34 research outputs found

    Los docentes en el desplazamiento: lecciones de Dadaab

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    A pesar de los retos a los que se enfrentan, los docentes refugiados tienen fe en el potencial de la educación para transformar las vidas de los estudiantes y de las comunidades refugiadas. Para mejorar el acceso de los refugiados a la educación y sus resultados, la provisión debe basarse en sus opiniones y necesidades

    Improving provision of family planning among pastoralists in Kenya: perspectives from health care providers, community and religious leaders

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    There exist significant inequities in access to family planning (FP) in Kenya, particularly for nomadic and semi-nomadic pastoralists. Health care providers (HCP), are key in delivering FP services. Community leaders and religious leaders are also key influencers in women’s decisions to use FP. We found limited research exploring the perspectives of both HCPs and these local leaders in this context. We conducted semi-structured interviews with HCPs (n=4) working in facilities in Wajir and Mandera, and community leaders (n=4) and religious leaders (n=4) from the nomadic and semi-nomadic populations the facilities serve. We conducted deductive and inductive thematic analysis. Three overarching themes emerged: perception of FP as a health priority, explanations for low FP use, and recommendations to improve access. Four overlapping sub-themes explained low FP use: desire for large families, tension in FP decision-making, religion and culture, and fears about FP. Providers were from different socio-demographic backgrounds to the communities they served, who faced structural marginalisation from health and other services. Programmes to improve FP access should be delivered alongside interventions targeting the immediate health concerns of pastoralist communities, incorporating structural changes. HCPs that are aware of religious and cultural reasons for non-use, play a key role in improving access

    Progress and experiences of implementing an integrated disease surveillance and response system in Somalia; 2016–2023

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    IntroductionIn 2021, a regional strategy for integrated disease surveillance was adopted by member states of the World Health Organization Eastern Mediterranean Region. But before then, member states including Somalia had made progress in integration of their disease surveillance systems. We report on the progress and experiences of implementing an integrated disease surveillance and response system in Somalia between 2016 and 2023.MethodsWe reviewed 20 operational documents and identified key integrated disease surveillance and response system (IDSRS) actions/processes implemented between 2016 and 2023. We verified these through an anonymized online survey. The survey respondents also assessed Somalia’s IDSRS implementation progress using a standard IDS monitoring framework Finally, we interviewed 8 key informants to explore factors to which the current IDSRS implementation progress is attributed.ResultsBetween 2016 and 2023, 7 key IDSRS actions/processes were implemented including: establishment of high-level commitment; development of a 3-year operational plan; development of a coordination mechanism; configuring the District Health Information Software to support implementation among others. IDSRS implementation progress ranged from 15% for financing to 78% for tools. Reasons for the progress were summarized under 6 thematic areas; understanding frustrations with the current surveillance system; the opportunity occasioned by COVID-19; mainstreaming IDSRS in strategic documents; establishment of an oversight mechanism; staggering implementation of key activities over a reasonable length of time and being flexible about pre-determined timelines.DiscussionFrom 2016 to 2023, Somalia registered significant progress towards implementation of IDSRS. The 15 years of EWARN implementation in Somalia (since 2008) provided a strong foundation for IDSRS implementation. If implemented comprehensively, IDSRS will accelerate country progress toward establishment of IHR core capacities. Sustainable funding is the major challenge towards IDSRS implementation in Somalia. Government and its partners need to exploit feasible options for sustainable investment in integrated disease surveillance and response

    Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100:a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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    BackgroundAccurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios.MethodsTo estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10–54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in habitable areas, and under-5 mortality) were given equal weights, and analyses were conducted utilising the MR-BRT (meta-regression—Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. To capture time-series trends in CCF50 not explained by these covariates, we used a first-order autoregressive model on the residual term. CCF50 as a proportion of each 5-year ASFR was predicted using a linear mixed-effects model with fixed-effects covariates (female educational attainment and contraceptive met need) and random intercepts for geographical regions. Projected TFRs were then computed for each calendar year as the sum of single-year ASFRs across age groups. The reference forecast is our estimate of the most likely fertility future given the model, past fertility, forecasts of covariates, and historical relationships between covariates and fertility. We additionally produced forecasts for multiple alternative scenarios in each location: the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for education is achieved by 2030; the contraceptive met need SDG is achieved by 2030; pro-natal policies are enacted to create supportive environments for those who give birth; and the previous three scenarios combined. Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. To evaluate the forecasting performance of our model and others, we computed skill values—a metric assessing gain in forecasting accuracy—by comparing predicted versus observed ASFRs from the past 15 years (2007–21). A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline.FindingsDuring the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4·84 (95% UI 4·63–5·06) to 2·23 (2·09–2·38). Global annual livebirths peaked in 2016 at 142 million (95% UI 137–147), declining to 129 million (121–138) in 2021. Fertility rates declined in all countries and territories since 1950, with TFR remaining above 2·1—canonically considered replacement-level fertility—in 94 (46·1%) countries and territories in 2021. This included 44 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, which was the super-region with the largest share of livebirths in 2021 (29·2% [28·7–29·6]). 47 countries and territories in which lowest estimated fertility between 1950 and 2021 was below replacement experienced one or more subsequent years with higher fertility; only three of these locations rebounded above replacement levels. Future fertility rates were projected to continue to decline worldwide, reaching a global TFR of 1·83 (1·59–2·08) in 2050 and 1·59 (1·25–1·96) in 2100 under the reference scenario. The number of countries and territories with fertility rates remaining above replacement was forecast to be 49 (24·0%) in 2050 and only six (2·9%) in 2100, with three of these six countries included in the 2021 World Bank-defined low-income group, all located in the GBD super-region of sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of livebirths occurring in sub-Saharan Africa was forecast to increase to more than half of the world's livebirths in 2100, to 41·3% (39·6–43·1) in 2050 and 54·3% (47·1–59·5) in 2100. The share of livebirths was projected to decline between 2021 and 2100 in most of the six other super-regions—decreasing, for example, in south Asia from 24·8% (23·7–25·8) in 2021 to 16·7% (14·3–19·1) in 2050 and 7·1% (4·4–10·1) in 2100—but was forecast to increase modestly in the north Africa and Middle East and high-income super-regions. Forecast estimates for the alternative combined scenario suggest that meeting SDG targets for education and contraceptive met need, as well as implementing pro-natal policies, would result in global TFRs of 1·65 (1·40–1·92) in 2050 and 1·62 (1·35–1·95) in 2100. The forecasting skill metric values for the IHME model were positive across all age groups, indicating that the model is better than the constant prediction.InterpretationFertility is declining globally, with rates in more than half of all countries and territories in 2021 below replacement level. Trends since 2000 show considerable heterogeneity in the steepness of declines, and only a small number of countries experienced even a slight fertility rebound after their lowest observed rate, with none reaching replacement level. Additionally, the distribution of livebirths across the globe is shifting, with a greater proportion occurring in the lowest-income countries. Future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide and will remain low even under successful implementation of pro-natal policies. These changes will have far-reaching economic and societal consequences due to ageing populations and declining workforces in higher-income countries, combined with an increasing share of livebirths among the already poorest regions of the world.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation

    The economic effect of federal system in Somalia

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    Federalizm, güç dağılımının federal ve yerel hükümetler arasında dağıldığı bir yönetim biçimidir.Çok sayıda ülkelde federalizm büyük bir başarı hikayesine sahip olmakla birlikte, birkaç ülke için bu durum söz konusu değildir. 19. yüzyıl, yeni federal devletlerin kuruluşuna şahit olmuştur.İsviçre ve Birleşik Devletler en eski federasyonlardır.Somali'deki federalizm tartışmaları günümüzde değil, İtalyan Vesayet Sistemi kapsamında kurulan Somali Bölgesel Konseyi'nin birkaç üyesinin 1950li yılların ortalarında Konseye getirdikleri federalizm teklifi ile başlamıştır.Somalililerin federalizm kapsamında bir çıkar gözetememeleri ve kendilerinin homojen yapıya sahip bir toplum olduklarına yönelik inançlarından ötürü sonradan kabul görmemiştir. Adını 1958 senesi itibariyle sonradan Hizbia Destour Mutaqil Somal (H.D.M.S(. olarak değiştiren Hizbia Dighil E. Mirifle'in önderlik ettiği bir önemli üye kuruluş federasyon sistemine çağrıda bulunmuştur.Ancak, burada gerçekleştirdiğimiz çalışmanın odak noktası Somali'de federal sistem ya da bunun avantaj ya da dezavantajları değil, Somali'nin dünyanın en fakir ülkelerinden biri olmasına karşın milyonlarca hektar tarıma uygun geniş arazi varlığı, 2 milyar dolara yaklaşan petrol kaynakları, her balık çeşidini barındıran Afrika kıtasının en uzun kıyı şeridi ile Körfez Arap ülkelerine canlı hayvan ithali gerçekleştiren bir numaralı ülke olması gibi ulusal kaynaklar açısından son derece zengin olması nedeniyle federalizmin bu ülke üzerindeki ekonomik etkisi olacaktır. Somali, ülke kaynaklarından kendi çıkarları doğrultusunda değil ülke çıkarları doğrultusunda yararlanacak iyi bir idareye ve düşünen insan sermayesine ihtiyaç duymakta olup, federalizm sistemi, bu çalışma kapsamında da göreceğimiz üzere Somalilerin ülkelerini yeniden geliştirmek için bir araya gelebilecekleri yegane sistem özelliğini taşımaktadır.Federalism is a governance system whereby power of distribution is divided between federal and local governments. In many countries federalism is a great success story, but in some is not always the best. The 19th century saw the creation of new federal states. Switzerland and the United States are the oldest federations. The discussion of federalism didn't start in Somalia now; it began in mid-1950s when some members of the Somali Territorial Council under the Italian Trusteeship brought a federalism motion to the Council. The motion was later defeated, because Somalis of that time didn't see an interest in federalism and believed that they were homogenous society. A key member who brought the motion was Honorable AbdulkadirZoppe from Bur Hakaba constituent' (Aden Hirre -2013).But the majority of our research will not be the federal system in Somalia and its advantages or disadvantages but it will focus on the economic effect of the federalism because Somalia is one of the most poor countries in the world but very rich in natural resources such a wide area of millions of hectares that is suitable for farming , oil resources which is evaluated up to 2 billion dollars , Africa's longest coastal area which is rich in every kind of fish, Somalia is also number one in exporting live stocking to the Gulf Arab countries. Somalia needs a good governance and thinking human capital who can utilize the resources for the country not for his self and the federalism system is the only system which can unite Somalis again to develop their country again as we shall see in this study

    Problems of Data Collection for Economic Research in Small Farmer Agriculture: Some Experience in Somalia

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    The purposes of this thesis are twofold. The first is to show problems encountered in collecting and analyzing data on small-holder agriculture. The second is to describe the role of data in supporting research and rationalization of alternatives for sustaining agricultural strategies in development. Data collected from six villages of the Lower Shebelle Region of Somalia are taken as a case study to show the difficulties encountered in procurement and analysis of that data. The thesis discusses data collection methods that ensure gathering adequate data that can be used to undertake production economics and farm management research. The thesis also discusses critical sources of data biases that may preclude any meaningful conclusion from the research effort

    Assessment of knowledge, attitude and practice of healthcare workers towards Hepatitis B virus infection in Mogadishu, Somalia: A Cross-Sectional Study

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    Abstract Background Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is globally distributed with its attendant complications such as chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Somalia is among the countries with a high prevalence of HBV infection. This study aims to assess the knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) of healthcare workers (HCW) towards HBV infection in Mogadishu, Somalia. Methods The cross-sectional the study was conducted on HCW to assess KAP towards HBV infection. Standardized questionnaires were distributed to 470 HCW recruited for the study from five hospitals. Data for demographic characteristics were described using percentages. Scores for KAP were presented as mean ±standard deviation. Mann-Whitney U and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used to deduce inferences between the mean KAP and demographic characteristics of the participants. Spearman’s rho correlation was used to determine any association between the KAP of the HCW. Results Of the 470 the distributed questionnaire, 430 questionnaires were returned with a response rate of 91.5%. Majority (73%) of the participants had tertiary education. The mean scores for KAP were 16.3±4.4, 6.9±0.4, 7.03±1.5 respectively. Significant ( P<0.01 ) positive correlation between the KAP variables was observed. Professional cadre and marital status were found to be associated with mean KAP ( P<0.001 ). Conclusion This study revealed an acceptable level of KAP among the HCW and a potential source of participants for an awareness campaign against HBV infection in Somalia
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