Statistical Concepts in Clinical Research

The overall objectives of the reference guide are: To introduce or review concepts to consider when designing a clinical trial To introduce or review the four phases of clinical trials including different types of designs for Phase I and Phase II clinical trials To introduce or review observational studies To introduce or review analysis of categorical, continuous, and time-to event measures as well as Bayesian methodology.https://openworks.mdanderson.org/mozart/1006/thumbnail.jp

Complement-Binding Donor-Specific Anti-HLA Antibodies and Risk of Primary Graft Failure in Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

AbstractDetection of donor-specific anti-HLA antibodies (DSA) has been associated with graft rejection in all forms of transplantation. The mechanism by which DSA increase the risk of graft failure remains unclear. We hypothesized that complement-binding DSA are associated with engraftment failure in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) and analyzed 122 haploidentical transplant recipients tested prospectively for DSA. Retrospective analysis to detect C1q binding DSA (C1q+DSA) was performed on 22 allosensitized recipients. Twenty-two of 122 patients (18%) had DSA, 19 of which were women (86%). Seven patients with DSA (32%) rejected the graft. Median DSA level at transplant for patients who failed to engraft was 10,055 mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) versus 2065 MFI for those who engrafted (P = .007). Nine patients with DSA were C1q positive in the initial samples with median DSA levels of 15,279 MFI (range, 1554 to 28,615), compared with 7 C1q-negative patients with median DSA levels of 2471 MFI (range, 665 to 12,254) (P = .016). Of 9 patients who were C1q positive in the initial samples, 5 patients remained C1q positive at time of transplant (all with high DSA levels [median, 15,279; range, 6487 to 22,944]) and experienced engraftment failure, whereas 4 patients became C1q negative pretransplant and all engrafted the donor cells (P = .008). In conclusion, patients with high DSA levels (>5000 MFI) and complement-binding DSA antibodies (C1q positive) appear to be at much higher risk of primary graft failure. The presence of C1q+DSA should be assessed in allosensitized patients before HSCT. Reduction of C1q+DSA levels might prevent engraftment failure in HSCT

Acute atomoxetine treatment of younger and older children with ADHD: A meta-analysis of tolerability and efficacy

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Atomoxetine is FDA-approved as a treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in patients aged 6 years to adult. Among pediatric clinical trials of atomoxetine to date, six with a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled design were used in this meta-analysis. The purpose of this article is to describe and compare the treatment response and tolerability of atomoxetine between younger children (6–7 years) and older children (8–12 years) with ADHD, as reported in these six acute treatment trials.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Data from six clinical trials of 6–9 weeks duration were pooled, yielding 280 subjects, ages 6–7 years, and 860 subjects, ages 8–12 years with Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition (DSM-IV)-diagnosed ADHD. Efficacy was analyzed using the ADHD Rating Scale-IV (ADHD-RS), Conners' Parent Rating Scale-revised (CPRS-R:S), and the Clinical Global Impression of ADHD Severity (CGI-ADHD-S).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Atomoxetine was superior to placebo in both age categories for mean (SD) change in ADHD-RS total, total T, and subscale scores; 3 CPRS-R:S subscales; and CGI-ADHD-S from baseline. Although there were no significant treatment differentials between the age groups for these efficacy measures, the age groups themselves, regardless of treatment, were significantly different for ADHD-RS total (younger: ATX = -14.2 [13.8], PBO = -4.6 [10.4]; older: ATX = -15.4 [13.2], PBO = -7.3 [12.0]; p = .001), total T (younger: ATX = -15.2 [14.8], PBO = -4.9 [11.2]; older: ATX = -16.4 [14.6], PBO = -7.9 [13.1]; p = .003), and subscale scores (Inattentive: younger: ATX = -7.2 [7.5], PBO = -2.4 [5.7]; older: ATX = -8.0 [7.4], PBO = -3.9 [6.7]; p = .043; Hyperactive/Impulsive: younger: ATX = -7.0 [7.2], PBO = -2.1 [5.4]; older: ATX = -7.3 [7.0], PBO = -3.4 [6.3]; p < .001), as well as the CGI-ADHD-S score (younger: ATX = -1.2 [1.3], PBO = -0.5 [0.9]; older: ATX = -1.4 [1.3], PBO = -0.7 [1.1]; p = .010). Although few subjects discontinued from either age group due to adverse events, a significant treatment-by-age-group interaction was observed for abdominal pain (younger: ATX = 19%, PBO = 6%; older: ATX = 15%, PBO = 13%; p = .044), vomiting (younger: ATX = 14%, PBO = 2%; older: ATX = 9%, PBO = 6%; p = .053), cough (younger: ATX = 10%, PBO = 6%; older: ATX = 3%, PBO = 9%; p = .007), and pyrexia (younger: ATX = 5%, PBO = 2%; older: ATX = 3%, PBO = 5%; p = .058).</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Atomoxetine is an effective and generally well-tolerated treatment of ADHD in both younger and older children as assessed by three recognized measures of symptoms in six controlled clinical trials.</p> <p>Trial Registration</p> <p>Not Applicable.</p

Sustained favorable long-term outcome in the treatment of schizophrenia: a 3-year prospective observational study

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>This study of chronically ill patients with schizophrenia aimed to identify patients who achieve sustained favorable long-term outcome - when the outcome incorporates severity of symptoms, level of functioning, and use of acute care services - and to identify the best baseline predictors of achieving this sustained favorable long-term outcome.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Using data from the United States Schizophrenia Care and Assessment Program (US-SCAP) (N = 2327), a large 3-year prospective, multisite, observational study of individuals treated for schizophrenia in the US, a hierarchical cluster analysis was performed to group patients based upon baseline symptom severity. Symptom severity was assessed using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) scores, level of functioning, and use of acute care services. Level of functioning reflected patient-reported productivity and clinician-rated occupational role functioning. Use of acute care services reflected self-reported psychiatric hospitalization and emergency service use. Change of health state was determined over the 3-year period. A patient was classified as having a sustained favorable long-term outcome if their health state values had the closest distance to the defined "best baseline cluster" at each point over the length of the study. Stepwise logistic regression was used to determine baseline predictors of sustained favorable long-term outcome.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>At baseline, 5 distinct health state clusters were identified, ranging from "best" to "worst." Of 1635 patients with sufficient data, only 157 (10%) experienced sustained favorable long-term outcome during the 2-years postbaseline. The baseline predictors associated with sustained favorable long-term outcome included better quality of life, more daily activities, patient-reported clearer thinking from medication, better global functioning, being employed, not being a victim of a crime, not having received individual therapy, and not having received help with shopping and leisure activities.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Only a small percentage of patients achieved sustained favorable long-term outcome in this study, suggesting there continues to be a great need for improvement in the treatment of schizophrenia. Findings suggest that clinicians could make early projections of health states and identify those patients more likely to achieve favorable long-term outcomes enabling early therapeutic interventions to enhance benefits for patients.</p

Beyond BRAFV600: Clinical Mutation Panel Testing by Next-Generation Sequencing in Advanced Melanoma

The management of melanoma has evolved owing to improved understanding of its molecular drivers. To augment the current understanding of the prevalence, patterns, and associations of mutations in this disease, the results of clinical testing of 699 advanced melanoma patients using a pan-cancer next-generation sequencing (NGS) panel of hotspot regions in 46 genes were reviewed. Mutations were identified in 43 of the 46 genes on the panel. The most common mutations were BRAFV600 (36%), NRAS (21%), TP53 (16%), BRAFNon-V600 (6%), and KIT (4%). Approximately one-third of melanomas had >1 mutation detected, and the number of mutations per tumor was associated with melanoma subtype. Concurrent TP53 mutations were the most frequent events in tumors with BRAFV600and NRAS mutations. Melanomas with BRAFNon-V600mutations frequently harbored concurrent NRAS mutations (18%), which were rare in tumors with BRAFV600 mutations (1.6%). The prevalence of BRAFV600 and KIT mutations were significantly associated with melanoma subtypes, and BRAFV600 and TP53 mutations were significantly associated with cutaneous primary tumor location. Multiple potential therapeutic targets were identified in metastatic unknown primary and cutaneous melanomas that lacked BRAFV600and NRAS mutations. These results enrich our understanding of the patterns and clinical associations of oncogenic mutations in melanoma

Transitioning tacrolimus to sirolimus in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

OBJECTIVES: Calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) use for acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) prophylaxis in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) recipients has been associated with toxicities. Toxicities may be managed by converting CNI to sirolimus as often done in solid organ transplantation. This study aimed to characterize allo-HCT patients who completely transitioned from tacrolimus to sirolimus and evaluate the incidence of aGVHD within 100 days post-transition, overall survival (OS), and incidence of relapse. METHODS: Safety and efficacy data were collected at baseline and at day 30 and 90 post-transition from tacrolimus to sirolimus and at one-year post-HCT. RESULTS: Most patients who transitioned had acute leukemia, received a matched unrelated donor allo-HCT, and transitioned due to nephrotoxicity or neurotoxicity. The resolution rate was 83% and 48% in the nephrotoxicity group, 78% and 61% in the neurotoxicity group, 33% and 33% in the group that developed both nephrotoxicity and transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy at 30 and 90 days of assessments, respectively. Patients who transitioned before day 55 post-allo-HCT were more likely to develop new or worsening aGVHD. The one-year OS and relapse rates were 37% and 20%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The conversion from tacrolimus to sirolimus demonstrates promising resolution of acute toxicities; however, overall mortality remains high

An open-label, randomized, multi-center study comparing the sequence of high dose aldesleukin (interleukin-2) and ipilimumab (yervoy) in patients with metastatic melanoma

Combination immunotherapy with sequential administration may enhance metastatic melanoma (MM) patients with long-term disease control. High Dose Aldesleukin/Recombinant Interleukin-2 (HD rIL-2) and ipilimumab (IPI) offer complementary mechanisms against MM. This phase IV study assessed the sequenced use of HD rIL-2 and IPI in MM patients. Eligible Stage IV MM patients were randomized to treatment with either two courses of HD rIL-2(600,000 IU/kg) followed by four doses of IPI 3 mg/kg or vice-versa. The primary objective was to compare one-year overall survival (OS) with historical control (46%, Hodi et al., NEJM 2010). Secondary objectives were 1-year progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and adverse events (AEs) profile. Evaluable Population (EP) included patients who received at least 50% of planned treatment with each drug. Thirteen and 16 patients were randomized to receive HD rIL-2 first, and IPI first, respectively. One-year OS rate was 75% for intention to treat population. Eighteen patients were included in EP, 8 in HD rIL-2, 10 in IPI first arm. In EP, 1-year OS, PFS and ORR rates were 87%, 68%, and 50%, respectively. The frequency of AEs was similar in both arms with 13 patients experiencing Grade 3 or higher AEs, 3 resulting in the end of study participation. There was one HD rIL-2-related death, from cerebral hemorrhage due to thrombocytopenia. In this study with small sample size, HD rIL-2 and IPI were safe to administer sequentially in MM patients and showed more than additive effects. 1-year OS was superior to that of IPI alone from historical studies

Skeletal tumor burden on baseline 18F-fluoride PET/CT predicts bone marrow failure after 223Ra therapy

Determine if skeletal tumor burden on 18F-fluoride PET/CT (fluoride PET/CT) predicts the risk of bone marrow failure (BMF) after 223Ra dichloride therapy (223Ra). Methods Forty-one metastatic prostate cancer patients (43-89 years old; mean, 71 ± 9 years.) underwent fluoride PET/CT prior to 223Ra. Bone marrow failure was the primary end point and was defined as (1) development of hematologic toxicity (World Health Organization grade 3 or 4) associated with no recovery after 6 weeks or (2) death due to BMF after the last 223Ra dose. Bone marrow failure was correlated to fluoride PET/CT skeletal tumor burden (TLF10 [total lesion on fluoride PET/CT with SUVmax of 10 or greater]), use of chemotherapy, serum hemoglobin concentration, serum ALP, and serum prostate-specific antigen. Results The number of 223Ra cycles ranged from 2 to 6 (mean, 5). Of the 41 patients, 16 developed BMF (G3 = 12; G4 = 4). A significantly increased risk of developing BMF was observed in patients with TLF10 of 12,000 or greater (hazard ratio [HR], 11.09; P 146 UI/L (HR, 4.52; P = 0.0100). Neither concomitant (HR, 0.91; P = 0.88) nor subsequent use of chemotherapy (HR, 0.14; P = 0.84) increased the risk of BMF, nor was prostate-specific antigen greater than 10 μg/L (HR, 0.90; P = 0.86). Moreover, in a multivariable analysis, TLF10 was the only independent predictor of BMF (HR, 6.66; P = 0.0237). Conclusions 223Ra was beneficial and reduced the risk of death even in patients with a high skeletal tumor burden. Fluoride PET/CT is able to determine which patients will benefit from 223Ra and which will develop BMF414268273FUNDAÇÃO DE AMPARO À PESQUISA DO ESTADO DE SÃO PAULO - FAPESP2014/03317-

Haploidentical Donors in Addition to Transplantation in Chronic Phase Associate with Improved Gvhd-Free Relapse-Free Survival (GRFS) for Patients with Advanced CML

Abstract Introduction: Despite the successes of treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in patients with CML, allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) continues to be a potentially curative option for patients with advanced disease of who fail TKI therapy. Here we analyzed outcomes of patients with advanced CML (aCML) (beyond first chronic phase-CP1) who received an ASCT at our institution to identify factors associated with improved survival. Methods:207 consecutive patients withaCML treated at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center after year 2000 were included. The median age was 44 years (range 2-70 years), 135 (65%) were male, 77% had less than 5% bone marrow (BM) blasts, 129 (65%) had persistentPh-chromosome positive, and 176 patients (85%) were less than a major molecular response at transplant. Forty of 114 tested patients (35%) had resistant BCR-ABL mutations and 10 patients (8.7%) had T315I mutation at transplant. Conditioning regimen wasmyeloablative (MAC) in 140 patients (68%). Donors were matched related (MRD), matched unrelated (MUD),haploidentical (HAPLO), mismatched unrelated (MMUD), umbilical cord blood (UCB) and 1Ag mismatched related (MMRD) in 79 (38%), 75 (36%), 18 (9%), 17 (8%), 11 (5%) and 7 (3%) patients, respectively. The median time from diagnosis to transplant was 27 months (range 1-318 months) while the median follow-up duration was 20 months (range 1-194 months). Results:At 30 days post-transplant, 180 of 200 tested patients (90%) and 134 of 201 tested patients (67%) achieved a complete cytogenetic and at least a major molecular response, respectively. The response to transplant by day 30assessment correlated significantly with the disease status before transplant. A higher percentage of patients who experienced cytogenetic response before transplant experienced molecular response post-transplant (77%) compared with those who did not (61%; p=0.027). For the entire group, the 1-year cumulative incidence (CI) of acute GVHD (aGVHD) grade II-IV and grade III-IV were 41% and 15%, respectively; 5-year CI of extensive chronic GVHD (cGVHD) was 31%.Haploidentical transplant patients had lesscGVHD compared with HLA matched donor transplants (14% vs. 32% for HLA matched transplants). The CI of non-relapse mortality at 100 days and 1 year was 14% and 30%, respectively. Sixty-five patients (31%) had molecular relapse after transplant, which correlated with the degree of disease control before transplant. The CI of cytogenetic and molecular relapse at 5 years was 22% and 31%, respectively. Overall the 5-year survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS) and GVHD-free, relapse-free survival (GRFS)was49%, 34%, and 22%, respectively. Adjusting for all significant measures, percentage of BM blasts before transplant and donor type were significantly associated with PFS and GRFS (Table1, Figure 1).Haplodenticaltransplant patients had longer PFS and GRFS compared with other donor types including matched related or unrelated donor (5-year GRFS for HAPLO, MRD, MUD, MMUD, UCB and MMRD were 53%, 19%, 23%, 29%, 9%, and 0%, respectively; p=0.033) (Table 1, Figure 1). Cytogenetic and molecular response before transplant as well as year of transplant did not predict survival after transplant. Conclusions: ASCT is curative for a proportion of patients withaCML. PFS and GRFS are favorably influenced by percentage of BM blasts and donor type, withhaploidentical donor having at least as good outcomes as HLA matched donors, while molecular and cytogenetic response before transplant do not appear to correlate with survival post-transplant. Table 1 Multivariable analysis for PFS and GRFS Table 1. Multivariable analysis for PFS and GRFS Figure 1 PFS and GRFS based on percentage of BM blasts before transplant and donor types Figure 1. PFS and GRFS based on percentage of BM blasts before transplant and donor types Disclosures Cortes: Arog: Research Funding; Teva: Research Funding; Pfizer: Consultancy, Research Funding; Novartis: Consultancy, Research Funding; BMS: Consultancy, Research Funding; Ariad: Consultancy, Research Funding; Astellas: Research Funding; Ambit: Research Funding. Champlin:Intrexon: Equity Ownership, Patents & Royalties; Ziopharm Oncology: Equity Ownership, Patents & Royalties. Ciurea:Spectrum Pharmaceuticals: Other: Advisory Board; Cyto-Sen Therapeutics: Equity Ownership