Rational solutions of the discrete time Toda lattice and the alternate discrete Painleve II equation

The Yablonskii-Vorob'ev polynomials $y_{n}(t)$, which are defined by a second order bilinear differential-difference equation, provide rational solutions of the Toda lattice. They are also polynomial tau-functions for the rational solutions of the second Painlev\'{e} equation ($P_{II}$). Here we define two-variable polynomials $Y_{n}(t,h)$ on a lattice with spacing $h$, by considering rational solutions of the discrete time Toda lattice as introduced by Suris. These polynomials are shown to have many properties that are analogous to those of the Yablonskii-Vorob'ev polynomials, to which they reduce when $h=0$. They also provide rational solutions for a particular discretisation of $P_{II}$, namely the so called {\it alternate discrete} $P_{II}$, and this connection leads to an expression in terms of the Umemura polynomials for the third Painlev\'{e} equation ($P_{III}$). It is shown that B\"{a}cklund transformation for the alternate discrete Painlev\'{e} equation is a symplectic map, and the shift in time is also symplectic. Finally we present a Lax pair for the alternate discrete $P_{II}$, which recovers Jimbo and Miwa's Lax pair for $P_{II}$ in the continuum limit $h\to 0$.Comment: 23 pages, IOP style. Title changed, and connection with Umemura polynomials adde

Prognostic model to predict postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery based on a national prospective observational cohort study.

Background: Acute illness, existing co-morbidities and surgical stress response can all contribute to postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery. The aim of this study was prospectively to develop a pragmatic prognostic model to stratify patients according to risk of developing AKI after major gastrointestinal surgery. Methods: This prospective multicentre cohort study included consecutive adults undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal resection, liver resection or stoma reversal in 2-week blocks over a continuous 3-month period. The primary outcome was the rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery. Bootstrap stability was used to select clinically plausible risk factors into the model. Internal model validation was carried out by bootstrap validation. Results: A total of 4544 patients were included across 173 centres in the UK and Ireland. The overall rate of AKI was 14·2 per cent (646 of 4544) and the 30-day mortality rate was 1·8 per cent (84 of 4544). Stage 1 AKI was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (unadjusted odds ratio 7·61, 95 per cent c.i. 4·49 to 12·90; P < 0·001), with increasing odds of death with each AKI stage. Six variables were selected for inclusion in the prognostic model: age, sex, ASA grade, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate, planned open surgery and preoperative use of either an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or an angiotensin receptor blocker. Internal validation demonstrated good model discrimination (c-statistic 0·65). Discussion: Following major gastrointestinal surgery, AKI occurred in one in seven patients. This preoperative prognostic model identified patients at high risk of postoperative AKI. Validation in an independent data set is required to ensure generalizability

HIV-Specific T-Cells Accumulate in the Liver in HCV/HIV Co-Infection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatitis C Virus (HCV)-related liver disease progresses more rapidly in individuals co-infected with Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV), although the underlying immunologic mechanisms are unknown. We examined whether HIV-specific T-cells are identified in the liver of HCV/HIV co-infected individuals and promote liver inflammation through bystander immune responses. METHODS: Ex-vivo intra-hepatic lymphocytes from HCV mono-infected and HCV/HIV co-infected individuals were assessed for immune responses to HIV and HCV antigens by polychromatic flow cytometry. RESULTS: HCV/HIV liver biopsies had similar frequencies of lymphocytes but lower percentages of CD4+ T-cells compared to HCV biopsies. In co-infection, intra-hepatic HIV-specific CD8+ and CD4+ T-cells producing IFN-gamma and TNF-alpha were detected and were comparable in frequency to those that were HCV-specific. In co-infected individuals, viral-specific CD8+ T-cells produced more of the fibrogenic cytokine, TNF-alpha. In both mono- and co-infected individuals, intra-hepatic HCV-specific T-cells were poorly functional compared to HIV-specific T-cells. In co-infection, HAART was not associated with a reconstitution of intra-hepatic CD4+ T-cells and was associated with reduction in both HIV and HCV-specific intra-hepatic cytokine responses. CONCLUSION: The accumulation of functional HIV-specific T-cells in the liver during HCV/HIV co-infection may represent a bystander role for HIV in inducing faster progression of liver disease

Generalizations of the short pulse equation

We classify integrable scalar polynomial partial differential equations of second order generalizing the short pulse equation

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

Background Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications. Methods We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC). Findings In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683–0·717]). Interpretation In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required. Funding British Journal of Surgery Society

Research and practice for ultra-high risk for psychosis : a national survey of early intervention in psychosis services in England

Background: Evidence from meta-analyses of randomized clinical trials show interventions for young people at ultra-high risk (UHR) of developing psychosis are effective both clinically and economically. While research evidence has begun to be integrated into clinical guidelines, there is a lack of research on the implementation of these guidelines. This paper examines service provision for UHR individuals in accordance with current clinical guidelines within the National Health Service (NHS) in England. Method: A self-report online survey was completed by clinical leaders of early intervention in psychosis (EIP) teams (N = 50) within the NHS across England. Results: Of the 50 EIP teams responding (from 30 NHS trusts), 53% reported inclusion of the UHR group in their service mandate, with age range predominantly 14 to 35 years (81%) and service provided for at least 12 months (53%). Provision of services according to NICE clinical guidelines showed 50% of services offered cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) for psychosis, and 42% offered family intervention. Contrary to guidelines, 50% of services offered antipsychotic medication. Around half of services provided training in assessment by Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental States, psycho-education, CBT for psychosis, family work and treatment for anxiety and depression. Conclusions: Despite clear evidence for the benefit of early intervention in this population, current provision for UHR within EIP services in England does not match clinical guidelines. While some argue this is due to a lack of allocated funding, it is important to note the similar variable adherence to clinical guidelines in the treatment of people with established schizophrenia

Approximations to large amplitude solitary waves on nonlinear electrical lattices

In this paper we describe an approximate method to characterise solitary wave solutions of nonlinear lattice equations. It is based upon one and two point Pade approximations to a series of the real exponential travelling wave solutions of the underlying dispersive system. The theory is applied to an example of a lattice system which models an experimental nonlinear transmission line and the results obtained are consistent with numerical simulations even for relatively large amplitude solitary waves. The speed-amplitude relation is investigated and compared with that derived using quasi-continuum methods

Recovery of neurological function following type B aortic dissection complicated by paraplegia

A woman in her 50s presented with uncontrolled hypertension, chest/back pain, paraplegia, right lower limb ischaemia and acute kidney injury. A CT angiogram demonstrated a type B aortic dissection originating distal to the left subclavian artery to bilateral common iliac arteries complicated by occlusion of the right renal artery and right common iliac artery. She was started on intravenous antihypertensive therapy and transferred to our institution for emergent thoracic endovascular aortic repair. Due to bleeding risk from coagulopathy, a spinal drain was not placed immediately post-operatively but instead was inserted after 24 hours while maintaining a mean arterial pressure of 80–100 mm Hg. Postoperatively, her right lower extremity perfusion was re-established, and her renal function recovered following temporary dialysis. At discharge on postoperative day 13, she regained full neurological function.</jats:p