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Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GMC
A simple storm loss model is applied to an ensemble of ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM simulations in order to estimate changes of insured loss potentials over Europe in the 21st century. Losses are computed based on the daily maximum wind speed for each grid point. The calibration of the loss model is performed using wind data from the ERA40-Reanalysis and German loss data. The obtained annual losses for the present climate conditions (20C, three realisations) reproduce the statistical features of the historical insurance loss data for Germany.
The climate change experiments correspond to the SRES-Scenarios A1B and A2, and for each of them three realisations are considered. On average, insured loss potentials increase for all analysed European regions at the end of the 21st century. Changes are largest for Germany and France, and lowest for Portugal/Spain. Additionally, the spread between the single realisations is large, ranging e.g. for Germany from −4% to +43% in terms of mean annual loss. Moreover, almost all simulations show an increasing interannual variability of storm damage. This assessment is even more pronounced if no adaptation of building structure to climate change is considered. The increased loss potentials are linked with enhanced values for the high percentiles of surface wind maxima over Western and Central Europe, which in turn are associated with an enhanced number and increased intensity of extreme cyclones over the British Isles and the North Sea
Magnetism and the Weiss Exchange Field - A Theoretical Analysis Inspired by Recent Experiments
The huge spin precession frequency observed in recent experiments with
spin-polarized beams of hot electrons shot through magnetized films is
interpreted as being caused by Zeeman coupling of the electron spins to the
so-called Weiss exchange field in the film. A "Stern-Gerlach experiment" for
electrons moving through an inhomogeneous exchange field is proposed. The
microscopic origin of exchange interactions and of large mean exchange fields,
leading to different types of magnetic order, is elucidated. A microscopic
derivation of the equations of motion of the Weiss exchange field is presented.
Novel proofs of the existence of phase transitions in quantum XY-models and
antiferromagnets, based on an analysis of the statistical distribution of the
exchange field, are outlined.Comment: 36 pages, 3 figure
Spin - or, actually: Spin and Quantum Statistics
The history of the discovery of electron spin and the Pauli principle and the
mathematics of spin and quantum statistics are reviewed. Pauli's theory of the
spinning electron and some of its many applications in mathematics and physics
are considered in more detail. The role of the fact that the tree-level
gyromagnetic factor of the electron has the value g = 2 in an analysis of
stability (and instability) of matter in arbitrary external magnetic fields is
highlighted. Radiative corrections and precision measurements of g are
reviewed. The general connection between spin and statistics, the CPT theorem
and the theory of braid statistics are described.Comment: 50 pages, no figures, seminar on "spin
Dynamical Collapse of Boson Stars
We study the time evolution in system of bosons with a relativistic
dispersion law interacting through an attractive Coulomb potential with
coupling constant . We consider the mean field scaling where tends to
infinity, tends to zero and remains fixed. We investigate
the relation between the many body quantum dynamics governed by the
Schr\"odinger equation and the effective evolution described by a
(semi-relativistic) Hartree equation. In particular, we are interested in the
super-critical regime of large (the sub-critical case has been
studied in \cite{ES,KP}), where the nonlinear Hartree equation is known to have
solutions which blow up in finite time. To inspect this regime, we need to
regularize the Coulomb interaction in the many body Hamiltonian with an
dependent cutoff that vanishes in the limit . We show, first, that
if the solution of the nonlinear equation does not blow up in the time interval
, then the many body Schr\"odinger dynamics (on the level of the
reduced density matrices) can be approximated by the nonlinear Hartree
dynamics, just as in the sub-critical regime. Moreover, we prove that if the
solution of the nonlinear Hartree equation blows up at time (in the sense
that the norm of the solution diverges as time approaches ), then
also the solution of the linear Schr\"odinger equation collapses (in the sense
that the kinetic energy per particle diverges) if and,
simultaneously, sufficiently fast. This gives the first
dynamical description of the phenomenon of gravitational collapse as observed
directly on the many body level.Comment: 40 page
Evidence for a New Dissipationless Regime in 2D Electronic Transport
In an ultra-clean 2D electron system (2DES) subjected to crossed
millimeterwave (30--150 GHz) and weak (B < 2 kG) magnetic fields, a series of
apparently dissipationless states emerges as the system is detuned from
cyclotron resonances. Such states are characterized by an exponentially
vanishing low-temperature longitudinal resistance and a classical Hall
resistance. The activation energies associated with such states exceeds the
Landau level spacing by an order of magnitude. Our findings are likely
indicative of a collective ground state previously unknown for 2DES.Comment: 4 pages, 2 figure
Some Applications of the Lee-Yang Theorem
For lattice systems of statistical mechanics satisfying a Lee-Yang property
(i.e., for which the Lee-Yang circle theorem holds), we present a simple proof
of analyticity of (connected) correlations as functions of an external magnetic
field h, for Re h > 0 or Re h < 0. A survey of models known to have the
Lee-Yang property is given. We conclude by describing various applications of
the aforementioned analyticity in h.Comment: 16 page
A two-dimensional Fermi liquid with attractive interactions
We realize and study an attractively interacting two-dimensional Fermi
liquid. Using momentum resolved photoemission spectroscopy, we measure the
self-energy, determine the contact parameter of the short-range interaction
potential, and find their dependence on the interaction strength. We
successfully compare the measurements to a theoretical analysis, properly
taking into account the finite temperature, harmonic trap, and the averaging
over several two-dimensional gases with different peak densities
A model with simultaneous first and second order phase transitions
We introduce a two dimensional nonlinear XY model with a second order phase
transition driven by spin waves, together with a first order phase transition
in the bond variables between two bond ordered phases, one with local
ferromagnetic order and another with local antiferromagnetic order. We also
prove that at the transition temperature the bond-ordered phases coexist with a
disordered phase as predicted by Domany, Schick and Swendsen. This last result
generalizes the result of Shlosman and van Enter (cond-mat/0205455). We argue
that these phenomena are quite general and should occur for a large class of
potentials.Comment: 7 pages, 7 figures using pstricks and pst-coi
A lattice model for the line tension of a sessile drop
Within a semi--infinite thre--dimensional lattice gas model describing the
coexistence of two phases on a substrate, we study, by cluster expansion
techniques, the free energy (line tension) associated with the contact line
between the two phases and the substrate. We show that this line tension, is
given at low temperature by a convergent series whose leading term is negative,
and equals 0 at zero temperature
Mean-Field Dynamics: Singular Potentials and Rate of Convergence
We consider the time evolution of a system of identical bosons whose
interaction potential is rescaled by . We choose the initial wave
function to describe a condensate in which all particles are in the same
one-particle state. It is well known that in the mean-field limit the quantum -body dynamics is governed by the nonlinear Hartree
equation. Using a nonperturbative method, we extend previous results on the
mean-field limit in two directions. First, we allow a large class of singular
interaction potentials as well as strong, possibly time-dependent external
potentials. Second, we derive bounds on the rate of convergence of the quantum
-body dynamics to the Hartree dynamics.Comment: Typos correcte
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