Routing Optimization Under Uncertainty

We consider a class of routing optimization problems under uncertainty in which all decisions are made before the uncertainty is realized. The objective is to obtain optimal routing solutions that would, as much as possible, adhere to a set of specified requirements after the uncertainty is realized. These problems include finding an optimal routing solution to meet the soft time window requirements at a subset of nodes when the travel time is uncertain, and sending multiple capacitated vehicles to different nodes to meet the customers’ uncertain demands. We introduce a precise mathematical framework for defining and solving such routing problems. In particular, we propose a new decision criterion, called the Requirements Violation (RV) Index, which quantifies the risk associated with the violation of requirements taking into account both the frequency of violations and their magnitudes whenever they occur. The criterion can handle instances when probability distributions are known, and ambiguity when distributions are partially characterized through descriptive statistics such as moments. We develop practically efficient algorithms involving Benders decomposition to find the exact optimal routing solution in which the RV Index criterion is minimized, and we give numerical results from several computational studies that show the attractive performance of the solutions

Mitigating risk and ambiguity in service systems

Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

Learning bounded optimal behavior using Markov decision processes

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2007.Includes bibliographical references (p. 171-175).Creating agents that behave rationally in the real-world is one goal of Artificial Intelligence. A rational agent is one that takes, at each point in time, the optimal action such that its expected utility is maximized. However, to determine the optimal action the agent may need to engage in lengthy deliberations or computations. The effect of computation is generally not explicitly considered when performing deliberations. In reality, spending too much time in deliberation may yield high quality plans that do not satisfy the natural timing constraints of a problem, making them effectively useless. Enforcing shortened deliberation times may yield timely plans, but these may be of diminished utility. These two cases suggest the possibility of optimizing an agent's deliberation process. This thesis proposes a framework for generating meta level controllers that select computational actions to perform by optimally trading off their benefit against their costs. The metalevel optimization problem is posed within a Markov Decision Process framework and is solved off-line to determine a policy for carrying out computations. Once the optimal policy is determined, it serves efficiently as an online metalevel controller that selects computational actions conditioned upon the current state of computation. Solving for the exact policy of the metalevel optimization problem becomes computationally intractable with problem size. A learning approach that takes advantage of the problem structure is proposed to generate approximate policies that are shown to perform relatively well in comparison to optimal policies. Metalevel policies are generated for two types of problem scenarios, distinguished by the representation of the cost of computation. In the first case, the cost of computation is explicitly defined as part of the problem description. In the second case, it is implicit in the timing constraints of problem. Results are presented to validate the beneficial effects of metalevel planning over traditional methods when the cost of computation has a significant effect on the utility of a plan.by Hon Fai Vuong.Ph.D

Solving the waste collection problem from a multiobjective perspective: New methodologies and case studies

Fecha de lectura Tesis Doctoral: 19 de marzo de 2018.Economía Aplicada ( Matemáticas) Resumen tesis: El tratamiento de residuos es un tema de estudio por parte de las administraciones locales a nivel mundial. Distintos factores han de tenerse en cuenta para realizar un servicio eficiente. En este trabajo se desarrolla una herramienta para analizar y resolver el problema de la recogida de residuos sólidos en Málaga. Tras un análisis exhaustivo de los datos, se aborda el problema real como un problema de rutas multiobjetivo con capacidad limitada. Para los problemas multiobjetivo, no suele existir una única solución óptima, sino un conjunto de soluciones eficientes de Pareto. Las características del problema hacen inviable su resolución de forma exacta, por lo que se aplican distintas estrategias metaheurísticas para obtener una buena aproximación. En particular, se combinan las técnicas de GRASP, Path Relinking y Variable Neighborhood Search, que son adaptadas a la perspectiva multicriterio. Se trata de una aproximación en dos fases: una primera aproximación de la frontera eficiente se genera mediante un GRASP multiobjetivo. Tres son los métodos propuestos para la primera aproximación, dos de ellos derivados de la publicación de Martí et al. (2015) y el último se apoya en la función escalarizada de logro de Wierzbicki (Wierzbicki, 1980) para distintas combinaciones de pesos. A continuación, esta aproximación es mejorada con una versión de Path Relinking o Variable Neighborhood Search, con un punto de referencia diseñado para problemas multiobjetivo. Una vez generada la aproximación de la frontera eficiente, el proceso de obtención de la solución que más se adecúa a las preferencias de los gestores se basa en el desarrollo de un método interactivo sin trade – off, derivado de la filosofía NAUTILUS (Miettinen et al. 2010). Para evitar gastos de cómputo extensos, esta metodología se apoya en una pre - computación de los elementos de la frontera eficiente

Service Region Design for Urban Electric Vehicle Sharing Systems

Emerging collaborative consumption business models have shown promise in terms of both generating business opportunities and enhancing the efficient use of resources. In the transportation domain, car sharing models are being adopted on a mass scale in major metropolitan areas worldwide. This mode of servicized mobility bridges the resource efficiency of public transit and the flexibility of personal transportation. Beyond the significant potential to reduce car ownership, car sharing shows promise in supporting the adoption of fuel- efficient vehicles, such as electric vehicles (EVs), due to these vehicles special cost structure with high purchase but low operating costs. Recently, key players in the car sharing business, such as Autolib, Car2Go and DriveNow, have begun to employ EVs in an operations model that accommodates one-way trips. On the one hand (and particularly in free-floating car sharing), the one-way model results in significant improvements in coverage of travel needs and therefore in adoption potential compared with the conventional round-trip-only model (advocated by ZipCar, for example). On the other hand, this model poses tremendous planning and operational challenges. In this work, we study the planning problem faced by service providers in designing a geographical service region in which to operate the service. This decision entails trade-offs between maximizing customer catchment by covering travel needs and controlling fleet operations costs. We develop a mathematical programming model that incorporates details of both customer adoption behavior and fleet management (including EV repositioning and charging) under imbalanced travel patterns. To address inherent planning uncertainty with regard to adoption patterns, we employ a distributionally robust optimization framework that informs robust decisions to overcome possible ambiguity (or lacking) of data. Mathematically, the problem can be approximated by a mixed integer second-order cone program, which is computationally tractable with practical scale data. Applying this approach to the case of Car2Go’s service with real operations data, we address a number of planning questions and suggest that there is potential for the future development of this service

Human-Automation Path Planning Optimization and Decision Support

Path planning is a problem encountered in multiple domains, including unmanned vehicle control, air traffic control, and future exploration missions to the Moon and Mars. Due to the voluminous and complex nature of the data, path planning in such demanding environments requires the use of automated planners. In order to better understand how to support human operators in the task of path planning with computer aids, an experiment was conducted with a prototype path planner under various conditions to assess the effect on operator performance. Participants were asked to create and optimize paths based on increasingly complex path cost functions, using different map visualizations including a novel visualization based on a numerical potential field algorithm. They also planned paths under degraded automation conditions. Participants exhibited two types of analysis strategies, which were global path regeneration and local sensitivity analysis. No main effect due to visualization was detected, but results indicated that the type of optimizing cost function affected performance, as measured by metabolic costs, sun position, path distance and task time. Unexpectedly, participants were able to better optimize more complex cost functions as compared to a simple time-based cost function.We would like to acknowledge the NASA Harriett G. Jenkins Predoctoral Fellowship, the American Association of University Women (AAUW) Dissertation Fellowship, and the Office of Naval Research for sponsoring this research

Robust optimization for network-based resource allocation problems under uncertainty

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, Operations Research Center, 2007.Includes bibliographical references (p. 129-131).We consider large-scale, network-based, resource allocation problems under uncertainty, with specific focus on the class of problems referred to as multi-commodity flow problems with time-windows. These problems are at the core of many network-based resource allocation problems. Inherent data uncertainty in the problem guarantees that deterministic optimal solutions are rarely, if ever, executed. Our work examines methods of proactive planning, that is, robust plan generation to protect against future uncertainty. By modeling uncertainties in data corresponding to service times, resource availability, supplies and demands, we can generate solutions that are more robust operationally, that is, more likely to be executed or easier to repair when disrupted. The challenges are the following: approaches to achieve robustness 1) can be extremely problem-specific and not general; 2) suffer from issues of tractability; or 3) have unrealistic data requirements. We propose in this work a modeling and algorithmic framework that addresses the above challenges.(cont.) Our modeling framework involves a decomposition scheme that separates problems involving multi-commodity flows with time-windows into routing (that is, a routing master problem) and scheduling modules (that is, a scheduling sub-problem), and uses an iterative scheme to provide feedback between the two modules, both of which are more tractable than the integrated model. The master problem has the structure of a multi-commodity flow problem and the sub-problem is a set of network flow problems. This decomposition allows us to capture uncertainty while maintaining tractability. Uncertainty is captured in part by the master problem and in part by the sub-problem. In addition to solving problems under uncertainty, our decomposition scheme can also be used to solve large-scale resource allocation problems without uncertainty. As proof-of-concept, we apply our approach to a vehicle routing and scheduling problem and compare its solutions to those of other robust optimization approaches. Finally, we propose a framework to extend our robust, decomposition approach to the more complex problem of network design.by Lavanya Marla.S.M