14,195 research outputs found
Reliability-Based Design of Thermal Protection Systems with Support Vector Machines
The primary objective of this work was to develop a computationally efficient and accurate approach to reliability analysis of thermal protection systems using support vector machines. An adaptive sampling approach was introduced informs a iterative support vector machine approximation of the limit state function used for measuring reliability. The proposed sampling approach efficient adds samples along the limit state function until the reliability approximation is converged. This methodology is applied to two samples, mathematical functions to test and demonstrate the applicability. Then, the adaptive sampling-based support vector machine approach is applied to the reliability analysis of a thermal protection system. The results of all three problems highlight the potential capability of the new approach in terms of accuracy and computational saving in determining thermal protection system reliability
Reliability analysis for systems with outsourced components
The current business model for many industrial firms is to function as system integrators, depending on numerous outsourced components from outside component suppliers. This practice has resulted in tremendous cost savings; it makes system reliability analysis, however, more challenging due to the limited component information available to system designers. The component information is often proprietary to component suppliers. Motivated by the need of system reliability prediction with outsourced components, this work aims to explore feasible ways to accurately predict the system reliability during the system design stage. Four methods are proposed. The first method reconstructs component reliability functions using limited reliability data with respect to component loads, and the system reliability is then estimated statistically. The second method applies two-class support vector machines (SVM) to approximate limit-state functions of outsourced components based on the categorical reliability dataset. With the integration of the obtained limit-state functions and those of in-house components, the joint probability density function of all the components is estimated, thereby leading to accurate system reliability prediction. The third method is an extension of the second one, and a one-class SVM is proposed to rebuild limit-state functions for outsourced components given only the failure dataset. The last method deals with the case where no reliability dataset is available. A partial safety factor method is developed, which enables component suppliers to provide sufficient information to system designers for accurate reliability analysis without revealing the proprietary design details. Both numerical examples and engineering applications demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed methods --Abstract, page iv
Wireless Data Acquisition for Edge Learning: Data-Importance Aware Retransmission
By deploying machine-learning algorithms at the network edge, edge learning
can leverage the enormous real-time data generated by billions of mobile
devices to train AI models, which enable intelligent mobile applications. In
this emerging research area, one key direction is to efficiently utilize radio
resources for wireless data acquisition to minimize the latency of executing a
learning task at an edge server. Along this direction, we consider the specific
problem of retransmission decision in each communication round to ensure both
reliability and quantity of those training data for accelerating model
convergence. To solve the problem, a new retransmission protocol called
data-importance aware automatic-repeat-request (importance ARQ) is proposed.
Unlike the classic ARQ focusing merely on reliability, importance ARQ
selectively retransmits a data sample based on its uncertainty which helps
learning and can be measured using the model under training. Underpinning the
proposed protocol is a derived elegant communication-learning relation between
two corresponding metrics, i.e., signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and data
uncertainty. This relation facilitates the design of a simple threshold based
policy for importance ARQ. The policy is first derived based on the classic
classifier model of support vector machine (SVM), where the uncertainty of a
data sample is measured by its distance to the decision boundary. The policy is
then extended to the more complex model of convolutional neural networks (CNN)
where data uncertainty is measured by entropy. Extensive experiments have been
conducted for both the SVM and CNN using real datasets with balanced and
imbalanced distributions. Experimental results demonstrate that importance ARQ
effectively copes with channel fading and noise in wireless data acquisition to
achieve faster model convergence than the conventional channel-aware ARQ.Comment: This is an updated version: 1) extension to general classifiers; 2)
consideration of imbalanced classification in the experiments. Submitted to
IEEE Journal for possible publicatio
A Survey of Prediction and Classification Techniques in Multicore Processor Systems
In multicore processor systems, being able to accurately predict the future provides new optimization opportunities, which otherwise could not be exploited. For example, an oracle able to predict a certain application\u27s behavior running on a smart phone could direct the power manager to switch to appropriate dynamic voltage and frequency scaling modes that would guarantee minimum levels of desired performance while saving energy consumption and thereby prolonging battery life. Using predictions enables systems to become proactive rather than continue to operate in a reactive manner. This prediction-based proactive approach has become increasingly popular in the design and optimization of integrated circuits and of multicore processor systems. Prediction transforms from simple forecasting to sophisticated machine learning based prediction and classification that learns from existing data, employs data mining, and predicts future behavior. This can be exploited by novel optimization techniques that can span across all layers of the computing stack. In this survey paper, we present a discussion of the most popular techniques on prediction and classification in the general context of computing systems with emphasis on multicore processors. The paper is far from comprehensive, but, it will help the reader interested in employing prediction in optimization of multicore processor systems
CBR and MBR techniques: review for an application in the emergencies domain
The purpose of this document is to provide an in-depth analysis of current reasoning engine practice and the integration strategies of Case Based Reasoning and Model Based Reasoning that will be used in the design and development of the RIMSAT system.
RIMSAT (Remote Intelligent Management Support and Training) is a European Commission funded project designed to:
a.. Provide an innovative, 'intelligent', knowledge based solution aimed at improving the quality of critical decisions
b.. Enhance the competencies and responsiveness of individuals and organisations involved in highly complex, safety critical incidents - irrespective of their location.
In other words, RIMSAT aims to design and implement a decision support system that using Case Base Reasoning as well as Model Base Reasoning technology is applied in the management of emergency situations.
This document is part of a deliverable for RIMSAT project, and although it has been done in close contact with the requirements of the project, it provides an overview wide enough for providing a state of the art in integration strategies between CBR and MBR technologies.Postprint (published version
Metamodel-based importance sampling for structural reliability analysis
Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of
systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern
engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate
computational model (e.g. a finite element model). In this respect simulation
methods, which may require runs cannot be used directly. Surrogate
models such as quadratic response surfaces, polynomial chaos expansions or
kriging (which are built from a limited number of runs of the original model)
are then introduced as a substitute of the original model to cope with the
computational cost. In practice it is almost impossible to quantify the error
made by this substitution though. In this paper we propose to use a kriging
surrogate of the performance function as a means to build a quasi-optimal
importance sampling density. The probability of failure is eventually obtained
as the product of an augmented probability computed by substituting the
meta-model for the original performance function and a correction term which
ensures that there is no bias in the estimation even if the meta-model is not
fully accurate. The approach is applied to analytical and finite element
reliability problems and proves efficient up to 100 random variables.Comment: 20 pages, 7 figures, 2 tables. Preprint submitted to Probabilistic
Engineering Mechanic
Holistic Measures for Evaluating Prediction Models in Smart Grids
The performance of prediction models is often based on "abstract metrics"
that estimate the model's ability to limit residual errors between the observed
and predicted values. However, meaningful evaluation and selection of
prediction models for end-user domains requires holistic and
application-sensitive performance measures. Inspired by energy consumption
prediction models used in the emerging "big data" domain of Smart Power Grids,
we propose a suite of performance measures to rationally compare models along
the dimensions of scale independence, reliability, volatility and cost. We
include both application independent and dependent measures, the latter
parameterized to allow customization by domain experts to fit their scenario.
While our measures are generalizable to other domains, we offer an empirical
analysis using real energy use data for three Smart Grid applications:
planning, customer education and demand response, which are relevant for energy
sustainability. Our results underscore the value of the proposed measures to
offer a deeper insight into models' behavior and their impact on real
applications, which benefit both data mining researchers and practitioners.Comment: 14 Pages, 8 figures, Accepted and to appear in IEEE Transactions on
Knowledge and Data Engineering, 2014. Authors' final version. Copyright
transferred to IEE
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