Human capital futures in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus amid aging, depopulation, and high skilled emigration

Eastern Europe is a demographic frontrunner among late-stage Demographic Transition societies. The feared consequences of its aging, brain drain, and depopulation have drawn major political attention in the region. To assess the inevitability of such trends, a new multi-dimensional demographic model projects the populations of Armenia, Georgia, North Macedonia, Romania, and Ukraine. A range of futures beyond a baseline scenario were investigated, reflecting emigration intentions and desired fertility. Findings suggest that from 2020 to 2050 the five populations would decline by 5%-36% and the proportion aged 65+ would increase by 48%-99%, but concurrently see a 7%-49% relative rise in skilled human capital (vocational or tertiary education) among those aged 20-64. Depending on whether policy succeeds in helping people achieve their desired fertility or lowering brain drain pressures, these potential outcomes can become considerably more moderate or magnified

Peracute Infection of Swine With Salmonella

It has recently been experimentally demonstrated that pigs exposed naturally to Salmonella on the floor of abattoir holding pens can become infected between two and six hours after being placed in the pens. In addition we have demonstrated that tonsillar tissue are almost immediately culture positive following such exposure under experimental conditions. The objective of this study was to determine the shortest amount of time necessary for infection of selected tissues and to determine if the tonsil served as a route for Salmonella entry into lymphoid tissues draining the tonsil. Forty-four Salmonella-negative, market age pigs (90 to 110 kg) were fasted overnight and exposed to approximately 2 X 106 Salmonella enterica serotype Typhimurium strain X4232 (nalidixic acid resistant). The bacteria were mixed with a fecal slurry and the slurry spread on the floor of the pens. Pigs were euthanized at 15, 30, 45, 60 and 120 minutes following initial exposure. Tonsil of the soft palate, medial retropharyngeal lymph node, ileocecal lymph node, a five centimeter section of the terminal ileum, cecal contents and 100 ml of blood were cultured for Salmonella. Strain X4232 was isolated from 98 % (43/44) of tonsils. Strain X4232 was isolated from the ileocecal lymph node within 45 minutes (2/9 pigs), terminal ileum within 15 minutes (1/9 pigs), cecal contents within 15 minutes (1/9 pigs), and blood within 45 minutes (1/9 pigs). Strain X4232 was not recovered from the medial retropharyngeal lymph node, indicating that the organism did not move rapidly into this node from the tonsil of the soft palate. Results of this study indicate that Salmonella can be recovered from selected tissues in market age swine in less than the normal two hour abattoir holding time

Noise suppression by noise

We have analyzed the interplay between an externally added noise and the intrinsic noise of systems that relax fast towards a stationary state, and found that increasing the intensity of the external noise can reduce the total noise of the system. We have established a general criterion for the appearance of this phenomenon and discussed two examples in detail.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figure

Nonstationary Stochastic Resonance in a Single Neuron-Like System

Stochastic resonance holds much promise for the detection of weak signals in the presence of relatively loud noise. Following the discovery of nondynamical and of aperiodic stochastic resonance, it was recently shown that the phenomenon can manifest itself even in the presence of nonstationary signals. This was found in a composite system of differentiated trigger mechanisms mounted in parallel, which suggests that it could be realized in some elementary neural networks or nonlinear electronic circuits. Here, we find that even an individual trigger system may be able to detect weak nonstationary signals using stochastic resonance. The very simple modification to the trigger mechanism that makes this possible is reminiscent of some aspects of actual neuron physics. Stochastic resonance may thus become relevant to more types of biological or electronic systems injected with an ever broader class of realistic signals.Comment: Plain Latex, 7 figure

Functional Dissection of the Neural Substrates for Sexual Behaviors in Drosophila melanogaster

The male-specific Fruitless proteins (FruM) act to establish the potential for male courtship behavior in Drosophila melanogaster and are expressed in small groups of neurons throughout the nervous system. We screened ∼1000 GAL4 lines, using assays for general courtship, male–male interactions, and male fertility to determine the phenotypes resulting from the GAL4-driven inhibition of FruM expression in subsets of these neurons. A battery of secondary assays showed that the phenotypic classes of GAL4 lines could be divided into subgroups on the basis of additional neurobiological and behavioral criteria. For example, in some lines, restoration of FruM expression in cholinergic neurons restores fertility or reduces male–male courtship. Persistent chains of males courting each other in some lines results from males courting both sexes indiscriminately, whereas in other lines this phenotype results from apparent habituation deficits. Inhibition of ectopic FruM expression in females, in populations of neurons where FruM is necessary for male fertility, can rescue female infertility. To identify the neurons responsible for some of the observed behavioral alterations, we determined the overlap between the identified GAL4 lines and endogenous FruM expression in lines with fertility defects. The GAL4 lines causing fertility defects generally had widespread overlap with FruM expression in many regions of the nervous system, suggesting likely redundant FruM-expressing neuronal pathways capable of conferring male fertility. From associations between the screened behaviors, we propose a functional model for courtship initiation

Synchronization and resonance in a driven system of coupled oscillators

We study the noise effects in a driven system of globally coupled oscillators, with particular attention to the interplay between driving and noise. The self-consistency equation for the order parameter, which measures the collective synchronization of the system, is derived; it is found that the total order parameter decreases monotonically with noise, indicating overall suppression of synchronization. Still, for large coupling strengths, there exists an optimal noise level at which the periodic (ac) component of the order parameter reaches its maximum. The response of the phase velocity is also examined and found to display resonance behavior.Comment: 17 pages, 3 figure

Phase synchronization and noise-induced resonance in systems of coupled oscillators

We study synchronization and noise-induced resonance phenomena in systems of globally coupled oscillators, each possessing finite inertia. The behavior of the order parameter, which measures collective synchronization of the system, is investigated as the noise level and the coupling strength are varied, and hysteretic behavior is manifested. The power spectrum of the phase velocity is also examined and the quality factor as well as the response function is obtained to reveal noise-induced resonance behavior.Comment: to be published in Phys. Rev.