Monitoring the impact of desert dust outbreaks for air quality for health studies

We review the major features of desert dust outbreaks that are relevant to the assessment of dust impacts upon human health. Our ultimate goal is to provide scientific guidance for the acquisition of relevant population exposure information for epidemiological studies tackling the short and long term health effects of desert dust. We first describe the source regions and the typical levels of dust particles in regions close and far away from the source areas, along with their size, composition, and bio-aerosol load. We then describe the processes by which dust may become mixed with anthropogenic particulate matter (PM) and/or alter its load in receptor areas. Short term health effects are found during desert dust episodes in different regions of the world, but in a number of cases the results differ when it comes to associate the effects to the bulk PM, the desert dust-PM, or non-desert dust-PM. These differences are likely due to the different monitoring strategies applied in the epidemiological studies, and to the differences on atmospheric and emission (natural and anthropogenic) patterns of desert dust around the world. We finally propose methods to allow the discrimination of health effects by PM fraction during dust outbreaks, and a strategy to implement desert dust alert and monitoring systems for health studies and air quality management.The systematic review was funded by WHO with as part of a Grant Agreement with Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Norway. Thanks are also given to the Spanish Ministry for the Ecological Transition for long term support in the last 2 decades to our projects on African dust effects on air quality over Spain; to the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities and FEDER Funds for the HOUSE project (CGL2016-78594-R), and to the Generalitat de Catalunya (AGAUR 2017 SGR41). Carlos Pérez García-Pando acknowledges long-term support from the AXA Research Fund, as well as the support received through the Ramón y Cajal program (grant RYC-2015-18690) of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Multilevel regression modelling to investigate variation in disease prevalence across locations

In this article, we show how to investigate the role of individual (personal) risk factors in outcome prevalence in multicentre studies with multilevel modelling. The variation in outcome prevalence is modelled by introducing a random intercept. In the next step, the empty model is compared with the model containing the risk factor(s). Because the outcome is dichotomous, this comparison can only be carried out after having rescaled the models’ parameter values to the variance of an underlying continuous variable. We illustrate this approach with data from Phase Two of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) and provide a corresponding Stata do-file

Socioeconomic differentials in premature mortality in Rome: changes from 1990 to 2001

BACKGROUND: While socioeconomic inequalities in mortality have widened in many countries, evidence of social differentials is scarce in Southern Europe. We studied temporal changes in premature mortality across socioeconomic groups in Rome between 1990 and 2001. METHODS: We analysed all 126,511 death certificates of residents of Rome aged 0–74 years registered between 1990–2001. A 4-level census block index based on the 1991 census was used as an indicator of socioeconomic position (SEP). Using routine mortality data, standardised mortality rates (per 100,000 inhabitants) were calculated by SEP and gender for four time periods. Rate ratios were used to compare mortality by gender and age. RESULTS: Overall premature mortality decreased in both genders and in all socioeconomic groups; the change was greater in the highest socio-economic group. In both men and women, inequalities in mortality strengthened during the 1990s and appeared to stabilise at the end of the 20th century. However, for 60–74 year old women the gap continued to widen. CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic inequalities in health in Rome are still present at the beginning of the 21(st )century. Strategies to monitor the impact of SEP on mortality over time in different populations should be implemented to direct health policies

[A cohort study on mortality and morbidity in the area of Taranto, Southern Italy].

Introduction: the area of Taranto has been investigated in several environmental and epidemiological studies due to the presence of many industrial plants and shipyards. Results from many studies showed excesses of mortality and cancer incidence for the entire city of Taranto, but there are no studies for different geographical areas of the city that take into account the important confounding effect of socioeconomic position. Objective: to assess mortality and hospitalization rates of residents in Taranto, Statte and Massafra through a cohort study, with a particular focus on residents in the districts closest to the industrial complex, taking into account the socioeconomic position. Methods: a cohort of residents during the period 1998-2010 was enrolled. Individual follow-up for assessment of vital status at 31.01.2010 was performed using municipality data. The census-tract socioeconomic position level and the district of residence were assigned to each participant, on the basis of the geocoded addresses at the beginning of the follow-up. Standardized cause specific mortality/morbidity rates, adjusted for age, were calculated by gender and districts of residence. Mortality and morbidity Hazard Ratios (HR, CI95%) were calculated by districts and socioeconomic position using Cox models. All models were adjusted for age and calendar period, and were done separately for men and women. Results: 321.356 people were enrolled in the cohort (48.9% males). Mortality/morbidity risks for natural cause, cancers, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases were found to be higher in low socioeconomic position groups compared to high ones. The analyses by districts have shown several excess mortality/morbidity risks for residents in Tamburi (Tamburi, Isola, Porta Napoli and Lido Azzurro), Borgo, Paolo VI and the municipality of Statte. Conclusions: The results of this study showed a significant relationship between socioeconomic position and health status of people resident in Taranto. People living in the districts closest to the industrial zone have higher mortality/morbidity levels compared to the rest of the area also taking into account the socioeconomic position

Effect of the Italian Smoking Ban on Population Rates of Acute Coronary Events

Background— Several countries in the world have not yet prohibited smoking in public places. Few studies have been conducted on the effects of smoking bans on cardiac health. We evaluated changes in the frequency of acute coronary events in Rome, Italy, after the introduction of legislation that banned smoking in all indoor public places in January 2005. Methods and Results— We analyzed acute coronary events (out-of-hospital deaths and hospital admissions) between 2000 and 2005 in city residents 35 to 84 years of age. We computed annual standardized rates and estimated rate ratios by comparing the data from prelegislation (2000–2004) and postlegislation (2005) periods. We took into account several time-related potential confounders, including particulate matter (PM 10 ) air pollution, temperature, influenza epidemics, time trends, and total hospitalization rates. The reduction in acute coronary events was statistically significant in 35- to 64-year-olds (11.2%, 95% CI 6.9% to 15.3%) and in 65- to 74-year-olds (7.9%, 95% CI 3.4% to 12.2%) after the smoking ban. No evidence was found of an effect among the very elderly. The reduction tended to be greater in men and among lower socioeconomic groups. Conclusions— We found a statistically significant reduction in acute coronary events in the adult population after the smoking ban. The size of the effect was consistent with the pollution reduction observed in indoor public places and with the known health effects of passive smoking. The results affirm that public interventions that prohibit smoking can have enormous public health implications

Response to Letter Regarding Article, "Effect of the Italian Smoking Ban on Population Rates of Acute Coronary Events"

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