A Bayesian partial identification approach to inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct

This paper describes the use of flexible Bayesian regression models for estimating a partially identified probability function. Our approach permits efficient sensitivity analysis concerning the posterior impact of priors on the partially identified component of the regression model. The new methodology is illustrated on an important problem where only partially observed data is available - inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct among publicly traded U.S. businesses

Heat-Transfer Characteristics of Partially Film Cooled Plug Nozzle on a J-85 Afterburning Turbojet Engine

Plug nozzle film cooling data were obtained downstream of a slot located at 42 percent of the total plug length on a J-85 engine. Film cooling reduced the aft end wall temperature as much as 150 K, reduced total pressure loss in the upstream convection cooling passages by 50 percent, and reduced estimated compressor bleed flow requirement by 14 percent compared to an all convectively cooled nozzle. Shock waves along the plug surface strongly influenced temperature distributions on both convection and film cooled portions. The effect was most severe at nozzle pressure ratios below 10 where adverse pressure gradients were most severe

A new specification of generalized linear models for categorical data

Regression models for categorical data are specified in heterogeneous ways. We propose to unify the specification of such models. This allows us to define the family of reference models for nominal data. We introduce the notion of reversible models for ordinal data that distinguishes adjacent and cumulative models from sequential ones. The combination of the proposed specification with the definition of reference and reversible models and various invariance properties leads to a new view of regression models for categorical data.Comment: 31 pages, 13 figure

Localised distributions in complex Langevin dynamics

Complex Langevin dynamics can be used to perform numerical simulations of theories with a complex action. In order to justify the procedure, it is important to understand the properties of the real and positive distribution, which is effectively sampled during the stochastic process. In the context of a simple model, we study this distribution and relate the results to the recently derived criteria for correctness. We demonstrate analytically that if the distribution has support only on a strip in the complexified configuration space, correct results are expected.Comment: 7 pages, 8 figures, talk given at the 31st International Symposium on Lattice Field Theory (Lattice 2013), July 29-August 3 2013, Mainz, German

Dynamics of partially thermalized solutions of the Burgers equation

The spectrally truncated, or finite dimensional, versions of several equations of inviscid flows display transient solutions which match their viscous counterparts, but which eventually lead to thermalized states in which energy is in equipartition between all modes. Recent advances in the study of the Burgers equation show that the thermalization process is triggered after the formation of sharp localized structures within the flow called "tygers." We show that the process of thermalization first takes place in well defined subdomains, before engulfing the whole space. Using spatio-temporal analysis on data from numerical simulations, we study propagation of tygers and find that they move at a well defined mean speed that can be obtained from energy conservation arguments.Fil: Clark Di Leoni, Patricio. University of Rome “Tor Vergata”; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires; ArgentinaFil: Mininni, Pablo Daniel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires; ArgentinaFil: Brachet, Marc E.. Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7; Franci