Short-Term Solar Power Forecasting Based on CEEMDAN and Kernel Extreme Learning Machine

The use of renewable energy sources contributes to environmental awareness and sustainable development policy. The inexhaustible and nonpolluting nature of solar energy has attracted worldwide attention. Accurate forecasting of solar power is vital for the reliability and stability of power systems. However, the effect of the intermittency nature of solar radiation makes the development of accurate prediction models challenging. This paper presents a hybrid model based on Kernel Extreme Learning Machine (Kernel-ELM) and Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) for short-term solar power forecasting. The decomposition technique increases the number of stable, stationary, and regular patterns of the original signals. Each decomposed signal is fed into Kernel-ELM. To validate the performance of the hybrid model, solar power data from the BSEU Renewable Energy Laboratory, measured at 5-minute intervals, are used. To validate the proposed model, its performance is compared to some state-of-the-art forecasting models with seasonal data. The results highlight the good performance of the proposed hybrid model compared to other classical algorithms according to the metrics

Global respiratory syncytial virus–related infant community deaths

Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of pediatric death, with >99% of mortality occurring in low- and lower middle-income countries. At least half of RSV-related deaths are estimated to occur in the community, but clinical characteristics of this group of children remain poorly characterized. Methods The RSV Global Online Mortality Database (RSV GOLD), a global registry of under-5 children who have died with RSV-related illness, describes clinical characteristics of children dying of RSV through global data sharing. RSV GOLD acts as a collaborative platform for global deaths, including community mortality studies described in this supplement. We aimed to compare the age distribution of infant deaths <6 months occurring in the community with in-hospital. Results We studied 829 RSV-related deaths <1 year of age from 38 developing countries, including 166 community deaths from 12 countries. There were 629 deaths that occurred <6 months, of which 156 (25%) occurred in the community. Among infants who died before 6 months of age, median age at death in the community (1.5 months; IQR: 0.8−3.3) was lower than in-hospital (2.4 months; IQR: 1.5−4.0; P < .0001). The proportion of neonatal deaths was higher in the community (29%, 46/156) than in-hospital (12%, 57/473, P < 0.0001). Conclusions We observed that children in the community die at a younger age. We expect that maternal vaccination or immunoprophylaxis against RSV will have a larger impact on RSV-related mortality in the community than in-hospital. This case series of RSV-related community deaths, made possible through global data sharing, allowed us to assess the potential impact of future RSV vaccines

USE OF INTRAVENOUS LIPID EMULSION THERAPY IN A CASE OF ATOMOXETINE (STRATTERA (R)) TOXICITY

Background: Clinical manifestations after overdose of atomoxetine are generally mild. However, it may have moderate or severe toxic effects such as drowsiness, agitation, hyperactivity, tremors, tachycardia, hyperreflexia, hypertension, and seizures. The duration of symptoms is usually short, lasting < 24 h. We report a case of atomoxetine toxicity, which can be considered of value, as intravenous lipid emulsion therapy has not been previously reported in an overdose of atomoxetine. This is a case of atomoxetine toxicity initially thought to be sertraline. Case Report: The case is presented of a 14-year-old girl with seizures following an overdose of atomoxetine who was unresponsive to intravenous benzodiazepine, but showed an improvement in overall condition after intravenous lipid emulsion therapy. To the best of our knowledge, there has been no previous report in the literature of the use of intravenous lipid therapy after atomoxetine overdose. Why Should an Emergency Physician Be Aware of This?: Intravenous lipid emulsion therapy is used as an alternative therapy in acute lipophilic drug intoxications. In children and adults, there is an increase in the use of intravenous lipid emulsion therapy in the life-threatening toxicity of many lipophilic drugs. Intravenous lipid emulsion therapy provides 'lipid sink' for toxic, lipophilic drugs, thereby effectively keeping toxic and lipophilic drugs out of the periphery. Intravenous lipid emulsion therapy reduces the distribution of lipophilic drugs. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.WOS:0005726772000032-s2.0-85085772010PubMed: 3250544

Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D is associated with insulin resistance independently of obesity in children ages 5-17

Aim: To determine the association of vitamin D with insulin resistance and obesity in children. Methods: A total of 92 obese and 58 non-obese children aged 5-17 years were evaluated. Data were collected related to anthropometric (weight, height), and biochemical parameters (fasting plasma glucose, serum insulin, serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D, lipid profile, vitamin B12, parathormone) and physical examination (blood pressure, acanthosis nigricans, stria, lipomastia). Insulin resistance (IR) was calculated using the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA). HOMA-IR = fasting insulin level (mu U/ml) x fasting glucose (mg/dL)/405. A HOMA-IR value >2.5 was defined as insulin resistance. Results: According to the US Endocrine Society classification, vitamin D deficiency (0-20 ng/ml) was determined at significantly higher rates in the obese group than in the control group (p < 0.001). The rate of subjects with a vitamin D level of 20-30 ng/ml was significantly lower in the obese group than in the control group (p < 0.001) Within the obese group a statistically significant difference was determined between the insulin resistant and non-insulin resistant groups in respect of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels (p = 0.001) and vitamin B12 levels (p = 0.001). A significant negative correlation was determined between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and HOMA-IR (r=-0.256, p = 0.016) and insulin (r = -0.258, p = 0.015). The systolic blood pressure (p = 0.001) and diastolic blood pressure (p = 0.003) values were significantly different in the control and obese groups. A statistically significant difference was determined between the control and obese groups in terms of the levels of insulin, HOMA-IR, HbA1c, cortisol, LDL, total cholesterol, HDL, triglyceride, hemoglobin, MCV, MPV, and calcium. Conclusion: The prevalence of vitamin D deficiency was higher in obese children compared to normal weight and overweight children. Serum 25(OH)D levels showed a negative correlation with insulin and HOMA-IR. Serum 25(OH)D is associated with insulin resistance independently of obesity. (C) 2020 Primary Care Diabetes Europe. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.WOS:0005945322000012-s2.0-85087172099PubMed: 3261639

Pediatric Tracheotomies: A 5-Year Experience in Duzce University Medical Faculty

WOS: 000369048900004PubMed ID: 29391991Objective: Tracheotomy is one of the oldest surgical procedures. Pediatric tracheotomy indications have changed in recent decades. Currently, tracheotomy is performed because of prolonged intubation, upper airway obstruction, neuromuscular, and craniofacial anomalies instead of acute airway infections. This study aims to present our experience regarding indications and complications of tracheotomy in pediatric patients. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 17 pediatric patients who underwent tracheotomy because of prolonged intubation, increased pulmonary secretions, and upper respiratory tract obstruction from June 2010 to June 2015. The patients' age, gender, tracheotomy indications, duration of intubation, complications, and actual clinical condition were recorded. Results: Tracheotomy was performed on 17 pediatric patients in our clinic. Discharged patients were followed with a 3-month routine check. Six patients (35.29%) had died because of a primary disease during follow-up, and one (5.88%) of them was a one-day-old newborn who had anomalies that were incompatible with life. In one patient, emergency tracheotomy was performed because of a tracheal trauma. None of the patients has been decannulated except one (5.88%). One (5.88%) patient had an accidental decannulation, while another had bleeding in the operation field. The total minor complication rate was 11.76%, and no major complication was observed. Two (11.76%) of the discharged patients underwent re-operation for widening of the tracheotomy stoma during their routine visit. Conclusion: Currently, tracheotomy in pediatric patients is mostly performed for prolonged intubation and upper respiratory tract obstruction for which intubation is not possible. Tracheotomy enables the discharge of these patients after training their families

Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children Admitted to a Tertiary Pediatric Intensive Care Unit

Background Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is characterized by persistent fever, abdominal pain, vomiting, diarrhea, rash, conjunctivitis, headaches, and mucocutaneous manifestations and it can cause circulatory dysfunction, resulting in hypotension, shock, and end-organ injury in the heart and other organs and possibly death. In this study, we aimed to analyze the clinical spectrum, treatment options and outcomes of children with MIS-C who were admitted to our pediatric intensive care (PICU)

Mortality risk factors among critically ill children with MIS-C in PICUs: a multicenter study

Background: This study evaluated of clinical characteristics, outcomes, and mortality risk factors of a severe multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children admitted to a the pediatric intensive care unit. Methods: A retrospective multicenter cohort study was conducted between March 2020 and April 2021 at 41 PICUs in Turkey. The study population comprised 322 children diagnosed with multisystem inflammatory syndrome. Results: The organ systems most commonly involved were the cardiovascular and hematological systems. Intravenous immunoglobulin was used in 294 (91.3%) patients and corticosteroids in 266 (82.6%). Seventy-five (23.3%) children received therapeutic plasma exchange treatment. Patients with a longer duration of the PICU stay had more frequent respiratory, hematological, or renal involvement, and also had higher D-dimer, CK-MB, and procalcitonin levels. A total of 16 patients died, with mortality higher in patients with renal, respiratory, or neurological involvement, with severe cardiac impairment or shock. The non-surviving group also had higher leukocyte counts, lactate and ferritin levels, and a need for mechanical ventilation. Conclusions: In cases of MIS-C, high levels of D-dimer and CK-MB are associated with a longer duration of PICU stay. Non-survival correlates with elevated leukocyte counts and lactate and ferritin levels. We were unable to show any positive effect of therapeutic plasma exchange therapy on mortality. Impact: MIS-C is a life-threatening condition.Patients need to be followed up in the intensive care unit.Early detection of factors associated with mortality can improve outcomes.Determining the factors associated with mortality and length of stay will help clinicians in patient management.High D-dimer and CK-MB levels were associated with longer PICU stay, and higher leukocyte counts, ferritin and lactate levels, and mechanical ventilation were associated with mortality in MIS-C patients.We were unable to show any positive effect of therapeutic plasma exchange therapy on mortality