16 research outputs found

    Predicting smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis with classification trees and logistic regression: a cross-sectional study

    Get PDF
    BACKGROUND: Smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis (SNPT) accounts for 30% of pulmonary tuberculosis cases reported yearly in Brazil. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for SNPT for outpatients in areas with scarce resources. METHODS: The study enrolled 551 patients with clinical-radiological suspicion of SNPT, in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The original data was divided into two equivalent samples for generation and validation of the prediction models. Symptoms, physical signs and chest X-rays were used for constructing logistic regression and classification and regression tree models. From the logistic regression, we generated a clinical and radiological prediction score. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the model's performance in both generation and validation samples. RESULTS: It was possible to generate predictive models for SNPT with sensitivity ranging from 64% to 71% and specificity ranging from 58% to 76%. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that those models might be useful as screening tools for estimating the risk of SNPT, optimizing the utilization of more expensive tests, and avoiding costs of unnecessary anti-tuberculosis treatment. Those models might be cost-effective tools in a health care network with hierarchical distribution of scarce resources

    Smear plus Detect-TB for a sensitive diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis: a cost-effectiveness analysis in an incarcerated population

    Get PDF
    Background: Prison conditions can favor the spread of tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to evaluate in a Brazilian prison: the performance and accuracy of smear, culture and Detect-TB; performance of smear plus culture and smear plus Detect-TB, according to different TB prevalence rates; and the cost-effectiveness of these procedures for pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) diagnosis. Methods: This paper describes a cost-effectiveness study. A decision analytic model was developed to estimate the costs and cost-effectiveness of five routine diagnostic procedures for diagnosis of PTB using sputum specimens: a) Smear alone, b) Culture alone, c) Detect-TB alone, d) Smear plus culture and e) Smear plus Detect-TB. The cost-effectiveness ratio of costs were evaluated per correctly diagnosed TB case and all procedures costs were attributed based on the procedure costs adopted by the Brazilian Public Health System. Results: A total of 294 spontaneous sputum specimens from patients suspected of having TB were analyzed. The sensibility and specificity were calculated to be 47% and 100% for smear; 93% and 100%, for culture; 74% and 95%, for Detect-TB; 96% and 100%, for smear plus culture; and 86% and 95%, for smear plus Detect-TB. The negative and positive predictive values for smear plus Detect-TB, according to different TB prevalence rates, ranged from 83 to 99% and 48 to 96%, respectively. In a cost-effectiveness analysis, smear was both less costly and less effective than the other strategies. Culture and smear plus culture were more effective but more costly than the other strategies. Smear plus Detect-TB was the most cost-effective method. Conclusions: The Detect-TB evinced to be sensitive and effective for the PTB diagnosis when applied with smear microscopy. Diagnostic methods should be improved to increase TB case detection. To support rational decisions about the implementation of such techniques, cost-effectiveness studies are essential, including in prisons, which are known for health care assessment problems

    Detection of mixed infections with Mycobacterium lentiflavum and Mycobacterium avium by molecular genotyping methods

    No full text
    Three mycobacterial isolates, one from the blood of an HIV-infected patient and two consecutive isolates from a woman with unknown HIV status, had been identified as belonging to the Mycobacterium avium complex by conventional procedures. in both patients, using genetic analysis procedures such as PCR-restriction enzyme analysis (PRA) of the hsp65 gene, a commercially available reverse hybridization-based assay (INNO-LiPA MYCOBACTERIA) and/or sequencing analysis of the 16S-23S internal transcribed spacer (ITS), the presence of Mycobacterium lentiflavum was also demonstrated. At the time of detection, both cases were also infected with M. avium, suggesting an underestimation of infection with M. lentiflavum and co-infection with different Mycobacterium species.Fiocruz MS, Inst Oswaldo Cruz, Dept Mycobacterioses, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilFiocruz MS, Inst Oswaldo Cruz, Dept Trop Med, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilUFRJ, Univ Hosp Clementino Fraga Filho, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilUFRJ, Inst Microbiol, Rio de Janeiro, BrazilInnogenet NV, B-9052 Ghent, BelgiumAdolfo Lutz Inst, SĂŁo Paulo, BrazilEscola Paulista Med, Dept Microbiol Immunol & Parasitol, SĂŁo Paulo, BrazilEscola Paulista Med, Dept Microbiol Immunol & Parasitol, SĂŁo Paulo, BrazilWeb of Scienc

    PrevalĂȘncia da infecção pelo HIV em pacientes internados por tuberculose Prevalence of HIV infection in patients hospitalized due to tuberculosis

    No full text
    Objetivos: Verificar a prevalĂȘncia da co-infecção tuberculose (TBC)/HIV e a capacidade da anamnese em detectar a infecção pelo HIV em pacientes internados por TBC. Local: Hospital Eduardo de Menezes, Belo Horizonte, MG, referĂȘncia para TBC e SIDA. Material e mĂ©todos: Todos os pacientes internados com TBC na enfermaria de pneumologia foram avaliados prospectivamente no perĂ­odo de 1/1/1997 atĂ© 31/1/1998, com anamnese dirigida para fatores de risco para SIDA, TBC, tratamentos anteriores e abandonos de tratamento para TBC, e verificadas as formas clĂ­nicas de TBC. Foram excluĂ­dos pacientes com doenças marcadoras de SIDA com exceção da TBC, ou com sorologia anti-HIV realizada anteriormente. Foram realizadas sorologias anti-HIV (ELISA) e, quando positivas, confirmadas pelo teste Western-Blot. Os testes do qui-quadrado e de Fisher foram usados para anĂĄlise estatĂ­stica. Resultados: Sessenta e cinco pacientes avaliados foram divididos em grupo I (sorologia positiva para HIV, n = 6) e grupo II (sorologia negativa para HIV, n = 59). NĂŁo houve diferença significativa entre os dois grupos quanto a fatores de risco para SIDA, TBC, abandonos de tratamento ou tratamentos anteriores para TBC ou formas clĂ­nicas de TBC. ConclusĂ”es: Devido Ă  alta prevalĂȘncia da infecção pelo HIV (9,2%) no grupo estudado, estes achados reforçam as orientaçÔes do Consenso Brasileiro de Tuberculose no sentido de: 1) a anamnese nĂŁo consegue detectar uma parcela significativa dos pacientes com co-infecção TBC/HIV; e: 2) a solicitação de sorologia anti-HIV deve ser feita de forma rotineira em todos os pacientes com TBC ativa.<br>Objectives: To verify the prevalence of tuberculosis (TB)/HIV co-infection and the ability of the clinical history to detect the HIV infection in TB inpatients. Setting: Eduardo de Menezes Hospital, reference for both TB and AIDS. Patients and methods: All patients admitted with TB in a pneumology ward were evaluated prospectively from 1/1/1997 to 1/31/1998. The clinical history was directed to the presence of risk factors for AIDS or TB, previous treatments or abandoned treatments for TB, and TB clinical forms. Patients with AIDS defining illnesses, except for TB, and with previous anti-HIV tests were excluded. All patients had an ELISA anti-HIV serology, and when positive, a Western-Blot test was performed to confirm the previous result. X-square test and Fisher test were used for statistical analysis. Results: Sixty-five patients were divided into group I (positive serology for HIV, n = 6) and group II (negative serology for HIV, n = 59). There were no statistical differences between the groups comparing the risk factors for AIDS and TB, previous treatments or abandoned treatments for TB, or TB clinical forms. Conclusions: The high prevalence of TB/HIV co-infection (9.2%) reinforces that: 1) the clinical history was not able to detect a significant number of patients with TB/HIV co-infection and that: 2) anti-HIV serology should be performed in all patients with active TB forms
    corecore