Hill of Banchory Geothermal Energy Project Feasibility Study Report

This feasibility study explored the potential for a deep geothermal heat project at Hill of Banchory, Aberdeenshire. The geology of the Hill of Fare, to the north of Banchory, gives cause to believe it has good geothermal potential, while the Hill of Banchory heat network, situated on the northern side of the town, offers a ready-made heat customer. The partners in the consortium consisted of academics and developers with relevant expertise in deep geothermal energy, heat networks, and financial analysis, together with representatives of local Government. They conducted geological fieldwork around the Hill of Fare, engaged with local residents to establish their attitudes to geothermal energy, and built business models to predict the conditions under which the heat network at Hill of Banchory would be commercial if it utilised heat from the proposed geothermal well. They also estimated the potential carbon emission reductions that could be achieved by using deep geothermal energy, both at Hill of Banchory and more widely

A panel model for predicting the diversity of internal temperatures from English dwellings

Using panel methods, a model for predicting daily mean internal temperature demand across a heterogeneous domestic building stock is developed. The model offers an important link that connects building stock models to human behaviour. It represents the first time a panel model has been used to estimate the dynamics of internal temperature demand from the natural daily fluctuations of external temperature combined with important behavioural, socio-demographic and building efficiency variables. The model is able to predict internal temperatures across a heterogeneous building stock to within ~0.71°C at 95% confidence and explain 45% of the variance of internal temperature between dwellings. The model confirms hypothesis from sociology and psychology that habitual behaviours are important drivers of home energy consumption. In addition, the model offers the possibility to quantify take-back (direct rebound effect) owing to increased internal temperatures from the installation of energy efficiency measures. The presence of thermostats or thermostatic radiator valves (TRV) are shown to reduce average internal temperatures, however, the use of an automatic timer is statistically insignificant. The number of occupants, household income and occupant age are all important factors that explain a proportion of internal temperature demand. Households with children or retired occupants are shown to have higher average internal temperatures than households who do not. As expected, building typology, building age, roof insulation thickness, wall U-value and the proportion of double glazing all have positive and statistically significant effects on daily mean internal temperature. In summary, the model can be used as a tool to predict internal temperatures or for making statistical inferences. However, its primary contribution offers the ability to calibrate existing building stock models to account for behaviour and socio-demographic effects making it possible to back-out more accurate predictions of domestic energy demand

Optimisation of Balçova-Narlıdere geothermal district heating system

Thesis (Master)--Izmir Institute of Technology, Mechanical Engineering, Izmir, 2003Includes bibliographical references (leaves: 118-121)Text in English; Abstract: Turkish and Englishxiv, 121 leavesThe main goal of this study is to determine optimum control strategy of Balçova-Narlıdere geothermal district heating system to minimise the energy consumption. First heat demand model of the system was constructed by using statistical method called time series analysis. This model provides the heat demand forecast of next day, by considering ambient temperature forecast of the next day. Then geothermal pipeline system and city distribution system have been modelled in the PIPELAB district heating simulation program. To model the system close to the actual case, database of Balçova geothermal company was used as an input, and the code of PIPELAB program was adapted to be used in geothermal pipeline system. Once the sysem was modelled in PIPELAB, it would be possible to obtain pressure and temperature distribution along the pipe networks in the system. To determine the optimum operation strategy of the wells according to the changing heat demand first the energy consumption of each well pump was defined as a function of their heat production rate. Then these functions were inserted into dynamic programming algorithm which selects the optimum well operation strategy among thousands of options. Also power consumption models of circulation pumps were built and calibrated with actual values. Finally optimum control strategy for the system was determined and the system model was operated by using optimum control strategy according to ambient temperature data of 2001 and 2002. The acual energy consumption values were compared with the optimum energy consumption values and decisive factors in efficient control and operation of the system have been defined

Integrated model concept for district energy management optimisation platforms

District heating systems play a key role in reducing the aggregated heating and domestic hot water production energy consumption of European building stock. However, the operational strategies of these systems present further optimisation potential, as most of them are still operated according to reactive control strategies. To fully exploit the optimisation potential of these systems, their operations should instead be based on model predictive control strategies implemented through dedicated district energy management platforms. This paper describes a multiscale and multidomain integrated district model concept conceived to serve as the basis of an energy prediction engine for the district energy management platform developed in the framework of the MOEEBIUS project. The integrated district model is produced by taking advantage of co-simulation techniques to couple building (EnergyPlus) and district heating system (Modelica) physics-based models, while exploiting the potential provided by the functional mock-up interface standard. The district demand side is modelled through the combined use of physical building models and data-driven models developed through supervised machine learning techniques. Additionally, district production-side infrastructure modelling is simplified through a new Modelica library designed to allow a subsystem-based district model composition, reducing the time required for model development. The integrated district model and new Modelica library are successfully tested in the Stepa Stepanovic subnetwork of the city of Belgrade, demonstrating their capacity for evaluating the energy savings potential available in existing district heating systems, with a reduction of up to 21% of the aggregated subnetwork energy input and peak load reduction of 24.6%.The research activities leading to the described developments and results, were funded by the European Uniońs Horizon 2020 MOEEBIUS project, under grant agreement No 680517. Authors would like to ex-press their gratitude to the operator of the Vozdovac district heating system (Beogradske elektrane) for the specifications used to develop and calibrate the models, and to Solintel M&P, SL for developing the initial versions of the EnergyPlus models (including only the geometrical and constructive definition of the buildings), in the framework of the MOEEBIUS project

Unravelling the relative contributions of climate change and ground disturbance to subsurface temperature perturbations: Case studies from Tyneside, UK

When assessing subsurface urban heat islands (UHIs) it is important to distinguish between localized effects of land-use change and the impacts of global climate change. However, few investigations have successfully unraveled the two influences. We have investigated borehole temperature records from the urban centres of Gateshead and Newcastle upon Tyne in northeast England, to ascertain the effects on subsurface temperatures of climate change and changes in ground conditions due to historic coal mining and more recent urban development. The latter effects are shown to be substantial, albeit with significant variations on a very local scale. Significant subsurface UHIs are indeed evident in both urban centres, estimated as 2.0 °C in Newcastle and 4.5 °C in Gateshead, the former value being comparable to the 1.9 °C atmospheric UHI previously measured for the Tyneside conurbation as a whole. We interpret these substantial subsurface UHIs as a consequence of the region’s long history of urban and industrial development and associated surface energy use, possibly supplemented in Gateshead by the thermal effect of trains braking in an adjacent shallow railway tunnel. We also show that a large proportion of the expected conductive heat flux from the Earth’s interior beneath both Gateshead and Newcastle becomes entrained by groundwater flow and transported elsewhere, through former mineworkings in which the rocks have become ‘permeabilised’ during the region’s long history of coal mining. Discharge of groundwater at a nearby minewater pumping station, Kibblesworth, has a heat flux that we estimate as ∼7.5 MW; it thus ‘captures’ the equivalent of roughly two thirds of the geothermal heat flux through a >100 km2 surrounding region. Modelling of the associated groundwater flow regime provides first-order estimates of the hydraulic transport properties of ‘permeabilised’ Carboniferous Coal Measures rocks, comprising permeability ∼3 × 10−11 m2 or ∼30 darcies, hydraulic conductivity ∼2 × 10−4 m s−1, and transmissivity ∼2 × 10−3 m2 s−1 or ∼200 m2 day−1; these are very high values, comparable to what one might expect for karstified Carboniferous limestone. Furthermore, the large-magnitude subsurface UHIs create significant downward components of conductive heat flow in the shallow subsurface, which are supplemented by downward heat transport by groundwater movement towards the flow network through the former mineworkings. The warm water in these workings has thus been heated, in part, by heat drawn from the shallow subsurface, as well as by heat flowing from the Earth’s interior. Similar conductive heat flow and groundwater flow responses are expected in other urban former coalfield regions of Britain; knowledge of the processes involved may facilitate their use as heat stores and may also contribute to UHI mitigation

The development of a comvenient thermal dynamic building model

The present paper describes a method to set up a thermal building model combining relative simplicity with high dynamic accuracy. The models were verified in two Dutch semi-detached dwellings characterized by extreme values of thermal capacity