Letter to the editor: Pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV in Europe: The need for resistance surveillance

__To the editor:__ In a recent paper by Hauser et al. in this journal, a prevalence of 10.8% of transmitted drugresistant viruses was reported among newly diagnosed HIV cases in Germany in 2013 and 2014. The authors conclude that genotypic resistance testing remains important for treatment as well as HIV prevention. We comment on the use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in relation to drug resistance in HIV infections and the need for European surveillance of drug resistance

Partner notification for reduction of HIV-1 transmission and related costs among men who have sex with men: A mathematical modeling study

Background Earlier antiretroviral treatment initiation prevents new HIV infections. A key problem in HIV prevention and care is the high number of patients diagnosed late, as these undiagnosed patients can continue forward HIV transmission. We modeled the impact on the Dutch menwho-have-sex-with-men (MSM) HIV epidemic and cost-effectiveness of an existing partner notification process for earlier identification of HIV-infected individuals to reduce HIV transmission. Methods Reduction in new infections and cost-effectiveness ratios were obtained for the use of partner notification to identify 5% of all new diagnoses (Scenario 1) and 20% of all new diagnoses (Scenario 2), versus no partner notification. Costs and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were assigned to each disease state and calculated over 5 year increments for a20 year period. Results Partner notification is predicted to avert 18-69 infections (interquartile range [IQR] 13-24; 51-93) over the course of 5 years countrywide to 221-830 (IQR 140-299; 530-1,127) over 20 years for Scenario 1 and 2 respectively. Partner notification was considered cost-effective in the short term, with increasing cost-effectiveness over time: from €41,476 -€41, 736 (IQR €40,529-€42,147; €40,791-€42,397) to €5,773 -€5,887 (€5,134-€7,196; €5,411-€6,552) per QAL

Targeted HCV core antigen monitoring among HIV-positive men who have sex with men is cost-saving

Introduction: The World Health Organization declared the goal of hepatitis Cvirus (HCV) elimination by 2030. Micro-elimination, which is the reduction of incidence to zero in targeted populations, is less complex and costly and may be the first step to prove whether elimination is feasible. Asuitable target group are HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM) because of their high-risk behaviour and high incidence rates. Moreover, HCV monitoring is integrated in HIV care. The current HCV monitoring approach is suboptimal and complex and may miss new HCV infections. Alternative monitoring strategies, based on alanine aminotransferase, HCV-PCRand HCV-core antigen (HCV-cAg), combined with immediate direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment, may be more effective in reducing new HCV infections. Methods: Adeterministic mathematical transmission model was constructed representing the Dutch HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM to compare different HCV monitoring strategies from 2018 onwards. We evaluated the epidemiological impact of alternative and intensified monitoring in MSM with HCV. In addition, the cost-effectiveness was calculated over a lifetime horizon. Results: Current HCV monitoring and treatment is projected to result in an incidence of 1.1/1000 person-years, 0.24% prevalence, at a cost of 61.8 million (interquartile range 52.2-73.9). Compared with current monitoring, intensified monitoring will result in a maximum 27% reduction of incidence and 33% in prevalence at an increased cost. Conversely, compared with current monitoring, targeted HCV-cAg monitoring will result in a comparable incidence (1.1/1000 person-years) and prevalence (0.23%) but will be 1 million cheaper with increased quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Targeted monitoring reduces the HCV epidemic in a cost-saving manner; however, micro-elimination may not be obtained by 2030, highlighting the need for harm-reduction programmes

Targeted HCV core antigen monitoring among HIV-positive men who have sex with men is cost-saving

Introduction: The World Health Organization declared the goal of hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by 2030. Microelimination, which is the reduction of incidence to zero in targeted populations, is less complex and costly and may be the first step to prove whether elimination is feasible. A suitable target group are HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM) because of their high-risk behaviour and high incidence rates. Moreover, HCV monitoring is integrated in HIV care. The current HCV monitoring approach is suboptimal and complex and may miss new HCV infections. Alternative monitoring strategies, based on alanine aminotransferase, HCV-PCR and HCV-core antigen (HCV-cAg), combined with immediate direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment, may be more effective in reducing new HCV infections. Methods: A deterministic mathematical transmission model was constructed representing the Dutch HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM to compare different HCV monitoring strategies from 2018 onwards. We evaluated the epidemiological impact of alternative and intensified monitoring in MSM with HCV. In addition, the cost-effectiveness was calculated over a lifetime horizon. Results: Current HCV monitoring and treatment is projected to result in an incidence of 1.1/1000 person-years, 0.24% prevalence, at a cost of €61.8 million (interquartile range 52.2–73.9). Compared with current monitoring, intensified monitoring will result in a maximum 27% reduction of incidence and 33% in prevalence at an increased cost. Conversely, compared with current monitoring, targeted HCV-cAg monitoring will result in a comparable incidence (1.1/1000 person-years) and prevalence (0.23%) but will be €1 million cheaper with increased quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Targeted monitoring reduces the HCV epidemic in a cost-saving manner; however, micro-elimination may not be obtained by 2030, highlighting the need for harm-reduction programmes

Emergence and Persistence of Letermovir-Resistant Cytomegalovirus in a Patient with Primary Immunodeficiency

Background: Letermovir is a novel cytomegalovirus antiviral that is approved for prophylaxis in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation recipients Methods: After obtaining informed consent, letermovir prophylaxis was started in a patient with a presumed late-onset primary, combined T-and B-cell immunodeficiency. Plasma CMV DNAemia was monitored with real-time polymerase chain reaction, and letermovir resistance analyses were performed using Sanger sequencing and Illumina MiSeq next-generation sequencing. Results: A letermovir-resistant cytomegalovirus variant (C325Y mutation in UL56) emerged 17 weeks after start of prophylaxis. The letermovir-resistant variant was able to reactivate without drug selective pressure as this variant was again detected in plasma 20.6 weeks after stopping of letermovir. Conclusions: This case indicates that the C325Y mutation in UL56 does not significantly alter fitness of cytomegalovirus in vivo

Persistence of frequently transmitted drug-resistant HIV-1 variants can be explained by high viral replication capacity

Background: In approximately 10% of newly diagnosed individuals in Europe, HIV-1 variants harboring transmitted drug resistance mutations (TDRM) are detected. For some TDRM it has been shown that they revert to wild type while other mutations persist in the absence of therapy. To understand the mechanisms explaining persistence we investigated the in vivo evolution of frequently transmitted HIV-1 variants and their impact on in vitro replicative capacity. Results: We selected 31 individuals infected with HIV-1 harboring frequently observed TDRM such as M41L or K103N in reverse transcriptase (RT) or M46L in protease. In all these samples, polymorphisms at non-TDRM positions were present at baseline (median protease: 5, RT: 6). Extensive analysis of viral evolution of protease and RT demonstrated that the majority of TDRM (51/55) persisted for at least a year and even up to eight years in the plasma. D

The global campaign to eliminate HBV and HCV infection: International Viral Hepatitis Elimination Meeting and core indicators for development towards the 2030 elimination goals

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) affect more than 320 million people worldwide, which is more than HIV, tuberculosis (TB) and malaria combined. Elimination of HBV and HCV will, therefore, produce substantial public health and economic benefits and, most importantly, the prevention of 1.2 million deaths per year. In 2016, member states of the World Health Assembly unanimously adopted a resolution declaring that viral hepatitis should be eliminated by 2030. Currently, few countries have elimination programmes in place and even though the tools to achieve elimination are available, the right resources, commitments and allocations are lacking. During the fifth International Viral Hepatitis Elimination Meeting (IVHEM), 7–8 December 2018, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, an expert panel of clinicians, virologists and public health specialists discussed the current status of viral hepatitis elimination programmes across multiple countries, challenges in achieving elimination and the core indicators for monitoring progress, approaches that have failed and successful elimination plans

Cost-effectiveness and budget effect of pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV-1 prevention in Germany from 2018 to 2058

Background Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is a highly effective HIV prevention strategy for men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM). The high cost of PrEP has until recently been a primary barrier to its use. In 2017, generic PrEP became available, reducing the costs by 90%. Aim Our objective was to assess cost-effectiveness and costs of introducing PrEP in Germany. Methods We calibrated a deterministic mathematical model to the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic among MSM in Germany. PrEP was targeted to 30% of high-risk MSM. It was assumed that PrEP reduces the risk of HIV infection by 85%. Costs were calculated from a healthcare payer perspective using a 40-year time horizon starting in 2018. Results PrEP can avert 21,000 infections (interquartile range (IQR): 16,000–27,000) in the short run (after 2 years scale-up and 10 years full implementation). HIV care is predicted to cost EUR 36.2 billion (IQR: 32.4–40.4 billion) over the coming 40 years. PrEP can increase costs by at most EUR 150 million within the first decade after introduction. Ten years after introduction, PrEP can become cost-saving, accumulating to savings of HIV-related costs of EUR 5.1 billion (IQR: 3.5–6.9 billion) after 40 years. In a sensitivity analysis, PrEP remained cost-saving even at a 70% price reduction of antiretroviral drug treatment and a lower effectiveness of PrEP. Conclusion Introduction of PrEP in Germany is predicted to result in substantial health benefits because of reductions in HIV infections. Short-term financial investments in providing PrEP will result in substantial cost-savings in the long term

Predictors of virological failure in HIV-1-infected patients switching to dolutegravir maintenance monotherapy

Objectives: The Dolutegravir Monotherapy for HIV (DOMONO; NCT02401828) study showed that maintenance monotherapy with dolutegravir (DTG) is associated with virological failure (VF) and leads to DTG resistance and as a result should not be used. However, data on clinical and virological factors associated with VF during DTG monotherapy are lacking. We identified factors associated with VF during DTG monotherapy. Methods: A randomized trial was carried out in which patients on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) with an HIV-1 RNA zenith < 100 000 copies/mL and a CD4 T-cell nadir ≥ 200 cells/μL, who had never experienced VF, switched to DTG monotherapy. Clinical and virological factors were compared between patients with and without VF, using univariate analyses. Results: Eight of the 95 patients developed VF during DTG monotherapy. A total of 78 participants had reached week 48 when the study was discontinued. The median CD4 T-cell nadir was lower in patients with VF than in patients without VF [260 (interquartile range (IQR) 223–320) versus 380 (IQR 290–520) cells/μL, respectively; P = 0.011]. Patients with VF had a longer time between HIV diagnosis and cART initiation than those without VF [median 49 (IQR 27–64) versus 15 (IQR 1–38) months, respectively; P = 0.015]. The median total peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) HIV DNA copy number was higher in patients with VF than in those without VF [417 (range 85–4151) versus 147 (range 16–4132) copies/106 PBMCs, respectively; P = 0.022]. Conclusions: A lower CD4 nadir, a longer time between HIV diagnosis and cART initiation, and a higher HIV DNA copy number at the time of DTG monotherapy initiation were associated with VF. While there clearly is no future role for DTG monotherapy, ongoing and future studies on the efficacy of maintenance dual therapy (e.g. DTG lamivudine) may have to take these variables into account in their study design and analysis

Predictors of virological failure in HIV-1-infected patients switching to dolutegravir maintenance monotherapy

Objectives: The Dolutegravir Monotherapy for HIV (DOMONO; NCT02401828) study showed that maintenance monotherapy with dolutegravir (DTG) is associated with virological failure (VF) and leads to DTG resistance and as a result should not be used. However, data on clinical and virological factors associated with VF during DTG monotherapy are lacking. We identified factors associated with VF during DTG monotherapy. Methods: A randomized trial was carried out in which patients on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) with an HIV-1 RNA zenith < 100 000 copies/mL and a CD4 T-cell nadir ≥ 200 cells/μL, who had never experienced VF, switched to DTG monotherapy. Clinical and virological factors were compared between patients with and without VF, using univariate analyses. Results: Eight of the 95 patients developed VF during DTG monotherapy. A total of 78 participants had reached week 48 when the study was discontinued. The median CD4 T-cell nadir was lower in patients with VF than in patients without VF [260 (interquartile range (IQR) 223–320) versus 380 (IQR 290–520) cells/μL, respectively; P = 0.011]. Patients with VF had a longer time between HIV diagnosis and cART initiation than those without VF [median 49 (IQR 27–64) versus 15 (IQR 1–38) months, respectively; P = 0.015]. The median total peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) HIV DNA copy number was higher in patients with VF than in those without VF [417 (range 85–4151) versus 147 (range 16–4132) copies/106 PBMCs, respectively; P = 0.022]. Conclusions: A lower CD4 nadir, a longer time between HIV diagnosis and cART initiation, and a higher HIV DNA copy number at the time of DTG monotherapy initiation were associated with VF. While there clearly is no future role for DTG monotherapy, ongoing and future studies on the efficacy of maintenance dual therapy (e.g. DTG lamivudine) may have to take these variables into account in their study design and analysis