18 research outputs found

    Ebola virus disease and critical illness

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    Rates and Determinants of Hospital-Acquired Infection among ICU Patients Undergoing Cardiac Surgery in Developing Countries: Results from EMERGENCY’NGO’s Hospital in Sudan

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    Introduction. Knowledge of local and regional antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is crucial in clinical decision-making, especially with critically ill patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the rate and pattern of infections in valvular heart disease patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at the Salam Centre for Cardiac Surgery in Khartoum, Sudan (run by EMERGENCY NGO). Methods. This is a retrospective, observational study from a single, large international referral centre (part of a Regional Programme), which enrolled patients admitted to the ICU between 1 January and 31 December 2019. Data collected for each patient included demographic data, operating theatre/ICU data and microbiological cultures. Results. Over the study period, 611 patients were enrolled (elective surgery n = 491, urgent surgery n = 34 and urgent medical care n = 86). The infection rate was 14.2% and turned out to be higher in medical than in surgical patients (25.6% vs. 12.4%; p = 0.002; OR = 2.43) and higher in those undergoing urgent surgery than those undergoing elective (29.4% vs. 11.2%; p = 0.004; OR = 3.3). Infection was related to (a) SOFA score (p < 0.001), (b) ICU length of stay (p < 0.001) and (c) days from ICU admission to OT (p = 0.003). A significant relationship between the type of admission (elective, urgent surgery or medical) and the presence of infections was found (p < 0.001). The mortality rate was higher among infected patients (infected vs. infection-free: 10.3% vs. 2.1%; p < 0.001; OR = 5.38; 95% CI: 2.16–13.4; p < 0.001). Conclusions. Hospital-acquired infections remain a relevant preventable cause of mortality in our particular population

    Are adaptive randomised trials or non-randomised studies the best way to address the Ebola outbreak in west Africa?

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    The Ebola outbreak that has devastated parts of west Africa represents an unprecedented challenge for research and ethics. Estimates from the past three decades emphasise that the present effort to contain the epidemic in the three most affected countries (Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone) has been insufficient, with more than 24 900 cases and about 10 300 deaths, as of March 25, 2015. Faced with such an exceptional event and the urgent response it demands, the use of randomised controlled trials (RCT) for Ebola-related research might be both unethical and infeasible and that potential interventions should be assessed in non-randomised studies on the basis of compassionate use. However, non-randomised studies might not yield valid conclusions, leading to large residual uncertainty about how to interpret the results, and can also waste scarce intervention-related resources, making them profoundly unethical. Scientifically sound and rigorous study designs, such as adaptive RCTs, could provide the best way to reduce the time needed to develop new interventions and to obtain valid results on their efficacy and safety while preserving the application of ethical precepts. We present an overview of clinical studies registered at present at the four main international trial registries and provide a simulation on how adaptive RCTs can behave in this context, when mortality varies simultaneously in either the control or the experimental group

    Non-inferiority versus superiority trial design for new antibiotics in an era of high antimicrobial resistance: the case for post-marketing, adaptive randomised controlled trials

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    Antimicrobial resistance is one of the most important threats to global health security. A range of Gram-negative bacteria associated with high morbidity and mortality are now resistant to almost all available antibiotics. In this context of urgency to develop novel drugs, new antibiotics for multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (namely, ceftazidime-avibactam, plazomicin, and meropenem-vaborbactam) have been approved by regulatory authorities based on non-inferiority trials that provided no direct evidence of their efficacy against multidrug-resistant bacteria such as Enterobacteriaceae spp, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Burkholderia cepacia, and Acinetobacter baumannii. The use of non-inferiority and superiority trials, and selection of appropriate and optimal study designs, remains a major challenge in the development, registration, and post-marketing implementation of new antibiotics. Using an example of the development process of ceftazidime-avibactam, we propose a strategy for a new research framework based on adaptive randomised clinical trials. The operational research strategy has the aim of assessing the efficacy of new antibiotics in special groups of patients, such as those infected with multidrug-resistant bacteria, who were not included in earlier phase studies, and for whom it is important to establish an appropriate standard of care

    Non-randomised Ebola trials-lessons for optimal outbreak research

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    Peter William Horby and colleagues1,2 contest our views about the need for randomised clinical trials (RCT)3 and the missed opportunities for an effective Europe–Africa research framework4 during the recent Ebola virus disease outbreak in west Africa. In stating their case against the need for randomised studies, the authors quote Byar and colleagues5 as supporting the use of non-randomised designs. However, Byar and colleagues in fact do strongly support randomisation, and recommend randomisation even in phase 1 trials. They emphasise the pivotal role of randomisation, and suggest that in emerging infections, the use of non-randomised studies was justified only when five conditions were simultaneously met: (1) “there must be sufficient experience to ensure that the patients not receiving therapy will have a uniformly poor prognosis”; (2) “the therapy must not be expected to have substantial side-effects”; (3) “there must be a justifiable expectation that the potential benefit to the patient will be sufficiently large to make interpretation of a non-RCT unambiguous”; (4) “the scientific rationale for the treatment must be sufficiently strong that a positive result would be widely accepted”; and (5) “there must be no other treatment appropriate to use as a control”. As we have argued,3 these conditions were not met during the recent Ebola virus disease epidemic
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