Community cohort study of rotavirus and other enteropathogens: are routine vaccinations associated with sex-differential incidence rates?

OBJECTIVE: Community studies in West Africa have demonstrated that routine vaccinations may have non-targeted effects, the female-male mortality ratio being reduced after administration of BCG and increased after diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP). We examined whether immunisation status was associated with infection with rotavirus and other enteropathogens. METHODS: We recruited 200 children shortly after birth and followed them until 2 years of age with weekly morbidity interviews and stool sampling. Vaccination status for each child was classified according to the most recent vaccination as documented by vaccination card. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The female-male incidence rate ratios (IRR) of infection with an enteropathogen and of enteropathogen-associated diarrhoea were estimated for children according to whether they had received BCG or DTP as their last vaccination. RESULTS: For children who received BCG as their last vaccine, the adjusted female-male IRRs for primary rotavirus-infection and diarrhoea were 1.05 (95% CI: 0.21-5.28) and 0.0 (95% CI: 0-3.02), respectively. For children who received DTP as their last vaccine, the adjusted female-male IRRs were 1.93 (0.89-4.21) and 1.92 (0.70-5.32), respectively, for rotavirus-associated infection and diarrhoea. Restricted to the rotavirus season, the female-male IRRs for rotavirus infection and diarrhoea were 2.56 (1.17-5.63) and 2.63 (0.94-7.34), respectively. The female-male IRR for rotavirus-associated diarrhoea differed significantly among BCG and DTP recipients (p=0.02). Infections with enteropathogens not associated with diarrhoea were associated with lower female-male IRRs after BCG of 0.82 (0.55-1.23) and higher female-male IRRs after DTP vaccination of 1.32 (1.03-1.70) for primary infection (p=0.05). Though there were few infections with other diarrhoea-causing enteropathogens, these were also associated with a lower female-male IRR after BCG of 0.62 (0.26-1.52) and a higher female-male IRR after DTP vaccination of 1.51 (1.04-2.20) for all infection. CONCLUSION: Routine immunisations may affect morbidity for non-targeted infections. As in studies of infant mortality, BCG is associated with lower risk for girls, whereas, DTP is associated with higher risk for girls relative to boys

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19

INTRODUCTION: Recent reviews summarize evidence that some vaccines have heterologous or non-specific effects (NSE), potentially offering protection against multiple pathogens. Numerous economic evaluations examine vaccines\u27 pathogen-specific effects, but less than a handful focus on NSE. This paper addresses that gap by reporting economic evaluations of the NSE of oral polio vaccine (OPV) against under-five mortality and COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied two settings: (1) reducing child mortality in a high-mortality setting (Guinea-Bissau) and (2) preventing COVID-19 in India. In the former, the intervention involves three annual campaigns in which children receive OPV incremental to routine immunization. In the latter, a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model was developed to estimate the population benefits of two scenarios, in which OPV would be co-administered alongside COVID-19 vaccines. Incremental cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost ratios were modeled for ranges of intervention effectiveness estimates to supplement the headline numbers and account for heterogeneity and uncertainty. RESULTS: For child mortality, headline cost-effectiveness was $650 per child death averted. For COVID-19, assuming OPV had 20$23,000-65,000 if it were administered simultaneously with a COVID-19 vaccine \u3c200 days into a wave of the epidemic. If the COVID-19 vaccine availability were delayed, the cost per averted death would decrease to $2600-6100. Estimated benefit-to-cost ratios vary but are consistently high. DISCUSSION: Economic evaluation suggests the potential of OPV to efficiently reduce child mortality in high mortality environments. Likewise, within a broad range of assumed effect sizes, OPV (or another vaccine with NSE) could play an economically attractive role against COVID-19 in countries facing COVID-19 vaccine delays. FUNDING: The contribution by DTJ was supported through grants from Trond Mohn Foundation (BFS2019MT02) and Norad (RAF-18/0009) through the Bergen Center for Ethics and Priority Setting

Circulating microbial content in myeloid malignancy patients is associated with disease subtypes and patient outcomes

Although recent work has described the microbiome in solid tumors, microbial content in hematological malignancies is not well-characterized. Here we analyze existing deep DNA sequence data from the blood and bone marrow of 1870 patients with myeloid malignancies, along with healthy controls, for bacterial, fungal, and viral content. After strict quality filtering, we find evidence for dysbiosis in disease cases, and distinct microbial signatures among disease subtypes. We also find that microbial content is associated with host gene mutations and with myeloblast cell percentages. In patients with low-risk myelodysplastic syndrome, we provide evidence that Epstein-Barr virus status refines risk stratification into more precise categories than the current standard. Motivated by these observations, we construct machine-learning classifiers that can discriminate among disease subtypes based solely on bacterial content. Our study highlights the association between the circulating microbiome and patient outcome, and its relationship with disease subtype

Setting research priorities to improve global newborn health and prevent stillbirths by 2025.

BACKGROUND: In 2013, an estimated 2.8 million newborns died and 2.7 million were stillborn. A much greater number suffer from long term impairment associated with preterm birth, intrauterine growth restriction, congenital anomalies, and perinatal or infectious causes. With the approaching deadline for the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in 2015, there was a need to set the new research priorities on newborns and stillbirth with a focus not only on survival but also on health, growth and development. We therefore carried out a systematic exercise to set newborn health research priorities for 2013-2025. METHODS: We used adapted Child Health and Nutrition Research Initiative (CHNRI) methods for this prioritization exercise. We identified and approached the 200 most productive researchers and 400 program experts, and 132 of them submitted research questions online. These were collated into a set of 205 research questions, sent for scoring to the 600 identified experts, and were assessed and scored by 91 experts. RESULTS: Nine out of top ten identified priorities were in the domain of research on improving delivery of known interventions, with simplified neonatal resuscitation program and clinical algorithms and improved skills of community health workers leading the list. The top 10 priorities in the domain of development were led by ideas on improved Kangaroo Mother Care at community level, how to improve the accuracy of diagnosis by community health workers, and perinatal audits. The 10 leading priorities for discovery research focused on stable surfactant with novel modes of administration for preterm babies, ability to diagnose fetal distress and novel tocolytic agents to delay or stop preterm labour. CONCLUSION: These findings will assist both donors and researchers in supporting and conducting research to close the knowledge gaps for reducing neonatal mortality, morbidity and long term impairment. WHO, SNL and other partners will work to generate interest among key national stakeholders, governments, NGOs, and research institutes in these priorities, while encouraging research funders to support them. We will track research funding, relevant requests for proposals and trial registers to monitor if the priorities identified by this exercise are being addressed

Setting research priorities to improve global newborn health and prevent stillbirths by 2025

Background In 2013, an estimated 2.8 million newborns died and 2.7 million were stillborn. A much greater number suffer from long term impairment associated with preterm birth, intrauterine growth restriction, congenital anomalies, and perinatal or infectious causes. With the approaching deadline for the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in 2015, there was a need to set the new research priorities on newborns and stillbirth with a focus not only on survival but also on health, growth and development. We therefore carried out a systematic exercise to set newborn health research priorities for 2013-2025. Methods We used adapted Child Health and Nutrition Research Initiative (CHNRI) methods for this prioritization exercise. We identified and approached the 200 most productive researchers and 400 program experts, and 132 of them submitted research questions online. These were collated into a set of 205 research questions, sent for scoring to the 600 identified experts, and were assessed and scored by 91 experts. Results Nine out of top ten identified priorities were in the domain of research on improving delivery of known interventions, with simplified neonatal resuscitation program and clinical algorithms and improved skills of community health workers leading the list. The top 10 priorities in the domain of development were led by ideas on improved Kangaroo Mother Care at community level, how to improve the accuracy of diagnosis by community health workers, and perinatal audits. The 10 leading priorities for discovery research focused on stable surfactant with novel modes of administration for preterm babies, ability to diagnose fetal distress and novel tocolytic agents to delay or stop preterm labour. Conclusion These findings will assist both donors and researchers in supporting and conducting research to close the knowledge gaps for reducing neonatal mortality, morbidity and long term impairment. WHO, SNL and other partners will work to generate interest among key national stakeholders, governments, NGOs, and research institutes in these priorities, while encouraging research funders to support them. We will track research funding, relevant requests for proposals and trial registers to monitor if the priorities identified by this exercise are being addressed

The survival benefit of measles immunization may not be explained entirely by the prevention of measles disease: a community study from rural Bangladesh

Objective To examine whether the reduction in childhood mortality after immunization can be explained by the prevention of measles and its long-term effects. Methods and Data We re-analysed an existing data set from Matlab, Bangladesh. During 1982–1985, measles immunization was used from 9 months of age in half of the study area, and the other half was used as an unvaccinated control area. A total of 8134 immunized children had been matched by age with 8134 non-immunized children; 578 children died during the follow-up period of 3 years. Using these data, we calculated the vaccine effectiveness against death (VED) controlling for significant factors in a matched analysis. In the absence of measles, there should be no difference in mortality between immunized, uninfected children and non-immunized, uninfected children. We therefore calculated VED after the exclusion of all measles cases in the survival analysis. To assess the long-term effects of measles, we compared survival of unvaccinated children after measles disease with children who had not yet contracted measles. Results Prior to immunization and again after 1985, childhood mortality rates were 10% lower in the area that had received immunization. Though measles deaths only constituted 12.4% of the non-accidental deaths, the VED controlling for significant factors was 49% (95% CI: 38–58%). The vaccine was protective against measles death throughout the study, but it also had a marked effect against other causes of death, particularly diarrhoea and oedema. This effect may have been particularly strong in the first 6 months after immunization (VED = 74, 95% CI: 57–84%). The VED was only reduced from 49% to 43% (95% CI: 31–54%) when measles cases were excluded in the survival analysis. Controlling for background factors, mortality among measles cases was increased during the acute phase (0–45 days) (mortality ratio [MR] = 17.35, 95% CI: 11.9–25.3) and in the following 1 months (MR = 2.35, 95% CI: 0.95–5.84). However, post-measles cases had significantly lower mortality than uninfected, non-immunized children in the following 9 months (MR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.16, 0.98). Conclusions The non-randomized character of the original study and the possibility of uncontrolled confounding between the two areas prevent a precise estimate of the effectiveness of measles vaccine, but it is likely to have been substantial. Though there may have been some underreporting of cases of measles, the prevention of measles infection can only explain a limited part of the observed impact of measles immunization in Bangladesh. Furthermore, mortality may be reduced after the acute phase of measles infection. The observations from Bangladesh are consistent with recent research from Africa suggesting that measles immunization may have non-specific beneficial effects on survival