Dedicantes en los tofet: la sociedad fenicia en el Mediterráneo

Las inscripciones halladas en los tofet nos permiten avanzar en el conocimiento de la sociedad, no solo de la ciudad de Cartago, sino de las diversas ciudades fenicias del Mediterráneo. La ejecución del ritual molk, celebrado en estos santuarios, parece sufrir una socialización a partir del siglo V, hallando desde altos cargos: sufetes y rabs, hasta población de tipo dependiente.The inscriptions found in tofet allow us to advance in the knowledge of the society, not only of the city of Carthage, but of the diverse Phoenician cities of the Mediterranean. The execution of the ritual molk, celebrated in these sanctuaries, seems to undergo a socialization from the century V, finding from high positions: sufetes and rabs, until population of dependent type

Modelling the daily banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the European Central Bank

The main focus of this paper is to model the daily series of banknotes in circulation in the context of the liquidity management of the Eurosystem. The series of banknotes in circulation displays very marked seasonal patterns. To the best of our knowledge the empirical performance of two competing approaches to model seasonality in daily time series, namely the ARIMA-based approach and the Structural Time Series approach, has never been put to the test. The application presented in this paper provides valid intuition on the merits of each approach. The forecasting performance of the models is also assessed in the context of their impact on the liquidity management of the Eurosystem. JEL Classification: C22, C51, C53, C59Daily Forecast, liquidity management, seasonality, time series models

La marina de los fenicios, de la creencia en la vida a las naves de la muerte

Sin resume

A propósito del libro de C. Bonnet, Astarté. Dossier documentaire et perspectives historiques

Sin resume

The cyclical behaviour of residential investment : some stylised facts

Artículo de revist

Does housing really lead the business cycle?

The aim of this paper is to characterize the cyclical properties of Spanish real and nominal housing related variables. Our three main results are: First, housing appears to lead the business cycle. Second, fluctuation in home prices are positively related to those of residential investment, suggesting the dominant role of demand factors over supply ones. Third,there are interesting asymmetries in cyclical fluctuations: contractions in GDP appear to be briefer than expansion

A procedure for short-term GDP forecasting

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The import content of the industrial sectors in Spain

Artículo de revist

Un análisis de las pautas cíclicas en la UEM

Artículo de revist