3,057 research outputs found
Bayesian spline-based hidden Markov models with applications to actimetry data and sleep analysis
B-spline-based hidden Markov models employ B-splines to specify the emission distributions, offering a more flexible modeling approach to data than conventional parametric HMMs. We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference, enabling the simultaneous estimation of all unknown model parameters including the number of states. A parsimonious knot configuration of the B-splines is identified by the use of a trans-dimensional Markov chain sampling algorithm, while model selection regarding the number of states can be performed based on the marginal likelihood within a parallel sampling framework. Using extensive simulation studies, we demonstrate the superiority of our methodology over alternative approaches as well as its robustness and scalability. We illustrate the explorative use of our methods for data on activity in animals, that is whitetip-sharks. The flexibility of our Bayesian approach also facilitates the incorporation of more realistic assumptions and we demonstrate this by developing a novel hierarchical conditional HMM to analyse human activity for circadian and sleep modeling. Supplementary materials for this article are available online
Integrating expert-based objectivist and nonexpert-based subjectivist paradigms in landscape assessment
This thesis explores the integration of objective and subjective measures of landscape aesthetics, particularly focusing on crowdsourced geo-information. It addresses the increasing importance of considering public perceptions in national landscape governance, in line with the European Landscape Convention's emphasis on public involvement. Despite this, national landscape assessments often remain expert-centric and top-down, facing challenges in resource constraints and limited public engagement. The thesis leverages Web 2.0 technologies and crowdsourced geographic information, examining correlations between expert-based metrics of landscape quality and public perceptions. The Scenic-Or-Not initiative for Great Britain, GIS-based Wildness spatial layers, and LANDMAP dataset for Wales serve as key datasets for analysis.
The research investigates the relationships between objective measures of landscape wildness quality and subjective measures of aesthetics. Multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) reveals significant correlations, with different wildness components exhibiting varying degrees of association. The study suggests the feasibility of incorporating wildness and scenicness measures into formal landscape aesthetic assessments. Comparing expert and public perceptions, the research identifies preferences for water-related landforms and variations in upland and lowland typologies. The study emphasizes the agreement between experts and non-experts on extreme scenic perceptions but notes discrepancies in mid-spectrum landscapes. To overcome limitations in systematic landscape evaluations, an integrative approach is proposed. Utilizing XGBoost models, the research predicts spatial patterns of landscape aesthetics across Great Britain, based on the Scenic-Or-Not initiatives, Wildness spatial layers, and LANDMAP data. The models achieve comparable accuracy to traditional statistical models, offering insights for Landscape Character Assessment practices and policy decisions. While acknowledging data limitations and biases in crowdsourcing, the thesis discusses the necessity of an aggregation strategy to manage computational challenges. Methodological considerations include addressing the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) associated with aggregating point-based observations. The thesis comprises three studies published or submitted for publication, each contributing to the understanding of the relationship between objective and subjective measures of landscape aesthetics. The concluding chapter discusses the limitations of data and methods, providing a comprehensive overview of the research
Deep generative models for network data synthesis and monitoring
Measurement and monitoring are fundamental tasks in all networks, enabling the down-stream management and optimization of the network.
Although networks inherently
have abundant amounts of monitoring data, its access and effective measurement is
another story. The challenges exist in many aspects. First, the inaccessibility of network monitoring data for external users, and it is hard to provide a high-fidelity dataset
without leaking commercial sensitive information. Second, it could be very expensive
to carry out effective data collection to cover a large-scale network system, considering the size of network growing, i.e., cell number of radio network and the number of
flows in the Internet Service Provider (ISP) network. Third, it is difficult to ensure fidelity and efficiency simultaneously in network monitoring, as the available resources
in the network element that can be applied to support the measurement function are
too limited to implement sophisticated mechanisms. Finally, understanding and explaining the behavior of the network becomes challenging due to its size and complex
structure. Various emerging optimization-based solutions (e.g., compressive sensing)
or data-driven solutions (e.g. deep learning) have been proposed for the aforementioned challenges. However, the fidelity and efficiency of existing methods cannot yet
meet the current network requirements.
The contributions made in this thesis significantly advance the state of the art in
the domain of network measurement and monitoring techniques. Overall, we leverage
cutting-edge machine learning technology, deep generative modeling, throughout the
entire thesis. First, we design and realize APPSHOT , an efficient city-scale network
traffic sharing with a conditional generative model, which only requires open-source
contextual data during inference (e.g., land use information and population distribution). Second, we develop an efficient drive testing system — GENDT, based on generative model, which combines graph neural networks, conditional generation, and quantified model uncertainty to enhance the efficiency of mobile drive testing. Third, we
design and implement DISTILGAN, a high-fidelity, efficient, versatile, and real-time
network telemetry system with latent GANs and spectral-temporal networks. Finally,
we propose SPOTLIGHT , an accurate, explainable, and efficient anomaly detection system of the Open RAN (Radio Access Network) system. The lessons learned through
this research are summarized, and interesting topics are discussed for future work in
this domain. All proposed solutions have been evaluated with real-world datasets and
applied to support different applications in real systems
Online semi-supervised learning in non-stationary environments
Existing Data Stream Mining (DSM) algorithms assume the availability of labelled and
balanced data, immediately or after some delay, to extract worthwhile knowledge from the
continuous and rapid data streams. However, in many real-world applications such as
Robotics, Weather Monitoring, Fraud Detection Systems, Cyber Security, and Computer
Network Traffic Flow, an enormous amount of high-speed data is generated by Internet of
Things sensors and real-time data on the Internet. Manual labelling of these data streams
is not practical due to time consumption and the need for domain expertise. Another
challenge is learning under Non-Stationary Environments (NSEs), which occurs due to
changes in the data distributions in a set of input variables and/or class labels. The problem
of Extreme Verification Latency (EVL) under NSEs is referred to as Initially Labelled Non-Stationary Environment (ILNSE). This is a challenging task because the learning algorithms
have no access to the true class labels directly when the concept evolves. Several approaches
exist that deal with NSE and EVL in isolation. However, few algorithms address both issues
simultaneously. This research directly responds to ILNSE’s challenge in proposing two
novel algorithms “Predictor for Streaming Data with Scarce Labels” (PSDSL) and
Heterogeneous Dynamic Weighted Majority (HDWM) classifier. PSDSL is an Online Semi-Supervised Learning (OSSL) method for real-time DSM and is closely related to label
scarcity issues in online machine learning.
The key capabilities of PSDSL include learning from a small amount of labelled data in an
incremental or online manner and being available to predict at any time. To achieve this,
PSDSL utilises both labelled and unlabelled data to train the prediction models, meaning it
continuously learns from incoming data and updates the model as new labelled or
unlabelled data becomes available over time. Furthermore, it can predict under NSE
conditions under the scarcity of class labels. PSDSL is built on top of the HDWM classifier,
which preserves the diversity of the classifiers. PSDSL and HDWM can intelligently switch
and adapt to the conditions. The PSDSL adapts to learning states between self-learning,
micro-clustering and CGC, whichever approach is beneficial, based on the characteristics of
the data stream. HDWM makes use of “seed” learners of different types in an ensemble to
maintain its diversity. The ensembles are simply the combination of predictive models
grouped to improve the predictive performance of a single classifier.
PSDSL is empirically evaluated against COMPOSE, LEVELIW, SCARGC and MClassification
on benchmarks, NSE datasets as well as Massive Online Analysis (MOA) data streams and real-world datasets. The results showed that PSDSL performed significantly better than
existing approaches on most real-time data streams including randomised data instances.
PSDSL performed significantly better than ‘Static’ i.e. the classifier is not updated after it is
trained with the first examples in the data streams. When applied to MOA-generated data
streams, PSDSL ranked highest (1.5) and thus performed significantly better than SCARGC,
while SCARGC performed the same as the Static. PSDSL achieved better average prediction
accuracies in a short time than SCARGC.
The HDWM algorithm is evaluated on artificial and real-world data streams against existing
well-known approaches such as the heterogeneous WMA and the homogeneous Dynamic
DWM algorithm. The results showed that HDWM performed significantly better than WMA
and DWM. Also, when recurring concept drifts were present, the predictive performance of
HDWM showed an improvement over DWM. In both drift and real-world streams,
significance tests and post hoc comparisons found significant differences between
algorithms, HDWM performed significantly better than DWM and WMA when applied to
MOA data streams and 4 real-world datasets Electric, Spam, Sensor and Forest cover. The
seeding mechanism and dynamic inclusion of new base learners in the HDWM algorithms
benefit from the use of both forgetting and retaining the models. The algorithm also
provides the independence of selecting the optimal base classifier in its ensemble depending
on the problem.
A new approach, Envelope-Clustering is introduced to resolve the cluster overlap conflicts
during the cluster labelling process. In this process, PSDSL transforms the centroids’
information of micro-clusters into micro-instances and generates new clusters called
Envelopes. The nearest envelope clusters assist the conflicted micro-clusters and
successfully guide the cluster labelling process after the concept drifts in the absence of true
class labels. PSDSL has been evaluated on real-world problem ‘keystroke dynamics’, and
the results show that PSDSL achieved higher prediction accuracy (85.3%) and SCARGC
(81.6%), while the Static (49.0%) significantly degrades the performance due to changes in
the users typing pattern. Furthermore, the predictive accuracies of SCARGC are found
highly fluctuated between (41.1% to 81.6%) based on different values of parameter ‘k’
(number of clusters), while PSDSL automatically determine the best values for this
parameter
Multidisciplinary perspectives on Artificial Intelligence and the law
This open access book presents an interdisciplinary, multi-authored, edited collection of chapters on Artificial Intelligence (‘AI’) and the Law. AI technology has come to play a central role in the modern data economy. Through a combination of increased computing power, the growing availability of data and the advancement of algorithms, AI has now become an umbrella term for some of the most transformational technological breakthroughs of this age. The importance of AI stems from both the opportunities that it offers and the challenges that it entails. While AI applications hold the promise of economic growth and efficiency gains, they also create significant risks and uncertainty. The potential and perils of AI have thus come to dominate modern discussions of technology and ethics – and although AI was initially allowed to largely develop without guidelines or rules, few would deny that the law is set to play a fundamental role in shaping the future of AI. As the debate over AI is far from over, the need for rigorous analysis has never been greater. This book thus brings together contributors from different fields and backgrounds to explore how the law might provide answers to some of the most pressing questions raised by AI. An outcome of the Católica Research Centre for the Future of Law and its interdisciplinary working group on Law and Artificial Intelligence, it includes contributions by leading scholars in the fields of technology, ethics and the law.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio
Empirical modelling of the solar spectral influence on photovoltaic devices for improved performance forecasting
Photovoltaic performance modelling is essential for the successful development of PV systems. Accurate modelling can inform system design and financing prior to construction, help with fault detection during operation, and improve the grid penetration of PV energy.
Whereas the models to account for the effects of broadband irradiance, temperature, and so forth on PV performance are well established, those for the influence of the solar spectrum, known as spectral correction functions (SCFs), suffer a range of limitations. Existing models are typically based on proxy variables used to represent the solar spectrum, which are restricted in the amount of information they contain on the prevailing spectral irradiance conditions. Furthermore, validation of these models is restricted to climates that are not representative of the UK, where a broader range of spectral irradiance conditions is experienced due to its high northern latitude and frequent overcast or partially overcast skies.
Some studies have explored the possibility of characterising measured spectra with parameters such as the average photon energy to develop SCFs. However, these studies are limited in terms of their validation scope, such as duration of field data and types of PV module, and extension to a predictive model. In this project, two new SCFs are developed and validated in two distinct climate regions for multiple PV technologies. The first is based on the average photon energy alone (f(APE)), while the second is based on both the average photon energy and the depth of the 650--670nm water absorption band (f(APE,e)). Using data from Go (Golden, Colorado, USA), the former is shown to cut the prediction error for aSi modules by around 40% relative to a single-variable air mass SCF and a double-variable air mass and clearness index SCF. The latter, f(APE,e), addresses issues raised in the literature regarding the reliability of APE as a spectral characterisation index. Using the same data, f(APE,e) is shown to cut the prediction error by up to 60% with respect to a comparable multivariable proxy SCF based on the air mass and atmospheric precipitable water content.
These results are also validated at a new test site built at the University of Nottingham as part of this project. Although the overall errors are greater due to site-specific system characteristics, the relative improvements achieved by the APE-based models with respect to the proxy-based models are maintained in both climate regions.
The proposed spectral correction approaches can be integrated into wider PV performance models to improve their performance forecasting accuracy
LIPIcs, Volume 251, ITCS 2023, Complete Volume
LIPIcs, Volume 251, ITCS 2023, Complete Volum
Data- og ekspertdreven variabelseleksjon for prediktive modeller i helsevesenet : mot økt tolkbarhet i underbestemte maskinlæringsproblemer
Modern data acquisition techniques in healthcare generate large collections of data from multiple sources, such as novel diagnosis and treatment methodologies. Some concrete examples are electronic healthcare record systems, genomics, and medical images. This leads to situations with often unstructured, high-dimensional heterogeneous patient cohort data where classical statistical methods may not be sufficient for optimal utilization of the data and informed decision-making. Instead, investigating such data structures with modern machine learning techniques promises to improve the understanding of patient health issues and may provide a better platform for informed decision-making by clinicians. Key requirements for this purpose include (a) sufficiently accurate predictions and (b) model interpretability. Achieving both aspects in parallel is difficult, particularly for datasets with few patients, which are common in the healthcare domain. In such cases, machine learning models encounter mathematically underdetermined systems and may overfit easily on the training data. An important approach to overcome this issue is feature selection, i.e., determining a subset of informative features from the original set of features with respect to the target variable. While potentially raising the predictive performance, feature selection fosters model interpretability by identifying a low number of relevant model parameters to better understand the underlying biological processes that lead to health issues.
Interpretability requires that feature selection is stable, i.e., small changes in the dataset do not lead to changes in the selected feature set. A concept to address instability is ensemble feature selection, i.e. the process of repeating the feature selection multiple times on subsets of samples of the original dataset and aggregating results in a meta-model. This thesis presents two approaches for ensemble feature selection, which are tailored towards high-dimensional data in healthcare: the Repeated Elastic Net Technique for feature selection (RENT) and the User-Guided Bayesian Framework for feature selection (UBayFS). While RENT is purely data-driven and builds upon elastic net regularized models, UBayFS is a general framework for ensembles with the capabilities to include expert knowledge in the feature selection process via prior weights and side constraints. A case study modeling the overall survival of cancer patients compares these novel feature selectors and demonstrates their potential in clinical practice.
Beyond the selection of single features, UBayFS also allows for selecting whole feature groups (feature blocks) that were acquired from multiple data sources, as those mentioned above. Importance quantification of such feature blocks plays a key role in tracing information about the target variable back to the acquisition modalities. Such information on feature block importance may lead to positive effects on the use of human, technical, and financial resources if systematically integrated into the planning of patient treatment by excluding the acquisition of non-informative features. Since a generalization of feature importance measures to block importance is not trivial, this thesis also investigates and compares approaches for feature block importance rankings.
This thesis demonstrates that high-dimensional datasets from multiple data sources in the medical domain can be successfully tackled by the presented approaches for feature selection. Experimental evaluations demonstrate favorable properties of both predictive performance, stability, as well as interpretability of results, which carries a high potential for better data-driven decision support in clinical practice.Moderne datainnsamlingsteknikker i helsevesenet genererer store datamengder fra flere kilder, som for eksempel nye diagnose- og behandlingsmetoder. Noen konkrete eksempler er elektroniske helsejournalsystemer, genomikk og medisinske bilder. Slike pasientkohortdata er ofte ustrukturerte, høydimensjonale og heterogene og hvor klassiske statistiske metoder ikke er tilstrekkelige for optimal utnyttelse av dataene og god informasjonsbasert beslutningstaking. Derfor kan det være lovende å analysere slike datastrukturer ved bruk av moderne maskinlæringsteknikker for å øke forståelsen av pasientenes helseproblemer og for å gi klinikerne en bedre plattform for informasjonsbasert beslutningstaking. Sentrale krav til dette formålet inkluderer (a) tilstrekkelig nøyaktige prediksjoner og (b) modelltolkbarhet. Å oppnå begge aspektene samtidig er vanskelig, spesielt for datasett med få pasienter, noe som er vanlig for data i helsevesenet. I slike tilfeller må maskinlæringsmodeller håndtere matematisk underbestemte systemer og dette kan lett føre til at modellene overtilpasses treningsdataene. Variabelseleksjon er en viktig tilnærming for å håndtere dette ved å identifisere en undergruppe av informative variabler med hensyn til responsvariablen. Samtidig som variabelseleksjonsmetoder kan lede til økt prediktiv ytelse, fremmes modelltolkbarhet ved å identifisere et lavt antall relevante modellparametere. Dette kan gi bedre forståelse av de underliggende biologiske prosessene som fører til helseproblemer.
Tolkbarhet krever at variabelseleksjonen er stabil, dvs. at små endringer i datasettet ikke fører til endringer i hvilke variabler som velges. Et konsept for å adressere ustabilitet er ensemblevariableseleksjon, dvs. prosessen med å gjenta variabelseleksjon flere ganger på en delmengde av prøvene i det originale datasett og aggregere resultater i en metamodell. Denne avhandlingen presenterer to tilnærminger for ensemblevariabelseleksjon, som er skreddersydd for høydimensjonale data i helsevesenet: "Repeated Elastic Net Technique for feature selection" (RENT) og "User-Guided Bayesian Framework for feature selection" (UBayFS). Mens RENT er datadrevet og bygger på elastic net-regulariserte modeller, er UBayFS et generelt rammeverk for ensembler som muliggjør inkludering av ekspertkunnskap i variabelseleksjonsprosessen gjennom forhåndsbestemte vekter og sidebegrensninger. En case-studie som modellerer overlevelsen av kreftpasienter sammenligner disse nye variabelseleksjonsmetodene og demonstrerer deres potensiale i klinisk praksis.
Utover valg av enkelte variabler gjør UBayFS det også mulig å velge blokker eller grupper av variabler som representerer de ulike datakildene som ble nevnt over. Kvantifisering av viktigheten av variabelgrupper spiller en nøkkelrolle for forståelsen av hvorvidt datakildene er viktige for responsvariablen. Tilgang til slik informasjon kan føre til at bruken av menneskelige, tekniske og økonomiske ressurser kan forbedres dersom informasjonen integreres systematisk i planleggingen av pasientbehandlingen. Slik kan man redusere innsamling av ikke-informative variabler. Siden generaliseringen av viktighet av variabelgrupper ikke er triviell, undersøkes og sammenlignes også tilnærminger for rangering av viktigheten til disse variabelgruppene.
Denne avhandlingen viser at høydimensjonale datasett fra flere datakilder fra det medisinske domenet effektivt kan håndteres ved bruk av variabelseleksjonmetodene som er presentert i avhandlingen. Eksperimentene viser at disse kan ha positiv en effekt på både prediktiv ytelse, stabilitet og tolkbarhet av resultatene. Bruken av disse variabelseleksjonsmetodene bærer et stort potensiale for bedre datadrevet beslutningsstøtte i klinisk praksis
Deep Learning Approaches for Data Augmentation in Medical Imaging: A Review
Deep learning has become a popular tool for medical image analysis, but the
limited availability of training data remains a major challenge, particularly
in the medical field where data acquisition can be costly and subject to
privacy regulations. Data augmentation techniques offer a solution by
artificially increasing the number of training samples, but these techniques
often produce limited and unconvincing results. To address this issue, a
growing number of studies have proposed the use of deep generative models to
generate more realistic and diverse data that conform to the true distribution
of the data. In this review, we focus on three types of deep generative models
for medical image augmentation: variational autoencoders, generative
adversarial networks, and diffusion models. We provide an overview of the
current state of the art in each of these models and discuss their potential
for use in different downstream tasks in medical imaging, including
classification, segmentation, and cross-modal translation. We also evaluate the
strengths and limitations of each model and suggest directions for future
research in this field. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive review about the
use of deep generative models for medical image augmentation and to highlight
the potential of these models for improving the performance of deep learning
algorithms in medical image analysis
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