Using Simulation to Estimate Vehicle Emissions in Response to Urban Sprawl within Geauga County, Ohio

Author Institution: Division of Mathematics & Natural Sciences, Penn State University--Altoona CollegeUrban sprawl often leads to rapid expansion and haphazard developments of low density residential land uses that are spatially disjoined. Populations occupying these new developments are expected to contribute to increased traffic volumes and vehicle emissions through increased home-work journeys. Computer simulation is one of few feasible approaches to model projected trends of local communities to understand how they evolve and better plan their future courses. The VERTUS model was developed as a planning tool to estimate vehicle emissions in response to urban sprawl. The model is specific towards estimating vehicle emissions at the local and highway levels during the home-work journey. The model was applied to Geauga County, Ohio to estimate how an increase in housing over a 20-year period from 2000-2020 will influence vehicle emissions generated. Results indicate that emissions are currently highest in the western part of the county where the greatest number of households is located. This geographic distribution remains when emissions are estimated for growth in housing. While additional housing translates to more vehicle emissions, this research found that differences exist among the county’s individual municipalities in terms of emissions generated. In several instances, municipalities with a smaller growth in housing generate a greater amount of emissions than a municipality with a larger growth in housing. These differences result from variations in the commuting characteristics of each municipality’s residents and provide insight into how household travel patterns relate to vehicle emissions

An Investigation of Subscriber Attitudes Toward The Clark County Courier

Although the editor of a weekly newspaper can use the size of his subscription list and the letters to the editor to determine how area residents feel about his newspaper, the amount of information acquired and the accuracy of such information are limited. Another determinant which the editor could use is feedback the employees of the newspaper receive from the subscribers and the other residents of the community. It was through this feedback that some dissatisfaction with the Clark County Courier was noticed. The author of this paper began working for The Clark County Courier as advertising manager in June, 1970. The previous advertising manager stated that certain people in the surrounding communities believed that The Clark County Courier was not doing a very good job as a weekly county newspaper. As one of the newspaper\u27s representatives to the surrounding communities, the author noticed that many residents in these communities did seem dissatisfied with the newspaper’s performance concerning their area. Most complaints dealt with the adequacy and accuracy of news coverage of the several communities and with the newspaper’s representatives concerning political parties. Advertisers also complained about mistakes in their advertisements. (See more in text

Baryon Oscillations and Consistency Tests for Photometrically-Determined Redshifts of Very Faint Galaxies

Weak lensing surveys that can potentially place strong constraints on dark energy parameters can only do so if the source redshift means and error distributions are very well known. We investigate prospects for controlling errors in these quantities by exploiting their influence on the power spectra of the galaxies. Although, from the galaxy power spectra alone, sufficiently precise and simultaneous determination of redshift biases and variances is not possible, a strong consistency test is. Given the redshift error rms, galaxy power spectra can be used to determine the mean redshift of a group of galaxies to subpercent accuracy. Although galaxy power spectra cannot be used to determine the redshift error rms, they can be used to determine this rms divided by the Hubble parameter, a quantity that may be even more valuable for interpretation of cosmic shear data than the rms itself. We also show that galaxy power spectra, due to the baryonic acoustic oscillations, can potentially lead to constraints on dark energy that are competitive with those due to the cosmic shear power spectra from the same survey.Comment: 8 pages, 6 figures, submitted to Ap

Improved forecasts for the baryon acoustic oscillations and cosmological distance scale

We present the cosmological distance errors achievable using the baryon acoustic oscillations as a standard ruler. We begin from a Fisher matrix formalism that is upgraded from Seo & Eisenstein (2003). We isolate the information from the baryonic peaks by excluding distance information from other less robust sources. Meanwhile we accommodate the Lagrangian displacement distribution into the Fisher matrix calculation to reflect the gradual loss of information in scale and in time due to nonlinear growth, nonlinear bias, and nonlinear redshift distortions. We then show that we can contract the multi-dimensional Fisher matrix calculations into a 2-dimensional or even 1-dimensional formalism with physically motivated approximations. We present the resulting fitting formula for the cosmological distance errors from galaxy redshift surveys as a function of survey parameters and nonlinearity, which saves us going through the 12-dimensional Fisher matrix calculations. Finally, we show excellent agreement between the distance error estimates from the revised Fisher matrix and the precision on the distance scale recovered from N-body simulations.Comment: Submitted to ApJ, 21 pages, LaTe

Dark energy and curvature from a future baryonic acoustic oscillation survey using the Lyman-alpha forest

We explore the requirements for a Lyman-alpha forest (LyaF) survey designed to measure the angular diameter distance and Hubble parameter at 2~<z~<4 using the standard ruler provided by baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO). The goal would be to obtain a high enough density of sources to probe the three-dimensional density field on the scale of the BAO feature. A percent-level measurement in this redshift range can almost double the Dark Energy Task Force Figure of Merit, relative to the case with only a similar precision measurement at z~1, if the Universe is not assumed to be flat. This improvement is greater than the one obtained by doubling the size of the z~1 survey, with Planck and a weak SDSS-like z=0.3 BAO measurement assumed in each case. Galaxy BAO surveys at z~1 may be able to make an effective LyaF measurement simultaneously at minimal added cost, because the required number density of quasars is relatively small. We discuss the constraining power as a function of area, magnitude limit (density of quasars), resolution, and signal-to-noise of the spectra. For example, a survey covering 2000 sq. deg. and achieving S/N=1.8 per Ang. at g=23 (~40 quasars per sq. deg.) with an R~>250 spectrograph is sufficient to measure both the radial and transverse oscillation scales to 1.4% from the LyaF (or better, if fainter magnitudes and possibly Lyman-break galaxies can be used). At fixed integration time and in the sky-noise-dominated limit, a wider, noisier survey is generally more efficient; the only fundamental upper limit on noise being the need to identify a quasar and find a redshift. Because the LyaF is much closer to linear and generally better understood than galaxies, systematic errors are even less likely to be a problem.Comment: 18 pages including 6 figures, submitted to PR

Lensing Corrections to Features in the Angular Two-Point Correlation Function and Power Spectrum

It is well known that magnification bias, the modulation of galaxy or quasar source counts by gravitational lensing, can change the observed angular correlation function. We investigate magnification-induced changes to the shape of the observed correlation function w(\theta) and the angular power spectrum C_{\ell}, paying special attention to the matter-radiation equality peak and the baryon wiggles. Lensing mixes the correlation function of the source galaxies with the matter correlation at the lower redshifts of the lenses. Since the lenses probe structure nearer to the observer, the angular scale dependence of the lensing terms is different from that of the sources, thus the observed correlation function is distorted. We quantify how the lensing corrections depend on the width of the selection function, the galaxy bias b, and the number count slope s. The correction increases with redshift and larger corrections are present for sources with steep number count slopes and/or broad redshift distributions. The most drastic changes to C_{\ell} occur for measurements at z >~1.5 and \ell <~ 100. For the source distributions we consider, magnification bias can shift the matter-radiation equality scale by 1-6% at z ~ 1.5 and by z ~ 3.5 the shift can be as large as 30%. The baryon bump in \theta^2w(\theta) is shifted by <~ 1% and the width is typically increased by ~10%. Shifts of >~ 0.5% and broadening of >~ 20% occur only for very broad selection functions and/or galaxies with (5s-2)/b>~2. However, near the baryon bump the magnification correction is not constant but a gently varying function which depends on the source population. Depending on how the w(\theta) data is fitted, this correction may need to be accounted for when using the baryon acoustic scale for precision cosmology.Comment: v2: 8 pages, 5 figures, text and figures condensed, references adde

Optimizing future imaging survey of galaxies to confront dark energy and modified gravity models

We consider the extent to which future imaging surveys of galaxies can distinguish between dark energy and modified gravity models for the origin of the cosmic acceleration. Dynamical dark energy models may have similar expansion rates as models of modified gravity, yet predict different growth of structure histories. We parameterize the cosmic expansion by the two parameters, $w_0$ and $w_a$, and the linear growth rate of density fluctuations by Linder's $\gamma$, independently. Dark energy models generically predict $\gamma \approx 0.55$, while the DGP model $\gamma \approx 0.68$. To determine if future imaging surveys can constrain $\gamma$ within 20 percent (or $\Delta\gamma<0.1$), we perform the Fisher matrix analysis for a weak lensing survey such as the on-going Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) project. Under the condition that the total observation time is fixed, we compute the Figure of Merit (FoM) as a function of the exposure time \texp. We find that the tomography technique effectively improves the FoM, which has a broad peak around \texp\simeq {\rm several}\sim 10 minutes; a shallow and wide survey is preferred to constrain the $\gamma$ parameter. While $\Delta\gamma < 0.1$ cannot be achieved by the HSC weak-lensing survey alone, one can improve the constraints by combining with a follow-up spectroscopic survey like WFMOS and/or future CMB observations.Comment: 18 pages, typos correcte

Explicit computation of shear three-point correlation functions: the one-halo model case

We present a method for calculating explicit expressions of the shear three-point function for various cosmological models. The method is applied here to the one-halo model in case of power law density profiles for which results are detailed. The three-point functions are found to reproduce to a large extent patterns in the shear correlations obtained in numerical simulations and may serve as a guideline to implement optimized methods for detecting the shear three-point function. In principle, the general method presented here can also be applied for other models of matter correlation.Comment: 8 pages, 6 figures, submitted to A

3D Spherical Analysis of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations

Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAOs) are oscillatory features in the galaxy power spectrum and are a standard rod to measure the cosmological expansion. These have been studied in Cartesian space (Fourier or real space) or in Spherical Harmonic (SH) space in thin shells. Future wide-field surveys will cover both wide and deep regions of the sky and thus require a simultaneous treatment of the spherical sky and of an extended radial coverage. The Spherical Fourier-Bessel (SFB) decomposition is a natural basis for the analysis of fields in this geometry and facilitates the combination of BAO surveys with other cosmological probes readily described in this basis. We present here a new way to analyse BAOs by studying the BAO wiggles from the SFB power spectrum. In SFB space, the power spectrum generally has both a radial (k) and tangential (l) dependence and so do the BAOs. In the deep survey limit and ignoring evolution, the SFB power spectrum becomes radial and reduces to the Cartesian Fourier power spectrum. In the limit of a thin shell, all the information is contained in the tangential modes described by the 2D SH power spectrum. We find that the radialisation of the SFB power spectrum is still a good approximation even when considering an evolving and biased galaxy field with a finite selection function. This effect can be observed by all-sky surveys with depths comparable to current surveys. We find that the BAOs radialise more rapidly than the full SFB power spectrum. Our results suggest the first peak of the BAOs in SFB space becomes radial out to l ~ 10 for all-sky surveys with the same depth as SDSS or 2dF, and out to l ~ 70 for an all-sky stage IV survey. Subsequent BAO peaks also become radial, but for shallow surveys these may be in the non-linear regime. For modes that have become radial, measurements at different l's are useful in practice to reduce measurement errors.Comment: 6 pages + Appendix. Astro-ph abstract is abridged. Updated with comments from anonymous referee. Corrected axes of Figure 2. Extended discussion of radialisation. Accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysic

Dark Energy Constraints from the CTIO Lensing Survey

We perform a cosmological parameter analysis of the 75 square degree CTIO lensing survey in conjunction with CMB and Type Ia supernovae data. For Lambda CDM cosmologies, we find that the amplitude of the power spectrum at low redshift is given by sigma_8 = 0.81 (+0.15,-0.10, 95% c.l.), where the error bar includes both statistical and systematic errors. The total of all systematic errors is smaller than the statistical errors, but they do make up a significant fraction of the error budget. We find that weak lensing improves the constraints on dark energy as well. The (constant) dark energy equation of state parameter, w, is measured to be -0.89 (+0.16,-0.21, 95% c.l.). Marginalizing over a constant $w$ slightly changes the estimate of sigma_8 to 0.79 (+0.17, -0.14, 95% c.l.). We also investigate variable w cosmologies, but find that the constraints weaken considerably; the next generation surveys are needed to obtain meaningful constraints on the possible time evolution of dark energy.Comment: 10 pages, 4 figures, v3 matches version accepted by ApJ. Significant changes in section 4.2.3. Otherwise, mostly minor change