35 research outputs found
An alternating positive semidefinite splitting preconditioner for the three-by-three block saddle point problems
Using the idea of dimensional splitting method we present an iteration method for solving three-by-three block saddle point problems which can appear in linear programming and finite element discretization of the Maxwell equation. We prove that the method is convergent unconditionally. Then the induced preconditioner is used to accelerate the convergence of the GMRES method for solving the system. Numerical results are presented to compare the performance of the method with some existing ones
An alternating positive semidefinite splitting preconditioner for the three-by-three block saddle point problems
Using the idea of dimensional splitting method we present an iteration method for solving three-by-three block saddle point problems which can appear in linear programming and finite element discretization of the Maxwell equation. We prove that the method is convergent unconditionally. Then the induced preconditioner is used to accelerate the convergence of the GMRES method for solving the system. Numerical results are presented to compare the performance of the method with some existing ones
Resiliency Analysis of Energy Demand System in Finland
Investigating the performance and productivity level of different energy consuming sectors in all countries is an inevitable action. This procedure will be conducted by comparing the energy input and the output of the system which is vital to ensure that the system is used properly. The proper utilization of systems will lead to more efficiency in the energy consumption section. One of the most important tasks in this type of study is the analysis of uncertainty indicators. The analysis and evaluation of uncertainty indices in energy consumption system is a tool that prioritizes the indicators in terms of importance and impact on each of the consumption targets. These consumption goals include energy, environmental, technical, economical, and social objectives. Ultimately, the output data of the uncertainty analysis will be very helpful for making the system more reliable and usable. In this study, we first introduced different sectors of the energy consumption system in Finland and examined each of these sectors in terms of physical and environmental goals. Then the uncertainty indexes in different sectors are extracted, evaluated qualitatively and quantified using the fuzzy logic method. Finally, indicators are prioritized based on the level of effectiveness and uncertainty. According to the results of this research, among 44 considered indices, the security of energy supply, carbon emission, equivalent annual cost, reliability, and political acceptability are respectively the most important indices for energy, environmental, economic, technical and social goals.fi=vertaisarvioitu|en=peerReviewed
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Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
BACKGROUND Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations. METHODS The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model-a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates-with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality-which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds. FINDINGS The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2-100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1-290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1-211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4-48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3-37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7-9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles. INTERPRETATION Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Arthroscopic Repair of Complete Tear of Rotator Cuff
Background:Rotator cuff tear is one of the most common causes of shoulder complaints in the elderly.Based on the severity and patient's condition,a variety of methods applies to manage the tear and surgery is an important method,which could be done by open or arthroscopic technique. The current study aimed to investigate and report short-term results of arthroscopic repair of complete rotator cuff tears.Methods: This was a cross-sectional study on 183 patients who underwent arthroscopic surgery to repair rotator cuff tear in three different hospitals of Tehran between January 2003 and August 2006. Of all patients, 107 cases included in our study,which had a complete rotator cuff tear,and at least one-year follow up record. 89 patients (56 male and 33 female)attended assessment sessions and were evaluated by UCLA(University of California,Los Angeles) Shoulder and Elbow Scoring System,pre- and post-operatively,and acromioplasty was performed in 83 patients.Results:With a mean age of 53.2 ± 15.8 (32-71) years,the average UCLA score was 11.3 before the surgery and 31.4 post-operatively.There were 11 patients with excellent scores,62 good,11 fair,and 5 poor scores.9 out of 11 cases with excellent score and 34 out of 62 with good score were younger than 55 years;however,13 cases were older than 60 years amongst 16 fair or poor scores.Conclusions:Arthroscopic repair of complete rotator cuff tear would cause a significant improvement in a short-term period and results are better in younger patients,through the UCLA scoring system.
Reliability Evaluation of Smart Microgrids Considering Cyber Failures and Disturbances under Various Cyber Network Topologies and Distributed Generation’s Scenarios
Smart microgrids (SMGs), as cyber–physical systems, are essential parts of smart grids. The SMGs’ cyber networks facilitate efficient system operation. However, cyber failures and interferences might adversely affect the SMGs. The available studies about SMGs have paid less attention to SMGs’ cyber–physical features compared to other subjects. Although a few current research works have studied the cyber impacts on SMGs’ reliability, there is a research gap about reliability evaluation simultaneously concerning all cyber failures and interferences under various cyber network topologies and renewable distributions scenarios. This article aims to fill such a gap by developing a new Monte Carlo simulation-based reliability assessment method considering cyber elements’ failures, data/information transmission errors, and routing errors under various cyber network topologies. Considering the microgrid control center (MGCC) faults in comparion to other failures and interferences is one of the major contributions of this study. The reliability evaluation of SMGs under various cyber network topologies, particularly based on an MGCC’s redundancy, highlights this research’s advantages. Moreover, studying the interactions of uncertainties for cyber systems and distributed generations (DGs) under various DG scenarios is another contribution. The proposed method is applied to a test system using actual historical data. The comparative test results illustrate the advantages of the proposed method
Analytical reliability evaluation method of smart micro-grids considering the cyber failures and information transmission system faults
The reliability of smart micro-grids (SMGs), as a cyber-physical system (CPS), might be influenced by cyber failures and information transmission faults. Several Monte Carlo simulation (MCS)-based approaches have been reported to assess the reliability of SMGs and smart grids. On the other hand, analytical reliability assessment methods have been presented in some research works, while the cyber system has not been concerned. However, the literature shows a research gap in developing an accurate and fast reliability evaluation method for SMGs based on the unavailability of cyber elements and information transmission faults. This article tries to fill the discussed gap by adding the analytical modelling of cyber-physical interdependencies and information transmission faults to available analytical methods, focusing on physical uncertainties. Comparing the proposed model with existing MCS-based and analytical reliability evaluation methods illustrates the advantages of this research. Test results show that less than 5.7% expected energy not supplied (EENS) error occurs by the proposed method, which would be much faster than MCS-based ones. Moreover, the sensitivity analyses highlight the impacts of the cyber network topologies on the cyber-physical interdependencies. © 2022 The Authors. IET Renewable Power Generation published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Institution of Engineering and Technology.The reliability of smart micro-grids (SMGs), as a cyber-physical system (CPS), might be influenced by cyber failures and information transmission faults. Several Monte Carlo simulation (MCS)-based approaches have been reported to assess the reliability of SMGs and smart grids. On the other hand, analytical reliability assessment methods have been presented in some research works, while the cyber system has not been concerned. However, the literature shows a research gap in developing an accurate and fast reliability evaluation method for SMGs based on the unavailability of cyber elements and information transmission faults. This article tries to fill the discussed gap by adding the analytical modelling of cyber-physical interdependencies and information transmission faults to available analytical methods, focusing on physical uncertainties. Comparing the proposed model with existing MCS-based and analytical reliability evaluation methods illustrates the advantages of this research. Test results show that less than 5.7% expected energy not supplied (EENS) error occurs by the proposed method, which would be much faster than MCS-based ones. Moreover, the sensitivity analyses highlight the impacts of the cyber network topologies on the cyber-physical interdependencies. © 2022 The Authors. IET Renewable Power Generation published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Institution of Engineering and Technology