Model-based testing of probabilistic systems

This work presents an executable model-based testing framework for probabilistic systems with non-determinism. We provide algorithms to automatically generate, execute and evaluate test cases from a probabilistic requirements specification. The framework connects input/output conformance-theory with hypothesis testing: our algorithms handle functional correctness, while statistical methods assess, if the frequencies observed during the test process correspond to the probabilities specified in the requirements. At the core of our work lies the conformance relation for probabilistic input/output conformance, enabling us to pin down exactly when an implementation should pass a test case. We establish the correctness of our framework alongside this relation as soundness and completeness; Soundness states that a correct implementation indeed passes a test suite, while completeness states that the framework is powerful enough to discover each deviation from a specification up to arbitrary precision for a sufficiently large sample size. The underlying models are probabilistic automata that allow invisible internal progress. We incorporate divergent systems into our framework by phrasing four rules that each well-formed system needs to adhere to. This enables us to treat divergence as the absence of output, or quiescence, which is a well-studied formalism in model-based testing. Lastly, we illustrate the application of our framework on three case studies

Modelling Probabilistic Wireless Networks

We propose a process calculus to model high level wireless systems, where the topology of a network is described by a digraph. The calculus enjoys features which are proper of wireless networks, namely broadcast communication and probabilistic behaviour. We first focus on the problem of composing wireless networks, then we present a compositional theory based on a probabilistic generalisation of the well known may-testing and must-testing pre- orders. Also, we define an extensional semantics for our calculus, which will be used to define both simulation and deadlock simulation preorders for wireless networks. We prove that our simulation preorder is sound with respect to the may-testing preorder; similarly, the deadlock simulation pre- order is sound with respect to the must-testing preorder, for a large class of networks. We also provide a counterexample showing that completeness of the simulation preorder, with respect to the may testing one, does not hold. We conclude the paper with an application of our theory to probabilistic routing protocols

Ioco theory for probabilistic automata

Model-based testing (MBT) is a well-known technology, which allows for automatic test case generation, execution and evaluation. To test non-functional properties, a number of test MBT frameworks have been developed to test systems with real-time, continuous behaviour, symbolic data and quantitative system aspects. Notably, a lot of these frameworks are based on Tretmans' classical input/output conformance (ioco) framework. However, a model-based test theory handling probabilistic behaviour does not exist yet. Probability plays a role in many different systems: unreliable communication channels, randomized algorithms and communication protocols, service level agreements pinning down up-time percentages, etc. Therefore, a probabilistic test theory is of great practical importance. We present the ingredients for a probabilistic variant of ioco and define the {\pi}oco relation, show that it conservatively extends ioco and define the concepts of test case, execution and evaluation

Choice and chance:model-based testing of stochastic behaviour

Probability plays an important role in many computer applications. A vast number of algorithms, protocols and computation methods uses randomisation to achieve their goals. A crucial question then becomes whether such probabilistic systems work as intended. To investigate this, such systems are often subjected to a large number of well-designed test cases, that compare a observed behaviour to a requirements specification. Model-based testing is an innovative testing technique rooted in formal methods, that aims at automating this labour intense and often error-prone manual task. By providing faster and more thorough testing at lower cost, it has gained rapid popularity in industry and academia alike. However, classic model-based testing methods are insufficient when dealing with inherently stochastic systems. This thesis introduces a rigorous model-based testing framework, that is capable to automatically test such systems. The presented methods are capable of judging functional correctness, discrete probability choices, and hard and soft-real time constraints. The framework is constructed in a clear step-by-step approach. First, the model-based testing landscape is laid out, and related work is discussed. Next, we instantiate a model-based testing framework to highlight the purpose of individual theoretical components like, e.g., a conformance relation, test cases, and practical test generation algorithms. This framework is then conservatively extended by introducing discrete probability choices to the specification language. A last step further extends this probabilistic framework by adding hard and soft real time constraints. Classical functional correctness verdicts are thus extended with goodness of fit methods known from statistics. Proofs of the framework’s correctness are presented before its capabilities are exemplified by studying smaller scale case studies known from the literature. The framework reconciles non-deterministic and probabilistic choices in a fully-fledged way via the use of schedulers. Schedulers then become a subject worthy to study in their own rights. This is done in the second part of this thesis; we introduce a most natural equivalence relation based on schedulers for Markov automata, and compare its distinguishing power to notions of trace distributions and bisimulation relations. Lastly, the power of different scheduler classes of stochastic automata is investigated. We compare reachability probabilities of different schedulers by altering the information available to them. A hierarchy of scheduler classes is established, with the intent to reduce complexity of related problems by gaining near optimal results for smaller scheduler classes

Techniques for automated parameter estimation in computational models of probabilistic systems

The main contribution of this dissertation is the design of two new algorithms for automatically synthesizing values of numerical parameters of computational models of complex stochastic systems such that the resultant model meets user-specified behavioral specifications. These algorithms are designed to operate on probabilistic systems – systems that, in general, behave differently under identical conditions. The algorithms work using an approach that combines formal verification and mathematical optimization to explore a model\u27s parameter space. The problem of determining whether a model instantiated with a given set of parameter values satisfies the desired specification is first defined using formal verification terminology, and then reformulated in terms of statistical hypothesis testing. Parameter space exploration involves determining the outcome of the hypothesis testing query for each parameter point and is guided using simulated annealing. The first algorithm uses the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) to solve the hypothesis testing problems, whereas the second algorithm uses an approach based on Bayesian statistical model checking (BSMC). The SPRT-based parameter synthesis algorithm was used to validate that a given model of glucose-insulin metabolism has the capability of representing diabetic behavior by synthesizing values of three parameters that ensure that the glucose-insulin subsystem spends at least 20 minutes in a diabetic scenario. The BSMC-based algorithm was used to discover the values of parameters in a physiological model of the acute inflammatory response that guarantee a set of desired clinical outcomes. These two applications demonstrate how our algorithms use formal verification, statistical hypothesis testing and mathematical optimization to automatically synthesize parameters of complex probabilistic models in order to meet user-specified behavioral propertie

Robustness-Driven Resilience Evaluation of Self-Adaptive Software Systems

An increasingly important requirement for certain classes of software-intensive systems is the ability to self-adapt their structure and behavior at run-time when reacting to changes that may occur to the system, its environment, or its goals. A major challenge related to self-adaptive software systems is the ability to provide assurances of their resilience when facing changes. Since in these systems, the components that act as controllers of a target system incorporate highly complex software, there is the need to analyze the impact that controller failures might have on the services delivered by the system. In this paper, we present a novel approach for evaluating the resilience of self-adaptive software systems by applying robustness testing techniques to the controller to uncover failures that can affect system resilience. The approach for evaluating resilience, which is based on probabilistic model checking, quantifies the probability of satisfaction of system properties when the target system is subject to controller failures. The feasibility of the proposed approach is evaluated in the context of an industrial middleware system used to monitor and manage highly populated networks of devices, which was implemented using the Rainbow framework for architecture-based self-adaptation

Autonomic Parameter Tuning of Anomaly-Based IDSs: an SSH Case Study

Anomaly-based intrusion detection systems classify network traffic instances by comparing them with a model of the normal network behavior. To be effective, such systems are expected to precisely detect intrusions (high true positive rate) while limiting the number of false alarms (low false positive rate). However, there exists a natural trade-off between detecting all anomalies (at the expense of raising alarms too often), and missing anomalies (but not issuing any false alarms). The parameters of a detection system play a central role in this trade-off, since they determine how responsive the system is to an intrusion attempt. Despite the importance of properly tuning the system parameters, the literature has put little emphasis on the topic, and the task of adjusting such parameters is usually left to the expertise of the system manager or expert IT personnel. In this paper, we present an autonomic approach for tuning the parameters of anomaly-based intrusion detection systems in case of SSH traffic. We propose a procedure that aims to automatically tune the system parameters and, by doing so, to optimize the system performance. We validate our approach by testing it on a flow-based probabilistic detection system for the detection of SSH attacks