The emergence of specialization in heterogeneous artificial agent populations

In this dissertation, I present the Weight-Allocated Social Pressure System (WASPS). WASPS is a computational framework that when applied, can allow for the increase in agent specialization within a multi-agent population. Research has shown that specialization can lead to an overall increase in the productivity levels within a population [55]. WASPS aims to provide a mix of features from existing frameworks such as the genetic threshold and social inhibition models. It also subsumes these models, and allows hybrids of them to be created. It provides individual level behaviour as found in the genetic threshold model. As in some variations of the genetic threshold model [49], WASPS also allows for individual level learning. As found in the social inhibition models, WASPS allows for social influence, or population level learning. Unlike some models, WASPS allows agents to self-organize based on available tasks. In addition, it makes allowances for agents to allocate a resource among multiple tasks during a work period, wherein most models allow the selection of only one task. WASPS allows the assumption that agents are heterogeneous in their task performance aptitudes. It thus aims to create skill-based agent specialization within the population. This will allow more skilled agents to allocate more resources to tasks for which they have comparative advantages over their competition. Because WASPS is self-organizing, it can handle the addition and removal of agents from social networks, as well as changes in the connections between agents. WASPS does not limit the definition of many or its parameters, which allows it to deal with changing definitions for those parameters. For example, WASPS can easily adjust to deal with changing definitions of agent skill and influence. In fact, the individual level learning can be implemented in such a way that an agent can self-optimize even when it has no competitors to influence it

Leadership in Small Societies

Multi-agent simulation was used to study several styles of leadership in small societies. Populations of 50 and100 agents inhabited a bounded landscape containing a fixed number of food sources. Agents moved about the landscape in search of food, mated, produced offspring, and died either of hunger or at a predetermined maximum age. Leadership models focused on the collection and redistribution of food. The simulations suggest that individual households were more effective at meeting their needs than a simple collection-redistribution scheme. Leadership affected the normative makeup of the population: altruistic leaders caused altruistic societies and demanding leaders caused aggressive societies. Specific leadership styles did not provide a clear advantage when two groups competed for the same resources. The simulation results are compared to ethnographic observations of leadership in Pacific island societies.Leadership, Reciprocity, Pacific Island Societies, Norms

Agent-based modeling for migration and modern slavery research: a systematic review

AbstractThis systematic review aims to synthesize how agent-based modeling (ABM) has been used in migration and modern slavery research and provide the basis to model development for social science researchers exploring the use of ABM. We searched five bibliographic databases using two terminology categories: (1) migration or modern slavery terminology; (2) complex system methods terminology. Two reviewers conducted independent article screening. Peer-reviewed articles presenting original migration or modern slavery ABMs were included. Data extraction included model development steps and model characteristics. The dataset was synthesized and compared across studies. We identified 28 articles for inclusion. Many of the ABMs tested theories and about half were based on empirical data. Model development varied considerably and reported methods were extremely opaque. Only five studies used a structured development framework. The most common model involved agents deciding whether and where to migrate and attempting migration. Climate change was a common exogenous scenario modeled. Most of the ABMs did not undergo any sensitivity analysis or validation.ABM has a greater capacity to account for heterogeneous and dynamic decision-making than more frequently applied methods in research on migration and modern slavery. However, there is still a paucity of studies adopting ABM methods. These reviewed ABMs highlight gaps in the reporting and implementing of model development. ABM is a promising technique to address many urgent and complex questions in research on migration and modern slavery to better support decision-makers, but addressing current methodological gaps is a critical first step.</jats:p

Multi-level agent-based modeling - A literature survey

During last decade, multi-level agent-based modeling has received significant and dramatically increasing interest. In this article we present a comprehensive and structured review of literature on the subject. We present the main theoretical contributions and application domains of this concept, with an emphasis on social, flow, biological and biomedical models.Comment: v2. Ref 102 added. v3-4 Many refs and text added v5-6 bibliographic statistics updated. v7 Change of the name of the paper to reflect what it became, many refs and text added, bibliographic statistics update

Mechanisms and Models of Agropastoral Spread During the Neolithic in the West Mediterranean: The Cardial Spread Model

abstract: This dissertation examines the various factors and processes that have been proposed as explanations for the spread of agriculture in the west Mediterranean. The expansion of the Neolithic in the west Mediterranean (the Impresso-Cardial Neolithic) is characterized by a rapid spread of agricultural subsistence and material culture from the southern portion of the Italian peninsula to the western coast of the Iberian peninsula. To address this unique case, four conceptual models of Neolithic spread have been proposed: the Wave of Advance, the Capillary Spread Model, the Maritime Pioneer Colonization Model and the Dual Model. An agent-based model, the Cardial Spread Model, was built to simulate each conceptual spread model in a spatially explicit environment for comparison with evidence from the archaeological record. Chronological information detailing the arrival of the Neolithic was used to create a map of the initial arrival of the Neolithic (a chronosurface) throughout the study area. The results of each conceptual spread model were then compared to the chronosurface in order to evaluate the relative performance of each conceptual model of spread. These experiments suggest that both the Dual and Maritime Pioneer Colonization models best fit the available chronological and spatial distribution of the Impresso-Cardial Neolithic. For the purpose of informing agent movement and improving the fit of the conceptual spread models, a variety of paleoenvironmental maps were tested within the Cardial Spread Model. The outcome of these experiments suggests that topographic slope was an important factor in settlement location and that rivers were important vectors of transportation for early Neolithic migration. This research demonstrates the application of techniques rare to archaeological analysis, agent-based modeling and the inclusion of paleoenvironmental information, and provides a valuable tool that future researchers can utilize to further evaluate and fabricate new models of Neolithic expansion.Dissertation/ThesisDoctoral Dissertation Anthropology 201

Sustainable Land Use and Rural Development in Southeast Asia: Innovations and Policies for Mountainous Areas

Sustainable Development; Landscape/Regional and Urban Planning; Agricultur

The Effects of Generalized Reciprocal Exchange on the Resilience of Social Networks: An Example from the Prehispanic Mesa Verde Region

The initial version of the model used in this study, Village 1.0, was implemented by Tim Kohler and a team of developers mostly from Washington State University. The original model addressed environmental constraints only and did not attempt to model social interaction. In a recent paper we employed Cultural Algorithms as a framework in which to add selected social considerations. In this paper we extend our previous model by adding the ability of agents to perform symmetrically initiated or asymmetrically initiated generalized reciprocal exchange. We have developed a state model for agents' knowledge and, given agents' different responses based on this knowledge. Experiments have shown that the network structure of the systems without reciprocity was the simplest but least resilient. As we allowed agents more opportunities to exchange resources we produced more complex network structures, larger populations, and more resilient systems. Furthermore, allowing the agents to buffer their requests by using a finite state model improved the relative resilience of these larger systems. Introducing reciprocity that can be triggered by both requestors and donors produced the largest number of successful donations. This represents the synergy produced by using the information from two complementary situations within the network. Thus, the network has more information with which it can work and tended to be more resilient than otherwise.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/44742/1/10588_2004_Article_5270975.pd

Intervention in the social population space of Cultural Algorithm

Cultural Algorithms (CA) offers a better way to simulate social and culture driven agents by introducing the notion of culture into the artificial population. When it comes to mimic intelligent social beings such as humans, the search for a better fit or global optima becomes multi dimensional because of the complexity produced by the relevant system parameters and intricate social behaviour. In this research an extended CA framework has been presented. The architecture provides extensions to the basic CA framework. The major extensions include the mechanism of influencing selected individuals into the population space by means of existing social network and consequently alter the cultural belief favourably. Another extension of the framework was done in the population space by introducing the concept of social network. The agents in the population are put into one (or more) network through which they can communicate and propagate knowledge. Identification and exploitation of such network is necessary sinceit may lead to a quicker shift of the cultural norm

The (Ir)relevance of the Crop Yield Gap Concept to Food Security in Developing Countries : With an Application of Multi Agent Modeling to Farming Systems in Uganda

This thesis scrutinizes the relationship between the width of the crop yield gap and farm household food security. Many researchers have argued that an exploitable gap between average crop yields and the genetic yield potential contributes to food security and that this potential should therefore be improved. Yet, crop yield gaps in developing countries are mostly wide, which is prima facie evidence that factors other than the yield potential are most constraining. A significant negative correlation between the width of the rice yield gap and food security for 19 Indian states confirms this. The concept and pitfalls of the crop yield gaps are further analyzed at the farm household level for the case of improved maize in two village communities in southeast Uganda. Multi-agent systems are used to model the heterogeneity in socioeconomic and biophysical conditions. The model integrates three components: (1) whole farm mathematical programming models representing human decision-making; (2) spatial layers of different soil properties representing the physical landscape; and (3) a biophysical model simulating crop yields and soil property dynamics. The thesis contributes to methodology in four ways: First, it is shown that MAS can be parameterized empirically from farm survey data. Second, it develops a non-separable three-stage decision model of investment, production, and consumption to capture economic trade-offs in the allocation of scarce resources over time. Third, a three-step budgeting system, including an Almost Ideal Demand System, is used to simulate poverty dynamics. Fourth, coping strategies to food insecurity are included. Simulation results show that neither the width of the yield gap nor the change in its width over time relate to food security at the farm household level. The maize yield gap is decomposed in both proximate and underlying factors. It is shown that the existence of maize yield gaps does not signal inefficiencies but poverty can be reduced substantially by addressing the underlying constraints such as access to innovations and credit. Improvements in labor productivity are crucial and are a much better indicator of development than crop yields and yield gaps. The results suggest that a strong focus on crop yields and yield gaps might not only be inefficient but even counterproductive to development