NIAC Swarm Flyby Gravimetry Phase II Report

This NASA Innovative Advanced Concept (NIAC) grant has enabled the research and development of a method for conducting small body gravimetry from a spacecraft, using relative measurements to a set of deployed test-masses. The test-masses are tracked from a host spacecraft, which dispenses them near to the small body's surface. Thanks to this close proximity, the probes' orbits can be highly perturbed, which yields useful gravimetric measurements. The most readily achievable approach for tracking the probes is to use an optical instrument on- board the spacecraft. The probes then need only be reflective to sunlight. This implementation, called optical gravimetry (OpGrav), has the fewest requirements for the host spacecraft and probes.The results of this study indicate that OpGrav is feasible and offers meaningful improvement over existing methods. Parametric studies suggest roughly an order of magnitude improvement in accuracy or asteroid accessibility (how small an asteroid one can measure) over Earth-based Doppler-only mass estimation. This exponentially expands the number of potential near-Earth objects that one could study, which has implications for planetary defense.As a sample mission, we evaluated OpGrav as an added instrument on a main- belt asteroid tour mission. In this case, simulations show that OpGrav would increase the number of asteroid mass estimates from 3 of 9 to 7 of 9. That is, OpGrav has sufficient sensitivity to offer utility in missions for which it is not explicitly designed for.We designed and fabricated a prototype hardware implementation for this concept called the Small-body In-situ Multi-probe Mass Estimation Experiment (SIMMEE). This hardware provides a basis for many inputs into the simulations and grounds the models with physical values. The primary design driver for the hardware is a long life, on the order of five years prior to operation, and a need for high pointing accuracy to enable flybys of the smallest objects.The next steps include further hardware testing and extension of the concept to rendezvous cases. We believe that this concept offers planetary scientists a new and relevant means of better understanding small-bodies

Exponential growth, high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine effectiveness associated with the Delta variant

SARS-CoV-2 infections were rising during early summer 2021 in many countries associated with the Delta variant. We assessed RT-PCR swab-positivity in the REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 (REACT-1) study in England. We observed sustained exponential growth with average doubling time (June-July 2021) of 25 days driven by complete replacement of Alpha variant by Delta, and by high prevalence at younger less-vaccinated ages. Unvaccinated people were three times more likely than double-vaccinated people to test positive. However, after adjusting for age and other variables, vaccine effectiveness for double-vaccinated people was estimated at between ~50% and ~60% during this period in England. Increased social mixing in the presence of Delta had the potential to generate sustained growth in infections, even at high levels of vaccination

Double Asteroid Redirection Test Mission: Heliocentric Phase Trajectory Analysis

Double Asteroid Redirection Test will be the first mission to demonstrate and characterize the concept of a kinetic impactor for planetary defense, by impacting the smaller member of a binary asteroid system Didymos. The results of this mission will have implications for planetary defense, near-Earth object science, and resource utilization. This research focuses on the heliocentric transfer phase of the mission. The heliocentric trajectory is evaluated using various objective functions, including a search for the latest possible Earth escape date, the shortest time of flight, and the maximum impact energy. Also included in the search is the potential to use Earth gravitational assists, which proves not to offer any useful advantages. A new way to assess the trajectorys margin for missed thrust is used, which quantifies the ability of the spacecraft to recover its mission following unplanned nonthrusting events, such as safe mode. The baseline trajectory is shown to be capable of recovering from missed-thrust events lasting 14 days using only 1% of its propellant as margin. Finally, contingency trajectories that attempt to impact Didymos at a subsequent perihelion are considered

Green plants in the red : a baseline global assessment for the IUCN Sampled Red List Index for Plants

Plants provide fundamental support systems for life on Earth and are the basis for all terrestrial ecosystems; a decline in plant diversity will be detrimental to all other groups of organisms including humans. Decline in plant diversity has been hard to quantify, due to the huge numbers of known and yet to be discovered species and the lack of an adequate baseline assessment of extinction risk against which to track changes. The biodiversity of many remote parts of the world remains poorly known, and the rate of new assessments of extinction risk for individual plant species approximates the rate at which new plant species are described. Thus the question 'How threatened are plants?' is still very difficult to answer accurately. While completing assessments for each species of plant remains a distant prospect, by assessing a randomly selected sample of species the Sampled Red List Index for Plants gives, for the first time, an accurate view of how threatened plants are across the world. It represents the first key phase of ongoing efforts to monitor the status of the world's plants. More than 20% of plant species assessed are threatened with extinction, and the habitat with the most threatened species is overwhelmingly tropical rain forest, where the greatest threat to plants is anthropogenic habitat conversion, for arable and livestock agriculture, and harvesting of natural resources. Gymnosperms (e.g. conifers and cycads) are the most threatened group, while a third of plant species included in this study have yet to receive an assessment or are so poorly known that we cannot yet ascertain whether they are threatened or not. This study provides a baseline assessment from which trends in the status of plant biodiversity can be measured and periodically reassessed.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe