THE "ANTHROPOCENE" IN THE MEDITERRANEAN

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Global model simulations of air pollution during the 2003 European heat wave

Three global Chemistry Transport Models - MOZART, MOCAGE, and TM5 - as well as MOZART coupled to the IFS meteorological model including assimilation of ozone (O-3) and carbon monoxide (CO) satellite column retrievals, have been compared to surface measurements and MOZAIC vertical profiles in the troposphere over Western/Central Europe for summer 2003. The models reproduce the meteorological features and enhancement of pollution during the period 2-14 August, but not fully the ozone and CO mixing ratios measured during that episode. Modified normalised mean biases are around -25% (except similar to 5% for MOCAGE) in the case of ozone and from -80% to -30% for CO in the boundary layer above Frankfurt. The coupling and assimilation of CO columns from MOPITT overcomes some of the deficiencies in the treatment of transport, chemistry and emissions in MOZART, reducing the negative biases to around 20%. The high reactivity and small dry deposition velocities in MOCAGE seem to be responsible for the overestimation of O-3 in this model. Results from sensitivity simulations indicate that an increase of the horizontal resolution to around 1 degrees x1 degrees and potential uncertainties in European anthropogenic emissions or in long-range transport of pollution cannot completely account for the underestimation of CO and O-3 found for most models. A process-oriented TM5 sensitivity simulation where soil wetness was reduced results in a decrease in dry deposition fluxes and a subsequent ozone increase larger than the ozone changes due to the previous sensitivity runs. However this latest simulation still underestimates ozone during the heat wave and overestimates it outside that period. Most probably, a combination of the mentioned factors together with underrepresented biogenic emissions in the models, uncertainties in the modelling of vertical/horizontal transport processes in the proximity of the boundary layer as well as limitations of the chemistry schemes are responsible for the underestimation of ozone (overestimation in the case of MOCAGE) and CO found in the models during this extreme pollution event

Decadal changes in extreme daily precipitation in Greece

The changes in daily precipitation totals in Greece, during the 45-year period (1957–2001) are examined. The precipitation datasets concern daily totals recorded at 21 surface meteorological stations of the Hellenic National Meteorological Service, which are uniformly distributed over the Greek region. First and foremost, the application of Factor Analysis resulted in grouping the meteorological stations with similar variation in time. The main sub groups represent the northern, southern, western, eastern and central regions of Greece with common precipitation characteristics. For representative stations of the extracted sub groups we estimated the trends and the time variability for the number of days (%) exceeding 30 mm (equal to the 95% percentile of daily precipitation for eastern and western regions and equal to the 97.5% percentile for the rest of the country) and 50 mm which is the threshold for very extreme and rare events. Furthermore, the scale and shape parameters of the well fitted gamma distribution to the daily precipitation data with respect to the whole examined period and to the 10-year sub periods reveal the changes in the intensity of the precipitation

On extreme daily precipitation totals at Athens, Greece

The paper studies changes in daily precipitation records at the National Observatory, Athens, during the period 1891-2004. This is the longest available time series of precipitation for Greece. The results show that both the shape and scale parameter of a fitted two parameter gamma distribution for the last two decades do show a significant difference of these parameters, when compared to any previous period from the 1890s through the 1970s. Also important changes are observed in daily precipitation totals exceeding various thresholds such as 10, 20, 30 and 50 mm. More specifically, a negative trend in the number of wet days (remarkable after 1968) and a positive trend in extreme daily precipitation are evident. The changes of heavy and extreme precipitation events in this part of SE Europe have significant environmental consequences which cause considerable damage and loss of life

Cyclic modes of the intra-annual variability of precipitation in Greece

The application of harmonic analysis to the annual variability of precipitation is the object of this study, so that the modes, which compose the annual variability, be elicited. For this purpose, monthly precipitation totals from 30 meteorological stations of the Hellenic National Meteorological Service (HNMS), for the period 1950-2000, were used. The initial target is to reduce the number of variables and to detect structure in the relationships between the variables. The most commonly used technique for this purpose is the application of Factor Analysis (FA) resulted in five main factors (sub-regions) with common precipitation characteristics, explaining 77% of the total variance. For each sub-region, a representative station is selected for the analyses, mainly, as the station within the sub-region with the highest factor loading. In the process, the Fourier Analysis is applied to the mean monthly precipitation, so that 2 harmonic components are derived, which explain more than 90% of the total variability of each station, and are due to different synoptic and thermodynamic processes associated with Greece's precipitation regime. Finally the calculation of the time of the maximum precipitation, for each harmonic component, gives the spatial distribution of the appearance of the maximum precipitation in the Greek region

Solar activity-ozone relationships in the vertical distribution of ozone

This paper studies the effect of long-term solar variability in the vertical ozone distribution using reanalysed observational data from three sources: ozonesondes, Umtehr and satellite. The analysis provides an extension of earlier work, which showed the amplitude of the solar activity effect in total column ozone to be more pronounced over the tropics, amounting to about 1-2% of the mean and confirmed by model calculations. The amplitude of the solar activity signal in the ozone profiles, as evidenced from satellite data analysis, amounts to about 2% of the mean ozone values in the middle and upper stratosphere over most latitudes. Exceptions are seen over the high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere and over the tropics, were there appears to be a solar activity signal also in the lower stratosphere. These results were obtained after removing the natural variability and monthly trends from all datasets. © 2005 Taylor & Francis

Effects of cirrus cloudiness on solar irradiance in four spectral bands

The impact of cirrus cloudiness on solar irradiance is estimated with the use of a cloud climatology (coverage, optical thickness) and a radiative transfer model. The change in irradiance in four spectral bands (shortwave, photosynthetically active radiation and ultraviolet A and B integrals) due to cirrus clouds at different height levels between the cloud base and the ground is examined for different solar zenith angles. The disproportionate role of the cirrus cloud layer, due to the different contribution of the direct and the diffuse irradiance components, is revealed. The average effect of cirrus clouds on solar irradiance is, in many cases, comparable with the measuring uncertainties of remote sensing instruments. This result indicates that, the detection of cirrus clouds and the determination or parameterization of their optical properties will significantly reduce the uncertainty of tropospheric measurements of several atmospheric constituents. © 2011 Elsevier B.V

Chemistry and radiation changes in the ozone layer

Centro de Informacion y Documentacion Cientifica (CINDOC). C/Joaquin Costa, 22. 28002 Madrid. SPAIN / CINDOC - Centro de Informaciòn y Documentaciòn CientìficaSIGLEESSpai