18,938 research outputs found
Volatility Prediction using Financial Disclosures Sentiments with Word Embedding-based IR Models
Volatility prediction--an essential concept in financial markets--has
recently been addressed using sentiment analysis methods. We investigate the
sentiment of annual disclosures of companies in stock markets to forecast
volatility. We specifically explore the use of recent Information Retrieval
(IR) term weighting models that are effectively extended by related terms using
word embeddings. In parallel to textual information, factual market data have
been widely used as the mainstream approach to forecast market risk. We
therefore study different fusion methods to combine text and market data
resources. Our word embedding-based approach significantly outperforms
state-of-the-art methods. In addition, we investigate the characteristics of
the reports of the companies in different financial sectors
A Novel Distributed Representation of News (DRNews) for Stock Market Predictions
In this study, a novel Distributed Representation of News (DRNews) model is
developed and applied in deep learning-based stock market predictions. With the
merit of integrating contextual information and cross-documental knowledge, the
DRNews model creates news vectors that describe both the semantic information
and potential linkages among news events through an attributed news network.
Two stock market prediction tasks, namely the short-term stock movement
prediction and stock crises early warning, are implemented in the framework of
the attention-based Long Short Term-Memory (LSTM) network. It is suggested that
DRNews substantially enhances the results of both tasks comparing with five
baselines of news embedding models. Further, the attention mechanism suggests
that short-term stock trend and stock market crises both receive influences
from daily news with the former demonstrates more critical responses on the
information related to the stock market {\em per se}, whilst the latter draws
more concerns on the banking sector and economic policies.Comment: 25 page
Econometrics meets sentiment : an overview of methodology and applications
The advent of massive amounts of textual, audio, and visual data has spurred the development of econometric methodology to transform qualitative sentiment data into quantitative sentiment variables, and to use those variables in an econometric analysis of the relationships between sentiment and other variables. We survey this emerging research field and refer to it as sentometrics, which is a portmanteau of sentiment and econometrics. We provide a synthesis of the relevant methodological approaches, illustrate with empirical results, and discuss useful software
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