19,587 research outputs found
Optimal Investment Under Transaction Costs: A Threshold Rebalanced Portfolio Approach
We study optimal investment in a financial market having a finite number of
assets from a signal processing perspective. We investigate how an investor
should distribute capital over these assets and when he should reallocate the
distribution of the funds over these assets to maximize the cumulative wealth
over any investment period. In particular, we introduce a portfolio selection
algorithm that maximizes the expected cumulative wealth in i.i.d. two-asset
discrete-time markets where the market levies proportional transaction costs in
buying and selling stocks. We achieve this using "threshold rebalanced
portfolios", where trading occurs only if the portfolio breaches certain
thresholds. Under the assumption that the relative price sequences have
log-normal distribution from the Black-Scholes model, we evaluate the expected
wealth under proportional transaction costs and find the threshold rebalanced
portfolio that achieves the maximal expected cumulative wealth over any
investment period. Our derivations can be readily extended to markets having
more than two stocks, where these extensions are pointed out in the paper. As
predicted from our derivations, we significantly improve the achieved wealth
over portfolio selection algorithms from the literature on historical data
sets.Comment: Submitted to IEEE Transactions on Signal Processin
On-Line Portfolio Selection with Moving Average Reversion
On-line portfolio selection has attracted increasing interests in machine
learning and AI communities recently. Empirical evidences show that stock's
high and low prices are temporary and stock price relatives are likely to
follow the mean reversion phenomenon. While the existing mean reversion
strategies are shown to achieve good empirical performance on many real
datasets, they often make the single-period mean reversion assumption, which is
not always satisfied in some real datasets, leading to poor performance when
the assumption does not hold. To overcome the limitation, this article proposes
a multiple-period mean reversion, or so-called Moving Average Reversion (MAR),
and a new on-line portfolio selection strategy named "On-Line Moving Average
Reversion" (OLMAR), which exploits MAR by applying powerful online learning
techniques. From our empirical results, we found that OLMAR can overcome the
drawback of existing mean reversion algorithms and achieve significantly better
results, especially on the datasets where the existing mean reversion
algorithms failed. In addition to superior trading performance, OLMAR also runs
extremely fast, further supporting its practical applicability to a wide range
of applications.Comment: ICML201
Turnover, account value and diversification of real traders: evidence of collective portfolio optimizing behavior
Despite the availability of very detailed data on financial market,
agent-based modeling is hindered by the lack of information about real trader
behavior. This makes it impossible to validate agent-based models, which are
thus reverse-engineering attempts. This work is a contribution to the building
of a set of stylized facts about the traders themselves. Using the client
database of Swissquote Bank SA, the largest on-line Swiss broker, we find
empirical relationships between turnover, account values and the number of
assets in which a trader is invested. A theory based on simple mean-variance
portfolio optimization that crucially includes variable transaction costs is
able to reproduce faithfully the observed behaviors. We finally argue that our
results bring into light the collective ability of a population to construct a
mean-variance portfolio that takes into account the structure of transaction
costsComment: 26 pages, 9 figures, Fig. 8 fixe
Growth-optimal portfolios under transaction costs
This paper studies a portfolio optimization problem in a discrete-time
Markovian model of a financial market, in which asset price dynamics depend on
an external process of economic factors. There are transaction costs with a
structure that covers, in particular, the case of fixed plus proportional
costs. We prove that there exists a self-financing trading strategy maximizing
the average growth rate of the portfolio wealth. We show that this strategy has
a Markovian form. Our result is obtained by large deviations estimates on
empirical measures of the price process and by a generalization of the
vanishing discount method to discontinuous transition operators.Comment: 32 page
- …