Machine Learning Approaches for Principle Prediction in Naturally Occurring Stories

Value alignment is the task of creating autonomous systems whose values align with those of humans. Past work has shown that stories are a potentially rich source of information on human values; however, past work has been limited to considering values in a binary sense. In this work, we explore the use of machine learning models for the task of normative principle prediction on naturally occurring story data. To do this, we extend a dataset that has been previously used to train a binary normative classifier with annotations of moral principles. We then use this dataset to train a variety of machine learning models, evaluate these models and compare their results against humans who were asked to perform the same task. We show that while individual principles can be classified, the ambiguity of what "moral principles" represent, poses a challenge for both human participants and autonomous systems which are faced with the same task.Comment: Nahian and Frazier contributed equally to this wor

Emergency medical services (Ems) transportation of trauma patients by geographic locations and in-hospital outcomes: Experience from qatar

Background: Prehospital care provided by emergency medical services (EMS) plays an important role in improving patient outcomes. Globally, prehospital care varies across countries and even within the same country by the geographic location and access to medical services. We aimed to explore the prehospital trauma care and in-hospital outcomes within the urban and rural areas in the state of Qatar. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted utilizing data from the Qatar National Trauma Registry for trauma patients who were transported by EMS to a level 1 trauma center between 2017 and 2018. Data were analyzed and compared between urban and rural areas and among the different municipalities in which the incidents occurred. Results: Across the study duration, 1761 patients were transported by EMS. Of that, 59% were transported from an urban area and 41% from rural areas. There were significant differences in the on-scene time and total prehospital time as a function of urban and rural areas and municipalities; however, the response time across the study groups was comparable. There were no significant differences in blood transfusion, intubation, hospital length of stay, and mortality. Conclusion: Within different areas in Qatar, the EMS response time and in-hospital outcomes were comparable. This indicates that the provision of prehospital care across the country is similar. The prehospital and acute in-hospital care are accessible for everyone in the country at no cost. Understanding the differences in EMS utilization and prehospital times contributes to the policy development in terms of equitable distribution of healthcare resources

Population screening for colorectal cancer: the implications of an ageing population

Population screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) has recently commenced in the United Kingdom supported by the evidence of a number of randomised trials and pilot studies. Certain factors are known to influence screening cost-effectiveness (e.g. compliance), but it remains unclear whether an ageing population (i.e. demographic change) might also have an effect. The aim of this study was to simulate a population-based screening setting using a Markov model and assess the effect of increasing life expectancy on CRC screening cost-effectiveness. A Markov model was constructed that aimed, using a cohort simulation, to estimate the cost-effectiveness of CRC screening in an England and Wales population for two timescales: 2003 (early cohort) and 2033 (late cohort). Four model outcomes were calculated; screened and non-screened cohorts in 2003 and 2033. The screened cohort of men and women aged 60 years were offered biennial unhydrated faecal occult blood testing until the age of 69 years. Life expectancy was assumed to increase by 2.5 years per decade. There were 407 552 fewer people entering the model in the 2033 model due to a lower birth cohort, and population screening saw 30 345 fewer CRC-related deaths over the 50 years of the model. Screening the 2033 cohort cost £96 million with cost savings of £43 million in terms of detection and treatment and £28 million in palliative care costs. After 30 years of follow-up, the cost per life year saved was £1544. An identical screening programme in an early cohort (2003) saw a cost per life year saved of £1651. Population screening for CRC is costly but enables cost savings in certain areas and a considerable reduction in mortality from CRC. This Markov simulation suggests that the cost-effectiveness of population screening for CRC in the United Kingdom may actually be improved by rising life expectancies

Advancing clinical and translational research in germ cell tumours (GCT): recommendations from the Malignant Germ Cell International Consortium

YesGerm cell tumours (GCTs) are a heterogeneous group of rare neoplasms that present in different anatomical sites and across a wide spectrum of patient ages from birth through to adulthood. Once these strata are applied, cohort numbers become modest, hindering inferences regarding management and therapeutic advances. Moreover, patients with GCTs are treated by different medical professionals including paediatric oncologists, neuro-oncologists, medical oncologists, neurosurgeons, gynaecological oncologists, surgeons, and urologists. Silos of care have thus formed, further hampering knowledge dissemination between specialists. Dedicated biobank specimen collection is therefore critical to foster continuous growth in our understanding of similarities and differences by age, gender, and site, particularly for rare cancers such as GCTs. Here, the Malignant Germ Cell International Consortium provides a framework to create a sustainable, global research infrastructure that facilitates acquisition of tissue and liquid biopsies together with matched clinical data sets that reflect the diversity of GCTs. Such an effort would create an invaluable repository of clinical and biological data which can underpin international collaborations that span professional boundaries, translate into clinical practice, and ultimately impact patient outcomes.ALF, JFA, and MJM declare funding from St Baldrick’s Foundation; grant reference number 358099

Dynamic analysis of falling weight deflectometer

Falling weight deflectometer (FWD) testing has been used to evaluate structural condition of pavements to predict the layer moduli using backcalculation process. However, the predicted pavement layer moduli sometimes may not be accurate even if computed and measured deflection basin has fulfilled the standard and is in concurrence with certain tolerable limits. The characteristics of pavement structure, including pavement layer thickness condition and temperature variation, affect the predicted pavement structural capacity and back calculated layer modulus. The main objective of this study is to analyze the FWD test results of flexible pavement in Western Australia to predict the pavement structural capacity. Collected data includes, in addition to FWD measurements, core data and pavement distress surveys. Results showed that the dynamic analysis of falling weight deflectometer test and prediction for the strength of character of flexible pavement layer moduli have been achieved, and algorithms for interpretation of the deflection basin have been improved. The variations of moduli of all layers along the length of sections for majority of the projects are accurate and consistent with measured and computed prediction. However, some of the projects had some inconsistent with modulus values along the length of the sections. Results are reasonable but consideration should be taken to fix varied pavement layers moduli sections. © 2016 Periodical Offices of Chang'an University

Mineral maturity and crystallinity index are distinct characteristics of bone mineral

The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that mineral maturity and crystallinity index are two different characteristics of bone mineral. To this end, Fourier transform infrared microspectroscopy (FTIRM) was used. To test our hypothesis, synthetic apatites and human bone samples were used for the validation of the two parameters using FTIRM. Iliac crest samples from seven human controls and two with skeletal fluorosis were analyzed at the bone structural unit (BSU) level by FTIRM on sections 2–4 lm thick. Mineral maturity and crystallinity index were highly correlated in synthetic apatites but poorly correlated in normal human bone. In skeletal fluorosis, crystallinity index was increased and maturity decreased, supporting the fact of separate measurement of these two parameters. Moreover, results obtained in fluorosis suggested that mineral characteristics can be modified independently of bone remodeling. In conclusion, mineral maturity and crystallinity index are two different parameters measured separately by FTIRM and offering new perspectives to assess bone mineral traits in osteoporosis

Adolescent diet and risk of breast cancer

BACKGROUND: Early life exposures, including diet, have been implicated in the etiology of breast cancer. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted among participants in the Nurses' Health Study who completed a 24-item questionnaire about diet during high school. There were 843 eligible cases diagnosed between onset of study (1976) and before the return of the high school diet questionnaire (1986), who were matched 10:1 with controls on the basis of age. RESULTS: Women who had, during adolescence, a higher consumption of eggs, vegetable fat and fiber had a lower risk of breast cancer, whereas risk of breast cancer was increased among women who consumed more butter. CONCLUSIONS: A possible association of elements of adolescent diet with risk of breast cancer is reported, but the findings require confirmation in prospective study

Stage at diagnosis for childhood solid cancers in Australia: A population-based study

BACKGROUND: Stage of cancer at diagnosis is one of the strongest predictors of survival and is essential for population cancer surveillance, comparison of cancer outcomes and to guide national cancer control strategies. Our aim was to describe, for the first time, the distribution of cases by stage at diagnosis and differences in stage-specific survival on a population basis for a range of childhood solid cancers in Australia. METHODS: The study cohort was drawn from the population-based Australian Childhood Cancer Registry and comprised children (<15 years) diagnosed with one of 12 solid malignancies between 2006 and 2014. Stage at diagnosis was assigned according to the Toronto Paediatric Cancer Stage Guidelines. Observed (all cause) survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, with follow-up on mortality available to 31 December 2015. RESULTS: Almost three-quarters (1256 of 1760 cases, 71%) of children in the study had localised or regional disease at diagnosis, varying from 43% for neuroblastoma to 99% for retinoblastoma. Differences in 5-year observed survival by stage were greatest for osteosarcoma (localised 85% (95% CI = 72%-93%) versus metastatic 37% (15%-59%)), neuroblastoma (localised 98% (91%-99%) versus metastatic 60% (52%-67%)), rhabdomyosarcoma (localised 85% (71%-93%) versus metastatic 53% (34%-69%)), and medulloblastoma (localised 69% (61%-75%) versus metastases to spine 42% (27%-57%)). CONCLUSION: The stage-specific information presented here provides a basis for comparison with other international population cancer registries. Understanding variations in survival by stage at diagnosis will help with the targeted formation of initiatives to improve outcomes for children with cancer

Estadificación del cáncer infantil para registros de base poblacional

La recogida de información internacional fiable sobre estadificación de cáncer infantil por los registros de cáncer de base poblacional es esencial para el análisis epidemiológico y la realización de comparaciones evaluativas internacionales explicativas de la incidencia y los resultados asistenciales. En 2014 la Unión International Contra el Cáncer (UICC), el Dana-Farber Cancer Institute y el Hospital for Sick Children de Toronto, convocaron una reunión de consenso para abordar la ausencia de información consistente en la estadificación del cáncer infantil en los registros de cáncer poblacionales. Para cada subconjunto de los grupos/subgrupos diagnósticos mayores de cáncer infantil, en la reunión fueron revisados todos los sistemas de estadificación específicos de cada enfermedad utilizados habitualmente y se recomendó el más adecuado para utilizar en los registros de cáncer de base poblacional. Los sistemas de estadificación recomendados están enumerados como Guías de Toronto para la Estadificación del Cáncer Pediátrico. Las Guías recomiendan sistemas de estadificación específicos para la Leucemia Linfoblástica Aguda, Leucemia Mieloblástica Aguda, Linfoma de Hodgkin, Linfoma no-Hodgkin, Neuroblastoma, Tumor de Wilms, Rabdomiosarcoma, Sarcomas de Tejidos Blandos no-Rabdomiosarcoma, Osteosarcoma, Sarcoma de Ewing, Retinoblastoma, Hepatoblastoma, Tumor de Células Germinales (Cáncer Testicular y Ovárico), Meduloblastoma y Ependimoma. En este texto se proporcionan descripciones detalladas de los sistemas de estadificación recomendados en las Guías, para ayudar a los registros poblacionales de cáncer a recoger información internacionalmente consistente y comparable sobre el estadio del cáncer infantil al diagnóstico utilizando los documentos clínicos disponibles. La viabilidad y validez de estas Guías se ha evaluado con éxito en la práctica2. Están avaladas por el proyecto Factores pronósticos TNM de la UICC y publicadas en la Clasificación TNM de los Tumores Malignos UICC 8ª edición