interval was defined as QTc interval – QRS duration. Cox proportional hazards models that controlled for confounding clinical factors identified at baseline were used to estimate the relative risk of SCD.ResultsDuring a mean period of 9.7 years, 207 SCDs occurred (1.1 per 1000 person-years). QRS duration was associated with a significantly increased risk of SCD in each cohort (pooled hazard ratio [HR] 1.030 per 1-ms increase; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.017–1.043). The QTc interval had borderline to significant associations with SCD and varied among cohorts (pooled HR 1.007; 95% CI 1.001–1.012). JTc interval as a continuous variable was not associated with SCD (pooled HR 1.001; 95% CI 0.996–1.007).ConclusionProlonged QRS durations and QTc intervals are associated with an increased risk of SCD. However, when the QTc interval is deconstructed into QRS and JTc intervals, the repolarization component (JTc) appears to have no independent prognostic value.</p

Causes and characteristics of unexpected sudden cardiac death in octogenarians/nonagenarians

Abstract Introduction: The risk for sudden cardiac death (SCD) increases with ageing. Methods: We evaluated causes and characteristics of unexpected SCD in SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years in a consecutive series of 5,869 SCD victims in Northern Finland. All the victims underwent medico-legal autopsy as medico-legal autopsy is mandatory in cases of unexpected sudden death in Finland. All the non-cardiac deaths such as pulmonary embolism and cerebral hemorrhage were excluded from the study, as were unnatural deaths such as intoxications. Results: Among SCD victims ≥ 80 years, 91.0% of SCDs were due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) determined in autopsy and 9.0% due to non-ischemic heart disease (NIHD), whereas among those &lt; 80 years, only 72.6% of SCDs were due to IHD and 27.4% due to NIHD (P &lt; .001). Severe fibrosis in myocardium was more common whereas heart weight and liver weight, body mass index and abdominal fat thickness, were lower among SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years than among victims aged &lt; 80 years. In those with IHD as etiology of SCD, at least 75% stenosis in one or more major coronary vessels was more common in SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years than among victims aged &lt; 80 years (P = .001). SCD victims 80 years or older were less likely to die during physical activity than those under 80 years old (5.6% vs. 15.9%, P &lt; .001). Dying in sauna was more common among those ≥ 80 years than among those &lt; 80 years (5.5% vs. 2.6%, P &lt; .001). Conclusion: In victims of unexpected SCD aged ≥ 80 years, the autopsy-based etiology of SCD was more commonly IHD than in those aged &lt; 80 years. In SCD victims aged ≥ 80 years, severe fibrosis in myocardium, representing arrhythmic substrate, was more common than in the younger ones

Risk factors associated with atrioventricular block

Abstract Importance: Pacemaker implantations as a treatment for atrioventricular (AV) block are increasing worldwide. Prevention strategies for AV block are lacking because modifiable risk factors have not yet been identified. Objective: To identify risk factors for AV block in community-dwelling individuals. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this population-based cohort study, data from the Mini-Finland Health Survey, conducted from January 1, 1978, to December 31, 1980, were used to examine demographics, comorbidities, habits, and laboratory and electrocardiographic (ECG) measurements as potential risk factors for incident AV block. Data were ascertained during follow-up from January 1, 1987, through December 31, 2011, using a nationwide registry. A total of 6146 community-dwelling individuals were included in the analysis performed from January 15 through April 3, 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incidence of AV block (hospitalization for second- or third-degree AV block). Results: Among the 6146 participants (3449 [56.1%] women; mean [SD] age, 49.2 [12.9] years), 529 (8.6%) had ECG evidence of conduction disease and 58 (0.9%) experienced a hospitalization with AV block. Older age (hazard ratio [HR] per 5-year increment, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.16–1.54; P &lt; 0.001), male sex (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.19–3.45; P = 0.01), a history of myocardial infarction (HR, 3.54; 95% CI, 1.33–9.42; P = 0.01), and a history of congestive heart failure (HR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.10–10.09; P = 0.03) were each independently associated with AV block. Two modifiable risk factors were also independently associated with AV block. Every 10–mm Hg increase in systolic blood pressure was associated with a 22% higher risk (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.10–1.34; P = 0.005), and every 20-mg/dL increase in fasting glucose level was associated with a 22% higher risk (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08–1.35; P = 0.001). Both risk factors remained statistically significant (HR for systolic blood pressure, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.06–1.49; P = 0.007]; HR for glucose level, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.04–1.43; P = 0.01]) after adjustment for major adverse coronary events during the follow-up period. In population-attributable risk assessment, an estimated 47% (95% CI, 8%–67%) of AV blocks may have been avoided if all participants exhibited ideal blood pressure and 11% (95% CI, 2%–21%) may have been avoided if all had a normal fasting glucose level. Conclusions and Relevance: In this analysis of data from a population-based cohort study, suboptimal blood pressure and fasting glucose level were associated with AV block. These results suggest that a large proportion of AV blocks are assocated with these risk factors, even after adjusting for other major adverse coronary events

Impact of age and sex on the long-term prognosis associated with early repolarization in the general population

Abstract Background: Early repolarization (ER) has been linked to the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the general population, although controversy remains regarding risks across various subgroups. Objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether age and sex influence the prognostic significance of ER. Methods: We evaluated the 12-lead electrocardiograms of 6631 Finnish general population subjects age ≥30 years (mean age 50.1 ± 13.9 years; 44.5% men) for the presence of ER (J-point elevation ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 inferior/lateral leads) and followed them for 24.4 ± 10.3 years. We analyzed the association between ER and the risk of SCD, cardiac death, and all-cause mortality in subgroups according to age (&lt;50 or ≥50 years) and sex. Results: ER was present in 367 of the 3305 subjects age &lt;50 years and in 426 of 3326 subjects ≥50 years. ER was not associated with any of the endpoints in the entire study population. After adjusting for clinical factors, ER was associated with SCD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16–3.07) in subjects &lt;50 but not in older subjects (interaction between ER and age group, P = .048). In the younger subgroup, women with ER had a high risk of SCD (HR 4.11; 95% CI 1.41–12.03), whereas among men ER was not associated with SCD. Finally, ER was not associated with cardiac mortality or all-cause mortality in either age group. Conclusion: ER is associated with SCD in subjects younger than 50 years, particularly in women, but not in subjects 50 years and older

Prevalence and prognostic significance of negative U-waves in a 12-lead electrocardiogram in the general population

Abstract Negative U-waves are a relatively rare finding in an electrocardiogram (ECG), but are often associated with cardiac disease. The prognostic significance of negative U-waves in the general population is unknown. We evaluated 12-lead ECGs of 6,518 adults (45% male, mean age 50.9 ± 13.8 years) for the presence of U-waves, and followed the subjects for 24.5 ± 10.3 years. Primary end points were all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and sudden cardiac death; secondary end point was hospitalization due to cardiac causes. Negative U-waves (amplitude ≥0.05 mV) were present in 231 subjects (3.5%), minor negative (amplitude &lt;0.05 mV) or discordant U-waves in 1,004 subjects (15.4%), normal positive U-waves in 3,950 (60.6%) subjects, and no U-waves were observed in 603 subjects (9.3%). In 730 subjects (11.2%), U-waves were unassessable. When adjusted for age and gender, negative U-waves were associated with all end points (p &lt;0.01). In an analysis adjusted for multiple demographic and clinical factors, in men, negative U-waves were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.60; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26 to 2.03; p &lt;0.001), cardiac mortality (HR 1.74; 95% CI 1.26 to 2.39; p = 0.001), and cardiac hospitalization (HR 1.67; 95% CI 1.27 to 2.18; p &lt;0.001), but not with sudden cardiac death, whereas women did not show a significant association to any of the end points (p &gt;0.30). In conclusion, negative U-waves are associated with adverse events in the general population. In men, this association is independent of cardiovascular risk factors

Experiences in digitizing and digitally measuring a paper-based ECG archive

Abstract Background: No established method for digitizing and digital measuring of paper electrocardiograms (ECG) exists. We describe a paper ECG digitizing and digital measuring process, and report comparability to manual measurements. Methods: A paper ECG was recorded from 7203 health survey participants in 1978–1980. With specific software, the ECGs were digitized (ECG Trace Tool), and measured digitally (EASE). A sub-sample of 100 ECGs was selected for manual measurements. Results: The measurement methods showed good agreement. The mean global (EASE)-(manual) differences were 1.4 ms (95% CI 0.5–2.2) for PR interval, −1.0 ms (95% CI −1.5–[−0.5]) for QRS duration, and 11.6 ms (95% CI 10.5–12.7) for QT interval. The mean inter-method amplitude differences of RampV5, RampV6, SampV1, TampII and TampV5 ranged from −0.03 mV to 0.01 mV. Conclusions: The presented paper-to-digital conversion and digital measurement process is an accurate and reliable method, enabling efficient storing and analysis of paper ECGs

Electrocardiographic risk markers for heart failure in women versus men

Abstract Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of hospitalization in the Western world. Women have a lower HF hospitalization rate and mortality compared with men. The role of electrocardiography as a risk marker of future HF in women is not well known. We studied association of electrocardiographic (ECG) risk factors for HF hospitalization in women from a large middle-aged general population with a long-term follow-up and compared the risk profile to men. Standard 12-lead ECG markers were analyzed from 10,864 subjects (49% women), and their predictive value for HF hospitalization was analyzed. During the follow-up (30 ± 11 years), a total of 1,743 subjects had HF hospitalization; of these, 861 were women (49%). Several baseline characteristics, such as age, body mass index, blood pressure, and history of previous cardiac disease predicted the occurrence of HF both in women and men (p &lt;0.001 for all). After adjusting for baseline variables, ECG sign of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (p &lt;0.001), and atrial fibrillation (p &lt;0.001) were the only baseline ECG variables that predicted future HF in women. In men, HF was predicted by fast heart rate (p = 0.008), T wave inversions (p &lt;0.001), abnormal Q-waves (p = 0.002), and atrial fibrillation (p &lt;0.001). Statistically significant gender interactions in prediction of HF were observed in ECG sign of LVH, inferolateral T wave inversions, and heart rate. In conclusion, ECG sign of LVH predicts future HF in middle-aged women, and T wave inversions and elevated heart rate are associated with HF hospitalization in men

Prognostic significance of flat T-waves in the lateral leads in general population

Abstract Background: Negative T-waves are associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk in the general population. Whether flat T-waves also predict SCD is not known. The aim of the study was to examine the clinical characteristics and risk of SCD in general population subjects with flat T-waves. Methods: We examined the electrocardiograms of 6750 Finnish general population adults aged ≥30 years and classified the subjects into 3 groups: 1) negative T-waves with an amplitude ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4–V6, 2) negative or positive low amplitude T-waves with an amplitude &lt;0.1 mV and the ratio of T-wave and R-wave &lt;10% in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4–V6, and 3) normal positive T-waves (not meeting the aforesaid criteria). The association between T-wave classification and SCD was assessed during a 10-year follow-up. Results: A total of 215 (3.2%) subjects had negative T-waves, 856 (12.7%) flat T-waves, and 5679 (84.1%) normal T-waves. Flat T-wave subjects were older and had more often cardiovascular morbidities compared to normal T-wave subjects, while negative T-wave subjects were the oldest and had most often cardiovascular morbidities. After adjusting for multiple factors, both flat T-waves (hazard ratio [HR] 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13–2.91) and negative T-waves (HR 3.27; 95% CI 1.85–5.78) associated with SCD. Conclusions: Cardiovascular risk factors and disease are common among subjects with flat T-waves, but these minor T-wave abnormalities are also independently associated with increased SCD risk