Simulation du fonctionnement hydrodynamique des milieux humides dans les plaines alluviales

International audienceLa modélisation hydrodynamique est peu utilisée afin de simuler le fonctionnement des milieux humides à l’échelle des plaines alluviales et nécessite souvent de nombreuses données d’entrée souvent difficiles à acquérir. On présente ici un outil de simulation, Accept’Hydro, qui est alimenté par quatre données d’entrée : le modèle numérique d’élévation (IGN), les données piézométriques (banque ADES), l’historique des débits rivières (banque HYDRO), et le réseau hydrographie (BD Carthage). Après l’étape de création automatique du maillage non-uniforme, adapté au domaine étudié, le logiciel génère en sortie les hauteurs d’eau et les vitesses d’écoulement dans la rivière et dans la nappe souterraine, au pas de temps journalier. Les données simulées, sur une période de temps minimal de 10 ans, sont traitées afin de cartographier les milieux humides potentiels en bordure de cours d’eau. De plus, cet outil permet d’intégrer des hypothèses sur l’évolution des débits afin de prendre en compte les modifications dues au change ment climatique, et d’en simuler les impacts sur le fonctionnement hydrologique. On présente ici les résultats d’Accept’Hydro sur la plaine alluviale de la Garonne et ses milieux humides pour la période 2004-2013, dans le département du Tarn-et-Garonne. Dans ce secteur, les simulations prévoient une diminution de la superficie des milieux humides pour l’horizon 2030, en partant d’hypothèses de diminution des débits saisonniers

Accept'Hydro: a tool for evaluating potential wetland areas at floodplain scale.

National audienceAlluvial wetlands have the functions of hydrological regulation and water purification, but are also of interest for preventing flooding and improving the water quality of the natural environment that serves as a reserve for drinking water and biodiversity. Delimiting these areas is often difficult because it involves both the physical characteristics (topography, river morphology etc.) and hydrodynamic characteristics of the porous medium (permeability etc.) The proposed tool, Accept'Hydro, includes a hydrodynamic simulation of the river, the alluvial aquifer and their interaction, and produces maps of alluvial wetlands with using hydrological criteria. The tool's primary step consists of selecting the studied area using Google Maps, which automatically triggers the generation of a non-uniform mesh covering this area, as well as all the inputs needed for the hydrodynamic simulation to run. The hydrodynamic model based on the equations of Peyrard et al. (2008) allows water levels and flow rates in the river and the alluvial aquifer to be simulated with a non-uniform mesh (cells from 1 to 200 metres per side), combined with a good performance in CPU calculation time. The software program allows the impacts of climate change (changes in hydrology and temperature) and/or anthropogenic change on the hydrodynamic functioning of wetlands to be assessed, and the impact of infrastructure and hydropower facilities on the river to be tested

Assessment of sediment and organic carbon exports into the Arctic ocean: the case of the Yenisei river basin

The export of organic carbon export by the rivers to the oceans either as particulate organic carbon (POC) or dissolved organic carbon (DOC) is very sensitive to climate change especially in permafrost affected catchments where soils are very rich in organic carbon. With global warming, organic carbon export in both forms is expected to increase in Arctic regions. It should affect contemporary biogeochemical cycles in rivers and oceans and therefore modify the whole food web. This study tries to understand complex processes involved in sediment, POC and DOC riverine transport in the Yenisei River basin and to quantify their respective fluxes at the river outlet. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) hydrological model is used in this study to simulate water and suspended sediment transfers in the largest Arctic river. POC and DOC export have been quantified with empirical models, adapted from literature for the study case. First, the hydrological model has been calibrated and validated at a daily time step for the 2003–2008 and the 2009–2016 periods respectively, and its output has been compared with field data for water and sediment fluxes. Based on conceptualization of transfer processes, calibration on climate and soil properties has been performed in order to correctly represent hydrology and sediment transfer in permafrost basins. Second, calibration of empirical models for DOC/POC transport have been performed by comparing their output with field data, available from 2003 to 2016. Our study reveals that SWAT is capable of correctly representing hydrology, sediment transfer, POC and DOC fluxes and their spatial distribution at a daily timescale, and outlines the links between these fluxes and permafrost features. Our simulation effort results in specific sediment, POC and DOC fluxes of 2.97 t km−2 yr−1, 0.13 t km−2 yr−1 and 1.14 t km−2 yr−1 for the period 2003–2016 which are in the range of previous estimates. About 60% of the total fluxes of sediment, DOC and POC to the Arctic Ocean are exported during the two months of the freshet. Spatial analysis show that permafrost-free areas have returned higher daily organic carbon export than permafrost affected zones, highlighting the thawing permafrost effect on carbon cycle in climate change feedback

Naturalness and Fine Tuning in the NMSSM: Implications of Early LHC Results

We study the fine tuning in the parameter space of the semi-constrained NMSSM, where most soft Susy breaking parameters are universal at the GUT scale. We discuss the dependence of the fine tuning on the soft Susy breaking parameters M_1/2 and m0, and on the Higgs masses in NMSSM specific scenarios involving large singlet-doublet Higgs mixing or dominant Higgs-to-Higgs decays. Whereas these latter scenarios allow a priori for considerably less fine tuning than the constrained MSSM, the early LHC results rule out a large part of the parameter space of the semi-constrained NMSSM corresponding to low values of the fine tuning.Comment: 19 pages, 10 figures, bounds from Susy searches with ~1/fb include

Phenomenology of the Next to minimal supersymmetric Standard Model

La découverte d'une particule similaire au boson de Higgs, dernière pièce manquante du Modèle Standard (MS) de la physique des particules élémentaires, est en voie d'être confirmée par les expériences CMS et ATLAS du Large Hadron Collider du CERN. Cependant, il n'est pour le moment pas encore établit que les caractéristiques de la particule observée correspondent aux prédictions du MS. Cela, associé à d'autres observations (Matière Noire,...), motive l'analyse des extensions supersymétriques du MS comme le NMSSM. Nous étudions dans cette thèse la solution au problème de la hiérarchie des échelles d'énergie dans le NMSSM, lié aux divergences quadratiques de la masse du boson de Higgs, ainsi que la phénoménologie du NMSSM avec une brisure de la supersymétrie par interactions de jauge en tenant compte des dernières données du LHC. Enfin, nous détaillons les développements des codes de NMSSMTools effectués au cours de cette thèse~: l'introduction de Chaînes de Markov, le calcul du Fine Tuning, le calcul des cascades de désintégrations des partenaires supersymétriques en particules du MS et l'implémentation du NMSSM général.The discovery of a particle similar to the Higgs boson predicted by the Standard Model (SM) of particle physics has been confirmed by the experiments CMS and ATLAS of the Large Hadron Collider at the CERN. However, it is not yet clear that the properties of this particle are those predicted by the SM. This, in addition with several other observations (Dark Matter,...), is a motivation for analysing supersymmetric extensions of the SM, as the NMSSM. We study in this thesis the solution of the Hierarchy problem in the NMSSM, linked with the quadratic divergences in the Higgs sector, and also the phenomenology of the NMSSM with gauge mediation supersymmetry breaking in the light of the latest data from the LHC. Finally, we present the developments made in the codes of the package NMSSMTools, featuring Monte Carlo Markov Chain methods, Fine Tuning calculus, the calculus of supersymmetric particle's cascade decays and the implementation of the general NMSSM

Phénoménologie des extensions supersymétriques non-minimales du Modèle Standard de la physique des particules

La découverte d'une particule similaire au boson de Higgs, dernière pièce manquante du Modèle Standard (MS) de la physique des particules élémentaires, est en voie d'être confirmée par les expériences CMS et ATLAS du Large Hadron Collider du CERN. Cependant, il n'est pour le moment pas encore établit que les caractéristiques de la particule observée correspondent aux prédictions du MS. Cela, associé à d'autres observations (Matière Noire,...), motive l'analyse des extensions supersymétriques du MS comme le NMSSM. Nous étudions dans cette thèse la solution au problème de la hiérarchie des échelles d'énergie dans le NMSSM, lié aux divergences quadratiques de la masse du boson de Higgs, ainsi que la phénoménologie du NMSSM avec une brisure de la supersymétrie par interactions de jauge en tenant compte des dernières données du LHC. Enfin, nous détaillons les développements des codes de NMSSMTools effectués au cours de cette thèse~: l'introduction de Chaînes de Markov, le calcul du Fine Tuning, le calcul des cascades de désintégrations des partenaires supersymétriques en particules du MS et l'implémentation du NMSSM général.The discovery of a particle similar to the Higgs boson predicted by the Standard Model (SM) of particle physics has been confirmed by the experiments CMS and ATLAS of the Large Hadron Collider at the CERN. However, it is not yet clear that the properties of this particle are those predicted by the SM. This, in addition with several other observations (Dark Matter,...), is a motivation for analysing supersymmetric extensions of the SM, as the NMSSM. We study in this thesis the solution of the Hierarchy problem in the NMSSM, linked with the quadratic divergences in the Higgs sector, and also the phenomenology of the NMSSM with gauge mediation supersymmetry breaking in the light of the latest data from the LHC. Finally, we present the developments made in the codes of the package NMSSMTools, featuring Monte Carlo Markov Chain methods, Fine Tuning calculus, the calculus of supersymmetric particle's cascade decays and the implementation of the general NMSSM.MONTPELLIER-BU Sciences (341722106) / SudocSudocFranceF

Total water storage variability from GRACE mission and hydrological models for a 50,000 km2 temperate watershed: the Garonne River basin (France)

International audienceStudy Region Garonne Basin, France. Study Focus This study analyses water mass variations for the whole Garonne basin (50,000 km2 drainage area). To do so, Total Water Storage Anomalies (TWSA) from seven global solutions based on the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission measurements (˜300 km spatial resolution) are inter-compared with TWSA from two hydrological models, SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU (SIM) and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), between January 2003 and December 2010. New Hydrological Insights for the Region Despite the small size of the Garonne basin compared to GRACE spatial resolution, good agreement between GRACE solutions and hydrological model TWSA has been found (maximum correlation coefficient ˜0.9 and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE, ˜0.7). These datasets showed that TWSA in the Garonne basin is mainly due to water stored in the first dozen meters of soil and in the shallow aquifer. To a smaller extent, snow also influences Garonne TWSA. Open surface water TWSA is quite small and TWSA from deep aquifer is negligible. The most important drought period occurred in 2011/2012, due to low precipitation during the two hydrological years and ETR close to previous years. Important precipitation in 2013/2014 helps to refill the water stocks. This study also showed that GRACE and models mismatches should be due to GRACE poor spatial resolution, but also to its monthly time resolution (rarely shown in previous studies)