ANALISIS SPASIAL KETERKAITAN PEREKONOMIAN WILAYAH DAN PENDAPATAN DAERAH DI INDONESIA DAN FILIPINA

Indonesia and the Philippines are agrarian island countries, where there are spatial linkages which can be seen from the value of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of the two countries. This study aims to analyze how the spatial dependencies of GRDP between provinces in Indonesia and between regions in the Philippines. In addition, it also aims to see the influence of the Government’s Original Local Revenue (PAD) on GRDP. The analytical tool used in this study is Moran's I, Lagrange Multiplier (LM) Test, Ordinary Least Square, Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) using Geoda software. The results of the analysis show that there is spatial dependencies in the two countries with clustered patterns, in which if the GRDP in the study area increases, it will increase the GRDP value in the surrounding area or those in direct contact. Based on the results of the analysis, the SAR model is the best model because it can be used to model economic growth in Indonesia and the Philippines. The results of modeling between provinces in Indonesia show that PAD has a significant effect on GRDP. The results of inter-provincial modeling in Indonesia show that PAD has a significant influence on GRDP. The same thing is also seen in the results of modeling between regions in the Philippines, which also shows that PAD has a significant influence on GRDP. Keywords: GRDP, LM, Moran’s I, SAR, Spatial Dependencie

Analisis Input-Output Produksi Tebu di Provinsi Jawa Timur

ABSTRAKTebu sebagai bahan baku industri gula merupakan salah satu komoditi perkebunan yang mempunyai peran strategis dalam perekonomian di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kontribusi keterkaitan ke depan dan ke belakang komoditas tebu terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Jawa Timur, dan kontribusi dampak pengganda (multiplier effect) yang ditimbulkanya terhadap multiplier output dan pendapatan di Jawa Timur. Metode yang digunakan adalah perhitungan Tabel Input-Output dari data Badan Statistik Nasional tahun 2015. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa budi daya tebu sebagai input antara untuk industri gula yang bersifat hilir, keterkaitannya sangat tinggi. Keberadaan sektor tebu kurang kuat pengaruhnya dalam meningkatkan output pada sektor tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan.  Pengganda pendapatan usaha tani tebu adalah tipe I dan tipe II yang bermakna bahwa sektor tebu cukup besar dalam meningkatkan pendapatan dari usaha tani tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan.   ABSTRACTInput-Output Analysis of Sugarcane Production in East Java Sugar cane as a raw material for the sugar industry has a strategic role in the economy in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the contribution of forward and backward linkages of sugarcane to economic growth in East Java, and the contribution of the multiplier effect on the multiplier output and income in East Java. The method used was the calculation of the Input-Output Table from the 2015 National Statistics Agency data. The results showed that sugarcane cultivation as an intermediate input for the downstream sugar industry, had a  very high relationship. The existence of the sugarcane sector was less powerful in increasing the output of the sugarcane sector and overall economic sectors. However, the income multipliers of sugarcane farming are type I and type II, which means that the sugarcane sector is quite large in increasing the income from sugarcane farming and the overall economic sectors. 

THE IMPLICATION OF BRAIN GAIN ON BRAIN DRAIN PHENOMENON IN OVERCOMING THE PROBLEM OF EDUCATED UNEMPLOYMENT IN INDONESIA

The high number of educated unemployment of university graduates is a significant problem in Indonesia. This study aims to find out the effect of brain drain, economic growth, and provincial minimum wage on educated unemployment of university graduates in Indonesia. In this study, we were implementing brain gain on brain drain in Indonesia. This study uses panel data regression that describes the relationship between independent variable and dependent variables. There are two models from the panel data regression method: the Chow test and Hausman Test. The regression model used is fixed-effect model. The data is secondary data collected from Statistical Central Agency (BPS) and National Agency for Placement and Protection of Indonesia Labour (BNP2TKI) in 2014-2018. The results show that brain drain and economic growth influence the educated unemployment of university graduates but the provincial minimum wage does not have a significant relationship with the educated unemployment of University graduates in Indonesia

Analisis Sektor Potensial Dalam Pengembangan Pembangunan Perekonomian Provinsi Gorontalo (Analysis of Potential Sectors in the Development of the Economic Development of Gorontalo Province)

Abstrak Ketimpangan yang tinggi dibarengi dengan pembangunan yang meningkat di Provinsi Gorontalo. Hal tersebut tercermin dari Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) yang meningkat dan didukung dengan laju pertumbuhan yang dicapai Provinsi Gorontalo jauh diatas laju pertumbuhan nasional. Sehingga terdapat indikasi manfaat pembangunan tidak dirasakan oleh seluruh lapisan masyarakat Provinsi Gorontalo. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi sektor-sektor ekonomi yang potensial dan berdaya saing untuk dapat dikembangkan pembangunannya sehingga dapat meningkatkan perekonomian serta membantu meminimalisir ketimpangan di Provinsi Gorontalo. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder berupa PDRB Provinsi Gorontalo dan PDB Indonesia tahun 2010-2019, dengan alat analisis yang digunakan adalah Dynamic Location Quotinet (DLQ), Model Rasio Pertumbuhan (MRP), dan Skalogram. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan pada analisis DLQ terdapat 10 sektor ekonomi yang basis dimasa mendatang, pada analisis MRP terdapat 9 sektor ekonomi yang termasuk dalam kategori 2 artinya memiliki pertumbuhan yang menonjol pada wilayah studi dibanding dengan wilayah referensi, dan pada analisis Skalogram terdapat 4 sektor ekonomi yang dijadikan prioritas pengembangan pembangunan. Kata Kunci: Sektor Ekonomi, Basis Ekonomi, Daya Saing. Abstract High inequality has been accompained by increased development in Gorontalo Province. This is reflected in the increasing Gross Domestic Regional Product (GRDP) supported by the growth rate achieved by Gorontalo Province which is far above the national growth rate. So that there are indication that the benefits of development are not felt by all levels of society in Gorontalo Province. This study aims to identify potential and competitive economic sectors to be developed so that they can improve the economy and help minimize inequality in Gorontalo Province. This study uses secondary data in the form of GRDP of Gorontalo Province and Indonesian GDP in 2010-2019, with the analytical tools used are Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ), Growth Ratio Model (MRP), and Skalogram. The results showed that in the DLQ analysis there were 10 economic sectors that were based in the future, in the MRP analysis there were 9 economic sectors which were include in category 2, meaning that they had prominent growth in the study area compared to the reference area, and in the analysis Skalogram there were 4 sector economic which made a development development priority. Keywords: Economic Sector, Economic Basis, Competitiveness

Analisis Sektor - Sektor Ekonomi Unggulan dan Strategi Pengembangannya: (Study Kasus di Kabupaten Lumajang)

The growth rate of GRDP in Lumajang Regency tends to decrease significantly in the last 10 years. Even in 2019, the GRDP growth rate of Lumajang Regency was in the bottom 2 (two) after Probolinggo Regency in the Horseshoe Region and the bottom 3 (three) in East Java Province. From these data, it shows that Lumajang Regency needs an accelerated economic growth plan that focuses on leading economic sectors to improve the welfare of the people of Lumajang Regency. This study uses Shift Share and SWOT analysis. The results of the analysis of sectors that are recommended in accelerating economic growth are the Agricultural Sector, the manufacturing sector and the wholesale and retail trade sector, where the results of the SWOT analysis use the Growth oriented strategy or the Srength - Opportunity (S-O) strategy. The recommended strategy for developing the economic sector in the context of accelerating economic growth in Lumajang Regency is optimizing the improvement of the leading economic sector by utilizing technological advances, improving the quality of human resources, increasing the tourism sector and maximizing promotion. In addition, it is also necessary to pay attention to the synergy and linkages between sectors from upstream to downstream so that economic growth in all sectors will be achieved faster

Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Pertumbuhhan Penduduk terhadap Kualitas Udara di Kawasan Gerbangkertosusila

Pertumbuhan ekonomi dan lingkungan telah menjadi permasalahan yang tidak bisa dipisahkan. Pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi dapat meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakat, namun banyak yang masih mengesampingkan permasalahan lingkungan. Selain itu, tingginya pertumbuhan penduduk juga menjadi salah satu penyebab degradasi lingkungan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pertumbuhan penduduk terhadap kualitas udara di Kawasan Gerbangkertosusila tahun 2014-2019. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan model Vector Error Correction (VECM). Hasil dari penelitian yaitu pertumbuhan ekonomi berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap kualitas udara pada jangka pendek sebesar 8.688800 dan jangka panjang sebesar 43.99953. Sedangkan pertumbuhan penduduk berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap kualitas udara pada jangka panjang sebesar -19.22280

KETIDAKPASTIAN KEBIJAKAN EKONOMI CHINA DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

Global economic policy uncertainty will influence economic stability among countries integrated into international trade. The trade war between America and China has affected the weakening of macroeconomic indicators in developing countries, one of which is Indonesia. The objective of this study is to examine the influence of China's economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic indicators, i.e., inflation, investment, and Brent oil price, on Indonesia's economic growth. Research data were secondary time series data taken from the Q1 2009-Q4 2018 quarterly period. The method of analysis used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Results showed that in the long run, the uncertainty of China's economic policy and Brent oil price could negatively influence Indonesia's economic growth. On the other hand, inflation, in the long run, had a positive and significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth. Meanwhile, investment did not have a significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth. Keywords: economic growth, uncertainty of economic policy, Vector Error Correction Mode

Analisis Valuasi Ekonomi Berdasarkan Perhitungan Total Economic Value Ekosistem Mangrove Di Desa Banyuurip Kabupaten Gresik

Mangrove is one of ecosystem that has potentials diversity, such as protecting shorelines and supporting fisheries in coastal areas. This study aims to determine the total economic value of mangrove forest in Banyuurip Village, Gresik Regency by using the concept of calculating economic valuation and strategy for developing mangrove ecotourism by using SWOT analysis. The total economic value was obtained from primary data by doing interview through questionnaires, and the secondary data was obtained from Banyuurip Village office. Based on the calculation of the total economic value of mangrove forest in Banyuurip Village, the result was Rp 16.059.675.381. This total economic value can be used as a reference and basis of comparison for the community and the government to determine the policy, management and utilization of existing mangrove. Furthermore, for the development of mangrove ecotourism in Banyuurip Village by using SWOT analysis

Analisis Potensi Tebu dalam Mendukung Pencapaian Swasembada Gula di Kabupaten Bondowoso

Impor gula mengalami peningkatan dari tahun ke tahun. Walaupun penelitian yang mendukung pencapaian swasembada gula telah banyak dilakukan, namun penelitian terkait analisis potensi suatu wilayah untuk pengembangan komoditas tebu belum banyak dilakukan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis potensi tebu dalam mendukung pencapaian swasembada gula di Kabupaten Bondowoso. Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis kuantitatif dengan menggunakan pendekatan sistem dinamik untuk menghitung share tebu terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) dan analisis Shift Share Esteban Marquillas untuk menghitung potensi/spesialisasi komoditas tebu di Kabupaten Bondowoso. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Kabupaten Bondowoso selama kurun waktu 2010–2015 mempunyai keunggulan kompetitif dan spesialisasi pada komoditas tebu, sehingga Kabupaten Bondowoso mempunyai peluang untuk keberlanjutan komoditas tebu ke depan. Strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah membuka lahan-lahan perkebunan tebu baru di wilayah lain yang belum terdapat komoditas tebu seperti Kecamatan Binakal, Sempol, dan Pakem. Analysis of Sugar Cane Potential to Support the Achievement of SelfSufficiency of Sugar in Bondowoso DistrictSugar importation increases in the last decade. Several studies have been conducted to achieve self-sufficiency in sugar, but few studies have looked at whether a region/area has an excellence potenty for further sugarcane development. This study aims to analyze the sugarcane potency in supporting achievement of sugar self-sufficiency in Bondowoso District. The analysis method used in this research is quantitative analysis using dynamic system approach to calculate sugarcane share to Gross Regional Domestic Product, and Shift Share Esteban Marquillas analysis to calculate potency/specialty of sugar cane commodity in Bondowoso regency. The analysis showed that Bondowoso district during 2010-2015 has competitive advantage and specialization in sugarcane, so that Bondowoso district has an opportunity for sustainable sugarcane development in the future. Strategies that can be done is to open new sugarcane plantations fields in other regions that have no sugarcane plantation such as in Binakal, Sempol, and Pakem sub-district