Mid-Long Term Daily Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on Piecewise Linear Regression and Dilated Causal CNN

Daily electricity consumption forecasting is a classical problem. Existing forecasting algorithms tend to have decreased accuracy on special dates like holidays. This study decomposes the daily electricity consumption series into three components: trend, seasonal, and residual, and constructs a two-stage prediction method using piecewise linear regression as a filter and Dilated Causal CNN as a predictor. The specific steps involve setting breakpoints on the time axis and fitting the piecewise linear regression model with one-hot encoded information such as month, weekday, and holidays. For the challenging prediction of the Spring Festival, distance is introduced as a variable using a third-degree polynomial form in the model. The residual sequence obtained in the previous step is modeled using Dilated Causal CNN, and the final prediction of daily electricity consumption is the sum of the two-stage predictions. Experimental results demonstrate that this method achieves higher accuracy compared to existing approaches.Comment: Key words: Daily electricity consumption forecasting; time series decomposition; piecewise linear regression; Dilated Causal CN

α-Tocopheryl succinate inhibits angiogenesis by disrupting paracrine FGF2 signalling

AbstractMalignant mesothelioma (MM) cells enhanced proliferation of endothelial cells (ECs) as well as their angiogenesis in vitro by secretion of fibroblast growth factor-2 (FGF2). This effect was suppressed by pre-treating MM cells with α-tocopheryl succinate (α-TOS), which inhibited FGF2 secretion by inducing mitochondria-dependent generation of reactive oxygen species. The role of FGF2 was confirmed by its down-regulation by treating MM cells with siRNA, abolishing EC proliferation and wound healing enhancement afforded by MM cells. We conclude that α-TOS disrupts angiogenesis mediated by MM cells by inhibiting FGF2 paracrine signalling

Electrons dynamics control by shaping femtosecond laser pulses in micro/nanofabrication: modeling, method, measurement and application

During femtosecond laser fabrication, photons are mainly absorbed by electrons, and the subsequent energy transfer from electrons to ions is of picosecond order. Hence, lattice motion is negligible within the femtosecond pulse duration, whereas femtosecond photon-electron interactions dominate the entire fabrication process. Therefore, femtosecond laser fabrication must be improved by controlling localized transient electron dynamics, which poses a challenge for measuring and controlling at the electron level during fabrication processes. Pump-probe spectroscopy presents a viable solution, which can be used to observe electron dynamics during a chemical reaction. In fact, femtosecond pulse durations are shorter than many physical/chemical characteristic times, which permits manipulating, adjusting, or interfering with electron dynamics. Hence, we proposed to control localized transient electron dynamics by temporally or spatially shaping femtosecond pulses, and further to modify localized transient materials properties, and then to adjust material phase change, and eventually to implement a novel fabrication method. This review covers our progresses over the past decade regarding electrons dynamics control (EDC) by shaping femtosecond laser pulses in micro/nanomanufacturing: (1) Theoretical models were developed to prove EDC feasibility and reveal its mechanisms; (2) on the basis of the theoretical predictions, many experiments are conducted to validate our EDC-based femtosecond laser fabrication method. Seven examples are reported, which proves that the proposed method can significantly improve fabrication precision, quality, throughput and repeatability and effectively control micro/nanoscale structures; (3) a multiscale measurement system was proposed and developed to study the fundamentals of EDC from the femtosecond scale to the nanosecond scale and to the millisecond scale; and (4) As an example of practical applications, our method was employed to fabricate some key structures in one of the 16 Chinese National S&T Major Projects, for which electron dynamics were measured using our multiscale measurement system

1,5-Bis(4-chloro­phen­yl)-3-(2-thien­yl)pentane-1,5-dione

In the title mol­ecule, C21H16Cl2O2S, the five-membered ring is rotationally disordered between two orientations in a 1:1 ratio. In the crystal structure, weak inter­molecular C—H⋯O hydrogen bonds link mol­ecules related by translation along the a axis into chains, which are further combined into layers parallel to the bc plane via C—H⋯π inter­actions. The crystal studied was a racemic twin with a 0.37 (19):0.63 (19) domain ratio

Polarization control proposal for Shanghai deep ultraviolet free electron laser

In this paper, a fully coherent radiation option with controllable polarization is proposed for Shanghai deep ultraviolet free electron laser (FEL) test facility. Intensive start-to-end simulation suggests that, the two crossed planar undulators which generate the horizontal and vertical linear polarized FEL respectively, should be placed as close as possible for avoiding the polarization performance degradation of the final combined FEL radiation. With the existence of the phase-shifter between the two crossed radiators, Fourier-Transform-Limited output radiation with 100 nJ order pulse energy, 5 ps full pulse length and circular polarization degree above 90% could be achieved.Comment: 9 pages, 5 figures, 1 tabl

Method of determining cosmological parameter ranges with samples of candles with an intrinsic distribution

In this paper, the effect of the intrinsic distribution of cosmological candles is investigated. We find that, in the case of a narrow distribution, the deviation of the observed modulus of sources from the expected central value could be estimated within a ceratin range. We thus introduce a lower and upper limits of $\chi ^{2}$, $\chi_{\min}^{2}$ and $\chi_{\max}^{2}$, to estimate cosmological parameters by applying the conventional minimizing $\chi ^{2}$ method. We apply this method to a gamma-ray burst (GRB) sample as well as to a combined sample including this GRB sample and an SN Ia sample. Our analysis shows that: a) in the case of assuming an intrinsic distribution of candles of the GRB sample, the effect of the distribution is obvious and should not be neglected; b) taking into account this effect would lead to a poorer constraint of the cosmological parameter ranges. The analysis suggests that in the attempt of constraining the cosmological model with current GRB samples, the results tend to be worse than what previously thought if the mentioned intrinsic distribution does exist.Comment: 6 pages,4 figures,1 tables.Data updated. Main conclusion unchange