The statistical analysis of spatial point patterns

Imperial Users onl

Data maturity and follow-up in time-to-event analyses

NHMR

Australian tertiary care outcomes of entecavir monotherapy in treatment naive patients with chronic hepatitis B

Abstract AIM: To evaluate the long-term treatment outcomes of entecavir monotherapy in treatment naive patients in an Australian tertiary care setting. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of treatment naive patients receiving entecavir monotherapy through Westmead Hospital was performed. Patients were excluded if they had received previous treatment with another nucleoside or nucleotide analogue, were pregnant or less than 18 years old. RESULTS: Out of 336 patients, 163 patients fulfilled the selection criteria. Range of follow up was 3-46 mo (mean 26 mo). 134 patients (82.2%) had pre-treatment biopsies, with 26 patients (16.0 %) demonstrating F3-4 fibrosis. In total, 153 patients (93.9%) achieved at least Partial Virological Suppression (PVS), with 134 patients (82.2%) achieving complete virological suppression. The cumulative CVS and PVS rates at 36 mo were 82.1% and 96.4%, respectively. 3 patients (1.8%) failed to achieve PVS, while 5 patients (3.0%) developed virological rebound. 128 patients (78.5%) maintained CVS throughout follow up. Predictors of CVS included lower baseline DNA level (P = 0.001), hepatitis B virus e antigen negative status (P = 0.001) and increasing age at treatment (log rank 0.001). No significant adverse effects were reported necessitating cessation of entecavir. CONCLUSION: Entecavir monotherapy is efficacious and safe in an Australian tertiary care setting. Resistance and rebound rates are very low. This is similar to data from controlled and uncontrolled trials around the world

Left atrial reservoir strain by speckle tracking echocardiography : association with exercise capacity in chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) function plays a pivotal role in modulating left ventricular performance. The aim of our study was to evaluate the relationship between resting LA function by strain analysis and exercise capacity in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and evaluate its utility compared with exercise E/e’. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients with stage 3 and 4 CKD without prior cardiac history were prospectively recruited from outpatient nephrology clinics and underwent clinical evaluation and resting and exercise stress echocardiography. Resting echocardiographic parameters including E/e’ and phasic LA strain (LA reservoir [LASr], conduit, and contractile strain) were measured and compared with exercise E/e’. A total of 218 (63.9±11.7 years, 64% men) patients with CKD were recruited. Independent clinical parameters associated with exercise capacity were age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, body mass index, and sex (P<0.01 for all), while independent resting echocardiographic parameters included E/e’, LASr, and LA contractile strain (P<0.01 for all). Among resting echocardiographic parameters, LASr demonstrated the strongest positive correlation to metabolic equivalents achieved (r=0.70; P<0.01). Receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated that LASr (area under the curve, 0.83) had similar diagnostic performance as exercise E/e’ (area under the curve, 0.79; P=0.20 on DeLong test). A model combining LASr and clinical metrics showed robust association with metabolic equivalents achieved in patients with CKD. CONCLUSIONS: LASr, a marker of decreased LA compliance is an independent correlate of exercise capacity in patients with stage 3 and 4 CKD, with similar diagnostic value to exercise E/e’. Thus, LASr may serve as a resting biomarker of functional capacity in this population

Comparison of two different radiofrequency ablation systems for renal artery denervation: Evaluation of short-term and long-term follow up

Objectives: To assess the clinical efficacy of renal artery denervation (RAD) in our center and to compare the efficacy of two different radiofrequency (RF) systems. Background: Several systems are available for RF renal denervation. Whether there is a difference in clinical efficacy among various systems remains unknown. Methods: Renal artery denervation was performed on 43 patients with resistant hypertension using either the single electrode Symplicity Flex (n = 20) or the multi-electrode EnligHTN system (n = 23). Median post-procedural follow-up was 32.93 months. The primary outcome was post-procedural change in office blood pressure (BP) within 1 year (short-term follow-up). Secondary outcomes were change in office BP between 1 and 4 years (long-term follow-up) and the difference in office BP reduction between the two systems at each follow-up period. Results: For the total cohort, mean baseline office BP (systolic/diastolic) was 174/94 mmHg. At follow-up, mean changes in office BP from baseline were −19.70/−11.86 mmHg (P < 0.001) and −21.90/−13.94 mmHg (P < 0.001) for short-term and long-term follow-up, respectively. The differences in office BP reduction between Symplicity and EnligHTN groups were 8.96/1.23 mmHg (P = 0.42 for systolic BP, P = 0.83 for diastolic BP) and 9.56/7.68 mmHg (P = 0.14 for systolic BP, P = 0.07 for diastolic BP) for short-term and long-term follow-up, respectively. Conclusions: In our cohort, there was a clinically significant office BP reduction after RAD, which persisted up to 4 years. No significant difference in office BP reduction between the two systems was found

The compression type of coronary artery motion in patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction and normal controls: a case-control study

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Prediction of the location of culprit lesions responsible for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarctions may allow for prevention of these events. A retrospective analysis of coronary artery motion (CAM) was performed on coronary angiograms of 20 patients who subsequently had ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction treated by primary or rescue angioplasty and an equal number of age and sex matched controls with normal angiograms.</p> <p>Findings</p> <p>There was no statistically significant difference between the frequency of CAM types of the ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction and control patients (p = 0.97). The compression type of CAM is more frequent in the proximal and mid segments of all three coronary arteries. No statistically significant difference was found when the frequency of the compression type of CAM was compared between the ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction and control patients for the individual coronary artery segments (p = 0.59).</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The proportion of the compression type of coronary artery motion for individual artery segments is not different between patients who have subsequent ST-segment elevation myocardial infarctions and normal controls.</p

Risk stratification for covert invasive cancer among patients referred for colonic endoscopic mucosal resection: a large multicenter cohort

Background & Aims Among patients with large colorectal sessile polyps or laterally spreading lesions, it is important to identify those at risk for submucosal invasive cancer (SMIC). Lesions with overt endoscopic evidence of SMIC are referred for surgery, although those without these features might still contain SMIC that is not visible on endoscopic inspection (covert SMIC). Lesions with a high covert SMIC risk might be better suited for endoscopic submucosal dissection than for endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR). We analyzed a group of patients with large colon lesions to identify factors associated with SMIC, and examined lesions without overt endoscopic high-risk signs to determine factors associated with covert SMIC. Methods We performed a prospective cohort study of consecutive patients referred for EMR of large sessile or flat colorectal polyps or laterally spreading lesions (≥20 mm) at academic hospitals in Australia from September 2008 through September 2016. We collected data on patient and lesion characteristics, outcomes of procedures, and histology findings. We excluded serrated lesions from the analysis of covert SMIC due to their distinct phenotype and biologic features. Results We analyzed 2277 lesions (mean size, 36.9 mm) from 2106 patients (mean age, 67.7 years; 53.2% male). SMIC was evident in 171 lesions (7.6%). Factors associated with SMIC included Kudo pit pattern V, a depressed component (0–IIc), rectosigmoid location, 0–Is or 0–IIa+Is Paris classification, non-granular surface morphology, and increasing size. After exclusion of lesions that were obviously SMIC or serrated, factors associated with covert SMIC were rectosigmoid location (odds ratio, 1.87; P =.01), combined Paris classification, surface morphology (odds ratios, 3.96−22.5), and increasing size (odds ratio, 1.16/10 mm; P =.012). Conclusions In a prospective study of 2106 patients who underwent EMR for large sessile or flat colorectal polyps or laterally spreading lesions, we associated rectosigmoid location, combined Paris classification and surface morphology, and increasing size with increased risk for covert malignancy. Rectosigmoid 0–Is and 0–IIa+Is non-granular lesions have a high risk for malignancy, whereas proximally located 0–Is or 0–IIa granular lesions have a low risk. These findings can be used to inform decisions on which patients should undergo endoscopic submucosal dissection, EMR, or surgery. ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT02000141

A Novel Method to Adjust Efficacy Estimates for Uptake of Other Active Treatments in Long-Term Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND: When rates of uptake of other drugs differ between treatment arms in long-term trials, the true benefit or harm of the treatment may be underestimated. Methods to allow for such contamination have often been limited by failing to preserve the randomization comparisons. In the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) study, patients were randomized to fenofibrate or placebo, but during the trial many started additional drugs, particularly statins, more so in the placebo group. The effects of fenofibrate estimated by intention-to-treat were likely to have been attenuated. We aimed to quantify this effect and to develop a method for use in other long-term trials. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We applied efficacies of statins and other cardiovascular drugs from meta-analyses of randomized trials to adjust the effect of fenofibrate in a penalized Cox model. We assumed that future cardiovascular disease events were reduced by an average of 24% by statins, and 20% by a first other major cardiovascular drug. We applied these estimates to each patient who took these drugs for the period they were on them. We also adjusted the analysis by the rate of discontinuing fenofibrate. Among 4,900 placebo patients, average statin use was 16% over five years. Among 4,895 assigned fenofibrate, statin use was 8% and nonuse of fenofibrate was 10%. In placebo patients, use of cardiovascular drugs was 1% to 3% higher. Before adjustment, fenofibrate was associated with an 11% reduction in coronary events (coronary heart disease death or myocardial infarction) (P = 0.16) and an 11% reduction in cardiovascular disease events (P = 0.04). After adjustment, the effects of fenofibrate on coronary events and cardiovascular disease events were 16% (P = 0.06) and 15% (P = 0.008), respectively. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This novel application of a penalized Cox model for adjustment of a trial estimate of treatment efficacy incorporates evidence-based estimates for other therapies, preserves comparisons between the randomized groups, and is applicable to other long-term trials. In the FIELD study example, the effects of fenofibrate on the risks of coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease events were underestimated by up to one-third in the original analysis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Controlled-Trials.com ISRCTN64783481

Dermoscopic evaluation of nodular melanoma

Importance: Nodular melanoma (NM) is a rapidly progressing potentially lethal skin tumor for which early diagnosis is critical