Effectiveness of dolutegravir-based vs boosted darunavir-based first-line 3-drug regimens in people with HIV with advanced disease: a trial emulation

Background: No randomized comparisons exist between dolutegravir (DTG) and boosted-darunavir (DRV/b) for people initiating treatment with advanced HIV. Methods: ART-naïve people with HIV (PWH) with CD4 <200 cells/mm3 or AIDS who started a first-line three-drug regimen with DTG or DRV/b were included. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of newly diagnosed AIDS, serious non-AIDS events (SNAE), death, virological failure (VF) or discontinuation of the anchor drug due to failure or toxicity. A marginal structural Cox regression model was used to estimate the effect of starting DTG vs DRV/b-based regimens. Results: A total of 1,323 advanced ART-naïve PWH were included, 895 starting DTG and 428 DRV/b. The unweighted risks of the composite endpoint by 48 months were 21.1% (95% CI: 18.1;24.1%) for DTG versus 37.9% (95% CI: 32.7;43.2%) for DRV/b (p<0.001). First-line treatment with DTG showed a lower risk of experiencing the composite endpoint than DRV/b (wHR of DTG vs DRV/b 0.47, 95% CI: 0.35;0.64, p<0.001). Conclusion: Under the stated assumptions, this analysis indicates that in ART-naïve PWH with advanced disease, ART initiation with DTG vs. DRV/b-based regimens leads to a 50% reduction in the risk of AIDS/SNAE/death/VF/discontinuation. This observed difference is partly explained by discontinuation of the anchor drug

Effectiveness and predictors of treatment discontinuation of long-acting cabotegravir/rilpivirine in virologically suppressed people with HIV: real-life data from the Icona Cohort

Background: Phase 3 studies have shown long-acting (LA) cabotegravir/rilpivirine to be effective and tolerable as maintenance therapy in people with HIV (PWH). However, real-life data on their effectiveness are limited. Methods: All PWH enrolled in the Icona Cohort who started LA cabotegravir/rilpivirine with HIV-RNA < 50 copies/mL were included. Times to treatment discontinuation (TD) and to virological failure (VF50, two consecutive HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL or one >1000 copies/mL followed by ART switch) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Cox regression models, adjusted for age, sex and mode of HIV transmission and stratified by the centre, were employed. Results: Overall, 583 PWH started LA cabotegravir/rilpivirine. Six VF50 were observed, with a 1 year estimated cumulative probability of virological failure of 1.2% (95% CI, 0.5%–3.0%). Resistance-associated mutations for rilpivirine and cabotegravir were detected in 3/4 and 4/4 participants with VF50, respectively, for which the genotypic resistance test was performed. The 1 year cumulative probability of TD was 11.4% (95% CI, 8.6%–14.9%), mainly caused by toxicity/adverse events (73.2%). Multivariable analysis identified heterosexual intercourse and IV drug use as significant risk factors for TD compared with MSM. Conclusions: This analysis demonstrated the short-term effectiveness of cabotegravir/rilpivirine in a real-life setting showing minimal incidence of virological failure but a notable probability of discontinuation due to toxicity or adverse events

Does Syphilis Increase the Risk of HIV-RNA Elevation >200 Copies/mL in HIV-Positive Patients under Effective Antiretroviral Treatment? Data from the ICONA Cohort

Background:To assess the impact of syphilis infection on the risk of HIV-RNA elevation in people living with HIV (PLWH) with current HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL.Setting:The Italian Cohort Naive Antiretrovirals.Methods:All PLWH (2009-2020) under antiretroviral treatment with at least 2 consecutive HIV-RNA values ≤50 copies/mL before the date of syphilis diagnosis and at least 1 HIV-RNA determination after the syphilis event were enrolled. A control group of PLWH without syphilis was matched for mode of HIV transmission. Outcomes were defined using the first HIV-RNA measure in the time window ranging between -2 and +6 months of the diagnosis/index date. The primary outcome used a single value >200 copies/mL to define HIV-RNA elevation associated with risk of transmission. The association between syphilis infection and the protocol defined outcome was evaluated using logistic regression analysis.Results:Nine hundred twenty-six PLWH with a syphilis event were enrolled and matched with a random sample of 1370 PLWH without syphilis. Eighteen of the 926 (1.9%) with syphilis had ≥1 HIV-RNA >200 copies/mL in the window vs. 29/1370 (2.1%) of the not exposed (P = 0.77). In the multivariable analysis adjusted for age, year of diagnosis/index date, and clinical site, syphilis infection was not associated with the risk of HIV-RNA >200 copies/mL (adjusted odds ratio 0.81; 95% confidence interval 0.43-1.52, P = 0.508).Conclusions:We did not find any evidence for an association between syphilis infection and viral elevation >200 copies/mL

Effectiveness of dolutegravir-based vs boosted darunavir-based first-line 3-drug regimens in people with HIV with advanced disease: A trial emulation

Background: No randomized comparisons exist between dolutegravir (DTG) and boosted-darunavir (DRV/b) for people initiating treatment with advanced HIV. Methods: Antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve people with HIV (PWH) with CD4 < 200 cells/mm3 or AIDS who started a first-line three-drug regimen with DTG or DRV/b were included. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of newly diagnosed AIDS, serious non-AIDS events (SNAE), death, virological failure (VF), or discontinuation of the anchor drug due to failure or toxicity. A marginal structural Cox regression model was used to estimate the effect of starting DTG vs DRV/b-based regimens. Results: A total of 1323 advanced ART-naïve PWH were included, 895 starting DTG and 428 DRV/b. The unweighted risks of the composite endpoint by 48 months were 21.1% (95% CI: 18.1; 24.1%) for DTG vs 37.9% (95% CI: 32.7; 43.2%) for DRV/b (P < 0.001). First-line treatment with DTG showed a lower risk of experiencing the composite endpoint than DRV/b (wHR of DTG vs DRV/b 0.47, 95% CI: 0.35; 0.64, P < 0.001). Conclusion: Under the stated assumptions, this analysis indicates that in ART-naïve PWH with advanced disease, ART initiation with DTG vs DRV/b-based regimens leads to a 50% reduction in the risk of AIDS/SNAE/death/VF/discontinuation. This observed difference is partly explained by discontinuation of the anchor drug

Determinants of worse liver‐related outcome according to HDV infection among HBsAg positive persons living with HIV: Data from the ICONA cohort

Objectives: We aimed to study hepatitis D virus (HDV) prevalence and risk of progression to severe liver-related events (SLRE) in HBsAg positive people living with HIV (PLWH) in Italy; role of HDV-RNA copy levels, HCV coinfection and nadir CD4 counts were also investigated.Methods: People living with HIV (PLWH) from Italian Foundation cohort Naive antiretrovirals (ICONA) with available HBsAg and HDV Ab were enrolled. HBsAg, HDV Ab, HDV-RNA and HDV genotypes were tested. Primary end-point: time from first HDV screening to Severe Liver Related Events (SLRE: decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplantation, HCC). Fine-grey regression models were used to evaluate the association of HDV Ab, HDV-RNA, HDV/HCV coinfection, CD4 nadir and outcome. Secondary end-points: time to SLRE or death; HDV Ab and HDV-RNA prevalence.Results: A total of 152/809 (18.8%) HBsAg positive PLWH showed HDV Ab reactivity; 63/93 (67.7%) were HDV-RNA positive. Being male, persons who inject drugs (PWID), HCV Ab positive, with FIB-4 > 3.25 were independent factors of HDV Ab positivity. In a median follow-up of 5 years, 37 PLWH (4.1% at 5-year) developed SLRE and 97 (12.0%) reached the SLRE or death end-point. HDV-RNA positive (independently from HDV-RNA copy level) PLWH had a 4.6-fold (95%CI 2.0-10.5) higher risk of SLRE than HDV negatives. PLWH positive for both HCV Ab and HDV Ab showed the highest independent risk of SLRE (ASHR: 11.9, 95%CI: 4.6-30.9 vs. HCV neg/HDV neg). Nadir CD4 < 200/mL was associated with SLRE (ASHR: 3.9, 95% 1.0-14.5).Conclusions: One-fifth of the HBsAg positive PLWH harbour HDV infection, and are at high risk of progression to advanced liver disease. HCV contributes to worse outcomes. This population needs urgently effective treatments

Risk of clinical events in virologically suppressed people with HIV switching to a two-drug regimen vs. remaining on a three-drug regimen: a target trial emulation

Background: Guidelines support the switch to a two-drug regimen (2DR) in virologically suppressed people with HIV (PWH) on a three-drug regimen (3DR). Randomized clinical trials have not included clinical outcomes in study endpoints. We provide estimates of 3-year clinical risk by means of a target trial emulation using the data of a large cohort of PWH in Italy. Methods: PWH from the Icona Foundation Study who were virologically suppressed (HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL) for ≥6 months on a 3DR on or after November 2014, were enrolled (database closure on July 31, 2024). PWH were classified according to therapeutic strategies: switching to 2DR (protease inhibitors or dolutegravir plus lamivudine or dolutegravir plus rilpivirine) or remaining on 3DR (any combination). The primary endpoint was the time to the first clinical composite event (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer [AIDS and non-AIDS related], or death). We calculated the difference in 3-year risk between therapeutic strategies, estimated using a weighted non-parametric Kaplan–Meier estimator. Findings: 7672 participants entered the analysis: 629 (8.2%) switching to 2DR and 7043 (91.8%) remaining on 3DR. Over the 3-year follow-up, 408 events were registered (64 CVD, 234 cancer, and 110 deaths). The 3-year adjusted risk estimate was 2.55 (95% CI 1.72, 5.33) in 2DR vs. 4.69 (95% CI 4.48, 6.17) in 3DR. The difference (−2.15% [95% CI −3.56%, −0.20%]) in favor of 2DR was mainly driven by events of non-AIDS related cancer and mortality. Interpretation: This study provides evidence that virologically suppressed PWH can be safely switched to 2DR, and may slightly reduce the 3-year risk of a composite clinical outcome. Funding: The Icona Foundation Study is supported by unrestricted grants from Gilead Sciences, ViiV Healthcare, Merck Sharpe & Dohme

Determinants of worse liver‐related outcome according to HDV infection among HBsAg positive persons living with HIV: Data from the ICONA cohort

Objectives: We aimed to study hepatitis D virus (HDV) prevalence and risk of progression to severe liver-related events (SLRE) in HBsAg positive people living with HIV (PLWH) in Italy; role of HDV-RNA copy levels, HCV coinfection and nadir CD4 counts were also investigated.Methods: People living with HIV (PLWH) from Italian Foundation cohort Naive antiretrovirals (ICONA) with available HBsAg and HDV Ab were enrolled. HBsAg, HDV Ab, HDV-RNA and HDV genotypes were tested. Primary end-point: time from first HDV screening to Severe Liver Related Events (SLRE: decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplantation, HCC). Fine-grey regression models were used to evaluate the association of HDV Ab, HDV-RNA, HDV/HCV coinfection, CD4 nadir and outcome. Secondary end-points: time to SLRE or death; HDV Ab and HDV-RNA prevalence.Results: A total of 152/809 (18.8%) HBsAg positive PLWH showed HDV Ab reactivity; 63/93 (67.7%) were HDV-RNA positive. Being male, persons who inject drugs (PWID), HCV Ab positive, with FIB-4 > 3.25 were independent factors of HDV Ab positivity. In a median follow-up of 5 years, 37 PLWH (4.1% at 5-year) developed SLRE and 97 (12.0%) reached the SLRE or death end-point. HDV-RNA positive (independently from HDV-RNA copy level) PLWH had a 4.6-fold (95%CI 2.0-10.5) higher risk of SLRE than HDV negatives. PLWH positive for both HCV Ab and HDV Ab showed the highest independent risk of SLRE (ASHR: 11.9, 95%CI: 4.6-30.9 vs. HCV neg/HDV neg). Nadir CD4 < 200/mL was associated with SLRE (ASHR: 3.9, 95% 1.0-14.5).Conclusions: One-fifth of the HBsAg positive PLWH harbour HDV infection, and are at high risk of progression to advanced liver disease. HCV contributes to worse outcomes. This population needs urgently effective treatments

Role of low-frequency integrase strand transfer inhibitor resistance mutations on virological outcomes in antiretroviral therapy-naïve individuals initiating second-generation integrase inhibitors

Objectives: This study investigated the role of low-frequency integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) resistance mutations, detectable by next-generation sequencing (NGS), at predicting virological rebound (VR) among people with HIV (PWH) starting second-generation INSTI-based first-line regimens. Methods: This case-control study compared PWH (retrieved from the ICONA cohort; www.icona.org) who experienced VR (cases) with those who maintained virological control (controls) under first-line regimens based on dolutegravir or bictegravir. NGS data obtained through the Illumina platform were interpreted using the HIVdb algorithm version 9.7. Major (MRM), accessory (ARM), and other (ORM) INSTI resistance mutations were analysed at 5%, 10%, and 20% NGS cut-offs, respectively. Conditional logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between INSTI resistance and risk of VR. Results: Among 266 PWH (90 cases, 176 controls), cases experienced VR with a median (interquartile range) viremia of 317 (93–6060) copies/mL after 15 (8–28) months from antiretroviral therapy start. The prevalence of MRM was low (NGS cut-off 5%, 10%, 20%: 1.9%, 0.8%, 0.4%, respectively), while it was moderate for ARM (7.5%, 7.1%, 6.4%) and high for ORM (50.0%, 44.7%, 42.1%). There was no evidence of a difference in prevalence of ≥1 MRM, ARM, or ORM between cases and controls. At 5% NGS cut-off, the prevalence of ≥2 ORM was higher in cases compared with controls. After adjusting for confounders, including HIV-1 subtype, ≥2 ORM detected as minority variants remained associated with VR risk. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that combinations of low-frequency ORM may increase the risk of VR in individuals starting dolutegravir or bictegravir-based regimens. Further studies are needed to better understand these findings

Determinants of worse liver-related outcome according to HDV infection among HBsAg positive persons living with HIV: Data from the ICONA cohort

Objectives: We aimed to study hepatitis D virus (HDV) prevalence and risk of progression to severe liver-related events (SLRE) in HBsAg positive people living with HIV (PLWH) in Italy; role of HDV-RNA copy levels, HCV coinfection and nadir CD4 counts were also investigated.Methods: People living with HIV (PLWH) from Italian Foundation cohort Naive antiretrovirals (ICONA) with available HBsAg and HDV Ab were enrolled. HBsAg, HDV Ab, HDV-RNA and HDV genotypes were tested. Primary end-point: time from first HDV screening to Severe Liver Related Events (SLRE: decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplantation, HCC). Fine-grey regression models were used to evaluate the association of HDV Ab, HDV-RNA, HDV/HCV coinfection, CD4 nadir and outcome. Secondary end-points: time to SLRE or death; HDV Ab and HDV-RNA prevalence.Results: A total of 152/809 (18.8%) HBsAg positive PLWH showed HDV Ab reactivity; 63/93 (67.7%) were HDV-RNA positive. Being male, persons who inject drugs (PWID), HCV Ab positive, with FIB-4 > 3.25 were independent factors of HDV Ab positivity. In a median follow-up of 5 years, 37 PLWH (4.1% at 5-year) developed SLRE and 97 (12.0%) reached the SLRE or death end-point. HDV-RNA positive (independently from HDV-RNA copy level) PLWH had a 4.6-fold (95%CI 2.0-10.5) higher risk of SLRE than HDV negatives. PLWH positive for both HCV Ab and HDV Ab showed the highest independent risk of SLRE (ASHR: 11.9, 95%CI: 4.6-30.9 vs. HCV neg/HDV neg). Nadir CD4 < 200/mL was associated with SLRE (ASHR: 3.9, 95% 1.0-14.5).Conclusions: One-fifth of the HBsAg positive PLWH harbour HDV infection, and are at high risk of progression to advanced liver disease. HCV contributes to worse outcomes. This population needs urgently effective treatments

Cardiovascular Diseases Associated Inflammatory Biomarker Levels in a Small Cohort of HIV-1 Infected Patients Deintensificated from Abacavir/Lamivudine/ Dolutegravir to Lamivudine Plus Dolutegravir Running Head: Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases and Abacavir Use

Following the successful introduction of combined Antiretroviral Therapy (cART), a dramatic decrease in viral burden and opportunistic infections along with a consistent increase in life expectancy has been observed in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infected patients [1]. This deep change in the HIV disease evolution has determined that HIV positive subjects were effectively monitored for several alterations of many tissue and organs due to HIV chronic disease and antiretroviral treatment for example, cardiovascular system, bone, adipose tissues, kidney and central nervous system represent the major target of these structural and functional damages during HIV infection. In particular, Cardiovascular Diseases (CVD) were considered important clinical complications in the HIV patient and represent a leading cause of death among HIV-positive patients, accounting for approximately 11% of the total deaths in this population [2]; the risk of CVD is higher in HIV positive individuals compared with HIV negative people, and particularly the reported Myocardial Infarction (MI) incidence in cohort study ranges from 3 to 11 cases per 1000 patients a year in HIV- positive individuals against 2 to 7 cases per 1000 patients-years in HIV-negative population [3,4]. Although initial studies indicated a higher prevalence of traditional CVD risk factors in HIV infected population [5,6] as a possible cause, the molecular mechanisms of increased CVD risk in HIV still remain incompletely defined and should be probably attributable to a combination of multiple factors, including both direct and indirect effects of HIV infection on metabolism. Evidence from experimental and observational studies [7,8] in recent years suggested a more important role of HIV itself in contributing to CVD. Endothelial dysfunction due to gp120, Tat and Nef proteins have been identified as a critical link between infection, inflammation, immune activation, atherosclerosis and cardiovascular system. Moreover, ART may play a role in the exacerbation of risk factors for CVD [9]; since the presentation of findings from the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) study in 2008 demonstrating a 90% increased risk of MI in HIV- positive individuals receiving ART regimens including Abacavir (ABC), subsequent studies, conducted by FDA [10], GlaxoSmithKline [11] and independent researchers [12], to investigate this risk have yielded conflicting results. Although more recent studies have shown an effective increased risk of CVD associated with use of ABC, many results did not reach statistical significance [13-17]. The absence of a demonstrated underlying biological mechanism for such a risk added interest and confusion about the question, as well as the higher prevalence of risk factors for CVD, such as renal impairment and substance abuse among abacavir recipients; in addition, a recent meta analysis suggests that Relative Risk (RR) for MI is increased within a 6 months exposure to ABC (RR=1.61; 95% confidence interval: 1.48–1.75) and in cART-naive population [18]. While the published evidence remains conflicting and a plausible biological mechanism for this potential association has not yet been identified, in the following study we have tried to verify whether, after introduction of ABC and its discontinuation in the contest of HAART deintensification, common metabolic markers CVD related such as glucose, LDL, HDL, total cholesterol and triglycerides and inflammatory biomarkers such as IL-6 and D-dimer could change in a small cohort of HIV-1 infected patients.</jats:p