Multiobjective Sparse Ensemble Learning by Means of Evolutionary Algorithms

The file attached to this record is the author's final peer reviewed version. The Publisher's final version can be found by following the DOI link.Ensemble learning can improve the performance of individual classifiers by combining their decisions. The sparseness of ensemble learning has attracted much attention in recent years. In this paper, a novel multiobjective sparse ensemble learning (MOSEL) model is proposed. Firstly, to describe the ensemble classifiers more precisely the detection error trade-off (DET) curve is taken into consideration. The sparsity ratio (sr) is treated as the third objective to be minimized, in addition to false positive rate (fpr) and false negative rate (fnr) minimization. The MOSEL turns out to be augmented DET (ADET) convex hull maximization problem. Secondly, several evolutionary multiobjective algorithms are exploited to find sparse ensemble classifiers with strong performance. The relationship between the sparsity and the performance of ensemble classifiers on the ADET space is explained. Thirdly, an adaptive MOSEL classifiers selection method is designed to select the most suitable ensemble classifiers for a given dataset. The proposed MOSEL method is applied to well-known MNIST datasets and a real-world remote sensing image change detection problem, and several datasets are used to test the performance of the method on this problem. Experimental results based on both MNIST datasets and remote sensing image change detection show that MOSEL performs significantly better than conventional ensemble learning methods

A Multi-Attribute decision support system for allocation of humanitarian cluster resources , based on decision makers’ perspective

The rush of the humanitarian suppliers into the disaster area proved to be counter-productive. To reduce this proliferation problem, the present research is designed to provide a technique for supplier ranking/selection in disaster response using the principles of utility theory. A resource allocation problem is solved using optimisation based on decision maker’s preferences. Due to the lack of real-time data in the first 72 h after the disaster strike, a Decision Support System (DSS) framework called EDIS is introduced to employ secondary historical data from disaster response in four humanitarian clusters (WASH: Water, Sanitation and Hygiene, Nutrition, Health, and Shelter) to estimate the demand of the affected population. A methodology based on multi-attribute decision-making (MADM), Analytical Hierarchy processing (AHP) and Multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT) provides the following results. First a need estimation technique is put forward to estimate minimum standard requirements for disaster response. Second, a method for optimization of the humanitarian partners selection is provided based on the resources they have available during the response phase. Third, an estimate of resource allocation is provided based on the preferences of the decision makers. This method does not require real-time data from the aftermath of the disasters and provides the need estimation, partner selection and resource allocation based on historical data before the MIRA report is released

Application of newly developed ensemble machine learning models for daily suspended sediment load prediction and related uncertainty analysis

Ensemble machine learning models have been widely used in hydro-systems modeling as robust prediction tools that combine multiple decision trees. In this study, three newly developed ensemble machine learning models, namely gradient boost regression (GBR), AdaBoost regression (ABR) and random forest regression (RFR) are proposed for prediction of suspended sediment load (SSL), and their prediction performance and related uncertainty are assessed. The SSL of the Mississippi River, which is one of the major world rivers and is significantly affected by sedimentation, is predicted based on daily values of river discharge (Q) and suspended sediment concentration (SSC). Based on performance metrics and visualization, the RFR model shows a slight lead in prediction performance. The uncertainty analysis also indicates that the input variable combination has more impact on the obtained predictions than the model structure selection