The Global Risks Report 2016, 11th Edition

Now in its 11th edition, The Global Risks Report 2016 draws attention to ways that global risks could evolve and interact in the next decade. The year 2016 marks a forceful departure from past findings, as the risks about which the Report has been warning over the past decade are starting to manifest themselves in new, sometimes unexpected ways and harm people, institutions and economies. Warming climate is likely to raise this year's temperature to 1° Celsius above the pre-industrial era, 60 million people, equivalent to the world's 24th largest country and largest number in recent history, are forcibly displaced, and crimes in cyberspace cost the global economy an estimated US$445 billion, higher than many economies' national incomes. In this context, the Reportcalls for action to build resilience – the "resilience imperative" – and identifies practical examples of how it could be done.The Report also steps back and explores how emerging global risks and major trends, such as climate change, the rise of cyber dependence and income and wealth disparity are impacting already-strained societies by highlighting three clusters of risks as Risks in Focus. As resilience building is helped by the ability to analyse global risks from the perspective of specific stakeholders, the Report also analyses the significance of global risks to the business community at a regional and country-level

The future of Cybersecurity in Italy: Strategic focus area

This volume has been created as a continuation of the previous one, with the aim of outlining a set of focus areas and actions that the Italian Nation research community considers essential. The book touches many aspects of cyber security, ranging from the definition of the infrastructure and controls needed to organize cyberdefence to the actions and technologies to be developed to be better protected, from the identification of the main technologies to be defended to the proposal of a set of horizontal actions for training, awareness raising, and risk management

Cybersecurity of Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems: A Review

Industrial cyber-physical systems (ICPSs) manage critical infrastructures by controlling the processes based on the "physics" data gathered by edge sensor networks. Recent innovations in ubiquitous computing and communication technologies have prompted the rapid integration of highly interconnected systems to ICPSs. Hence, the "security by obscurity" principle provided by air-gapping is no longer followed. As the interconnectivity in ICPSs increases, so does the attack surface. Industrial vulnerability assessment reports have shown that a variety of new vulnerabilities have occurred due to this transition while the most common ones are related to weak boundary protection. Although there are existing surveys in this context, very little is mentioned regarding these reports. This paper bridges this gap by defining and reviewing ICPSs from a cybersecurity perspective. In particular, multi-dimensional adaptive attack taxonomy is presented and utilized for evaluating real-life ICPS cyber incidents. We also identify the general shortcomings and highlight the points that cause a gap in existing literature while defining future research directions.Comment: 32 pages, 10 figure

Critical Infrastructures: Enhancing Preparedness & Resilience for the Security of Citizens and Services Supply Continuity: Proceedings of the 52nd ESReDA Seminar Hosted by the Lithuanian Energy Institute & Vytautas Magnus University

Critical Infrastructures Preparedness and Resilience is a major societal security issue in modern society. Critical Infrastructures (CIs) provide vital services to modern societies. Some CIs’ disruptions may endanger the security of the citizen, the safety of the strategic assets and even the governance continuity. The European Safety, Reliability and Data Association (ESReDA) as one of the most active EU networks in the field has initiated a project group on the “Critical Infrastructure/Modelling, Simulation and Analysis – Data”. The main focus of the project group is to report on the state of progress in MS&A of the CIs preparedness & resilience with a specific focus on the corresponding data availability and relevance. In order to report on the most recent developments in the field of the CIs preparedness & resilience MS&A and the availability of the relevant data, ESReDA held its 52nd Seminar on the following thematic: “Critical Infrastructures: Enhancing Preparedness & Resilience for the security of citizens and services supply continuity”. The 52nd ESReDA Seminar was a very successful event, which attracted about 50 participants from industry, authorities, operators, research centres, academia and consultancy companies.JRC.G.10-Knowledge for Nuclear Security and Safet

Assuring Safety and Security

Large technological systems produce new capabilities that allow innovative solutions to social, engineering and environmental problems. This trend is especially important in the safety-critical systems (SCS) domain where we simultaneously aim to do more with the systems whilst reducing the harm they might cause. Even with the increased uncertainty created by these opportunities, SCS still need to be assured against safety and security risk and, in many cases, certified before use. A large number of approaches and standards have emerged, however there remain challenges related to technical risk such as identifying inter-domain risk interactions, developing safety-security causal models, and understanding the impact of new risk information. In addition, there are socio-technical challenges that undermine technical risk activities and act as a barrier to co-assurance, these include insufficient processes for risk acceptance, unclear responsibilities, and a lack of legal, regulatory and organisational structure to support safety-security alignment. A new approach is required. The Safety-Security Assurance Framework (SSAF) is proposed here as a candidate solution. SSAF is based on the new paradigm of independent co-assurance, that is, keeping the disciplines separate but having synchronisation points where required information is exchanged. SSAF is comprised of three parts - the Conceptual Model defines the underlying philosophy, and the Technical Risk Model (TRM) and Socio-Technical Model (STM) consist of processes and models for technical risk and socio-technical aspects of co-assurance. Findings from a partial evaluation of SSAF using case studies reveal that the approach has some utility in creating inter-domain relationship models and identifying socio-technical gaps for co-assurance. The original contribution to knowledge presented in this thesis is the novel approach to co-assurance that uses synchronisation points, explicit representation of a technical risk argument that argues over interaction risks, and a confidence argument that explicitly considers co-assurance socio-technical factors

Cybersecurity for Nuclear Power Plants Working with Simulator's Data and Machine Learning Algorithms to Find Abnormalities at Nuclear Power Plants

Cybersecurity has the utmost importance for nuclear power plants (NPPs). Demand for clean and constant energy has increased the need and use of NPPs. Countries want to have and maintain secure NPPs both physically (well-studied area) and digitally. We live in a digital world, and cyber-attacks have skyrocketed in recent years. This study explores the cyber risk for NPPs, digital attacks, potential future attacks, international aspects, and law and policy requirements of cyber protection for nuclear power plants. With the help of data analysis and machine learning algorithms, extra monitoring can be conducted on plants' data. Data monitoring applications require comprehensive data to build models and develop solutions. However, nuclear facilities do not share their data because of security concerns. Plant simulators are heavily used for training people and conducting experiments. In this thesis, we inspect plant simulators to assess their usability by people with a technical background such as cyber experts, information technology technicians, and software developers. People responsible for protecting digital systems can benefit from the help of data analytic tools and machine learning models to detect abnormalities. We study machine learning models on simulator data to examine their potential in identifying anomalies