A comparison of the CAR and DAGAR spatial random effects models with an application to diabetics rate estimation in Belgium

When hierarchically modelling an epidemiological phenomenon on a finite collection of sites in space, one must always take a latent spatial effect into account in order to capture the correlation structure that links the phenomenon to the territory. In this work, we compare two autoregressive spatial models that can be used for this purpose: the classical CAR model and the more recent DAGAR model. Differently from the former, the latter has a desirable property: its ρ parameter can be naturally interpreted as the average neighbor pair correlation and, in addition, this parameter can be directly estimated when the effect is modelled using a DAGAR rather than a CAR structure. As an application, we model the diabetics rate in Belgium in 2014 and show the adequacy of these models in predicting the response variable when no covariates are available

A Statistical Approach to the Alignment of fMRI Data

Multi-subject functional Magnetic Resonance Image studies are critical. The anatomical and functional structure varies across subjects, so the image alignment is necessary. We define a probabilistic model to describe functional alignment. Imposing a prior distribution, as the matrix Fisher Von Mises distribution, of the orthogonal transformation parameter, the anatomical information is embedded in the estimation of the parameters, i.e., penalizing the combination of spatially distant voxels. Real applications show an improvement in the classification and interpretability of the results compared to various functional alignment methods

Statistical Models for Querying and Managing Time-Series Data

In recent years we are experiencing a dramatic increase in the amount of available time-series data. Primary sources of time-series data are sensor networks, medical monitoring, financial applications, news feeds and social networking applications. Availability of large amount of time-series data calls for scalable data management techniques that enable efficient querying and analysis of such data in real-time and archival settings. Often the time-series data generated from sensors (environmental, RFID, GPS, etc.), are imprecise and uncertain in nature. Thus, it is necessary to characterize this uncertainty for producing clean answers. In this thesis we propose methods that address these important issues pertaining to time-series data. Particularly, this thesis is centered around the following three topics: Computing Statistical Measures on Large Time-Series Datasets. Computing statistical measures for large databases of time series is a fundamental primitive for querying and mining time-series data [31, 81, 97, 111, 132, 137]. This primitive is gaining importance with the increasing number and rapid growth of time-series databases. In Chapter 3, we introduce the Affinity framework for efficient computation of statistical measures by exploiting the concept of affine relationships [113, 114]. Affine relationships can be used to infer a large number of statistical measures for time series, from other related time series, instead of computing them directly; thus, reducing the overall computational cost significantly. Moreover, the Affinity framework proposes an unified approach for computing several statistical measures at once. Creating Probabilistic Databases from Imprecise Data. A large amount of time-series data produced in the real-world has an inherent element of uncertainty, arising due to the various sources of imprecision affecting its sources (like, sensor data, GPS trajectories, environmental monitoring data, etc.). The primary sources of imprecision in such data are: imprecise sensors, limited communication bandwidth, sensor failures, etc. Recently there has been an exponential rise in the number of such imprecise sensors, which has led to an explosion of imprecise data. Standard database techniques cannot be used to provide clean and consistent answers in such scenarios. Therefore, probabilistic databases that factor-in the inherent uncertainty and produce clean answers are required. An important assumption i while using probabilistic databases is that each data point has a probability distribution associated with it. This is not true in practice — the distributions are absent. As a solution to this fundamental limitation, in Chapter 4 we propose methods for inferring such probability distributions and using them for efficiently creating probabilistic databases [116]. Managing Participatory Sensing Data. Community-driven participatory sensing is a rapidly evolving paradigm in mobile geo-sensor networks. Here, sensors of various sorts (e.g., multi-sensor units monitoring air quality, cell phones, thermal watches, thermometers in vehicles, etc.) are carried by the community (public vehicles, private vehicles, or individuals) during their daily activities, collecting various types of data about their surrounding. Data generated by these devices is in large quantity, and geographically and temporally skewed. Therefore, it is important that systems designed for managing such data should be aware of these unique data characteristics. In Chapter 5, we propose the ConDense (Community-driven Sensing of the Environment) framework for managing and querying community-sensed data [5, 19, 115]. ConDense exploits spatial smoothness of environmental parameters (like, ambient pollution [5] or radiation [2]) to construct statistical models of the data. Since the number of constructed models is significantly smaller than the original data, we show that using our approach leads to dramatic increase in query processing efficiency [19, 115] and significantly reduces memory usage

Coordinated Transit Response Planning and Operations Support Tools for Mitigating Impacts of All-Hazard Emergency Events

This report summarizes current computer simulation capabilities and the availability of near-real-time data sources allowing for a novel approach of analyzing and determining optimized responses during disruptions of complex multi-agency transit system. The authors integrated a number of technologies and data sources to detect disruptive transit system performance issues, analyze the impact on overall system-wide performance, and statistically apply the likely traveler choices and responses. The analysis of unaffected transit resources and the provision of temporary resources are then analyzed and optimized to minimize overall impact of the initiating event

Selected Papers from the 5th International Electronic Conference on Sensors and Applications

This Special Issue comprises selected papers from the proceedings of the 5th International Electronic Conference on Sensors and Applications, held on 15–30 November 2018, on sciforum.net, an online platform for hosting scholarly e-conferences and discussion groups. In this 5th edition of the electronic conference, contributors were invited to provide papers and presentations from the field of sensors and applications at large, resulting in a wide variety of excellent submissions and topic areas. Papers which attracted the most interest on the web or that provided a particularly innovative contribution were selected for publication in this collection. These peer-reviewed papers are published with the aim of rapid and wide dissemination of research results, developments, and applications. We hope this conference series will grow rapidly in the future and become recognized as a new way and venue by which to (electronically) present new developments related to the field of sensors and their applications

30th International Conference on Condition Monitoring and Diagnostic Engineering Management (COMADEM 2017)

Proceedings of COMADEM 201

Development of Deep Learning Hybrid Models for Hydrological Predictions

The Abstract is currently unavailable, due to the thesis being under Embargo