Predicting 1-year mortality among patients with decompensated cirrhosis:results of a multicentre evaluation of the Bristol Prognostic Score

Objective Chronic liver disease continues to be a significant cause of morbidity and mortality yet remains challenging to prognosticate. This has been one of the barriers to implementing palliative care, particularly at an early stage. The Bristol Prognostic Score (BPS) was developed to identify patients with life expectancy less than 12 months and to act as a trigger for referral to palliative care services. This study retrospectively evaluated the BPS in a cohort of patients admitted to three Scottish hospitals. Method Routinely collated healthcare data were used to obtain demographics, BPS and analyse 1-year mortality for patients with decompensated liver disease admitted to three gastroenterology units over two 90-day periods. Statistical analysis was undertaken to assess performance of BPS in predicting mortality. Results 276 patients were included in the final analysis. Participants tended to be late middle-aged men, socioeconomically deprived and have alcohol-related liver disease. A similar proportion was BPS+ve (>3) in this study compared with the original Bristol cohort though had more hospital admissions, higher ongoing alcohol use and poorer performance status. BPS performed poorer in this non-Bristol group with sensitivity 54.9% (72.2% in original study), specificity 58% (83.8%) and positive predictive value (PPV) 43.4% (81.3%). Conclusion BPS was unable to accurately predict mortality in this Scottish cohort. This highlights the ongoing challenge of prognostication in patients with chronic liver disease, furthering the call for more work in this field.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe

Activated zinc transporter ZIP7 as an indicator of anti-hormone resistance in breast cancer

ZIP7, a member of the ZIP family of zinc importers, resides on the endoplasmic reticulum membrane and transports zinc from intracellular stores to the cytoplasm after activation by CK2 phosphorylation on two serine residues (S275 and S276). ZIP7 is known to be required for the growth of anti-hormone resistant breast cancer models, especially those with acquired tamoxifen resistance developed from MCF-7. Using our new pS275S276ZIP7 antibody which only recognises activated ZIP7 (pZIP7), we have demonstrated that the hyperactivation of ZIP7 is prevalent in tamoxifen-resistant breast cancer cells. This evidence suggests that pZIP7 might have potential as a biomarker of acquired resistance to such anti-hormones in breast cancer, a current unmet clinical need. In this regard, we have also developed a new immunohistochemical assay for pZIP7 which allowed pZIP7 to be tested on a small clinical series of breast cancer tissues confirming its prevalence in such tumours and relationship to a variety of clinicopathological parameters and biomarkers previously associated with endocrine resistant phenotypes, notably increased activated MAPK signalling, expression of ErbB2, CD71 and the proto-oncogene c-Fos, as well as with increased tumour grade

Markers of steroid receptor, kinase signalling pathways and Ki-67 expression in relation to tamoxifen sensitivity and resistance

Background: It remains clinically important to identify ER positive breast cancers likely to respond to tamoxifen (TAM) and so we aimed to select a group of biomarkers able to predict response. We also assessed whether data from different sample types [tumor microarrays (TMAs) and core biopsies] or tumor sites could be combined for biomarker studies.Methods: A total of 123 endocrine treatment naïve patients with known ER and HER2 status treated with TAM had paraffin-embedded tumor tissue available either as TMAs (n=102) or core biopsies (n=21). TMA cores were collected from three different tumor sites, two central and one peripheral. Ten biomarkers were evaluated by immunohistochemistry, for % positivity and/or H-Score, comprising: ER, HER2, Ki-67, phosphorylated forms of ER (Ser118), IGF1R, PRAS40, Akt & MAPK (ERK1/2), and PTEN & androgen receptor expression (AR). Each tumor was analysed for Akt1 E17K somatic mutation using BEAMing technology. Patient outcome was assessed by clinical benefit (CB) rate & survival analyses [time to progression (TTP) and time to death (TTD)].Results: There was no significant difference in % positivity or H-Score between central & peripheral tumor sites for all biomarkers examined. After False Discovery Rate (FDR) correction differences (P less than 0.05) were observed between the two central samples only for HER2 & pER118 and pPRAS40. However, differences in biomarker expression were common between core biopsies and TMAs. Only 2/123 (1.6%) tumors had Akt1 E17K mutations. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified that lower levels of PTEN and higher levels of Ki-67 (% positivity) were predictive of poor outcome (TTP & TTD) following TAM. Higher ER. lower Ki-67 and AR/ER ratio less than 2 predicted increased CB rate.Conclusions: There were few differences in marker expression between TMAs from different intra-tumoral sites. More marked differences between TMAs and core biopsies suggest caution if combining such datasets. Loss of PTEN, a key regulator of the PI3K/Akt pathway, was the only RTK/kinase signaling biomarker related to poorer clinical outcome. PTEN along with ER & lower Ki-67 proved the most predictive markers for better outcome (TTP & TTD and/or CBR) following TAM treatment

Activated zinc transporter ZIP7 as an indicator of anti-hormone resistance in breast cancer

ZIP7, a member of the ZIP family of zinc importers, resides on the endoplasmic reticulum membrane and transports zinc from intracellular stores to the cytoplasm after activation by CK2 phosphorylation on two serine residues (S275 and S276). ZIP7 is known to be required for the growth of anti-hormone resistant breast cancer models, especially acquired tamoxifen-resistant cells developed from MCF-7. Using our new pS275S276ZIP7 antibody which only recognises activated ZIP7 (pZIP7), we have demonstrated that the hyperactivation of ZIP7 is prevalent in tamoxifen-resistant breast cancer cells. This evidence suggests that pZIP7 might have potential as a biomarker of acquired resistance to such anti-hormones in breast cancer, a current unmet clinical need. In this regard, we have also developed a new immunohistochemical assay for pZIP7 which allowed pZIP7 to be tested on a small clinical series of breast cancer tissues confirming its prevalence in such tumours and relationship to a variety of clinicopathological parameters and biomarkers previously associated with endocrine resistant phenotypes, notably increased activated MAPK signalling, expression of ErbB2, CD71 and the proto-oncogene c-Fos, as well as with increased tumour grade