The max-BARMA models for counts with bounded support

In this note, we introduce a discrete counterpart of the conventional max-autoregressive moving-average process of Davis & Resnick (1989), based on the binomial thinning operator and driven by a sequence of i. i. d. nonnegative integer-valued random variables with a finite range of counts. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this new class of models are discussed in detail, namely the existence of a stationary distribution, and how observations’ and innovations’ distributions are related to each other. Furthermore, parameter estimation is also addressed.publishe

Measures of Dispersion and Serial Dependence in Categorical Time Series

The analysis and modeling of categorical time series requires quantifying the extent of dispersion and serial dependence. The dispersion of categorical data is commonly measured by Gini index or entropy, but also the recently proposed extropy measure can be used for this purpose. Regarding signed serial dependence in categorical time series, we consider three types of κ-measures. By analyzing bias properties, it is shown that always one of the κ-measures is related to one of the above-mentioned dispersion measures. For doing statistical inference based on the sample versions of these dispersion and dependence measures, knowledge on their distribution is required. Therefore, we study the asymptotic distributions and bias corrections of the considered dispersion and dependence measures, and we investigate the finite-sample performance of the resulting asymptotic approximations with simulations. The application of the measures is illustrated with real-data examples from politics, economics and biology

Hard and soft clustering of categorical time series based on two novel distances with an application to biological sequences

Financiado para publicación en acceso aberto: Universidade da Coruña/CISUG.[Abstract]: Two novel distances between categorical time series are introduced. Both of them measure discrepancies between extracted features describing the underlying serial dependence patterns. One distance is based on well-known association measures, namely Cramer's v and Cohen's κ. The other one relies on the so-called binarization of a categorical process, which indicates the presence of each category by means of a canonical vector. Binarization is used to construct a set of innovative association measures which allow to identify different types of serial dependence. The metrics are used to perform crisp and fuzzy clustering of nominal series. The proposed approaches are able to group together series generated from similar stochastic processes, achieve accurate results with series coming from a broad range of models and are computationally efficient. Extensive simulation studies show that both hard and soft clustering algorithms outperform several alternative procedures proposed in the literature. Two applications involving biological sequences from different species highlight the usefulness of the introduced techniques.Xunta de Galicia; ED431G 2019/01Xunta de Galicia; ED431C-2020-14The research of Ángel López-Oriona and José A. Vilar has been supported by the Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (MINECO) grants MTM2017-82724-R and PID2020-113578RB-100, the Xunta de Galicia (Grupos de Referencia Competitiva ED431C-2020-14), and the Centro de Investigación del Sistema Universitario de Galicia “CITIC” grant ED431G 2019/01; all of them through the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF). This work has received funding for open access charge by Universidade da Coruña/CISUG. The author Ángel López-Oriona is very grateful to researcher Maite Freire for her lessons about DNA theory