Ice volume distribution and implications on runoff projections in a glacierized catchment

A dense network of helicopter-based ground-penetrating radar (GPR) measurements was used to determine the ice-thickness distribution in the Mauvoisin region. The comprehensive set of ice-thickness measurements was combined with an ice-thickness estimation approach for an accurate determination of the bedrock. A total ice volume of 3.69 ± 0.31 km<sup>3</sup> and a maximum ice thickness of 290 m were found. The ice-thickness values were then employed as input for a combined glacio-hydrological model forced by most recent regional climate scenarios. This model provided glacier evolution and runoff projections for the period 2010–2100. Runoff projections of the measured initial ice volume distribution show an increase in annual runoff of 4% in the next two decades, followed by a persistent runoff decrease until 2100. Finally, we checked the influence of the ice-thickness distribution on runoff projections. Our analyses revealed that reliable estimates of the ice volume are essential for modelling future glacier and runoff evolution. Wrong estimations of the total ice volume might even lead to deviations of the predicted general runoff trend

Modelling the future evolution of glaciers in the European Alps under the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble

Glaciers in the European Alps play an important role in the hydrological cycle, act as a source for hydroelectricity and have a large touristic importance. The future evolution of these glaciers is driven by surface mass balance and ice flow processes, of which the latter is to date not included explicitly in regional glacier projections for the Alps. Here, we model the future evolution of glaciers in the European Alps with GloGEMflow, an extended version of the Global Glacier Evolution Model (GloGEM), in which both surface mass balance and ice flow are explicitly accounted for. The mass balance model is calibrated with glacier-specific geodetic mass balances and forced with high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble. The evolution of the total glacier volume in the coming decades is relatively similar under the various representative concentrations pathways (RCP2.6, 4.5 and 8.5), with volume losses of about 47&thinsp;%–52&thinsp;% in 2050 with respect to 2017. We find that under RCP2.6, the ice loss in the second part of the 21st century is relatively limited and that about one-third (36.8&thinsp;%&thinsp;±&thinsp;11.1&thinsp;%, multi-model mean ±1σ) of the present-day (2017) ice volume will still be present in 2100. Under a strong warming (RCP8.5) the future evolution of the glaciers is dictated by a substantial increase in surface melt, and glaciers are projected to largely disappear by 2100 (94.4±4.4&thinsp;% volume loss vs. 2017). For a given RCP, differences in future changes are mainly determined by the driving global climate model (GCM), rather than by the RCM, and these differences are larger than those arising from various model parameters (e.g. flow parameters and cross-section parameterisation). We find that under a limited warming, the inclusion of ice dynamics reduces the projected mass loss and that this effect increases with the glacier elevation range, implying that the inclusion of ice dynamics is likely to be important for global glacier evolution projections.</p

Corrosion resistance of CrN/NbN superlattice coatings grown by various physical vapour deposition techniques

The corrosion and tribological performance of CrN/NbN superlattice coatings deposited by the techniques of unbalanced magnetron (UBM) sputtering, steered cathodic arc evaporation, and the combined steered cathodic arc and UBM sputtering, i.e. arc-bond sputtering (ABS), have been studied. In corrosion tests, the coatings grown by the ABS technique were superior to those grown by either UBM sputtering or arc evaporation with clear passivation behaviour and low corrosion current densities of 10(-8) A-cm(-2). In tribological tests, the lowest coefficient of friction mu = 0.3 was shown by the arc evaporated coating whereas the CrN/NbN deposited by the ABS technique achieved the lowest dry sliding wear coefficient of K-c = 5.0 x 10(-15) m(3.)N(-1.)m(-1). The microstructure of the coatings was investigated by cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy, X-ray diffractometry and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, and was related to the corrosion and the tribological behaviour. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V All rights reserved

Measuring changes in snowpack SWE continuously on a landscape scale using lake water pressure

The seasonal snowpack is a globally important water resource that is notoriously difficult to measure. Existing instruments make measurements of falling or accumulating snow water equivalent (SWE) that are susceptible to bias, and most represent only a point in the landscape. Furthermore the global array of SWE sensors is too sparse and too poorly distributed to adequately constrain snow in weather and climate models. We present a new approach to monitoring snowpack SWE from time series of lake water pressure. We tested our method in the lowland Finnish Arctic and in an alpine valley and high-mountain cirque in Switzerland, and found that we could measure changes in SWE and their uncertainty through snowfalls with little bias and with an uncertainty comparable to or better than that achievable by other instruments. More importantly, our method inherently senses change over the whole lake surface, an area in this study up to 10.95 km2 or 274 million times larger than the nearest pluviometer. This large scale makes our measurements directly comparable to the grid cells of weather and climate models. We find, for example, snowfall biases of up to 100% in operational forecast models AROME-Arctic and COSMO-1. Seasonally-frozen lakes are widely distributed at high latitudes and are particularly common in mountain ranges, hence our new method is particularly well suited to the widespread, autonomous monitoring of snow-water resources in remote areas that are largely unmonitored today. This is potentially transformative in reducing uncertainty in regional precipitation and runoff in seasonally-cold climates

Tribological properties of unbalanced magnetron sputtered nano-scale multilayer coatings TiAlN/VN and TiAlCrYN deposited on plasma nitrided steels

Unbalanced magnetron sputtered multilayer coatings TiAlN/VN and TiAlCrYN grown on pulse plasma nitriding pre-treated low alloy steel P20 have been characterised by using X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron microscope (SEM), micro-indentation, scratch and pin-on-dise wear tests. A 160-mu m-thick nitrided case was formed on the steel surface containing a pure Fe3N and Fe4N compound layer and showing hardness up to 8.5 GPa, which led to improved load bearing ability and adhesion behaviour of the coating-substrate system. The coatings deposited on non-nitrided P20 showed poor adhesion and severe cracking and spalling wear. In contrast, the TiAlN/VN and TiAlCrYN deposited on nitrided substrates showed only mild polishing and oxidation wear mechanisms and extremely low wear coefficients in the scales of 10(-17) and 10(-16) m(3) N-1 m(-1), respectively. In drilling solution treated 304 austenite stainless steel, the TiAlN/VN-coated drills showed a lifetime 50% longer than TiAlN-coated drills. Plasma nitriding pre-treatment led to further increases of lifetime by 33%. (c) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Re-establishing glacier monitoring in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, Central Asia

Glacier mass loss is among the clearest indicators of atmospheric warming. The observation of these changes is one of the major objectives of the international climate monitoring strategy developed by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). Long-term glacier mass balance measurements are furthermore the basis for calibrating and validating models simulating future runoff of glacierised catchments. This is essential for Central Asia, which is one of the driest continental regions of the Northern Hemisphere. In the highly populated regions, water shortage due to decreased glacierisation potentially leads to pronounced political instability, drastic ecological changes and endangered food security. As a consequence of the collapse of the former Soviet Union, however, many valuable glacier monitoring sites in the Tien Shan and Pamir Mountains were abandoned. In recent years, multinational actors have re-established a set of important in situ measuring sites to continue the invaluable long-term data series. This paper introduces the applied monitoring strategy for selected glaciers in the Kyrgyz and Uzbek Tien Shan and Pamir, highlights the existing and the new measurements on these glaciers, and presents an example for how the old and new data can be combined to establish multi-decadal mass balance time series. This is crucial for understanding the impact of climate change on glaciers in this region

Rescue and homogenization of 140 years of glacier mass balance data in Switzerland

Glacier monitoring in Switzerland has resulted in some of the longest and most complete data series globally. Mass balance observations at individual locations, starting in the 19th century, are the backbone of the monitoring as they represent the raw and original glaciological data demonstrating the response of snow accumulation and snow/ice melt to changes in climate forcing. So far, however, the variety of sources of historic measurements has not been systematically processed and documented. Here, we present a new complete and extensive point glacier mass balance dataset for the Swiss Alps that provides attributes for data quality and corresponding uncertainties. Original sources were digitized or re-assessed to validate or to correct existing entries and to identify metadata. The sources of data are highly diverse and stem from almost 140 years of records, originating from handwritten field notes, unpublished project documents, various digital sources, published reports, and meta-knowledge of the observers. The project resulted in data series with metadata for 63 individual Swiss glaciers, including more than 60 000 point observations of mass balance. Data were systematically analysed and homogenized, e.g. by supplementing partly missing information based on correlations inferred from direct measurements. A system to estimate uncertainty in all individual observations was developed indicating that annual point balance is measured with a typical error of 0.07 m water equivalent (w.e.), while the average error in winter snow measurements is 0.20 m w.e. Our dataset permits further investigating the climate change impacts on Swiss glaciers. Results show an absence of long-term trends in snow accumulation over glaciers while melt rates have substantially increased over the last 3 decades. The complete dataset is available at DOI https://doi.org/10.18750/massbalance.point.2021.r2021 (GLAMOS, 2021).</p

The hydrology of glacier-bed overdeepenings : sediment transport mechanics, drainage system morphology, and geomorphological implications

Evacuation of basal sediment by subglacial drainage is an important mediator of rates of glacial erosion and glacier flow. Glacial erosion patterns can produce closed basins (i.e., overdeepenings) in glacier beds, thereby introducing adverse bed gradients that are hypothesised to reduce drainage system efficiency and thus favour basal sediment accumulation. To establish how the presence of a terminal overdeepening might mediate seasonal drainage system evolution and glacial sediment export, we measured suspended sediment transport from Findelengletscher, Switzerland during late August and early September 2016. Analyses of these data demonstrate poor hydraulic efficiency of drainage pathways in the terminus region but high sediment availability. Specifically, the rate of increase of sediment concentration with discharge was found to be significantly lower than that anticipated if channelised flow paths were present. Sediment availability to these flow paths was also higher than would be anticipated for discrete bedrock-floored subglacial channels. Our findings indicate that subglacial drainage in the terminal region of Findelengletscher is dominated by distributed flow where entrainment capacity increases only marginally with discharge, but flow has extensive access to an abundant sediment store. This high availability maintains sediment connectivity between the glacial and proglacial realm and means daily sediment yield is unusually high relative to yields exhibited by similar Alpine glaciers. We present a conceptual model illustrating the potential influence of ice-bed morphology on subglacial drainage evolution and sediment evacuation mechanics, patterns and yields, and recommend that bed morphology should be an explicit consideration when monitoring and evaluating glaciated basin sediment export rates

Numerical analysis and simulation of the dynamics of mountain glaciers

In this chapter, we analyze and approximate a nonlinear stationary Stokes problem that describes the motion of glacier ice. The existence and uniqueness of solutions are proved and an a priori error estimate for the finite element approximation is found. In a second time, we combine the Stokes problem with a transport equation for the volume fraction of ice, which describes the time evolution of a glacier. The accumulation due to snow precipitation and melting are accounted for in the source term of the transport equation. A decoupling algorithm allows the diffusion and the advection problems to be solved using a two-grids method. As an illustration, we simulate the evolution of Aletsch glacier, Switzerland, over the 21st century by using realistic climatic conditions

From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps?

The potential exploitation of areas becoming ice-free in response to ongoing climate change has rarely been addressed, although it could be of interest from the water management perspective. Here we present an estimate for the potential of mitigating projected changes in seasonal water availability from melting glaciers by managing runoff through reservoirs. For the European Alps we estimate that by the end of the century, such a strategy could offset up to 65% of the expected summer-runoff changes from presently glacierized surfaces. A first-order approach suggests that the retention volume potentially available in the areas becoming deglacierized is in excess of the volume required for achieving the maximal possible mitigation by more than one order of magnitude. Obviously, however, such a strategy cannot compensate for the reduction in annual runoff caused by glacier ice depletion. Our estimates indicate that by 2070–2099, 0.73 ± 0.67 km3 a−1 of this non-renewable component of the water cycle could be missing in Alpine water supplies